Alert archive / New Jersey / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 11, NWS New York, NY

April 16, 2011Bergen County, Passaic County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this river flood warning at Apr 16, 2011, 11:27 PM EDT for Bergen County, Passaic County, New Jersey. It was in force for 31 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 16, 2011, 11:27 PM EDT (03:27 UTC)
Expired
Apr 18, 2011, 6:54 AM EDT
In force
31 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Bergen County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Ramapo River at Mahwah (MAWN4).

Action stage
7.5 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
9 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01387500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

123 
WGUS41 KOKX 170327
FLWOKX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1127 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO TRACK ACROSS THE AREA WITH 3 TO 4 INCHES
OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE BASIN. THIS HAS RESULTED IN A RAPID RISE OF THE RAMAPO RIVER
AT MAHWAH TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AND RUNOFF WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE THROUGH THE 
NIGHT...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER 
RADIO.


&&

NJC003-031-171527-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FL.W.0011.110417T0327Z-110418T1048Z/
/MAWN4.2.ER.110417T0244Z.110417T1200Z.110417T2248Z.UU/
1127 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON, NY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 11PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.2 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 
* AT 9.0 FEET...STATE ROUTE 202 FLOODS DOWNSTREAM.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.2 FEET ON DEC 31 1948.
  

$$
4 follow-up statements
791 
WGUS81 KOKX 170959
FLSOKX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
559 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY CONTINUES THE FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH...

THREE TO FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL FELL OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE RIVER 
BASIN. THIS HAS RESULTED IN A RAPID RISE OF THE RAMAPO RIVER AT 
MAHWAH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER 
RADIO.

&&

NJC003-031-172159-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110418T1648Z/
/MAWN4.2.ER.110417T0244Z.110417T0815Z.110418T0448Z.UU/
559 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 05AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* AT 9.0 FEET...STATE ROUTE 202 FLOODS DOWNSTREAM.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON AUG 19 1955.
  

$$
683 
WGUS81 KOKX 171706
FLSOKX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
106 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY CONTINUES THE FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH...

THE RIVER WILL GRADUALLY FALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND IS
FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER 
RADIO.

&&

NJC003-031-180506-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110419T0000Z/
/MAWN4.2.ER.110417T0244Z.110417T0815Z.110418T2000Z.UU/
106 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 12PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...STATE ROUTE 202 FLOODS DOWNSTREAM.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.2 FEET ON MAR 7 2011. 

$$
990 
WGUS81 KOKX 172259
FLSOKX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
659 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY CONTINUES THE FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH...

THE RIVER WILL GRADUALLY FALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND IS
FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER 
RADIO.

&&

NJC003-031-181059-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110419T0000Z/
/MAWN4.2.ER.110417T0244Z.110417T0815Z.110418T1710Z.UU/
659 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 06PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...STATE ROUTE 202 FLOODS DOWNSTREAM. 

$$
557 
WGUS81 KOKX 181054
FLSOKX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
654 AM EDT MON APR 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH IS CANCELLED...

THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE 
RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THOUGH THE DAY.

NJC003-031-181124-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110419T0000Z/
/MAWN4.2.ER.110417T0244Z.110417T0815Z.110418T1015Z.UU/
654 AM EDT MON APR 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RAMAPO RIVER AT MAHWAH
* AT 0645 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 16, 8:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 16, 8:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
800 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WITH A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
THEN GRADUALLY BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY. A STATIONARY FRONT WILL
REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE
MOVING THROUGH AS A WARM FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS BEEN FALLING ACROSS NE NJ AND THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS WITH RAINFALL RATES OF
THREE TENTHS TO ONE-HALF INCH AN HOUR. THIS HAS NECESSITATED AT
FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE NYC METRO AND LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. SEVERAL
SMALL STREAMS ALSO ON THE RISE IN NE NJ...SO WILL BE MONITORING
FOR A POTENTIAL AREAL FLOOD WARNING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
SHOULD THESE RAINFALL RATES CONTINUE. FLOOD WATCH REMAINS UP FOR
NE NJ...WITH MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE CWA TONIGHT. WITH THE CWA
JUST NORTHEAST OF THE THETA-E RIDGE AND STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT
MOVING IN...RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITHIN A FEW HOURS EITHER
WAY OF AROUND MIDNIGHT. FORECAST CAPES NOT TO IMPRESSIVE FOR
THUNDER...HOWEVER BASED ON OBSERVATIONS...THUNDER STILL POSSIBLE
JUST TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTH OF WHAT COULD BE A TRIPLE
POINT/SECONDARY LOW MOVING THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. SOME UPPER
SUPPORT TOO WITH JET STREAK MOVING THROUGH. SO HAVE LEFT IN A
CHANCE OF THUNDER FOR MOST OF THE CWA. BEST CHANCES RIGHT AHEAD
AND ALONG THIS TRIPLE POINT AND COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM IT.

