Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Morristown, TN

417 
WWUS54 KMRX 300436
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1136 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

TNC065-115-153-300500-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-110330T0500Z/
SEQUATCHIE TN-HAMILTON TN-MARION TN-
1136 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT/100 AM EDT/ FOR MARION...HAMILTON AND SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES...

AT 1130 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF SODDY-DAISY...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
DUNLAP...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  SODDY-DAISY...SHADY GROVE...SALE CREEK AND BIRCHWOOD.

LAT...LON 3523 8578 3524 8570 3529 8571 3532 8558
      3536 8552 3538 8550 3542 8552 3544 8534
      3535 8523 3545 8517 3546 8511 3543 8510
      3541 8502 3538 8503 3536 8498 3528 8494
      3525 8496 3507 8579
TIME...MOT...LOC 0436Z 250DEG 38KT 3531 8522

$$

MJB

951 
WWUS54 KMRX 300452
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1152 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

TNC065-115-153-300502-
/O.EXP.KMRX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-110330T0500Z/
SEQUATCHIE TN-HAMILTON TN-MARION TN-
1152 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MARION...HAMILTON AND
SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CDT/100 AM EDT/...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LEVELS. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3523 8578 3524 8570 3529 8571 3532 8558
      3536 8552 3538 8550 3542 8552 3544 8534
      3535 8523 3545 8517 3546 8511 3543 8510
      3541 8502 3538 8503 3536 8498 3528 8494
      3525 8496 3507 8579
TIME...MOT...LOC 0452Z 250DEG 38KT 3537 8503

$$

MJB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
944 PM EDT TUE MAR 29 2011

.DISCUSSION...BRUNT OF SHOWERS STAYING ACROSS NORTHERN THIRD OF TN
THIS EVENING...AND TRACKING QUICKLY NE. HOWEVER...VIEWING SPC MESO
PAGE...BEST SHEAR...WARM AIR ADVECTION...AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT...ARE
OCCURING IN AN AREA TO OUR W-SW...WHERE MODELS FILL IN CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT. THUS...I MAY LOWER POPS JUST A BIT IN
FORECAST GRIDS EARLY...ALTHO STILL EXPECT CATEGORICAL COVERAGE
BEFORE DAYBREAK. SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY IS LACKING BUT CAN'T RULE
OUT ISOLATED THUNDER.

WILL TWEAK HOURLY TEMP/DEW PT TEMP GRIDS...AND CHECK MIN TEMP
FORECAST. UPDATED GRIDS AND PRODUCTS BEFORE 1030 PM EDT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             51  58  43  58  39 / 100  80  10  30  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  47  57  42  53  37 / 100  90  10  40  20
OAK RIDGE, TN                       46  55  41  53  37 / 100  80  10  40  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              42  54  39  51  34 / 100  90  10  50  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

TG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
105 PM EDT TUE MAR 29 2011

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-300900-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
105 PM EDT TUE MAR 29 2011 /1205 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING PRODUCING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

..SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY..

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE VALLEY MONDAY THEN
MOVE INTO THE EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA LATE MONDAY AND POSSIBLY CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. DUE
TO THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT AND INCREASING INSTABILITY...SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE.  THE MAIN THREAT WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...BUT TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE.

HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY WHICH MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

DH/TD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1206 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

TNZ081-098-099-300500-
HAMILTON TN-MARION TN-SEQUATCHIE TN-
1106 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARION...HAMILTON AND SEQUATCHIE
COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT/100 AM EDT/...

AT 1100 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF JASPER...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHATTANOOGA...
DUNLAP...WHITWELL...SIGNAL MOUNTAIN...HARRISON...SODDY-DAISY...
HALETOWN (GUILD)...MARTIN SPRINGS...GRIFFITH CREEK...POWELLS
CROSSROADS...CARTWRIGHT...LONE OAK...RED BANK...MIDDLE VALLEY...EAST
BRAINERD...OOLTEWAH...COLLEGEDALE...SHADY GROVE...SALE CREEK AND
BIRCHWOOD.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND! DON'T DROWN!

MJB