Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 39, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Mar 31, 2011, 3:34 PM EDT. It took effect at Mar 31, 2011, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 52 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 31, 2011, 3:34 PM EDT (19:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 31, 2011, 6:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 2, 2011, 10:26 PM EDT
- In force
- 52 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
815 WHUS71 KOKX 311934 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 334 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... ANZ355-010345- /O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0016.110331T2200Z-110402T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.110331T2200Z-110401T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0010.110401T2200Z-110402T1000Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 334 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NE 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. NW 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT FRIDAY NIGHT. * SEAS/WAVES...AROUND 5 FT BUILDING TO BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT. * TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ350-353-010345- /O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0016.110331T2200Z-110402T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.110331T2200Z-110401T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0010.110401T2200Z-110402T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 334 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NE 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. NW 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT FRIDAY NIGHT. * SEAS/WAVES...AROUND 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FT. * TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ335-338-010345- /O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0016.110331T2200Z-110401T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.110331T2200Z-110401T2200Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- 334 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...NEW YORK HARBOR. * WINDS...NE 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT BECOMING NW. * TIMING...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-010345- /O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0016.110331T2200Z-110402T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.110331T2200Z-110401T2200Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 334 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS. * WINDS...NE 25 TO 30 KT BECOMING NW. * SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT ON THE EASTERN SOUND. * TIMING...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ345-010345- /O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0016.110331T2200Z-110402T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.110331T2200Z-110401T2200Z/ SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 334 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY. * WINDS...NE 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT BECOMING NW. * TIMING...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
7 follow-up statements
119 WHUS71 KOKX 010057 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 857 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... ANZ350-353-355-010900- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110401T2200Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0010.110401T2200Z-110402T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 857 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...8 TO 12 FT. * TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ330-335-338-340-345-010900- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110401T2200Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 857 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...NEW YORK HARBOR. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
456 WHUS71 KOKX 010745 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 345 AM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... ANZ350-353-355-012200- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T1000Z/ /O.CAN.KOKX.GL.A.0010.110401T2200Z-110402T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 345 AM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE GALE WATCH. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATION...THE OCEAN WATERS OUT TO 20 NM. * WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...7 TO 11 FT THIS MORNING...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6 FT BY LATE TONIGHT. * TIMING...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT POSSIBLE DURING THE ENTIRE PERIOD. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-338-340-345-012200- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 345 AM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE SURROUNDING BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR. * WINDS...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...5 FT WAVES POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE RACE IN EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING THIS MORNING. * TIMING...GUSTS UP TO 30 KT POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN UP TO 25 KT POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
342 WHUS71 KOKX 012013 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 413 PM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO SATURDAY... ANZ330-340-345-350-353-355-020415- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 413 PM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS...SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT ON THE OCEAN. * TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT...THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-338-020415- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- 413 PM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...NEW YORK HARBOR. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
139 WHUS71 KOKX 020207 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1007 PM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO SATURDAY... ANZ335-338-021000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- 1007 PM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...NEW YORK HARBOR. * WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISHING LATE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-345-350-353-355-021015- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1007 PM EDT FRI APR 1 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY...PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS...SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT ON THE OCEAN. * TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT...THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
979 WHUS71 KOKX 020809 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 409 AM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TODAY... ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-022030- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T2200Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 409 AM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * LOCATION...WATERS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND AND THE OCEAN WATERS WEST OF MORICHES INLET OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE TODAY. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT OVER THE OCEAN WATERS SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FT BY TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-022030- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110403T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 409 AM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. * LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT TODAY SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT TONIGHT. * TIMING...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDE BY LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
863 WHUS71 KOKX 022020 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 420 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...ROUGH SEAS THROUGH SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS REDEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING... ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-030430- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110402T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0040.110403T1000Z-110403T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 420 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EDT SUNDAY. * LOCATION...WATERS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND AND THE OCEAN WATERS WEST OF MORICHES INLET OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * TIMING...WIND GUSTS WILL REDEVELOP EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-030430- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110403T1600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 420 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY. * LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT TONIGHT. * TIMING...SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS REDEVELOP BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
556 WHUS71 KOKX 030226 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1026 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH SUNDAY... ANZ350-030915- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-110403T1600Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.SC.Y.0040.110403T1000Z-110403T1600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 1026 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EDT SUNDAY. * LOCATION...OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT. * TIMING...EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-030915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0040.110403T1000Z-110403T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1026 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EDT SUNDAY. * LOCATION...WATERS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND AND THE OCEAN WATERS WEST OF MORICHES INLET OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * TIMING...WIND GUSTS WILL REDEVELOP EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 31, 2:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 2:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
217 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL TRACK FARTHER OUT TO
SEA TODAY. A STRONGER LOW WILL DEVELOP OFF THE CAROLINA COAST AND
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST TOWARD CAPE COD TONIGHT. THIS LOW
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING...AND THEN INTO
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER LOW WILL IMPACT THE AREA MONDAY
AND TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LIGHT RAIN HAS OVERSPREAD THE WRN PORTION OF THE CWA. THIS WILL
FILL ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA BY THIS AFTN. POPS INCREASED
WITH NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE.