WIND ADVISORY BEING CONTINUED OVER NYC/LONG ISLAND/COASTAL CT/NE
NJ/SRN WESTCHESTER. NAM SEEMS TO BE HANDLING EVOLUTION OF CURRENT
SYSTEM VERY WELL...INCLUDING DEVELOPING TRIPLE POINT LOW...WITH
EXPECTED PRESSURE FALLS AHEAD OF IT...AND RESULTANT INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL JET (ALSO WELL CAPTURED BY NAM)...COULD VERY WELL SEE
SUSTAINED AND WIND GUST CRITERIA BEING MET...ESPECIALLY OVER LONG
ISLAND. LEAST CONFIDENT ABOUT NJ PORTION OF ADVISORY...BUT NOT
CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO LOWER IT THERE. HAVE EXTENDED ADVISORY OVER SE
COASTAL CT AND SUFFOLK COUNTY THROUGH 10Z...AND REMAINDER THROUGH 7Z
REFLECTING NAM FRONTAL TIMING. ALSO WILL MONITOR INTERIOR SE CT FOR
POSSIBLE NEED TO EXPAND ADVISORY DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH OF FORECAST
55-60 KT 850 WINDS ACTUALLY MIX DOWN...WOULD NEED 70-75 PERCENT TO
REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA...AND WITH STRONG MARINE INFLUENCE...NOT
SURE IF THAT CAN BE ACHIEVED.

TEMPERATURES ACTUALLY RISE DURING THE NIGHT WITH A STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
LINGERING CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE EASTERN ZONES BY DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY
WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH. SOME CLEARING IN THE
MORNING...BUT WITH CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT AND A WET SOIL...EXPECTING
SOME CU BUILDUP LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE ALOFT MOVES
THROUGH IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. WILL PUT IN A CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES FOR THE AFTERNOON. MAV/NAM MOS BLEND LOOKED GOOD FOR HIGHS.

GUSTY WSW-W WINDS LIKELY SUNDAY...WITH HIGH LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ALLOWING FOR MIXING DOWN OF MOST IF NOT ALL OF 30-40 KT 950 HPA
WINDS. IN ADDITION RELATIVE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
DEPARTING LOW AND HIGH BUILDING IN WILL PROMOTE RELATIVELY STRONG
SURFACE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH TO GO ALONG WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH -
HIGHEST NYC METRO/LONG ISLAND/COASTAL CT.

CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS THEN EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE LOWER 48 TO START THE PERIOD WILL
FEATURE YET ANOTHER PAC STORM SYSTEM WHICH AMPLIFIES TO THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES EARLY NEXT WEEK...SENDING A DEEPENING SFC LOW NE FROM
THE MID MS VLY WED INTO EASTERN CAN ON THU. MUCH LIKE THE SYSTEM WE
ARE EXPERIENCING TODAY...THERE IS UNCERTAINTY HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM
FRONT WILL GET BEFORE THE TRAILING COLD FRONT PASSES LATE WED NIGHT.

