Small Craft Advisory 9, NWS New York, NY

902 
WHUS71 KOKX 261628
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1128 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...AND
LASTING THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-270530-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.110126T1700Z-110126T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0004.110126T2300Z-110127T1200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1128 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS.

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON...THEN GUSTS UP TO 45 
  KT TONIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 

* SEAS/WAVES...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT ON THE OCEAN THIS 
  AFTERNOON...THEN BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT TONIGHT. 

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED 
  LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-270530-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0004.110126T2300Z-110127T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1128 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND PECONIC AND 
  GARDINERS BAYS 

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* SEAS/WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON EASTERN LI SOUND TONIGHT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED 
  LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-270530-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.110126T2300Z-110127T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1128 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND 
  THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS 

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING 
  INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NEWYORKCITY

634 
WHUS71 KOKX 262118
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
418 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-271030-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110126T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0004.110126T2118Z-110127T1200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
418 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS.

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 45 KT TONIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT EARLY
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* SEAS/WAVES...BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT TONIGHT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED LATE
  THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-271030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0004.110126T2118Z-110127T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
418 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND PECONIC AND 
  GARDINERS BAYS 

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 40 KT TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* SEAS/WAVES...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT ON EASTERN LI SOUND TONIGHT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED 
  LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-271030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.110126T2118Z-110127T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
418 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND 
  THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS 

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* SEAS/WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON WESTERN LI SOUND TONIGHT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING 
  INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NEWYORKCITY

126 
WHUS71 KOKX 270929
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
429 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS TODAY...

ANZ330-340-271800-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110127T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T1800Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
429 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS
  BAYS. 

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT THIS MORNING...OCCASIONALLY 35 KT EARLY.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT ON THE EASTERN SOUND...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 3 FT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH DAYBREAK...AND
  THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-355-272230-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110127T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
429 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MORICHES INLET

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS MORNING...OCCASIONALLY 35 KT
  EARLY. 

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH DAYBREAK...AND
  THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-272230-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110127T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110128T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
429 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK POINT

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS MORNING...OCCASIONALLY 35 KT
  EARLY. 

* SEAS/WAVES...7 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT BY LATE
  AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH DAYBREAK...AND
  THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-271500-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T1500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
429 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND 
  THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS 

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH DAYBREAK...AND
  THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NEWYORKCITY

663 
WHUS71 KOKX 271456
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
956 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS TODAY...

ANZ335-338-345-271600-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T1500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
956 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING.

WIND GUSTS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS AND THE ADVISORY
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

ANZ330-340-271800-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T1800Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
956 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS 
  BAYS. 

* WINDS...GUSTS AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...2 TO 3 FT.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-355-272300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
956 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MORICHES INLET

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT BY LATE
  AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN
  GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-280300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110128T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
956 AM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK POINT

* WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS MORNING...THEN AROUND 25 KT THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* SEAS/WAVES...6 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT BY LATE
  AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN
  GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NEWYORKCITY

902 
WHUS71 KOKX 271810
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
110 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS TODAY...

ANZ330-340-271915-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T1800Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
110 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO NEAR 25 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ353-355-272300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
110 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MORICHES INLET

* WINDS...GUSTS AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT BY LATE
  AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-280300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110128T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
110 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK POINT

* WINDS...GUSTS AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NEWYORKCITY

407 
WHUS71 KOKX 272050
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
350 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS THIS EVENING...

ANZ353-355-272300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
350 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MORICHES INLET

* WINDS...GUSTS AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...2 TO 4 FT.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-280300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110128T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
350 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK POINT

* WINDS...GUSTS AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT BY THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

260 
WHUS71 KOKX 272235
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
535 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN THIS EVENING...

ANZ350-280300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110128T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0001.110127T2235Z-110128T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
535 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK POINT

* WINDS...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT
OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS
CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS
NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS
THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN
EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-280300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0001.110127T2235Z-110128T0300Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
535 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MORICHES INLET.