CLOUDY WITH HIGHS 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL UNDER EASTERLY FLOW.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT TONIGHT WITH THE
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE IMPENDING COASTAL STORM THAT WILL
AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY WILL UPPER JET STRENGTHENING OVER
THE SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY. THE TROUGH WILL BECOME NEGATIVELY
TILTED AND EVENTUALLY CLOSES OFF ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL STEER THE
SFC LOW OFF THE CAROLINA COAST AND TO NORTHEAST TONIGHT. THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER CAPE COD FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRI NIGHT.
STRONG DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR
EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT ONCE THE LOW MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC.
140 KT JET...STRONG VORT MAX AND STRONG UVV'S WILL ALL AID IN STRONG
VERTICAL MOTION. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG MID LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS WILL CAUSE MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO BREAK
OUT ACROSS THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THERE ARE STILL
DIFFERENCES IN HOW CLOSE THE TRACK OF THE SFC LOW PASSES...THE NAM
CLOSEST TO THE COAST AND HENCE ITS H85-H7 FRONTOGENETIC BAND WHICH
COULD AFFECT WHERE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP FALLS. THERE IS DEFINITELY
BUST POTENTIAL DUE TO THIS AND THE FACT THAT THE TIME OF YEAR
ISN'T OPTIMAL FOR MAJOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS. HOWEVER...THE FACT
ALL OF THE KEY INGREDIENTS LEADING TO HEAVY PRECIP ARE OCCURRING
OVERNIGHT HAS PROMPTED ME TO ISSUE WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR
ORANGE...PUTNAM AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES. BOUNDARY LAYER
DOESN'T REALLY COOL DOWN UNTIL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING...AND BY THAT TIME THE HEAVIEST PRECIP SHOULD HAVE LIFTED
NORTH OF HERE...BUT THE COMBINATION OF DYNAMIC COOLING AND
BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO REACH WARNING LEVEL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WHERE WARNINGS ARE BEING POSTED. LOWS TONIGHT WILL
BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK WHICH WILL LEAD TO A
HEAVY WET TYPE OF SNOW. RATIO'S WILL BE LESS THAN 10 TO 1.
THE REMAINING AREAS THAT WERE IN THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAVE BEEN
CONVERTED TO WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES SINCE A QUICK 2 TO 4 INCHES
OF SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. THE REMAINDER
OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN PRIMARILY A RAIN/SNOW MIX. A BRIEF
PERIOD OF ALL SNOW IS ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING...ALTHOUGH ANY
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH AND MAINLY ON GRASSY
SURFACES. THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE IS EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS
NORTH AND WEST OF NYC.
NE WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE LOW APPROACHES AND REMAIN STRONG
OUT OF THE NW ON FRIDAY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST...HIGHEST ACROSS
EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND CT.
MODELS MAY BE OVERDOING THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE...BUT HAVE KEPT
POPS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY FRIDAY. ANY SNOW IN THE MORNING
SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR PLAIN RAIN AS TEMPS WARM
INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
GUSTY NW WINDS CONTINUE SATURDAY WITH THE LOW SLOWLY MOVING INTO
THE MARITIMES. SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS WITH AN
UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE 12Z GFS HAS COME INTO DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE 00Z
ECMWF...OFFERING A DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED.
