Alert archive / Connecticut / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS New York, NY

January 7, 20114 counties in Connecticut; Putnam County, Westchester County, New York

NWS New York, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 7, 2011, 4:33 PM EST for 4 counties in Connecticut; Putnam County, Westchester County, New York. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 2011, 4:33 PM EST (21:33 UTC)
Expired
Jan 8, 2011, 2:17 AM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Putnam County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-01-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-01-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 126 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
761 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

555 
WWUS41 KOKX 072133
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...SNOW EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT...

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067-069-071>075-176>179-072245-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2200Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-ROCKLAND-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

SNOW HAS ENDED...THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON
HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ068-070-080100-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0001.110107T2133Z-110108T0100Z/
PUTNAM-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...PUTNAM AND NORTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTIES IN
  SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...WHICH MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO EARLY THIS
  EVENING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW. 

* TIMING...ONE FINAL BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL MOVE UP
  INTO THE AREA INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE
  THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ005-080100-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0001.110107T2133Z-110108T0100Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...INTERIOR SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT. 

* HAZARDS...SNOW HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THIS EVENING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 9 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW. 

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
  INTO THE AREA INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ006-080100-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0001.110107T2133Z-110108T0100Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...INTERIOR SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT. 

* HAZARDS...SNOW HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THIS EVENING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES. 

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW. 

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
  INTO THE AREA INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ007-008-010>012-080545-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT. 

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THIS EVENING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAVE BEGUN MOVING INTO
  THE AREA...AND WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER
  OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ079-081-080545-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...WHICH MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN AND/OR
  SLEET IN BETWEEN HEAVIER BANDS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES. 

* VISIBILITIES...BRIEFLY ONE HALF MILE OR LESS IN MODERATE SNOW. 

* TIMING...BANDS OF SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL
  THEN TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

CTZ009-080100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0100Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. 

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO THIS
  EVENING. SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF LATE THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ078-080-080100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0100Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...WHICH MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN AND/OR
  SLEET IN BETWEEN HEAVIER BANDS. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BRIEFLY ONE HALF MILE OR LESS IN MODERATE SNOW. 

* TIMING...BANDS SNOW WILL CROSS THE AREA INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
  SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF LATE THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
564 
WWUS41 KOKX 080059
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
759 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

CTZ005-NYZ068-070-080200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0100Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-PUTNAM-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
759 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

THE HEAVY SNOW BAND HAS MOVED EAST OF THE WARNED AREA...SO THE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

CTZ009-NYZ078-080-080200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0100Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
759 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW BAND HAS MOVED EAST OF THE ADVISORY
AREA...SO THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

CTZ006-080400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
759 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...SNOW HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE
  REGION BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ010-080400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
759 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE
  REGION BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ079-081-080400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
759 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...WHICH MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN AND/OR 
  SLEET IN BETWEEN HEAVIER BANDS. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BRIEFLY ONE HALF MILE OR LESS IN MODERATE SNOW.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BETWEEN 10 AND
  11 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

CTZ007-008-011-012-080800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
759 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE
  AREA...AND WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF
  AFTER MIDNIGHT 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
870 
WWUS41 KOKX 080212
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
912 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

CTZ007-008-080800-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA...AND
  WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AFTER
  MIDNIGHT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ006-080400-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST OF 
  THE REGION BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ010-080400-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST OF 
  THE REGION BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

CTZ011-012-080800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE
  AREA...AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER
  OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ079-081-080400-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...TWIN FORKS.

* HAZARDS...MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST BETWEEN 10 AND
  11 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
158 
WWUS41 KOKX 080214 CCA
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
914 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

CTZ007-008-080800-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
914 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA...AND
  WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AFTER
  MIDNIGHT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ006-080400-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
914 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST OF 
  THE REGION BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ010-080400-
/O.COR.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
914 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST OF 
  THE REGION BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

CTZ011-012-080800-
/O.COR.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
914 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE
  AREA...AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER
  OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ079-081-080400-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
914 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...TWIN FORKS.

* HAZARDS...MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE SNOW WILL SLIDE EAST BETWEEN 10 AND
  11 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
851 
WWUS41 KOKX 080355
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1055 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS NEW LONDON COUNTY LATE THIS EVENING..

