Gale Warning 26, NWS New York, NY

261 
WHUS71 KOKX 231124
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
624 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...ROUGH CONDITIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-232100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-111123T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0026.111123T2300Z-111124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
624 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS MORNING...
  BRIEFLY DIMINISHING AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST LATE THIS MORNING 
  INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  35 KT TONIGHT. 

* SEAS/WAVES...BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-232100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-111124T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
624 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...PECONIC AND 
  GARDINERS BAY...SOUTH SHORE BAYS. 

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THROUGH THIS
  MORNING...BRIEFLY DIMINISHING AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE
  MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
  30 KT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

789 
WHUS71 KOKX 232010
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
310 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...ROUGH CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-240415-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-111123T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0026.111123T2300Z-111124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
310 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT THIS EVENING
  AND OVERNIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT THIS EVENING AND EARLY
  TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-240415-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-111124T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
310 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...PECONIC AND 
  GARDINERS BAY...SOUTH SHORE BAYS. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS EVENING
  AND EARLY TONIGHT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
  25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

504 
WHUS71 KOKX 232352
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
652 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...ROUGH CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-240900-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-111124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
652 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT... 
  SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-240900-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-111124T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
652 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...PECONIC AND 
  GARDINERS BAY...SOUTH SHORE BAYS. 

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

218 
WHUS71 KOKX 240835
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
335 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...ROUGH CONDITIONS OVER THE OCEAN WATERS THIS MORNING...

ANZ350-353-355-241600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-111124T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0100.111124T0835Z-111124T1600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
335 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT EARLY THIS MORNING...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5
  FT THROUGH MID MORNING.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS EARLY THIS MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-240945-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-111124T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
335 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS CONDITIONS HAVE FALLEN BELOW
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1221 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THIS MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE HIGH MOVES
OFF THE COAST AS A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
FORECAST MAINLY ON TRACK WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS
BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE HEAVIER RAIN IS MAKING ITS WAY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. RAIN WILL CONTINUE THRU EARLY THIS
MORNING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA. UP TO 1.5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
HAS FALLEN ACROSS NEW JERSEY ZONES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /4 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A WARM
FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION...AND SHOULD
PUSH THROUGH THE CWA BY THIS MORNING. MODELS HAVE COME INTO GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE LOCATION AND TIMING OF THE PASSAGE OF THE
LOW...WITH THE CENTER OF THE LOW HOVERING OVER EASTERN PA AND
NORTHERN NJ EARLY THIS MORNING. A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EAST
DURING THIS PERIOD...MAKING IT TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION
BY 12Z. A GOOD VORTICITY MAX FORMING AHEAD OF THIS SHORTWAVE WILL
HELP IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF RAIN. LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGES GIVE A
CLEAR PICTURE OF THE MOISTURE BEING PULLED IN TO THE REGION FROM
THE SOUTH RIGHT AHEAD OF THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE. THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS COMBINED WITH A STRONG LOW
LEVEL JET PLACED RIGHT OVER THE CWA BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z WILL
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. WITH MINOR
INSTABILITY ALOFT...WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF THUNDER...THOUGH
MAINLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. SOUNDINGS BECOME COMPLETELY
SATURATED OVERNIGHT...MAINLY BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z...WHICH WILL BE
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN. WILL MENTION MORE ABOUT THE
RAIN AMOUNTS IN THE HYDRO SECTION. WITH STRONG WINDS ALOFT AS
WELL...EXPECT A PERIOD OF EASTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 25
KTS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO A SOUTHERLY FLOW BY 12Z BEHIND THE WARM FRONT.

WITH THE FLOW SWITCHING TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...PLENTY OF
WARMER...MORE MOIST AIR WILL BE INJECTED INTO THE AREA.
THUS...EXPECTING TEMPS TO ACTUALLY WARM SLIGHTLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. CHOSE A NAM/MOS MIX TO REFLECT THE SLIGHTLY
WARMING TREND.

THE LOW PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION BY 00Z. NAM IS A BIT SLOWER THAN
THE GFS AND ECMWF IN LEAVING THE REGION...SO SIDED MORE WITH THE
GFS/ECMWF TIMING. SOUNDINGS REMAIN SATURATED THROUGH THE
MORNING. THE STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL FINALLY PUSH THROUGH THE
NORTHEAST BY 00Z. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS LATER IN THE
DAY...PROVIDING ENOUGH LIFT. HOWEVER...WITH THE WINDS SHIFTING TO A
NORTHERLY FLOW...BRINGING IN COOLER...DRIER AIR...EXPECT THE RAIN
TO TAPER FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND BECOMING ALL
DRY OVERNIGHT WED. WINDS WILL BECOME THE MAIN THREAT IN THE WAKE
OF THE LOW...WITH A PERIOD BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z WED NIGHT HAVING
THE CHANCE FOR GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS OVER ALL AREAS. WINDS ALOFT
INCREASE GREATLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THE SOUNDINGS
SHOWING MIXING UP INTO THE 30 KT RANGE. CHOSE NOT TO ISSUE AN
ADVISORY AS THE HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE FAIRLY OCCASIONAL.

