Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 81, NWS New York, NY

October 12, 2011

NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Oct 12, 2011, 4:07 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 12, 2011, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 66 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 12, 2011, 4:07 AM EDT (08:07 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 12, 2011, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 15, 2011, 1:37 AM EDT
In force
66 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

251 
WHUS71 KOKX 120807
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...GUSTY EAST WINDS INTO TONIGHT ON THE COASTAL OCEAN
WATERS...EASTERN SOUND AND BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...
 
...ROUGH SEAS INTO THURSDAY ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-121615-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-111013T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.111012T1200Z-111013T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
407 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET BY TONIGHT.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND
  THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-121615-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0080.111012T1200Z-111013T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
407 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND SURROUNDING BAYS.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
10 follow-up statements
456 
WHUS71 KOKX 122017
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
417 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...GUSTY EAST WINDS INTO TONIGHT ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS...
EASTERN SOUND AND BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...

...ROUGH SEAS INTO THURSDAY ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-131000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111013T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
417 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST SEAS
  ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-131000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-111013T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
417 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND SURROUNDING BAYS.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
479 
WHUS71 KOKX 122317
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
717 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS INTO THURSDAY...

ANZ335-130930-
/O.EXA.KOKX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-111013T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
717 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON
  NY. 

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...UP TO 4 FT.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE GREATEST THIS EVENING...BEFORE
  SLOWLY SUBSIDING AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-130930-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111013T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
717 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. 

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 8 FT.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE GREATEST OVERNIGHT...BEFORE
  SLOWLY SUBSIDING THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-130930-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-111013T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
717 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON
  NY...PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS...SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES
  INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...UP TO 4 FT NEAR CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE LONG ISLAND
  SOUND.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE GREATEST THIS EVENING...BEFORE
  SLOWLY SUBSIDING AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JMC
837 
WHUS71 KOKX 130820
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
420 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE THIS MORNING...
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-131630-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111014T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
420 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...WIND GUSTS WILL DIMINISH BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS THIS
  MORNING. THE HIGHEST WAVES SHOULD BE EXPERIENCED TODAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-345-131000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-111013T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
420 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.


* TIMING...WIND GUSTS SHOULD SUBSIDE BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
  EARLY THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
548 
WHUS71 KOKX 130951
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
551 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE THIS MORNING... ...ROUGH
SEAS ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ330-335-340-345-131100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-111013T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
551 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM...

WIND GUSTS HAVE FALLEN BELOW 25 KT...THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 AM.


$$

ANZ350-353-355-131800-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111014T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
551 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WAVES SHOULD BE EXPERIENCED TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
278 
WHUS71 KOKX 131933
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
333 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS AS WINDS INCREASE
LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-140900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111015T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
333 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS FRIDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY THEN GRADUALLY BUILDING
  TO AROUND 7 FEET FRIDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
805 
WHUS71 KOKX 140843
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
443 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...ROUGH SEAS CONTINUE ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...INCREASING WINDS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-141800-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.111015T0000Z-111016T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
443 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND COASTAL
  BAYS.

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
  TO 35 KT ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 6 FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND ON
  SATURDAY.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
  NIGHT...WITH HIGHEST SEAS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-141800-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111015T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0014.111015T0000Z-111016T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
443 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KT TODAY...THEN SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT. 

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST SATURDAY INTO
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
308 
WHUS71 KOKX 141804
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
204 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...ROUGH SEAS ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND
STRONG WINDS OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

ANZ350-353-355-151000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111015T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0014.111015T0000Z-111016T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0020.111015T0000Z-111016T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
204 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY.
THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

AS AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
MOVES SLOWLY NORTH...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA.
THE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN PRESSURE WILL CAUSE STRONG SOUTHWEST
WINDS...REACHING GALE FORCE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS
SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST SATURDAY 
  INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-151000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.111015T0000Z-111016T0300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
204 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND COASTAL 
  BAYS. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 6 FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND 
  ON SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY 
  NIGHT...WITH HIGHEST SEAS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
918 
WHUS71 KOKX 142358
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
758 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

