Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 18, NWS New York, NY

April 15, 2011

NWS New York, NY issued this gale warning at Apr 15, 2011, 4:45 PM EDT. It took effect at Apr 16, 2011, 3:30 AM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2011, 4:45 PM EDT (20:45 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2011, 3:30 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 17, 2011, 3:48 AM EDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

677 
WHUS71 KOKX 152045
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
445 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...ROUGH SEAS AND INCREASING WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-160445-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-110416T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0013.110416T1000Z-110417T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0018.110416T1000Z-110417T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
445 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KT THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS UP
  TO 35 KT SATURDAY. WINDS SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 KT SATURDAY NIGHT
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT BY SATURDAY MORNING
  AND 8 TO 12 FT BY SATURDAY EVENING.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM 8
  PM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-160445-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0013.110416T1000Z-110417T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0018.110416T1000Z-110417T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
445 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE BAYS OF
  LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 35 KT SATURDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
  40 KT SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...1 TO 3 FT GRADUALLY BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT BY
  SATURDAY EVENING FOR LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM 8
  PM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
594 
WHUS71 KOKX 160126
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
926 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...ROUGH SEAS AND INCREASING WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-160930-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-110416T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0018.110416T1000Z-110417T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
926 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY. 

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. WIND
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT SATURDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KT SATURDAY
  NIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT BY SATURDAY 
  MORNING AND 8 TO 12 FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. 

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM 8 
  PM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-160930-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0018.110416T1000Z-110417T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
926 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE BAYS 
  OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT SATURDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 40 KT SATURDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...1 TO 3 FT GRADUALLY BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING FOR LONG ISLAND SOUND. 

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM 8 
  PM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
531 
WHUS71 KOKX 160730
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
330 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-161600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-110416T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0018.110416T0730Z-110417T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
330 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK
  POINT NY AND OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...
  INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT THIS EVENING.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT...BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM 8 
  PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-161600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0018.110416T0730Z-110417T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
330 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE BAYS 
  OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT THIS
  EVENING.

* SEAS/WAVES...1 TO 2 FT...GRADUALLY BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT BY THIS
  EVENING ON LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM 8
  PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPS
143 
WHUS71 KOKX 161549
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1149 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-170000-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1149 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE BAYS 
  OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT BY THIS EVENING
  ON LONG ISLAND SOUND. 6 TO 9 FT...BUILDING TO 8 TO 13 FT TONIGHT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM 8 
  PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
579 
WHUS71 KOKX 162031
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
431 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE CONDITIONS ON ALL WATERS AROUND LONG ISLAND TONIGHT...AND
ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET ON SUNDAY...

ANZ350-170445-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T2100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
431 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 45 KT
  AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 50 KT TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO
  25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT SUNDAY.

* SEAS/WAVES...7 TO 10 FT...BUILDING TO 9 TO 13 FT TONIGHT. SEAS
  SUBSIDE TO 7 TO 9 FT SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM
  LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-170445-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
431 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF MORICHES INLET...LONG
  ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS TO 50 KT ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS
  AS WELL. WINDS BECOME SW LATE TONIGHT ON THE HARBOR...WESTERN
  SOUND...AND COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* SEAS/WAVES...6 TO 10 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 12 FT ON THE COASTAL
  OCEAN WATERS TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON. ON THE SOUND...SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT...BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FT
  TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 5 FT ON SUNDAY.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST FROM MID
  EVENING THOUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
575 
WHUS71 KOKX 170417
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1217 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...GALE CONDITIONS ON ALL WATERS AROUND LONG ISLAND TONIGHT...AND
ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET ON SUNDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-171000-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1217 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF MORICHES INLET...LONG 
  ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...6 TO 10 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 12 FT ON THE 
  COASTAL OCEAN WATERS TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ON THE SOUND...SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT...BUILD TO 
  4 TO 6 FT TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 5 FT ON SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST DURING THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-171230-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T2100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
1217 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...7 TO 10 FT...BUILDING TO 9 TO 13 FT TONIGHT. SEAS 
  SUBSIDE TO 7 TO 9 FT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
916 
WHUS71 KOKX 170748
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
348 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ335-338-171600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0047.110417T0748Z-110418T0200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
348 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS ON WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND WILL RANGE FROM 2
  TO 5 FT TODAY.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-171600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0047.110417T0748Z-110418T0400Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
348 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF LONG
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS ON EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND WILL RANGE FROM 4
  TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS
  MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-171600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0047.110417T0748Z-110418T1000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE
  ISLAND INLET NY AND OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 9 FT LATE THIS
  MORNING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED THIS
  MORNING...AND WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND WILL
  RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-171600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0047.110417T0748Z-110418T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK
  POINT AND OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS 10 TO 14 FT...SUBSIDING TO 9 TO 11 FT LATE
  THIS MORNING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED THIS
  MORNING...AND WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND WILL
  RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 FT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SEAS WILL THEN
  RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FT THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-171600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110417T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0047.110417T0748Z-110418T1500Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO
  MORICHES INLET AND OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...SEAS 9 TO 13 FT...SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 10 FT LATE THIS
  MORNING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED THIS
  MORNING...AND WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND WILL
  RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 FT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SEAS WILL THEN
  SUBSIDE BELOW 5 FT LATE MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Apr 15, 4:33 PM EDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 4:33 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
433 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY RETREATS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AS A
STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST THROUGH SATURDAY. THE
TRAILING FRONT FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE TRI-STATE LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STORM SLOWLY TRACKING
ACROSS QUEBEC INTO MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM LATE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSSES THE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN TO CLOSE THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW CLEARING OVER THE WEST...WITH MAINLY
CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN PARTS OF THE CWA. THE HIGH
CLOUDS FROM THE APPROACHING STORM SHOULD BUILD IN STARTING LATE
TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A PERIOD OF A FEW HOURS OF
RADIATIONAL COOLING...WITH SOME SLACKENING OF THE
WINDS...ESPECIALLY INLAND. THIS WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO SUBSIDENCE
FROM DEEP LAYERED RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. A
BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE BEST REFLECTS THIS...WITH LOWS A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MODELS IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM FOR THIS WEEKEND. THE UPPER RIDGE
AXIS SLIDES TO OUR EAST SATURDAY...AS A TROUGH/CUTOFF LOW BECOMES
NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT LIFTS INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THE CUTOFF LOW
REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE GREAT LAKES SATURDAY NIGHT...AS THE BASE
OF THE TROUGH PIVOTS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY 12Z
SUNDAY...THEN THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING.