HOWEVER...THE VARIOUS ENSEMBLE MEANS ARE NOT IN SUPPORT OF THE
OPERATIONAL MODELS IDEA OF A STORM SYSTEM/STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IMPACTING THE AREA FROM MON-WED OF NEXT WEEK...SO LOW CONFIDENCE IN
FORECAST ESPECIALLY FROM TUE ON. USED A BLEND OF 12Z GFS/GEFS/00Z
ECMWF FOR THE EXTENDED.
NW FLOW ALOFT WITH RISING HEIGHTS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY
NIGHT SHOULD PROMOTE MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND A GRADUAL MODERATION
OF TEMPERATURES TOWARDS NORMAL/SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS.
IT APPEARS THAT PRECIPITATION SHOULD DEVELOP FROM SW TO NE
MONDAY...IN RESPONSE TO LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF A WARM
FRONT. THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A SNOW
INTERIOR/RAIN/SNOW COAST AT THE START MON AM...TRANSITIONING TO ALL
RAIN DURING THE MORNING EVERYWHERE.
THE QUESTION THEN BECOMES IF/WHEN THE SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTS TO
THE NORTH AND HOW FAR N THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS. FOR NOW OPTING FOR
THE CONSENSUS IDEA THAT THE LOW TRACKS JUST TO THE N TUESDAY...WITH
ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT STALLING OUT OVER/JUST TO THE SOUTH BY
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS SOME SUGGESTION THOUGH THAT THE STORM COULD
TRACK OVER OR JUST S OF THE AREA...WITH THE FRONT STALLING OUT
FURTHER S. THIS WOULD END UP WITH A COLDER SOLUTION THEN CURRENTLY
PORTRAYED FOR TUESDAY...AND DRIER ON WEDNESDAY.
FOR NOW ADJUSTED MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN GUIDANCE TOWARDS A BLEND OF
GFS/ECMWF THERMAL FIELDS (ECMWF WARMER THAN THE GFS). HAVE A
FEELING THOUGH THAT THIS ULTIMATELY WILL PROVE TOO WARM...ESPECIALLY
TUE-WED.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A
STRONGER LOW WILL APPROACH TONIGHT...AND PASS JUST TO OUR EAST ON
FRIDAY.
GENERALLY E-NE FLOW JUST UNDER 10 KT INLAND...AND 10-15 WITH GUSTS
UP TO 20 KT AT THE COAST...WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TONIGHT AND
GRADUALLY BACK NE-N AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON. MVFR CIGS ARE ENTERING
NYC TERMINALS ATTM. LOWER IFR CIGS TO THE SOUTH APPEAR ASSOCIATED
WITH ONSHORE FLOW...AND DO NOT THINK THEY WILL ARRIVE AT NYC AREA
TERMINALS UNTIL THIS EVENING AS STEADIER PRECIP ENTERS THE PICTURE.
STEADY PRECIP TONIGHT SHOULD BE PRIMARILY SNOW AT KSWF...WHICH COULD
BEGIN BRIEFLY WITH A SNOW/RAIN MIX. RAIN AT KHPN SHOULD MIX WITH AND
CHANGE TO WET SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ALL OTHER TERMINALS
SHOULD BE PRIMARILY RAIN... WITH A MIX WITH OR BRIEF CHANGE TO SNOW
POSSIBLE AT THE NYC TERMINALS FROM ABOUT 10Z-14Z BEFORE
TAPERING OFF.
BECOMING MVFR FRI MORNING...WITH WINDS BACKING N-NW AND SPEEDS
15G20KT.
POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING WET SNOW EXISTS LATE TONIGHT UNTIL MIDDAY
FRI FOR KSWF...WHERE 4-6 INCHES EXPECTED. AT KHPN...2-4 INCHES
POSSIBLE...MOSTLY ON GRASSY SURFACES...WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS
ON RUNWAYS. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...
DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)
KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO FINE TUNE
ONSET OF STEADY PRECIP AND LOW-END MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS INTO
TONIGHT.
KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO FINE TUNE
ONSET OF STEADY PRECIP AND LOW-END MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS INTO
TONIGHT.
KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO FINE TUNE
ONSET OF STEADY PRECIP AND LOW-END MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS INTO
TONIGHT.
KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO FINE TUNE
ONSET OF STEADY PRECIP AND LOW-END MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS INTO
TONIGHT.
KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO FINE TUNE
ONSET OF STEADY PRECIP AND LOW-END MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS INTO
TONIGHT.
KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO FINE TUNE
ONSET OF STEADY PRECIP AND LOW-END MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS INTO
TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRI THROUGH MON...
FRI AFTERNOON...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NW FLOW WITH GUSTS
20-25 KT.
FRI NIGHT...IMPROVING CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS.
SAT-SUN...VFR. GUSTY NW WINDS ON SAT.
MON...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN RAIN...MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON AND AT NIGHT. PRECIP COULD BEGIN BRIEFLY AS
SNOW/SLEET INLAND.
TUE...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN. POSSIBLE LATE DAY THUNDER.
&&
.MARINE...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE TODAY...WITH INCREASING SPEEDS
LATE. THINKING SMALL CRAFT WINDS DEVELOP SOMETIME AFTER 22Z...SO NO
HEADLINES ON THE WATERS FOR TODAY. WINDS HOWEVER DO RAPIDLY INCREASE
OVERNIGHT TO GALE FORCE. SO HAVE CONVERTED THE GALE WATCH TO A
WARNING. THE GALE WARNING WILL BE UP FOR ALL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MIDDAY. GALES COME DOWN ON THE WESTERN SOUND AND THE HARBOR
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FRIDAY NIGHT...GALES WILL REMAIN UP FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA WATERS.
DESPITE THE GALES BEING UP...THERE COULD BE A LULL IN THE WINDS
FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LOW MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE WATERS...BUT THEN
NW WINDS INCREASE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT SCA CONDITIONS AFTER THE GALES COME DOWN THROUGH
SATURDAY...AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY.
SUB SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
MINOR QPF (LESS THAN 1/10 INCH) EXPECTED THIS MORNING. PCPN
BETWEEN 1 AND 1 1/2 INCHES IS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH FRI. AREAS
WHERE P-TYPE WILL BE IN LIQUID FORM COULD SEE MINOR FLOODING OF
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...OTHERWISE...NO HYDRO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
PERSISTENT E-NE WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A COASTAL STORM MOVES
NORTHEAST PASSING SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND. THIS STORM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THE GFS EXTRATROPICAL
STORM SURGE GUIDANCE SURGE PLUS AVERAGE ANOMALY SUGGESTS MAXIMUM
WATER LEVELS GENERALLY 1-2 FT ABOVE PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES...HIGHEST IN WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. A GENERAL 2 FT SURGE
IS NEEDED FOR MINOR AND 2.5-3 FT FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING.
AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS AS IF AT LEAST A FEW SPOTS COULD REACH MINOR
BENCHMARKS.
A STRONGER AND/OR SLIGHTLY DELAYED COASTAL STORM WOULD HOWEVER
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF COASTAL FLOODING...AND THIS IS STILL
WITHIN THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY FOR CTZ005-006.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY FOR NYZ069-070.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT FRIDAY
FOR NYZ067-068.
NJ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY FOR NJZ004-103-105-107.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT FRIDAY
FOR NJZ002.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR
ANZ335-338.
GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
ANZ330-340-350-353.
GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR ANZ345-355.
&&
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...JMC
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...GOODMAN
MARINE...
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 4:56 AM EDT, 10 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 456 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 CTZ007>012-NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-011000- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN NASSAU- 456 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND TRACK NORTHEAST TO A POINT JUST EAST OF MONTAUK POINT BY FRIDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX TONIGHT. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A SLUSHY INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WHICH WILL CAUSE SLICK CONDITIONS FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. COLDER AIR ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM MAY CHANGE THE MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER TO SNOW FOR A BRIEF PERIOD EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL AND PRIMARILY ON GRASSY SURFACES...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO RAIN AS TEMPERATURES RISE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. NJZ002-NYZ067-068-011000- WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- 456 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. CTZ005-006-NJZ004-103-105-107-NYZ069-070-011000- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 456 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ345-355-011000- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 456 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-340-350-353-011000- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 456 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ335-338-011000- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- 456 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 4:36 AM EDT | Winter Storm Warning | OKX | Orange, Putnam | 11 hr |
| Mar 31, 4:36 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester | 31 hr |
| Mar 31, 4:59 AM EDT | Gale Warning | OKX | 11 hr | |
| Mar 31, 3:34 PM EDT | Gale Watch | OKX | 12 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.