HIGH TEMPS WILL BE MET IN THE MORNING BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE
WARM FRONT. WITH THE COLDER AIR BEING USHERED IN DURING THE
DAY...TEMPS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH. HIGHS WILL TOP OFF IN THE
40S AND 50S...WITH ALL AREAS SEEING BELOW 50 BY THE LATER
AFTERNOON HOURS. LOWS WILL DROP GREATLY AS THE SKY COVER CLEARS
FAIRLY SOON AFTER SUNSET...BRINGING LOWS INTO THE 30S EVERYWHERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS AND GUSTS DIMINISHING EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING WILL BE DEPENDENT ON HOW QUICKLY THE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE
REGION AND THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION DEVELOPS. WINDS ALOFT
QUICKLY SUBSIDE AND MIXING WILL BECOME LIMITED TO AROUND 950 MB.
THERE MAY BE SOME EARLY MORNING GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KT...BUT THEN
QUICKLY SUBSIDE. NAM WINDS ARE SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN THE
GFS...AND IS A LITTLE SLOWER TO DIMINISH THE WINDS.

RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE AREA THURSDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. RIDGE
WEAKENS AND THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF THE COAST LATE SATURDAY
INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. FULL LATITUDINAL TROUGH DEVELOPS
OVER THE PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS NORTHERN STREAM
TROUGH PHASES WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH. A CLOSED LOW
DEVELOPS SUNDAY AND EVENTUALLY CUTS OFF OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. LOTS OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THIS CUT OFF LOW EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DOES LOOK LIKE A WET PERIOD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WITH THE
UNCERTAINTY HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE HPC GUIDANCE SATURDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...AND KEPT POPS AT CHANCE...RATHER THAN TO SPECULATE ON
THE TIMING OF LIKELY POPS.

WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE
MILD AT NIGHT AND NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS DURING THE DAY.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE ALL LIQUID.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...THEN LIFTS TO OUR NORTH
THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST TO OUR NORTH.

MAINLY IFR INTO THIS MRNG. STILL ENOUGH OF A RISK OF ELEVATED
THUNDER THAT HAVE CONTINUED WITH CB/S. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO
MVFR EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS MODERATE UNCERTAINTY IN
TIMING OF SOLID IFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND LIFTING TO MVFR WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

WINDS GRADUALLY BACK TO THE SE THIS MRNG. WINDS SHOULD BECOME
SOUTHERLY DURING THE MORNING PUSH...ONCE THE WARM FRONT PASSES TO
THE NORTH. LOW LEVEL WINDSHEAR EXPECTED 8-15Z AT ALL BUT KSWF WITH
40-50KT WINDS AT 2000 FT...WITH DIRECTIONAL AS WELL AS SPEED SHEAR.
WINDS BECOME NW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AROUND MIDDAY TO EARLY
AFTERNOON...THEN NORTHERLY AND GUSTY BY MID AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF
20-25+ KT. EXACT TIMING OF WIND SHIFTS AND ONSET OF GUSTS IS
UNCERTAIN.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT-BECOMING VFR. GUSTY WINDS LIKELY.

THURSDAY...VFR. GUSTY NW WINDS IN THE MORNING.

THURSDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS OUT FOR ALL WATERS THIS EVENING INTO
TOMORROW. STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL TURN SOUTHERLY BY
MORNING...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS POSSIBLE. THERE WILL BE A LULL
IN THE MORNING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW...BRINGING WINDS DOWN
5 TO 10 KTS SLOWER. HOWEVER...AS THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH BY
THE AFTERNOON...EXPECT SCA CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN OVER ALL THE
WATERS. HAVE ISSUED A GALE WATCH FOR THE OCEAN WATERS FOR
TOMORROW NIGHT AS THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE HOURS
OBSERVING OVER 34 KTS. HOWEVER...THE CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE WAS
LOW...SO REMAINED WITH A WATCH AT THIS TIME.

SEAS WILL BUILD DURING THE NIGHT TONIGHT WITH THE PERSISTENT FLOW.
THE OCEAN WATERS CAN EXPECT TO SEE UP TO 10 FT TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN BELOW 5 FT. WITH
THE WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING WED NIGHT...THE SEAS WILL GRADUALLY
BEGIN DECREASING AS WELL.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL QUICKLY SUBSIDE THURSDAY MORNING AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. SEAS AND GUSTS ON THE OCEAN WATERS MAY STILL BE
NEAR SMALL CRAFT LEVELS EARLY IN THE MORNING...DEPENDS ON HOW
QUICKLY THE HIGH BUILDS IN BEHIND THE LOW.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH
SATURDAY...AND WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
THE HIGH MOVES OFF SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS A SLOW MOVING
STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF
THE LOW MAY BUILD SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS TO NEAR SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THIS
EVENING. THE HEAVIEST PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 06Z AND
12Z...WITH AMOUNTS AROUND 3/4 INCH OVER THE HUDSON RIVER
VALLEY...NE NJ...AND CT. AREAS TO THE SOUTH CAN EXPECT HALF AN
INCH OR LESS. THROUGH THE ENTIRE EVENT...BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES IS
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES. THE GREATEST AMOUNTS OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL TAPER OFF IN
THE MORNING...WITH ONLY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED INTO THE
AFTERNOON. LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE.

HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NJ COUNTIES AS WIDESPREAD MINOR
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING EXPECTED WITH THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS DUE TO DRAINS LIKELY GETTING CLOGGED FROM FALLEN LEAVES
AND HEAVY RAINFALL CORRESPONDING WITH SPRING TIDES. THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL ALSO LIKELY BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS IN NORTHEAST NJ
AND LOWER HUDSON VALLEY NEAR AND POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY ABOVE BANK
FULL. THE FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING UNTIL MID DAY
TOMORROW.

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE COMBINATION OF SPRING TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPCOMING NEW
MOON ON THANKSGIVING DAY AND STORM SURGE WITH A DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING OVER OR NEARBY...WILL LIKELY BRING MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING WITH THE WED MORNING HIGH TIDES. MOST VULNERABLE
LOCATIONS APPEAR TO BE WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE SOUTH
SHORE BACKS BAYS OF NASSAU COUNTY...AND ALONG PECONIC BAY...WITH
A SLIGHTLY LESSER THREAT FOR NY HARBOR. DEPARTURES OF ONLY
0.5-1.0 FOOT ARE NEEDED TO PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND
INITIAL PROJECTIONS ARE FOR SURGE AROUND 1 FT. HAVE ISSUED A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND AND THE
WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND COASTS AS WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE. HELD OFF FOR ISSUING THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF LONG
ISLAND...WITH THE THINKING THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO OFFSET
THE HIGHER TIDES.

GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE OVERDONE ON PROJECTIONS FOR THURS MORNING
HIGH TIDE WITH STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW EXPECTED...BUT WATER LEVELS
COULD LOCALLY APPROACH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LEVELS.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     CTZ009>011.
NY...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NYZ071.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NYZ075-080-081-178-179.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NJZ002-004-006-
     103>108.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
     FOR ANZ345-350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ345-350-
     353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ330-335-
     338-340.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SEARS/MET
NEAR TERM...JMC
SHORT TERM...SEARS
LONG TERM...MET
AVIATION...MALOIT
MARINE...SEARS/MET
HYDROLOGY...SEARS/MET
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

NJZ006-106-108-232100-
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND A QUARTER INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO MANY LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY ALSO
BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING BEHIND THE
STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-232100-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND A QUARTER INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO MANY LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY ALSO
BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING BEHIND THE
STORM.

WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING VIA THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES AND MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
STORM. DEPARTURES OF ONLY ONE HALF TO ONE FOOT ARE NEEDED FOR
COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR...AND A SURGE OF AT LEAST ONE FOOT IS
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ075-080-081-178-179-232100-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND A QUARTER INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO MANY LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY ALSO
BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING BEHIND THE
STORM.

WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING VIA THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES AND MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
STORM. DEPARTURES OF ONLY ONE HALF TO ONE FOOT ARE NEEDED FOR
COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR...AND A SURGE OF AT LEAST ONE FOOT IS
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ072>074-078-079-176-177-232100-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND A QUARTER INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO MANY LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY ALSO
BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS NEAR BANKFULL.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING BEHIND THE
STORM.

LOCALLY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING VIA THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES AND MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
STORM. DEPARTURES OF ONLY ONE HALF TO ONE FOOT ARE NEEDED FOR
COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR...AND A SURGE OF AT LEAST ONE FOOT IS
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ011-232100-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO MANY LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL ALSO LIKELY
BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS NEAR AND POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY ABOVE
BANKFULL...PARTICULARLY IN NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING BEHIND
THE STORM.

WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING VIA THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES AND MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
STORM. DEPARTURES OF ONLY ONE HALF TO ONE FOOT ARE NEEDED FOR
COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR...AND A SURGE OF AT LEAST ONE FOOT IS
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ002-004-103>105-107-232100-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO MANY LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL ALSO LIKELY
BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS NEAR AND POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY ABOVE
BANKFULL...PARTICULARLY IN NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING BEHIND
THE STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>008-012-NYZ067>070-232100-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO MANY LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL ALSO LIKELY
BRING SOME SMALL STREAMS NEAR AND POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY ABOVE
BANKFULL...PARTICULARLY IN NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING BEHIND
THE STORM.

LOCALLY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING VIA THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES AND MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
STORM. DEPARTURES OF ONLY ONE HALF TO ONE FOOT ARE NEEDED FOR
COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR...AND A SURGE OF AT LEAST ONE FOOT IS
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ345-350-353-355-232100-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL PASS OVER OR VERY CLOSE TO THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF GALE FORCE GUSTS IS POSSIBLE ON THE
EASTERN OCEAN AND SOUND WATERS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AHEAD OF THE LOW. NORTHWEST GALES ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY
FROM THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-232100-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
351 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL PASS OVER OR VERY CLOSE TO THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF GALE FORCE GUSTS IS POSSIBLE ON THE
EASTERN OCEAN AND SOUND WATERS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AHEAD OF THE LOW. OCCASIONAL NORTHWEST GALES ARE POSSIBLE
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE LOW
PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.