Small Craft Advisory 20, NWS New York, NY

197 
WHUS71 KOKX 202132
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
432 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

...GUSTY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ON THE OCEAN FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-211045-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-110220T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.110221T1700Z-110222T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
432 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS S OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS MONDAY NIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-202245-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-110220T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
432 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

WIND GUSTS ARE BELOW 25 KT AND SEAS ARE BELOW 5 FT SO THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1028 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST TODAY...WITH
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE
WEST TONIGHT...AND PASS JUST TO THE SOUTH ON MONDAY. CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THROUGH MID WEEK...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE E OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL MOVE FARTHER
OUT TO SEA TODAY AS RIDGING SFC/ALOFT BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS THE DAY WEARS ON...WITH
INCREASING HIGH AND THEN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WELL AHEAD OF LOW
PRESSURE STILL OUT OVER THE PLAINS STATES. TEMPS WILL TOP OUT A
FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH A STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION...
GENERALLY FROM THE LOWER 30S ERN CT/LI...TO THE MID/UPPER 30S MOST
ELSEWHERE...TO AROUND 40 IN URBAN NE NJ.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MAIN FEATURES DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE A POLAR VORTEX SINKING
SOUTH FROM HUDSON BAY INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...WHILE
A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET STREAKS FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE
MID WEST AND TOWARDS THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES THIS MORNING AND TRACKING
THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/OHIO VALLEYS TONIGHT.

THE MODELS STILL APPEAR TO BE HAVING A BIT OF TROUBLE WITH EXACT
EVOLUTION OF THIS SETUP OVER THE NE US FOR LATER TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY...PARTICULARLY IN TERMS OF STRENGTH OF CONFLUENT FLOW TO THE
NORTH OF THE REGION...WHICH IS LEADING TO SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE
EXACT TRACK OF LOW PRESSURE AS IT WORKS OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF THE
AREA. BUT OVERALL THERE APPEARS TO BE GREATER CONVERGENCE ON A LOW
TRACK JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION. IN ADDITION...MODELS APPEAR TO BE
HAVING SOME ISSUES DEALING WITH CONVECTION AND MOISTURE INFLUX FROM
SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE MIDWEST DIFFERENTLY...WHICH IS RESULTING IN
SOME VARYING QPF SOLUTION FOR THE REGION. SO OVERALL...A SOMEWHAT
COMPLICATED FORECAST WITH THIS APPROACHING SYSTEM FOR TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.

THE NAM HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH TRACKING LOW PRESSURE JUST
SOUTH OF THE REGION...WITH ECMWF/GEM/SREF TRACKING THE LOW JUST
SOUTH OF LI LATE TONIGHT/MON MORNING...ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN LESS
THAN IDEAL RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY WITH SOME OF THESE SOLUTIONS. THE
GFS HAS BEEN WOBBLING WITH ITS TRACK THE LAST FEW RUNS...WITH A
SOLUTION OVER THE AREA WITH THE 00Z RUN. THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS A
NUDGE FURTHER SOUTH THAN OPERATIONAL. WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE MORE
CONSISTENT NAM/ECMWF/SREF SOLUTIONS...WITH A TRACK JUST SOUTH OF THE
AREA. THIS TRANSLATES INTO A MAINLY A SNOW EVENT EXPECTED FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA.

IN TERMS OF SENSIBLE WEATHER...WAA LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
FROM W TO E LATE THIS EVENING/TONIGHT. THEN MODELS DEPICTING A 70 KT
WSW LLJ AND TIGHT BAROCLINIC ZONE...DEVELOPING A MODERATE TO HEAVY
BAND OF FRONTOGENETIC SNOWS ACROSS WESTERN PA THIS EVENING. THE
QUESTION IS HOW WELL THIS BAND HOLDS TOGETHER AS ENERGY TRANSITIONS
OVER THE APPALACHIANS WITH SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT/STRENGTHENING JUST
SOUTH OF THE ISLAND MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS WHERE THE QPF QUESTIONS
LIE. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING LOOKS TO BE ACROSS FAR NW SECTIONS
OF THE REGION.

