Severe Thunderstorm Warning 314, NWS Omaha, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
318 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...
THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY PRIOR TO 1 AM CDT. ONGOING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM
SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE...THEN PUSH SOUTHEAST OUT OF
THE AREA. DECENT INSTABILITY WAS NOTED IN 18Z KOAX SOUNDING WITH
CAPE VALUES AROUND 3000 J/KG. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE WAS OVER
1.50 INCHES AND HAVE HAD SOME RAINFALL REPORTS OVER 1 INCH SO FAR.
SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD TURN MORE TOWARD THE EAST AND NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS 60 TO 65 NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 60S SOUTH.

TONIGHT THROUGH MID PART OF NEXT WEEK...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTH
THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...BUT IT ONLY LOOKS LIKE A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF STORMS. THE 12Z NAM WAS FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF
STORMS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM KOFK TO KOMA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THAT SEEMED A BIT BULLISH BUT WILL MENTION SOME CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. KEPT PREVIOUS
FAIRLY HIGH RAIN CHANCES GOING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
SATURDAY WITH HIGHS 75 TO 80 NORTH AND 80 TO 85 SOUTH. COOL HIGH
PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD IN FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH LOWS MOSTLY 60 TO 65 BUT SOME UPPER 50S POSSIBLE
(ESPECIALLY NORTH).

THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY NIGHT WITH NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING. IT DOES APPEAR THAT
THE 500 MB RIDGE WILL EXPAND EAST FROM THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE
PLAINS WHICH COULD PUSH TEMPERATURES (ESPECIALLY HIGHS) TO ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS NEXT WEEK. THE 12Z ECMWF SHOWED A FAIRLY DECENT
SHORTWAVE DROPPING DOWN INTO IOWA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE
GFS WAS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE SO FOR NOW WILL JUST KEEP AN EYE ON
THAT.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK

18Z TAFS

THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY TO AFFECT KOMA BUT MAY ALSO IMPACT
KLNK AND KOFK...MOSTLY PRIOR TO 05Z. SOME VISIBILITY REDUCTION
IS POSSIBLE TOWARD SUNRISE BUT SHOULD BECOME VFR BY MID MORNING.
MVFR CEILINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY AT KOFK.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

MILLER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
415 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-191100-
ANTELOPE-BOONE-BURT-BUTLER-CASS-CEDAR-COLFAX-CUMING-DODGE-DOUGLAS-
FREMONT IA-GAGE-HARRISON IA-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LANCASTER-MADISON-
MILLS IA-MONONA IA-MONTGOMERY IA-NEMAHA-OTOE-PAGE IA-PAWNEE-PIERCE-
PLATTE-POTTAWATTAMIE IA-RICHARDSON-SALINE-SARPY-SAUNDERS-SEWARD-
SHELBY IA-STANTON-THURSTON-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-
415 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MOST OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS EVENING FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE. SOME STORMS
WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
ALSO EXPECTED...WITH SOME SPOTS POSSIBLY RECEIVING OVER 2 INCHES.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY.

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL WEEKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD SHOULD PASS ALONG ANY OCCURRENCES OF HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING.

MILLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
238 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0107 PM     HAIL             3 NNE BLOOMFIELD        42.64N 97.63W
08/18/2011  E4.25 INCH       KNOX               NE   PUBLIC

            HAIL UP TO SOFTBALL SIZE BROKE OUT WINDSHIELD IN
            WINDROWER.

&&

MILLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
304 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

NEZ015-182030-
THURSTON NE-
304 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THURSTON COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 300 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF HUBBARD...OR 18 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SIOUX CITY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  WINNEBAGO...
  WALTHILL...
  MACY...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

BOUSTEAD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
311 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NW COLERIDGE          42.54N 97.24W
08/18/2011  E1.00 INCH       CEDAR              NE   PUBLIC

            BETWEEN 200 AND 245 PM.

&&

LANDSVORK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
349 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

NEZ017-018-182130-
PIERCE NE-WAYNE NE-
349 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR WESTERN WAYNE AND SOUTHERN PIERCE
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 342 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF PLAINVIEW...OR 22 MILES
NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...
WILLOW CREEK STATE RECREATION AREA...PIERCE
WINSIDE AND HOSKINS.

DP/CZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
350 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             3 NW ST. HELENA         42.84N 97.29W
08/18/2011  E1.75 INCH       CEDAR              NE   PUBLIC

            WIND ESTIMATED 60MPH.

&&

LANDSVORK

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>