ANZ350-353-355-150900-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111015T0000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0020.111015T0000Z-111016T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
758 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST SATURDAY INTO
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-150900-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.111015T0000Z-111016T0300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
758 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND COASTAL 
  BAYS. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 6 FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND 
  ON SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST SATURDAY INTO
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
615 
WHUS71 KOKX 150205
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1005 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

ANZ350-353-355-151015-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-111016T0300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1005 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST SATURDAY INTO
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-151015-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111016T0300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1005 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND COASTAL 
  BAYS. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST SATURDAY INTO
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
535 
WHUS71 KOKX 150537
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
137 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO EARLY SUNDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-151345-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-111016T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-111016T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
137 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS...SOUTH
  SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY...THE LONG
  ISLAND SOUND.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...UP TO 7 FT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
  EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH THIS MORNING WILL BE ACROSS
  THE EASTERN SOUND AND BAYS. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN ACROSS
  ALL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THE GALES WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-151345-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-111016T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
137 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THROUGH THIS
  MORNING...THEN INCREASE AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. THE GALES WILL
  DIMINISH SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JMC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 12, 1:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 1:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
141 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY RETREAT EAST THROUGH THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES TODAY...WHILE LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST
TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. THE LOW WEAKENS AND PASSES OFF TO THE
EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A STRONGER LOW MOVES INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT THEN MOVES ACROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY AS THE STORM LIFTS INTO EASTERN CANADA AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS TO THE SOUTH FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
0430Z UPDATE...FORECAST ON TRACK WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO
GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS.

AS BOTH THE UPPER RIDGE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE TRANSLATE EAST
OVERNIGHT...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
WITH SKIES BECOMING OVERCAST. RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO THE
SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL WED. MODEL TIME HEIGHT
SECTIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A DEEP LAYER OF DRY AIR BELOW 700
HPA OVERNIGHT. THIS COUPLED WITH A GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING E/NE
FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR THE LOW-LEVEL RIDGE TO DAM IN ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS.

AS FOR LOWS...THE CLOUD COVER AND EASTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S N AND W OF NYC...TO THE MID 50S NYC METRO. USED A
BLEND OF MAV/MET MOS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARD A DEEPER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY WED-FRI. THIS IN TURN HAS ALLOWED FOR
A MORE AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW...AND A SLOWER EASTWARD TRANSLATION OF
THE RIDGE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE NORTHEAST.
MODELS CONSENSUS HAS SLOWED DOWN THE TIMING OF THE STEADIEST RAIN
WED...WHICH NOW APPEARS TO BE WED NIGHT INTO THU MORNING. LIGHT
RAIN IS LIKELY BY THE AFT HOURS...SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.

FURTHERMORE...THE SURFACE LOW TRACKING NE ALONG THE SE COAST COAST
IS WEAK AND WILL PASS OFF TO THE EAST WED NIGHT INTO THU. THE
PRIMARY FORCING LOOKS TO FROM THE STRENGTHENING EASTERLY FLOW WED
AFT/NIGHT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING HIGH OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
AND THE WEAK OFFSHORE LOW. THUS...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE HILLS N AND W OF NYC WED NIGHT...WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE S AND E. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HILLS. THERE IS CLEARLY A TROPICAL CONNECTION
WITH THE SURFACE LOW NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BUT THIS SEEMS
TO GET REMOVED FROM THE STORM AS IT PROGRESSES NE AND THE PRIMARY
LOW DEVELOPS TO THE WEST WITH THE DEEPENING NEGATIVELY TILTED
UPPER TROUGH.

THE COOLING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED WITH HIGHS NEAR NORMAL
WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND DEVELOPING RAIN. TEMPS WILL DROP
LITTLE WED NIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 60S WITH LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING PERIODS OF RAIN...SOME WHICH COULD BE
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES. ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE BAND AT THIS TIME SO THAT NO FLOOD
WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME. THE RAIN CHANCES SHOULD
DECREASE FOR AWHILE ON THURSDAY AS THE FIRST WAVE OF RAIN MOVES
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...HOWEVER WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LINGERING MOISTURE AND SOME
WEAK SHORT WAVES LIKELY EMBEDDED IN SSW FLOW ALOFT.

