Severe Thunderstorm Warning 182, NWS Morristown, TN

724 
WWUS54 KMRX 260728
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
328 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

TNC001-013-129-151-260800-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-110526T0800Z/
SCOTT TN-ANDERSON TN-CAMPBELL TN-MORGAN TN-
328 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM EDT
FOR MORGAN...CAMPBELL...ANDERSON AND SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 324 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF WINFIELD TO PINE
ORCHARD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF ONEIDA TO
8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARTBURG...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  LA FOLLETTE...JACKSBORO...SLICK ROCK...OAKDALE...KETCHEN...NORMA...
  PETROS...SMOKEY JUNCTION...ELK VALLEY...ROSEDALE...ROYAL BLUE...
  CARYVILLE...JELLICO...DISNEY AND LAKE CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED
WITH THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 8403 3659 8402 3602 8419 3600 8432
      3604 8434 3605 8436 3599 8444 3593 8470
      3599 8473 3616 8492 3620 8492 3630 8487
      3630 8481 3640 8467 3661 8479
TIME...MOT...LOC 0728Z 255DEG 38KT 3667 8441 3602 8462

$$

DH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
205 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...A LINE OF STRONG-SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PLATEAU WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA AND WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY 12Z.

A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE
VALLEY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
MOVING INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 300MB
JET WILL COMBINE WITH WEAK-MODERATE FRONTOGENETIC FORCING TO HELP
REGENERATE CONVECTION LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE AVAILABLE TO PRODUCE STRONG-SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...INITIALLY OVER MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND PLATEAU...THEN
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MAIN CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS DUE TO MODERATELY STRONG
BOUNDARY LAYER JET AND LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE. HOWEVER...CAN
NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH SIGNIFICANT TORNADO PARAMETER
FAVORABLE ACROSS THE PLATEAU AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY.

WILL MAINTAIN NPW FOR THE MOUNTAINS UNTIL 14Z GIVEN STRENGTH OF LOW
LEVEL JET.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES
SLOWLY INTO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON FRI. SCATTERED CONVECTION
CONTINUES INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. LAYER DRIES AS TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS
EAST OF THE AREA. SOME CONVECTION MAY INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NE TN AND SW VA SAT BUT STORM MOTION SHOULD KEEP
ACTIVITY JUST TO THE EAST OF MRX CWA SO LEFT POPS OUT OF SAT FOR
NOW. RIDGE BUILDS OVER AREA INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPS WILL CLIMB WITH
EACH DAY. ISOLATED DIURNAL TSTMS POSSIBLE BUT CHANCE TO SMALL FOR
MENTION. WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH INTO THE AREA WED.
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH THIS FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CAN BE EXPECTED...WENT SLIGHTLY ABOVE MEX TEMP GUIDANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             84  61  81  61  90 /  80  50  30  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  86  62  81  61  87 /  70  70  30  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       85  61  79  60  86 /  70  70  30  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              88  59  81  57  85 /  60  60  60  20  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHEROKEE...CLAY.

TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS...
     JOHNSON...SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST CARTER...
     SOUTHEAST GREENE...SOUTHEAST MONROE...UNICOI.

VA...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
222 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-270630-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
222 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011 /122 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY
TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORMS. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE GREATEST
CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF-BALL SIZE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS THE PLATEAU AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
244 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

TNZ082-083-260730-
BLEDSOE TN-RHEA TN-
144 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLEDSOE AND RHEA COUNTIES UNTIL
230 AM CDT/330 AM EDT/...

AT 142 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF
PIKEVILLE TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PIKEVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...DAYTON...SPRING
CITY...BRAYTON...MELVINE...GRAYSVILLE...EVENSVILLE...OLD WASHINGTON
AND GRANDVIEW.

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