* WINDS...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT
OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS
CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS
NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS
THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN
EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-272345-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
535 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WIND GUSTS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 25 KT AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED
BELOW 5 FT. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NEWYORKCITY

664 
WHUS71 KOKX 272241 CCA
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
540 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN THIS EVENING...

ANZ350-280300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110128T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0001.110127T2240Z-110128T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
540 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK POINT

* WINDS...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT
OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS
CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS
NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS
THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN
EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-280300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
/O.COR.KOKX.SW.Y.0001.110127T2240Z-110128T0300Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
540 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO MORICHES
  INLET.

* WINDS...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT
OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS
CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS
NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS
THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN
EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-272345-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110127T2300Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
540 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WIND GUSTS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 25 KT AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED
BELOW 5 FT. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NEWYORKCITY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
448 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL RETREAT TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM THE CAROLINA COAST TO
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AS IT CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEAST...PASSING EAST OF CAPE COD
ON TONIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FOR FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WEAK ALBERTA CLIPPER PASSING BY
ON SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF COAST STATES WILL
BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED THIS MORNING AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHEAST
COAST. AT THE SFC...LOW PRES OFF THE SE COAST WILL TRACK TO THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST.

WILL BE CONVERTING WINTER STORM WATCHES TO WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES IN ORANGE AND PUTNAM COUNTIES...AND WINTER STORM
WARNINGS ELSEWHERE. SEE SHORT TERM SECTION FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

EXPECT PRECIP TO DEVELOP FROM S TO N MID TO LATE MORNING (9AM-
NOON)...AN HOUR OR TWO LATER ACROSS CT AND LOWER HUDSON VALLEY.
SHOULD START AS ALL SNOW EVERYWHERE.

SOME OF THE HIGH RES MODELS (HRRR/SPC WRF) ARE INDICATING TWO PERIODS
OF PRECIP...ONE STARTING MID TO LATE MORNING...THEN A BREAK IN THE
AFTERNOON AND THEN A HEAVIER ROUND TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW MOVES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND
PHASES WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM.

00Z NAM IS THE EASTERNMOST SOLN AND AS SUCH CAME IN VERY DRY. IT HAS
NOT HAD VERY GOOD CONTINUITY THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND BEEN
DISREGARDED.

QPF...WOULD EXPECT LIGHTER AMOUNTS ACROSS NW ZONES WITH THE TRACK
OF THE STORM CLOSE TO THE 40N 70W BENCHMARK...AND THIS IS DEPICTED
WELL IN THE MODELS...GENERALLY BETWEEN 1/10 AND 1/2 INCH OF
LIQUID HERE. THE 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH LIQUID SWATH IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...THEREFORE THERE IS HIGH BUST POTENTIAL ON WARNINGS
BASED ON THIS AND THE FACT THAT MOST OF THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO
SEE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 INCHES OF SNOW. OF COURSE BANDING WILL COME
INTO PLAY AND MAY BE TOO CONSERVATIVE WITH TOTAL SNOWFALL TOTALS.
MODELS STILL INDICATING A COLD SOLN...AND THERE COULD BE LESS
SLEET MIXING IN THAN WHAT IS FORECAST. THIS WOULD CAUSE TOTALS TO
BE AN INCH OR 2 HIGHER ACROSS LI...NYC AND PORTIONS OF NE NJ. IF
SLEET WAS TO MIX IN IT WOULD BE BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z.

CONNECTICUT WILL LIKELY SEE THE HIGHEST TOTALS...AS THEY WILL BE
IN THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST QPF AND ALL SNOW...HAVE 6 TO 8 INCHES
FORECASTED HERE...BUT THIS COULD BE A BIT CONSERVATIVE. TEMPS WILL
BE NEAR FREEZING TODAY WHICH WILL KEEP RATIOS AT 10 TO 1...BUT AS
TEMPS DROP THIS EVENING WHEN THE HEAVIEST PRECIP IS EXPECTED
RATIOS WILL INCREASE TO 12-15 TO 1.