CTZ007-080500-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
1055 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS ENDED FOR THE NIGHT.

$$

CTZ006-080500-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
1055 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS ENDED FOR THE NIGHT.

$$

CTZ010-NYZ079-081-080500-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0400Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1055 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS ENDED FOR THE NIGHT.

$$

CTZ011-080500-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
1055 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS ENDED FOR THE NIGHT.

$$

CTZ008-080800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
1055 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA...AND 
  WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ012-080800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
1055 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED INTO THE 
  AREA...AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER 
  OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
807 
WWUS41 KOKX 080717
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
217 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011


CTZ008-080830-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
217 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS COME TO AN END...THEREFORE THE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

CTZ012-080830-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T0800Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
217 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE SNOW HAS COME TO AN END...THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

MALOIT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 7, 4:03 PM EST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 4:03 PM EST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
403 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW WILL
PASS EAST OF THE REGION OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ON SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...FOLLOWED BY A POSSIBLE COASTAL STORM TOWARDS THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
INTERESTING SCENARIO STILL ONGOING AS STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
BETWEEN APPROACHING FRONT/MID LEVEL VORT AND OFFSHORE LOW...PLUS
CONVECTIVE FEEDER BAND FROM THE SE AND UPSLOPE FLOW...HAVE ALL
CONVERGED ON SW CT AND BROUGHT OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO PARTS OF
FAIRFIELD COUNTY. EXPECT MUCH THE SAME OVER MUCH OF NEW HAVEN COUNTY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE
EAST AS BANDING WEAKENS. MEANWHILE...JUST TO THE SOUTH ACROSS
CENTRAL LONG ISLAND...ISOLATED LOW TOPPED TSTMS...SOME WITH LOW
LEVEL ROTATION...DEVELOPED ALONG THE CONVERGENCE LINE JUST S OF THE
OFFICE...QUITE RARE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND MORE TYPICAL OF MID
SUMMER!

SNOW HAS CLEARED NYC METRO AND WEST OF THE HUDSON...SO THOSE AREAS
WILL BE REMOVED FROM THE ADVY. MAIN BAND OF MODERATE/HEAVY SNOW
STILL HAS YET TO TRAVERSE ERN CT...SO ADVYS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
THERE FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT. LONG ISLAND WILL HAVE TROUBLE MEETING
ADVY CRITERIA DUE TO A WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER MAKING FOR LOWER SNOW
RATIOS...IN FACT PRECIP HAS BEEN MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO
RAIN/SLEET ON/OFF AS MID LEVELS TEMPORARILY DRY OUT BETWEEN
BANDS...SHUTTING OFF SEEDER/FEEDER ICE NUCLEATION...BUT WILL KEEP
ADVY GOING THERE WITH ONE LAST BAND MOVING INTO SUFFOLK COUNTY.

SNOW SHOULD GRADUALLY END FROM WEST-EAST FROM NOW INTO THE HOURS
AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT VIA SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE
MID LEVEL VORT. EXPECT LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 20S MOST PLACES...AND
UPPER TEENS WELL NORTH/WEST...AS CAA COMMENCES UNDER PARTLY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH STRONG CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES SAT MORNING...TRACKING TO JUST EAST OF THE CWA
BY SAT EVENING. THEN THINGS GET INTERESTING AS A 140 KT UPPER JET
AND VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE ROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW INDUCING
SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS THE UPPER LOW TO THE S AND E OF THE
AREA. THIS SAME ENERGY WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF
LOW PRESSURE WELL EAST OFF THE DELMARVA COAST AT THIS TIME. THE
QUESTION HOW FAR NORTH AN INVERTED TROUGH SLIDING UP THROUGH
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NJ GETS...AND HOW QUICKLY IT DISSIPATES...AND
HOW CLOSE TO THE COAST THE OFFSHORE LOW INTENSIFICATION TAKES PLACE.
MODEL CONSENSUS APPEARS TO BE THE LOW TRACKING JUST SE OF THE 40/70
BENCHMARK SAT EVENING...AND THEN QUICKLY TRACKING NE SAT NIGHT...TO
THE EAST OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY SUNDAY.