A DEEPER LOW MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA FRIDAY. WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS EARLY ON
FRIDAY THEN CHANCE POP SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE LOW WILL CAUSE DRIER CONDITIONS AND
CLEARING SKIES FOR SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. BETWEEN THE
DEPARTING LOW AND THE BUILDING HIGH...THE AREA WILL BE AFFECTED
BY A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND
WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE PASSES WELL TO THE NORTHEAST AND GIVES WAY TO AN
APPROACHING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING WITH MAINLY A MID
DECK. CONTINUED EAST WIND FLOW WILL SLOWLY MOISTEN THE LOWER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...WHICH IS VERY DRY AT THE CURRENT TIME.

SOMETIME AFTER 18Z...SCATTERED STRATUS COULD BECOME BROKEN AT
TIMES...OTHERWISE VFR UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL MOVE IN FROM
THE SOUTH AND BECOME STEADY DURING THE EVENING HOURS. CONDITIONS
QUICKLY DETERIORATE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...GOING FROM MVFR
TO IFR FAIRLY QUICKLY. TIMING OF THESE DETERIORATING CONDITIONS
MAY BE OFF BY A COUPLE OF HOURS.

WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST/NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY. SPEEDS REMAIN AROUND 10 KTS THIS MORNING...BUT INCREASE TO
10 TO 15 KTS AFTER 9 AM OR SO. AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO 20 KTS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE COAST. WINDS LIGHTEN AGAIN TO
10 KTS OR LESS THIS EVENING.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

TONIGHT...MVFR WITH AREAS OF IFR. RAIN. ENE FLOW BETWEEN 8 AND 12
KTS.

THU...RAIN POSSIBLE WITH MVFR LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. AREAS OF
IFR POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING. E FLOW BECOMES ESE.

FRI...GENERALLY MVFR BUT BREAKS TO VFR CAN BE EXPECTED. SCT SHRA.
SE FLOW BECOMES SW LATE.

SAT...VFR WITH SW FLOW.

SUN...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
0430Z UPDATE...MINOR CHANGES MADE TO WINDS/WAVES TO REFLECT
LATEST TRENDS. FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK.

MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ON THE COASTAL WATERS THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS EAST OF THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES...WHILE WEAK LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE SE COAST
TRACKS TO THE NE. THE DURATION AND FETCH WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SCA
SEAS ON THE OCEAN STARTING EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A BRIEF
PERIOD OF SCA GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ON THE OCEAN AND
EASTERN SOUND/BAYS. SCA SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO THU.

A LONG PERIOD OF SCA CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS IS EXPECTED
AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES EAST OF THE WATERS ON THURSDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS
THE AREA WATERS FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH SEAS SLOWLY FALLING BELOW
SCA CRITERIA ON SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY OVERNIGHT. RAIN THEN MOVES IN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WEDNESDAY
AND CONTINUES WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY. BASIN
AVERAGES OF 1/2 AN INCH TO ONE INCH ARE EXPECTED. OF COURSE
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN LOOKS TO
OCCUR LATE WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... DO NOT
EXPECT FLOODING TO OCCUR...OTHER THAN LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE OR
URBAN FLOODING.

THERE IS THOUGH SOME CONCERN FOR ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL THU INTO FRI AS A DEEP UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS NE ACROSS THE
AREA. THERE MAY BE ANOTHER INCH OF RAINFALL FROM THIS EVENT.
SHOULD THE TREND FOR FURTHER AMPLIFICATION CONTINUE...HIGHER
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE NOT EXCESSIVELY HIGH...BUT THE MORNING
HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED. INCREASING
EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PILE WATER UP ALONG THE SHORES OF
WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NY HARBOR AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF
LONG ISLAND. DEPARTURES OF 1 1/2 TO 2 FEET ABOVE WOULD BE NEEDED
TO REACH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS. THIS IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME. THUS...NO STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ330-340-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ350-353-
     355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MALOIT/DW
NEAR TERM...MALOIT
SHORT TERM...DW
LONG TERM...FIG
AVIATION...PW
MARINE...FIG/DW
HYDROLOGY...DW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MALOIT/DW
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 4:14 AM EDT, 23 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
414 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-
NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-120900-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
414 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.