HAVE A HARD TIME PUTTING MUCH CREDENCE IN THE SPC WRF SINCE IT IS
BASED OFF THE 00Z NAM WHICH WAS DISCOUNTED...BUT THE 06Z
NAM HAS COME INTO BETTER ALIGNMENT WITH THE REMAINING MODEL
GUIDANCE.

STRONGEST LIFT AND HEAVIEST PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 00Z
AND 06Z (GIVE OR TAKE AN HOUR OR TWO) WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW
WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.

WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING TO 10 TO 20 MPH
BECOME N 15 TO 25 WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AND THEN START
TO DIMINISH ON THU AS THE STORM PULLS AWAY. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE
ON LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST CT...BUT STILL APPEAR TO FALL JUST
SHORT OF ADVISORY LEVELS.

SNOW QUICKLY COMES TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH CLEARING SKIES AND BRISK NW FLOW. HIGH PRESSURE
BRIEFLY BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY NIGHT.

FOLLOWED A MAV/MET BLEND WITH MORE WEIGHT ON THE COOLER MAVS FOR
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES BRIEFLY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPS
GENERALLY AVERAGING A COUPLE OF DEGREES SHY OF NORMAL. THEN...BOTH
GFS AND ECMWF SWEEP A FAST-MOVING CLIPPER LOW THROUGH THE REGION
LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WHICH MAY KICK OFF A QUICK ROUND OF
SNOW AREA-WIDE. SUNDAY AND MOST OF MONDAY LOOK DRY WITH TEMPS RUNNING
A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

AFTER THAT...MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE WIDELY. GFS BRINGS A WEAKENING
CLIPPER SYSTEM THROUGH THE AREA LATE MONDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH
PRESSURE AND A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR ON TUESDAY. THE PAST
COUPLE OF ECMWF RUNS...BY CONTRAST...PUSH A WARM FRONT THROUGH
REGION ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A SYSTEM LIFTING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY.
LEANED TOWARD THIS WARMER SCENARIO PER HPC...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN THE GRIDS FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING
TRACKS NE TODAY...PASSING TO THE SE OF THE TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.
IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE TRACK OF THIS LOW WILL BE FAR ENOUGH TO
THE SOUTH FOR A PREDOMINANTLY SNOW EVENT. THERE MAY THOUGH BE A
PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON WHEN THE PCPN IS LIGHT ENOUGH FOR A MIX OF
SNOW AND ICE PELLETS AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS. THE PCPN IS LIKELY
TO GO OVER TO ALL SNOW TOWARD EVENING AS THE LOW DEEPENS AND THE
INTENSITY OF THE PCPN INCREASES.

CIGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR BY MID MORNING...THEN IFR CONDITIONS BY MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH THE ONSET OF THE STEADIER SNOW. A PERIOD OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY FROM 23Z TO 08Z...PLUS OR MINUS A
COUPLE OF HOURS AS THE PCPN FROM WORKS SW TO NE. DURING THIS
TIME...ONE TO TWO INCH SNOWFALL RATES CAN BE EXPECTED. THE TRACK
AND EVOLUTION OF THE LOW WILL DICTATE WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW BAND
SETS UP.