FROM A SENSIBLE WEATHER STANDPOINT...WE ARE LOOKING AT AN UNSETTLED
PERIOD WITH OVERRUNNING RAINS BREAKING OUT LATE MON...ALBEIT
LIGHT...THEN A LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN TUE INTO WED. IT APPEARS THE
BEST THERMAL FORCING WILL RESIDE TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA WITH THE
HEAVIER RAIN. THE 12Z GFS PROVIDES ONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF INCH OF
RAINFALL ON TUE...WHILE THE NAM IS NEARLY DRY AS IT PLACES THE WARM
FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA. THE GLOBAL MODEL ENSEMBLE SUPPORTS A WARM
FRONT SOUTH OF THE AREA TUE...EVENTUALLY PUSHING TO THE NORTH ON
WED. THE LATTER OF WHICH IS ALWAYS QUESTIONABLE AT THIS TIME OF YEAR
WITH THE COLD NEAR SHORE WATERS...AND UPPER SUPPORT PASSING TO THE
NW. THERE DOES APPEAR TO A BE STRONG SW PUSH JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WED AFT/EVE.

ANY CONVECTION AND ALONG AND AHEAD OF FRONT IS DEPENDENT ON WHETHER
THE FORECAST AREA GETS INTO THE WARM SECTOR. PLUS...THE TIMING OF
THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WED NIGHT ONLY SUPPORTS MARGINAL
INSTABILITY. RIGHT NOW...LOOKS LIKE A MODERATE SHEAR...LOW CAPE
EVENT. THUS...WILL REFRAIN FROM MENTIONING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST AND STICK WITH SHOWERS.

HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY FOLLOWS THU INTO FRI BEFORE ANOTHER PAC
FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES NEXT WEEKEND.

TEMPS WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL MON INTO TUE WITH
OVERRUNNING CLOUDS/RAIN...THEN A POSSIBLE WARMUP WED ACROSS THE
INTERIOR PENDING THE WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE. HIGHS AROUND 70 WED AFT
INLAND...BUT ONLY IN THE 50S AT THE COAST DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW.
THE WEEK FINISHES OUT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE WED NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER THE GREAT LAKES WITH ANOTHER LOW THROUGH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA ON AN OCCLUDED FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT.

A LOW LEVEL JET OF 60 TO 70 KT WILL RESULT IN WIND SHEAR 1500 TO
2000 FT...ENDING WEST TO EAST 07Z TO 10Z.

GUSTY SURFACE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...110 TO 140...AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST...210 TO 230...BEHIND
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF LULL IN THE WINDS FROM
10Z TO 13Z BEFORE INCREASING AND BECOMING GUSTY ONCE AGAIN...WITH
GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 KT DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES DEVELOPING AS MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
MOVES INTO THE AREA. NOT EXPECTING LIFR CONDITIONS...BUT CANNOT
BE RULED OUT COMPLETELY. SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE NYC METRO TERMINALS AND WILL INCLUDE VCTS UNTIL
03Z. CHANCES FOR THUNDER AT THE OTHER TERMINALS IN MINIMAL AND
WILL NOT INCLUDE AT THIS TIME.

WITH THE WIND SHIFT VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS WILL BE IMPROVING.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

SUNDAY NIGHT...VFR WITH GUSTY WESTERLY WIND...DIMINISHING LATE.

MONDAY...VFR.

MONDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY...PERIODS OF SUB-VFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS
AND NIGHTTIME LOW STRATUS/FOG. GUSTY WINDS/LLWS POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PERIODS OF SUB-VFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS.
GUSTY WINDS/LLWS POSSIBLE. THUNDER ALSO POSSIBLE AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT.

THURSDAY...VFR...WITH GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE CONDITIONS ALL WATERS TONIGHT...COULD SEE SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS
TO STORM FORCE OVERNIGHT OVER THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS AS THE CORE
OF THE LOW LEVEL JET TRACKS OVERHEAD. SEAS BUILD TO 7 TO 13 FT ON
THE OCEAN IN RESPONSE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND TO 3 TO 6 FT ON THE
SOUND.

HAVE EXTENDED THE GALE WARNING ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF
MORICHES INLET THRU 21Z SUNDAY AS GALE GUSTS LIKELY TO CONTINUE
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
SUNDAY...AND LIKELY ON ALL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT WITH CONTINUED 25-30
KT GUSTS.