AT THE SURFACE THOUGH...THE NAM IS ALONE IN DEVELOPING A TRIPLE
POINT LOW OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THAT IT MAINTAINS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD...ACTING AS A BREAK ON THE FRONTAL SYSTEM.
THIS SLOWER FORECAST WOULD RESULT IN MORE RAIN...WIND...AND
COASTAL FLOODING THAN CURRENTLY BEING FORECAST. FOR NOW HAVE
WEIGHED THE FORECAST TOWARDS THE NON-NAM CONSENSUS (75 PERCENT
CONSENSUS VS. 25 PERCENT NAM) AT THE SURFACE...BUT DO HAVE SOME
CONCERN THAT THE NAM COULD ULTIMATELY END UP BEING RIGHT...AS
HISTORICALLY IT PERFORMS FAIRLY WELL IN THE 24-48 HOUR TIME FRAME.

FOR NOW EXPECT SPOTTY RAIN TO BEGIN TO MOVE INTO WESTERN ZONES BY
LATE SATURDAY MORNING...AND GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY FROM W TO E. THE RAIN WILL BECOME MORE
CONSISTENT AND HEAVIER SATURDAY NIGHT...AND POSSIBLY HEAVY AT
TIMES. REFER TO THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE AFD FOR DETAILS.

IN ADDITION...ALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THERE COULD BE ENOUGH LOW
TO MID LEVEL INSTABILITY ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES TO WARRANT A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDER SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL (MAINLY IN THE EVENING
ACROSS THE NYC METRO).

THE RAIN SHOULD TAPER TO SHOWERS...AND COME TO AN END FROM W TO E
SUNDAY MORNING AS WHAT WILL LIKELY BE AN OCCLUDED FRONT CROSSES
THE AREA. RAPID CLEARING SHOULD BE EXPERIENCED BEHIND THE FRONT.

AS FOR WINDS...THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF CONCERN AS TO EXACTLY HOW
MUCH OF A 65-75 KT 950-850 HPA JET MIXES DOWN DUE TO THE STRONG
MARINE INVERSION EXPECTED ON STRONG SE FLOW SATURDAY NIGHT. AS A
RESULT...EVEN WITH BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS OF 40-45 KT (STRONGER IN
NAM)...WHICH ORDINARILY WOULD SUGGEST A WIND ADVISORY IS
WARRANTED...ESPECIALLY WHEN COUPLED WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW
LEVEL JET...HAVE KEPT WINDS JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS DUE TO THE
ANTICIPATED STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION.