HAVE GONE WITH A CONSERVATIVE BLEND OF QPF AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1/4 AND
1/2 OF AN INCH QPF...HIGHEST AGAIN ACROSS FAR NW SECTIONS. BEST SNOW
RATIOS WILL BE ACROSS INTERIOR LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...INTERIOR NE
NJ...AND INTERIOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AS WELL WITH COLDER TEMPS AND
ELEVATION. BASED ON CURRENT QPF FORECAST...A GENERAL 3 TO 6 INCHES
OF SNOW LIKELY ACROSS THIS REGION. THERE IS A LOW END POTENTIAL FOR
WARNING LEVEL SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS INTERIOR LOWER HUDSON VALLEY IF
HEAVIER QPF DEPICTED IN GFS/NAM MATERIALIZES...BUT CONFIDENCE TOO
LOW FOR A WATCH. WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AT LEAST 3 INCHES OF SNOW
WILL ISSUE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT/MONDAY MORNING FOR
THIS AREA. TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS AREA...LESS CERTAINTY EXIST
IN TERMS OF SNOW/LIQUID RATIOS(SOUTH) AND QPF(EAST). A GENERAL 2 TO
4 INCHES LIKELY ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH THE LOWER AMOUNTS BEING
ACROSS NYC/LI WITH LOWER SNOW/LIQUID RATIOS. DUE TO THE LOWER
CONFIDENCE WILL RE-EVALUATE NEED FOR WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WITH
AFTERNOON FCST UPDATE.

HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM W TO E MONDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ENOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING LIKELY FOR A
CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE ACROSS CITY/COAST BEFORE ENDING.
COULD HAVE A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE BEFORE PRECIP ENDS
ACROSS INTERIOR...BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE ON THAT TO MENTION. ANY
LINGERING LIGHT PRECIP EXPECTED TO END ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS BY
LATE AFTERNOON. SE FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW IN THE MORNING AND THEN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW IN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOULD ALLOW FOR ENOUGH
LOW-LEVEL WARMING FOR HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40
NYC/COAST...LOWER/MID 30S INTERIOR. SO ICY ROAD ISSUES FOR THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOULD MAINLY BE CONFINED TO FAR INTERIOR.

FOR MONDAY NIGHT...MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SECONDARY
WAVE PASSING TO OUR S WITH A POSSIBLE GLANCING BLOW FOR SW
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. WITH MODELS STILL HAVING TROUBLE HANDLING THE
RESPONSIBLE UPPER ENERGY...CURRENTLY OVER THE SW US...WILL FORECAST
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SOUTHERN ZONES TO CONVEY LOW END THREAT.

OTHERWISE ANOTHER SHOT OF CAA ON GUSTY NW FLOW LATER MON NIGHT IN
WAKE OF LOW...WITH CLEARING SKIES AND TEMPS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER
TEENS/20 ACROSS NYC METRO/COAST AND LOWER/MID TEENS INTERIOR. WINDS
CONTINUE TO LOOK TO BE BELOW WIND ADVISORY.

SUNNY BUT BLUSTERY DAY ON TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDING
TOWARDS THE REGION. TEMPS EXPECTED TO RUN SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
SEASONABLE...GENERALLY UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30S CITY/COAST AND MID 20S
INTERIOR.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
TUESDAY NIGHT...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. A DIMINISHING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO LIGHTER
WINDS AND COLDER LOWS AT NIGHT AS COLDER AIR COMES IN ON A NORTHERLY
FLOW. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DIRECTLY OVER THE FORECAST REGION ON
WEDNESDAY WITH SUNNY SKIES AND WITH LIMITED MIXING TO NEAR 975
MB...LOWER THAN NORMAL HIGHS WERE FORECAST WITH PREFERENCE TOWARDS
HPC.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION WITH A SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS
SHOULD AID IN BOOSTING TEMPERATURES TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL WITH
BETTER MIXING TAKING PLACE AS WELL.

WEATHER BECOMES UNSETTLED BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE WAVES
THAT ARE PASSING NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE REGION. THERE ARE SOME
LARGE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. THE POPS
ARE BASICALLY A BLEND OF THE GFS ENSEMBLE AND HPC WITH CHANCE POPS
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIP TYPE WILL VARY NIGHT
AND DAY WITH THE TREND OF THE TEMPERATURE WITH VARIATIONS OF MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE REGION AS A RESULT.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES DOWN FROM ONTARIO INTO TONIGHT...AS A STORM
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY MONDAY MORNING.

VFR TODAY. BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS AND GUIDANCE HAVE
SLOWED DOWN RATE AT WHICH HIGH AND MID CLOUDS MOVE IN THIS
AFTERNOON.

GUSTY NW WINDS THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY DIMINISH INTO THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH PREDOMINATE WIND GUSTS DONE BY AROUND 21Z. WIND
DIRECTION SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY TO THE RIGHT OF 310 THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY.

LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. AS THIS LOW TRACKS TOWARDS THE REGION SNOW WILL GRADUALLY
OVERSPREAD THE REGION...MAINLY AFTER 06Z. SUB-VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
LIKELY AFTER 06Z. AS THE LOW GETS CLOSER THE SNOW WILL INTENSIFY.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY ALL SNOW THROUGH 12Z. IF
ANY MIXING DOES OCCUR EARLIER THAN EXPECTED...THE BEST CHANCES WILL
BE ALONG THE COAST...MAINLY KJFK AND KISP.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

MONDAY...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. P-TYPE MOST LIKELY REMAINING
ALL SNOW AT KSWF/KBDR/KGON...AND CHANGING TO A WINTRY MIX IN THE
MORNING ELSEWHERE...THEN TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX AT KHPN AND RAIN
ELSEWHERE...BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN THE AFTERNOON. IMPROVEMENT TO
VFR POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY NIGHT...VFR WITH GUSTY NW WINDS.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
HAVE REPLACED GALE WARNING WITH SCA ON ALL WATERS...WITH GUSTS
25-30 KT INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SUB SCA CONDITIONS ON THE HARBOR/WRN
SOUND/SOUTH SHORE BAYS BY 18Z...AND BY LATE AFTERNOON ON ALL
WATERS.

TONIGHT...THERE SHOULD BE A BRIEF LULL FROM SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS. THEN LOW PRESSURE PASSING S OF LONG ISLAND WILL
PRODUCE SCA CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS ON MON.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW MON NIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO TUE. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE MAY BE POSSIBLE.

WITH DIMINISHING PRESSURE GRADIENT TUE NIGHT AND BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE...QUIET CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AND LAST INTO THU.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CURRENTLY EXPECTING FROM 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT QPF
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MON...MAINLY SNOW...WITH LITTLE TO NO SHORT TERM
HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS. IT SHOULD THEN BE DRY THROUGH AT LEAST THU.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
     MONDAY FOR CTZ005-006.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
     MONDAY FOR NYZ067>070.
NJ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
     MONDAY FOR NJZ002-103.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ330-335-338-
     340-345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NV
NEAR TERM...GOODMAN
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...JM
AVIATION...MALOIT/BC
MARINE...GOODMAN/BC
HYDROLOGY...NV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
710 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

CTZ007>012-NJZ004-006-104>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-211215-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
710 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-103-NYZ067>070-211215-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-
ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
710 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-211215-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
710 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-353-355-211215-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
710 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
717 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST PERTH AMBOY JUNCTION    40.60N  74.29W
02/19/2011  M64 MPH          UNION              NJ   MESONET

            MESONET

&&

LN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
934 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE SAINT GEORGE      40.66N  74.07W
02/18/2011  M62 MPH          HUDSON             NJ   MESONET

            MESONET AT 72 FEET

0515 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG SYOSSET                 40.82N  73.50W
02/19/2011                   NASSAU             NY   PUBLIC

            TREE LIMBS DOWN ON POWER LINES ON WINTHROP AVENUE

0729 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BAYVILLE                40.91N  73.56W
02/19/2011  M60 MPH          NASSAU             NY   MESONET

            MESONET

0739 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BAYSIDE                 40.79N  73.77W
02/19/2011  M59 MPH          QUEENS             NY   MESONET

            MESONET

0913 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WAYNE                   40.95N  74.25W
02/19/2011                   PASSAIC            NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            *** 1 INJ *** TREES AND POLES SNAPPED... TREE ON CAR
            WITH 1 INJURY AT COLFAX AVENUE AND EAST LAKE DRIVE

0946 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG TENAFLY                 40.92N  73.96W
02/19/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE ON CAR AT PIERMONT ROAD AND HUDSON AVENUE

1130 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG QUEENS                  40.75N  73.80W
02/19/2011                   QUEENS             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SCAFFOLDING COLLAPSE AT ROOSEVELT AVENUE AND 149 STREET

1146 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST NORWOOD            41.01N  73.96W
02/19/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE ON POLICE CAR ON MCCLELLEN STREET

1213 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NYC/JFK AIRPORT         40.64N  73.76W
02/19/2011  M60 MPH          QUEENS             NY   ASOS

            ASOS

1239 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG GLEN ROCK               40.96N  74.12W
02/19/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON TOP OF BUILDING

0142 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WARWICK                 41.26N  74.36W
02/19/2011  M58 MPH          ORANGE             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SKYWARN SPOTTER

0510 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN              41.26N  73.43W
02/19/2011                   FAIRFIELD          CT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON TRAIN TRACKS. AMTRAK TRAIN OUT OF SERVICE
            NEARBY.

0615 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG OLD GREENWICH           41.02N  73.56W
02/19/2011                   FAIRFIELD          CT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROOF DAMAGE TO A BUILDING ON SOUND BEACH AVENUE

0643 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WHITE PLAINS            41.02N  73.76W
02/19/2011  M60 MPH          WESTCHESTER        NY   ASOS

            ASOS

0800 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST GILGO BEACH             40.62N  73.40W
02/19/2011  M62 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   MESONET

            MESONET

0940 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST PERTH AMBOY JUNCTION    40.60N  74.29W
02/19/2011  M64 MPH          UNION              NJ   MESONET

            MESONET

&&

LN