SUB-SCA CONDITIONS DEVELOP ON MON WITH A DIMINISHING WESTERLY FLOW.
POTENTIAL FOR MARGINAL SCA SEAS ON THE OCEAN TUE WITH A DEVELOPING
EASTERLY FLOW NORTH OF A WARM FRONT. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH
THE LOCATION OF THE WARM FRONT...BUT THINKING IS THAT A WARM FRONT
REMAINS SOUTH OF THE OCEAN WATERS TUE INTO WED MORNING. THIS WOULD
PLACE THE WATERS IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF EASTERLY FLOW. THE WARM
FRONT THEN PASSES TO THE NORTH WED AFT...FOLLOWED BY A MODERATE SW
FLOW AND EVENTUALLY A W FLOW ON THU BEHIND THE TRAILING COLD FRONT.
MARGINAL SCA SEAS FORECAST TUE-WED ON THE OCEAN WATERS PRIOR TO THE
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. BEST CHANCE FOR SCA WINDS WILL BE ON THU IN
THE COLD ADVECTION AND W/NW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. SEAS ON THE
EASTERN OCEAN WATERS MAY RAMP UP TO 6 TO 7 FT ON THU.

UNDERCUT WAVEWATCH 1 TO 3 FT ON THU. SEAS APPEAR TO BE OVERDONE IN
THE WESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT EXPECTED TO RANGE GENERALLY FROM AROUND
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS EASTERN ZONES TO NEARLY 2 INCHES
ACROSS THE WESTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE CWA. FLOOD WATCH REMAINS
UP FOR NE NJ BASED ON FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES FOR 6 AND 12
HOUR QPF VALUES. WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...MINOR URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS WOULD
BE THE MOST LIKELY IMPACTS. ELSEWHERE...THERE IS ONLY JUST A
CHANCE FOR MAINLY URBANIZED/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

A FLOOD WARNING HOWEVER REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SPOTS ALONG THE
CONNECTICUT RIVER. PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

POTENTIAL FOR AROUND ONE-HALF INCH OF RAINFALL TUE INTO WED NIGHT.
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN ANY CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT WED NIGHT. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE LOOKS TO BE ISOLATED AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
HAVE DOWNGRADED COASTAL FLOOD WARNING TO AN ADVISORY FOR MAINLY
EASTERN PARTS OF LONG ISLAND SOUND AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE THE
ATLANTIC SHORES...MAINLY DUE TO ALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THAT
MODERATE THRESHOLDS WILL BE TOUGH TO REACH. THE GUIDANCE MAY INDEED
BE FORECASTING THE SURGE TO BE TOO LOW DUE TO A STRONG SE WIND THIS
EVENING...BUT KEPT THE WARNING UP WHERE GUIDANCE WAS COMING UP JUST
SHORT OR AROUND MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS.

TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 1 1/2 FT ARE NEEDED FOR MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING...AND THESE THRESHOLDS SHOULD BE MET. AROUND 2 FT
DEPARTURES WILL BE NEEDED FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING.

WAVES AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS (44065/44025/44017) OF 10-13 FT SUPPORT
6-9 FT BREAKING WAVES AT ATLANTIC BEACHES TONIGHT. AS A RESULT HAVE
ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR THE APPLICABLE ZONES...WILL
EMPHASIZE THE POTENTIAL FOR WASHOVER AND MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH
EROSION.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR CTZ010>012.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     CTZ009>012.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR CTZ009.
NY...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NYZ078>081.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NYZ078-
     079-081.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NYZ071>075-176>179.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     NYZ071>075-080-176>179.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NYZ075-080-081-
     178-179.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NJZ006-
     106-108.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-
     353-355.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ350.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 16, 4:29 PM EDT, 6 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

CTZ007-172030-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT
MIDDLETOWN...PLEASE REFER TO THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING AT
WEATHER.GOV/BOX FOR MORE DETAILS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ011-172030-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT
MIDDLETOWN...PLEASE REFER TO THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING AT
WEATHER.GOV/BOX FOR MORE DETAILS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ010-012-NYZ078-079-172030-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ006-106-108-172030-
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009-172030-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ075-178-179-172030-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-172030-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ081-172030-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ071>074-176-177-172030-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   WIND ADVISORY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ002-004-103>105-107-172030-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-006-008-NYZ067>070-172030-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-172030-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-172030-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
429 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MALOIT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 16, 10:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1019 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0947 PM     FLOOD            WOODLAND PARK           40.89N  74.19W
04/16/2011                   PASSAIC            NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RT 46 AT ANDREW DRIVE AND MC BRIDE AVE FLOODED. FIRE
            DEPARTMENT USING BOATS FOR AUTO EVACUATIONS