A LIGHT NE FLOW THIS MORNING QUICKLY RAMPS UP BY AFT WITH GUSTS OF
20 TO 25 KT AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS...LESSER TO THE NW. GUSTS OF
25 TO 30 KT POSSIBLE BY 00Z WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW. VSBYS LIKELY
TO FALL OFF TO LIFR/VLIFR FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: TIMING OF PCPN AND WIND GUSTS COULD BE
DELAYED BY A COUPLE OF HOURS. LEANING TOWARD PREDOMINANTLY SNOW IN
THE AFTERNOON WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF ICE PELLETS.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: TIMING OF PCPN AND WIND GUSTS COULD BE
DELAYED BY A COUPLE OF HOURS. LEANING TOWARD PREDOMINANTLY SNOW IN
THE AFTERNOON WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF ICE PELLETS.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: TIMING OF PCPN AND WIND GUSTS COULD BE DELAYED
BY A COUPLE OF HOURS. LEANING TOWARD PREDOMINANTLY SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF ICE PELLETS.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: TIMING OF PCPN AND WIND GUSTS COULD BE
DELAYED BY A COUPLE OF HOURS. LEANING TOWARD PREDOMINANTLY SNOW IN
THE AFTERNOON WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF ICE PELLETS.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: TIMING OF PCPN AND WIND GUSTS COULD BE
DELAYED BY A COUPLE OF HOURS.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: TIMING OF PCPN AND WIND GUSTS COULD BE
DELAYED BY A COUPLE OF HOURS.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
WED NIGHT...SNOW ENDS FROM W TO E. ATTM SNOW ENDS IN THE METRO BY 7Z
AND ACROSS ERN TERMINALS BY 10Z. STRONG NW WINDS GUSTING NEAR 30KT.
THU...VFR WITH DIMINISHING NW WINDS.
FRI...VFR.
SAT...WEAK LOW PRES BRINGS A BAND OF SNOW.
SUN...VFR WITH NW FLOW.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS PICK UP THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...MORE NOTICEABLY THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. WILL KEEP GALE WARNINGS AS THEY ARE FOR TONIGHT. FOR
THE OCEAN ZONES...SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE REACHED BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...SO WILL ADD SCA FOR THIS TIME PERIOD.
OTHERWISE...SCA EXPECTED FOR THE HARBOR/SOUTH SHORE BAYS/WESTERN
SOUND FOR TONIGHT. SCA MAY BE REQUIRED INTO THURSDAY MORNING FOR
THESE ZONES...BUT WILL BE MORE LIKELY REQUIRED FOR THE OCEAN ZONES
MAINLY DUE TO HIGH SEAS. FOLLOWED ALONG THE LINES OF WAVEWATCH FOR
OCEAN SEAS...BUT ADDED A FOOT DURING THE LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT
HOURS TONIGHT.

SUB-SCA CONDITIONS OTHERWISE RETURNS THURSDAY NIGHT AS COASTAL STORM
MOVES FARTHER AWAY. RELATIVELY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THEN EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY. NEXT CHANCE OF SCA ARRIVES ON SATURDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION AND DEEPENS OFFSHORE...PROBABLY
PRODUCING A GUSTY NW FLOW IN ITS WAKE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
GENERALLY LOOKING AT AN AVERAGE OF 1/4 TO 1/2 BASIN AVERAGE LIQUID
QPF ACROSS NW ZONES AND BETWEEN 1/2 AND 1 INCH ELSEWHERE. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 1/4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ON THE FORKS OF LONG
ISLAND AND SE CT. SINCE P-TYPE IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE
FROZEN FORM...NO HYDRO ISSUES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 2 TO 2 1/2 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE NEEDED FOR MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING...AND TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 2 3/4 TO 3 1/2 FT NEEDED
FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE LATE NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE
TONIGHT. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE POSSIBILITY OF MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING...MAINLY ACROSS LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING THIS TIDE CYCLE.
THINKING IS THAT ANY TIDAL PILING THAT CAN OCCUR BEFOREHAND WILL BE
COUNTERACTED WITH A NORTHERLY FLOW FOR THE FEW HOURS LEADING UP TO
THE HIGH TIDE...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS CAN BE REACHED
IN A FEW SPOTS. WILL THEREFORE ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT FOR
ALL COASTAL ZONES...AND ALLOW THE DAY SHIFT TO READJUST AS
NECESSARY. LOW END THREAT FOR ANY MODERATE FLOODING AT THIS TIME.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR CTZ005>012.
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NYZ069>075-078>081-176>179.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NYZ067-068.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR ANZ335-338-345.
     GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     ANZ330-340-350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
     FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
431 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

NYZ078-079-081-177-262145-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
431 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 1 1/2 TO 2 1/2 FT ABOVE
NORMAL AND BREAKING WAVES OF 2 TO 4 FT ON TOP OF THAT WILL PRESENT
COASTAL EROSION CONCERNS FOR THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND AND
NORTH SHORE OF THE SOUTH FORK OF LONG ISLAND.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-080-176-178-179-262145-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
431 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ335-338-345-262145-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
431 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-340-350-353-355-262145-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
431 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.