THE COMBINED MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY/LIFT OF THE UPPER LOW...INVERTED
TROUGH LIFTING NE FROM CENTRAL JERSEY...AND WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
FROM THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW SHOULD HAVE SCT TO NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWER DEVELOPING ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION SAT AFTERNOON. IF THE
INVERTED TROUGH SLIDES FAR ENOUGH NORTH SAT AFTERNOON...COULD SEE A
PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NYC AND NE NJ. SAT EVENING THE EVENT
TRANSITIONS TO COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT WITH THE LONGEST DURATION AND
INTENSITY OF SNOW EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
CLOSEST TO THE SURFACE LOW. ALSO INCREASING INDICATIONS THAT THE
EASTERN 1/3RD OF THE REGION MAY BE AFFECTED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVIER
DEFORMATION BANDING SAT NIGHT. CURRENTLY APPEARS THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN LI AND SE CONN
BY SUNDAY MORNING (2 TO 4 INCHES). FURTHER WEST ACROSS ACROSS NYC
AND POINTS NW...GENERALLY LOOKING AT AN INCH OR LESS AS THIS REGION
WILL LIKELY BE IN THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THE INVERTED TROUGH TO
THE SOUTH AND DEVELOPING LOW TO THE EAST. SINCE THIS IS A 3RD PERIOD
EVENT AND WOULD LIKE TO SEE ANOTHER SUITE OF MODEL RUNS WILL HOLD
OFF ON ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. A SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST OR
SOUTHWEST OF LOW PRESSURE OR INVERTED TROUGH WOULD RESULT IN
DRAMATICALLY HIGHER/LOWER SNOW TOTALS RESPECTIVELY...SO PLEASE
MONITOR FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.

THE OTHER FACTOR WITH THIS SCENARIO WILL BE DEVELOPING STRONG NW
WINDS LATE SAT THRU SUN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CWA. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS INTO THE
MID 30S TO AROUND 40S MPH...HIGHEST EAST. BUT DEPENDING ON HOW
RAPIDLY THE LOW INTENSIFIES AND HOW CLOSE IT TRACKS...THERE IS A LOW
END POTENTIAL FOR WIND ADVISORY WINDS ACROSS THE TWIN FORKS AND
EXTREME SE CONN. THIS WOULD ALSO CAUSE BLOWING SNOW AND LOW
VISIBILITY ISSUES ACROSS EASTERN LI AND SE CONN IF THIS PANNED OUT.

WOULD EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO COME TO AN END BY SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE UPPER AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACK WELL NE OF THE
REGION. CAN'T RULE OUT A PERIOD OF SCT TO BKN STRATO CU AND EVEN A
FEW FLURRIES...PARTICULARLY NW ZONES...IN DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND
WITH TRAILING SHORTWAVE ROTATING THROUGH. THE MAIN STORY WILL BE
GUSTY WINDS...WITH MAX WINDS GUSTS LIKELY CONTINUING IN THE 35 TO 40
MPH RANGE.

BELOW NORMAL HIGHS EXPECTED SATURDAY...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT AGAIN RANGE FROM THE TEENS
OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS TO THE LOW 20S NEAR THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT BEHIND A DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. BEHIND THIS STORM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY
BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT

THEN ALL EYES TURN TO A POTENTIAL COASTAL STORM FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST 12Z GFS/ECMWF REMAIN OFFSHORE...HOWEVER ITS
ENSEMBLE RUNS KEEP THE LOW CLOSER TO THE 40-70 BENCHMARK. EITHER
WAY...WE COULD COULD BE LOOKING AT A SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM FOR THE
CWA. WILL NOT BE MAKING MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST DUE TO THE
LIKELIHOOD OF THE MODELS UNDERGOING SEVERAL CHANGES BETWEEN NOW AND
THEN. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY CHANCE POPS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS SNOW.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY...AS THE
LOW DEPARTS TO THE NORTHWEST.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SNOW IS TAPERING OFF OVER THE KNYC TERMINALS...AND IMPROVEMENT TO
MVFR...THEN VFR...WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. BANDS
OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ARE NOW EAST OF KNYC...SO THE EASTERN
TERMINALS WILL BE UNDER MVFR TO IFR THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON. KGON WILL NOT GET TO THE LOWER CIGS/VSBYS UNTIL THIS
EVENING.

OTHERWISE...VFR TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. N WINDS INCREASE SAT
MORNING. SUB-VFR POSSIBLE LATE SAT WITH ANOTHER WAVE OF SNOW.