&&

DS
Local storm report, Apr 16, 10:30 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1030 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG SADDLE BROOK            40.90N  74.10W
04/16/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN WITH PROPERTY DAMAGE ON STEINWAY ROAD

&&

DS
Special weather statement, Apr 16, 10:33 PM EDT, 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1033 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

CTZ009-NJZ004-006-103>106-108-NYZ069>075-078-176>179-170315-
BRONX-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN
UNION-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-NORTHERN
NASSAU-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHWEST
SUFFOLK-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-ROCKLAND-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN
NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN
ESSEX-
1033 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BERGEN...BRONX...EASTERN ESSEX...
EASTERN UNION...FAIRFIELD...HUDSON...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NASSAU...NEW
YORK (MANHATTAN)...PASSAIC...QUEENS...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...
ROCKLAND...WESTCHESTER AND WESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTIES...

AT 1030 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WAYNE TO TODT HILL
TO RED BANK TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN GROVE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4097 7429 4135 7370 4136 7355 4106 7342
      4099 7356 4092 7340 4096 7340 4079 7337
      4066 7342 4063 7356 4061 7342 4055 7389
      4056 7392 4062 7376 4063 7376 4057 7399
      4064 7404 4072 7397 4053 7416

DSW
Special weather statement, Apr 16, 11:24 PM EDT, 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1124 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

CTZ005>011-NYZ068-070-078>081-177-179-170430-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN
NASSAU-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHERN
WESTCHESTER-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-PUTNAM-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN
FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN NEW
HAVEN-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-
1124 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN NASSAU...EASTERN
PUTNAM...FAIRFIELD...MIDDLESEX...NEW HAVEN...SUFFOLK...WESTCHESTER
AND WESTERN NEW LONDON COUNTIES...

AT 1118 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LAKE CARMEL TO SYOSSET TO WANTAGH...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4160 7237 4126 7235 4128 7291 4129 7290
      4129 7291 4115 7310 4097 7301 4097 7277
      4116 7228 4092 7224 4059 7354 4064 7354
      4092 7356 4098 7302 4117 7317 4100 7357
      4164 7352 4148 7334 4165 7298

BC
Local storm report, Apr 16, 11:26 PM EDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1126 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG NORTH MASSAPEQUA        40.70N 73.46W
04/16/2011                   NASSAU             NY   PUBLIC

            DOOR BLOWN OFF ITS HINGES. DOOR AND GLASS BROKEN.

0947 PM     FLOOD            WOODLAND PARK           40.89N 74.19W
04/16/2011                   PASSAIC            NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RT 46 AT ANDREW DRIVE AND MC BRIDE AVE FLOODED. FIRE
            DEPARTMENT USING BOATS FOR AUTO EVACUATIONS

1015 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG SADDLE BROOK            40.90N 74.10W
04/16/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN WITH PROPERTY DAMAGE ON STEINWAY ROAD

1040 PM     FLOOD            RIDGEWOOD               40.98N 74.11W
04/16/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IRVING STREET AT FRANKLIN AVENUE CLOSED BY POLICE AND
            FIRE DEPARTMENT DUE TO FLOODING OF HOHOKUS BROOK

1049 PM     FLOOD            RIDGEWOOD               40.98N 74.11W
04/16/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LINWOOD AVENUE BETWEEN NORTH MAPLE AND FAIRFIELD CLOSED
            BY PD DUE TO FLOODING OF HOHOKUS BROOK

1054 PM     FLOOD            PARAMUS                 40.95N 74.07W
04/16/2011                   BERGEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE LANES OF NJ ROUTE 17 NEAR LINWOOD AVENUE CLOSED
            BY PD DUE TO FLOODING

&&

DS

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 16, 8:32 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union15 hr
Apr 16, 10:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXBergen, Hudson42 min
Apr 16, 11:39 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningOKXBergen17 hr
Apr 17, 11:29 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningOKXBergen, Passaic6 hr
Apr 17, 6:05 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXBergen18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.