IF THE NAM ENDS UP BEING CORRECT...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS
IN THE LOW LEVELS...THEN A WIND ADVISORY COULD ULTIMATELY END UP
BEING NEEDED. IF WIND ADVISORY IS NEED THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
REACHING CRITERIA WOULD BE ACROSS THE NYC METRO/LONG
ISLAND/COASTAL SE CT/HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE SHORT TERM...MAV AND MET NUMBERS WERE
FAIRLY CLOSE SATURDAY...AND CONSISTENT WITH ADVERTISED MIXING IN
BUFKIT...SO FOLLOWED A BLEND...WITH HIGHS AROUND 10 DEGREES NORMAL
EXPECTED.

FOR LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT BLENDED FAIRLY CLOSE MAV/MET NUMBERS WITH
A 1/4 WEIGHING OF NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES...WITH VALUES A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. FOR HIGHS SUNDAY...BLENDED MET/MAV NUMBERS
WITH A MIX DOWN FROM 825 HPA PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS. EXPECT HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON A STRONG LOW LEVEL DOWNSLOPE
FLOW...AND CLEARING AFTERNOON SKY CONDITIONS ALLOWING FOR DECENT
SOLAR HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A SERIES OF FAST MOVING WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE PERIODS OF
UNSETTLED WEATHER.

SUNDAY NIGHT...FAIR WEATHER IS FORECAST AS A POLAR VORTEX N OF NY
STATE SPINS NE ACROSS SE CANADA.

MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...A LONG WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP EAST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES FROM LOW PRES N OF TX. A
SERIES OF LOW PRES WAVES ACCOMPANIED BY WEAK UPPER LVL SHORT WAVES
WILL CAUSE MOCLDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHC OF RAIN.

WED...THE PRIMARY LOW IS FORECAST TO MV NE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WED
NIGHT WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT MVG EAST ACROSS THE REGION. IN
ADDITION TO SCT SHOWERS...BASED ON THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...TSTMS
ARE A POSSIBILITY ALONG A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH LATE WED AFTERNOON AND
EVE.

THU INTO FRIDAY...HIGH PRES BUILDS E ACROSS THE AREA WITH FAIR WX
AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE EAST.
MEANWHILE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH LATE TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY.

VFR FOR THE REST OF TODAY. SYNOPTIC/SEA BREEZE FLOW HAS MADE IT
THROUGH MOST OF THE COASTAL TERMINALS. GENERALLY ESE-SE FLOW INTO
THIS EVENING AROUND 10KT.

     NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: OCCASIONAL GUSTS 17-20 KT POSSIBLE THROUGH 20Z.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: WINDS MAY REMAIN NEAR 060 UNTIL 19Z.
OCCASIONAL GUSTS 17-20 KT POSSIBLE THROUGH 20Z.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: OCCASIONAL GUSTS 17-20 KT POSSIBLE THROUGH 20Z.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SAT THROUGH TUE...

SAT AND SAT NIGHT...MVFR LIKELY AFT 18Z. IFR POSSIBLE BY 00Z SAT.
SE WINDS INCREASING TO 20-30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY AT NIGHT.
LLWS LIKELY MAINLY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. THUNDER POSSIBLE
AT NIGHT.

SUNDAY...COLD FROPA WILL IMPROVE CIGS/VSBY BY NOON...GUSTS 25-30KT.

MON...VFR.

TUE...SUB-VFR POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES ON COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WITH SEAS
ALREADY TO 5 FT AT THE BUOYS...WOULD EXPECT GUSTS TO 25 KT BY
LATER TONIGHT AS WELL. OTHER WATERS COULD EXPERIENCE SOME
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 KT TONIGHT...BUT DO NOT EXPECT TO BE
PERVASIVE ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN SCA.

HAVE UPGRADED THE GALE WATCH TO A GALE WARNING FOR ALL WATERS FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT GALE GUSTS TO DEVELOP BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ON ALL WATERS...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS SATURDAY EVENING AS THE LOW LEVEL
JET CROSSES THE REGION. HAVE GONE WITH A VERY CONSERVATIVE MIXING
DOWN OF AROUND 40 PERCENT OF THE 950 WIND. THE STRONG WINDS SHOULD
BUILD SEAS ON THE OCEAN ZONES TO 8 TO 13 FT...AND 3 T 6 FT ON THE
SOUND.

ON SUNDAY...GIVEN THE CONSENSUS FORECAST..WOULD EXPECT ONLY GUSTS
TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS...THOUGH IF THE NAM IS CORRECT...COULD SEE
GALE GUSTS OVER THE EASTERN WATERS SUNDAY MORNING...HAVE CAPPED
ALL GUSTS TO 30 KT FOR NOW.

SUNDAY NIGHT...STRONG W TO SW WINDS MAY MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA BETWEEN A DEPARTING LOW OVER SE CANADA AND HIGH PRES OVER
THE SE US COAST.

WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS MONDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

LATE WED - EARLY THU...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST TOWARD THE
REGION...INCREASING SW WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS WILL MEET SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS AHEAD OF THE FRONT FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF PERIOD OF
GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT EARLY THURSDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS THE TRI-STATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1 2/3
INCHES EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITH
STRONGER EMBEDDED CONVECTION. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE INTERIOR WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL ENHANCE
THE RAINFALL.

FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS RUNNING FROM 1.5-3 INCHES ACROSS THE
REGION FOR 6 HOURS...AND IT SEEMS...UNLESS THE SLOWER NAM IS
CORRECT...THAT WE WILL FALL SHORT OF THAT...SO HAVE HELD OFF ON A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW...THOUGH WILL HIGHLIGHT IN THE HWO THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING - BASICALLY AT 30-40 PERCENT CONFIDENCE AND
NEED 50 PERCENT TO ISSUE A WATCH. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY FLASH
AND/OR RIVER/SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS OVER THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY
AND NE NJ WHERE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS THE LOWEST...AND FORECAST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE THE HIGHEST.

FOR NOW THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME IS MINOR URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING...INCLUDING FLOOD PRONE AREAS ALONG SMALL STREAMS/RIVERS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED DURING THE SAT NIGHT
HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THE GREATER UNCERTAINTY COMES WITH WHETHER THE AREA
WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING. AROUND 2 FT IS NEEDED FOR
MODERATE. THE EXACT EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM WILL DICTATE THE EXTENT
OF THE THREAT. FOR EXAMPLE...THE AMOUNT OF PRECEDING HVY RAIN WILL
HAVE AN IMPACT ON BACK BAY SURGE...AND THE EXACT
STRENGTH...DIRECTION AND TIMING OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL HAVE AN
IMPACT ON THE SURGE FOR ALL WATERS. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING PRESENT...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

ANY SURGE WILL LIKELY WILL BE EXACERBATED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
CONNECTICUT SHORELINE BY EXPECTED HIGH WAVE ACTION. IN
ADDITION...7 TO 9 FT BREAKING SURF WILL LIKELY CAUSE BEACH EROSION
ISSUES ALONG ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH SATURDAY EVENING FOR CTZ009>012.
NY...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH SATURDAY EVENING FOR NYZ071>075-
     078>081-176>179.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH SATURDAY EVENING FOR NJZ006-106-108.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
     FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ350-353-
     355.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND NEAR AND SHORT TERM...MALOIT
LONG TERM...GC
AVIATION...JC
MARINE...MALOIT/GC
HYDROLOGY...MALOIT
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...JMC
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 4:32 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
432 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

CTZ007-162045-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
432 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT
MIDDLETOWN...PLEASE REFER TO THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING AT
WEATHER.GOV/BOX FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
SATURDAY NIGHT. MORE THAN LIKELY ONLY MINOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
WILL OCCUR...BUT IF MORE RAINFALL OCCURS THAN CURRENTLY
EXPECTED...THEN FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE A CONCERN. THE CHANCE OF
THIS OCCURRING IS AROUND 30 PERCENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ011-162045-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
432 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT
MIDDLETOWN...PLEASE REFER TO THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING AT
WEATHER.GOV/BOX FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL SATURDAY NIGHT. MORE THAN LIKELY ONLY MINOR POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING WILL OCCUR...BUT IF MORE RAINFALL OCCURS THAN CURRENTLY
EXPECTED...THEN FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE A CONCERN. THE CHANCE OF
THIS OCCURRING IS AROUND 30 PERCENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009-010-012-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071-073>075-078>081-176>179-162045-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-
EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
432 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
SATURDAY NIGHT. MORE THAN LIKELY ONLY MINOR URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR...BUT IF MORE RAINFALL OCCURS THAN
CURRENTLY EXPECTED...THEN FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE A CONCERN. THE
CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING IS AROUND 30 PERCENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ072-162045-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
432 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
SATURDAY NIGHT. MORE THAN LIKELY ONLY MINOR URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR...BUT IF MORE RAINFALL OCCURS THAN
CURRENTLY EXPECTED...THEN FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE A CONCERN. THE
CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING IS AROUND 30 PERCENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-006-008-NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>070-162045-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
432 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL SATURDAY NIGHT. MORE THAN LIKELY ONLY MINOR URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR...BUT IF MORE RAINFALL OCCURS
THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED...THEN FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE A CONCERN.
THE CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING IS AROUND 30 PERCENT...EXCEPT FOR
AROUND 40 PERCENT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-162045-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
432 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MALOIT

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 4:07 AM EDTGale WatchOKX13 hr
Apr 15, 3:20 PM EDTCoastal Flood WatchOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more13 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.