     ...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE BASED ON HOW FAST OR
SLOW CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE BASED ON HOW FAST OR
SLOW CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE BASED ON HOW FAST OR
SLOW CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE BASED ON HOW FAST OR
SLOW CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES FOR ANOTHER 45 MIN OR
SO. AMENDMENTS LIKELY BASED ON HOW FAST IT TAKES CONDITIONS TO
IMPROVE.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS LIKELY FOR TIMING AND DURATION OF
SN/+SN AND SUB-IFR CONDS.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SAT AFTERNOON/EVENING...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN SNOW
SHOWERS. GUSTY NW WINDS DEVELOPING SAT NIGHT.
SUN...VFR. NW WINDS GUSTING 25-30 KT.
MON...VFR.
TUE-WED...POSSIBLE COASTAL STORM WITH SUB-VFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
NO FLAGS FOR TONIGHT. EASTERLY FLOW WITH OCNL GUSTS UP TO 25 KT
CONTINUES ON THE EASTERN WATERS...WITH OCEAN SEAS UP TO 4 FT. A FEW
GUSTS ON THE OCEAN COULD ALSO APPROACH 25 KT OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK
FRONT CROSSES THE WATERS...AND TURNS LOW LEVEL FLOW W-NW IN ITS
WAKE.

SUB SCA CONDS ON SATURDAY WITH WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE
REGION...WILL LIKELY GIVE WAY TO A RAPID TIGHTENING OF THE
GRADIENT LATE SAT INTO SAT NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE RAPIDLY DEEPENS
SE OF THE WATERS. THE RESULT MAY BE A RAPID INCREASE FROM SUB SCA
CONDS TO NW GALES SAT EVENING...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
WATERS. STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...WEAKENING SLIGHTLY DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. OCEAN SEAS
SHOULD RESPOND ACCORDINGLY SAT NIGHT...POSSIBLY BUILDING TO THE 5
TO 9 FT RANGE. IF THE STORM TRACKS CLOSER TO THE COAST...WINDS AND
SEAS WOULD BE HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. WILL ISSUE GALE
WATCH FOR SAT NIGHT THRU SUN FORA ALL WATERS TO ADDRESS.

SCA CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE FLOW LIGHTENS MON NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...WITH SUB-SCA
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. OUR NEXT FOCUS WILL BE ON A DEVELOPING COASTAL
LOW FOR LATE TUESDAY THRU WEDNESDAY TIME PERIOD. GALES POSSIBLE WILL
BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT 1/3 TO 1/2 INCH WITH THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY
IMPACTING THE AREA WILL HAVE NO NEAR TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT.

NO HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS EXPECTED WITH SAT INTO SAT NIGHT
EVENT...WITH AND ADDITIONAL 1/4 TO 4/10TH OF AN INCH OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION...ALL SNOW. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT EVENT IS
POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WED.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 2 TO 2 1/2 FT WILL BE NEEDED FOR MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING SAT NIGHT...DURING THE PEAK EFFECTS OF THE OFFSHORE COASTAL
SYSTEM. WITH STRONG NW FLOW...NOT EXPECTING WATER LEVELS TO REACH
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS...WITH CURRENTLY EXPECTED SURGE
GENERALLY OF AROUND 1 TO 1 1/2 FT.

FOR THOSE WITH COASTAL INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF SUFFOLK
COUNTY...AND ADDITIVE EFFECT OF WAVES OF 2 TO 4 FT MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY FOR CTZ006>008-
     010>012.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CTZ005-
     009.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ079-081.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ078-
     080.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ068-070.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BC
NEAR TERM...GOODMAN
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...MPS
MARINE...BC/GOODMAN/NV
HYDROLOGY...NV
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...NV
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 7, 5:10 AM EST, 11 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
510 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

CTZ005-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-176>179-081015-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
510 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY AS A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS OFF THE EAST COAST. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM
REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-081015-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
510 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ANOTHER
PERIOD OF GALE CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
WITH THE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF AN OFFSHORE LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ006>008-010>012-NYZ079-081-081015-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
510 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY AS A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS OFF THE EAST COAST. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM
REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 7, 12:51 PM EST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1251 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

CTZ005-006-009-010-NYZ067-068-070-071-078>081-177-179-071915-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NASSAU-NORTHERN NEW
HAVEN-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-ORANGE-PUTNAM-SOUTHEAST
SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN NEW
HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-
1251 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...BANDS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL IMPACT WESTERN AND
CENTRAL LONG ISLAND...PARTS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHWEST
CONNECTICUT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED BANDS OF MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW MOVING NORTH THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL LONG
ISLAND...PARTS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT.
SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE HEAVIER
BANDS. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL SUFFOLK
COUNTY ON LONG ISLAND.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

GOODMAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 7, 4:06 PM ESTGale WatchOKX11 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Connecticut, 2011Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.