Alert archive / Minnesota / Winter Weather Advisories in 2011
Winter Weather Advisory 39, NWS Twin Cities, MN
NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this winter weather advisory at Nov 18, 2011, 2:50 PM CST for 25 counties in Minnesota; 9 counties in Wisconsin. It took effect at Nov 19, 2011, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 15 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 18, 2011, 2:50 PM CST (20:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 19, 2011, 6:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Nov 19, 2011, 9:00 PM CST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Twin Cities, MN
All 34 counties
Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Barron County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 46 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1519 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 232 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 338 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
676 WWUS43 KMPX 182050 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 250 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT THIS SEASON... .THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL...CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM SATURDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS FAR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES NORTH OF MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD...AND RICE LAKE WISCONSIN LINE. LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM MORRIS TO ALEXANDRIA TO MORA MINNESOTA. A FAST MOVING WINTER STORM STORM WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHARP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AND QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BANDS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA DUE TO STRONGER WINDS DEVELOPING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS WINTER STORM. MNZ041>045-047>059-064-WIZ014>016-190500- /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.111119T1200Z-111120T0300Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-YELLOW MEDICINE-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...GRANITE FALLS... AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...BARRON...LADYSMITH 250 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOWFALL...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SATURDAY. ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON EXPECTED ON SATURDAY... * TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER 3 AM...AND QUICKLY BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE MORNING. CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL HAVE THE BANDS OF SNOWFALL DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE MORNING...WITH WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN EXPECTING THE SNOWFALL AFTER 12 NOON. BY LATE AFTERNOON...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND THEN IN CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY SUNSET...THEN ACROSS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH LOCALLY 4 TO 6 INCHES FROM MORRIS TO ALEXANDRIA TO MORA MINNESOTA. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ JLT/JPR
6 follow-up statements
366 WWUS43 KMPX 182103 CCA WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 302 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT THIS SEASON... .THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL...CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM SATURDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS FAR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES NORTH OF MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD...AND RICE LAKE WISCONSIN LINE. LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM MORRIS TO ALEXANDRIA TO MORA MINNESOTA. A FAST MOVING WINTER STORM STORM WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AND QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BANDS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA DUE TO STRONGER WINDS DEVELOPING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS WINTER STORM. MNZ041>045-047>059-064-WIZ014>016-190530- /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.111119T1200Z-111120T0300Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-YELLOW MEDICINE-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...GRANITE FALLS... AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...BARRON...LADYSMITH 302 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOWFALL...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SATURDAY. ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON EXPECTED ON SATURDAY... * TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER 3 AM...AND QUICKLY BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE MORNING. CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL HAVE THE BANDS OF SNOWFALL DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE MORNING...WITH WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN EXPECTING THE SNOWFALL AFTER 12 NOON. BY LATE AFTERNOON...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND THEN IN CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY SUNSET...THEN ACROSS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH LOCALLY 4 TO 6 INCHES FROM MORRIS TO ALEXANDRIA TO MORA MINNESOTA. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ JLT/JPR
162 WWUS43 KMPX 190243 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 843 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT THIS SEASON... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL...CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM SATURDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS FAR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES NORTH OF MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD...AND RICE LAKE WISCONSIN LINE. LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES FROM MORRIS TO ALEXANDRIA TO MORA MINNESOTA. A FAST MOVING WINTER STORM WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AND QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BANDS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA DUE TO STRONGER WINDS DEVELOPING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS WINTER STORM. MNZ041>045-047>059-064-WIZ014>016-191045- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.111119T1200Z-111120T0300Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-YELLOW MEDICINE-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...GRANITE FALLS... AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...BARRON...LADYSMITH 843 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SATURDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SATURDAY. ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON EXPECTED ON SATURDAY... * TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER 3 AM...AND QUICKLY BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE MORNING. CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL HAVE THE BANDS OF SNOWFALL DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE MORNING...WITH WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN EXPECTING THE SNOWFALL AFTER 12 NOON. BY LATE AFTERNOON... SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... AND THEN IN CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY SUNSET... THEN ACROSS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH LOCALLY NEAR 5 INCHES FROM MORRIS TO ALEXANDRIA TO MORA MINNESOTA. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$
255 WWUS43 KMPX 190944 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 344 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT THIS SEASON... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL...CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM SATURDAY. SNOW HAS PUSHED INTO EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND WILL BEGIN IMPACTING AREAS IN WESTERN MINNESOTA NEAR SUNRISE. WHILE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN WESTERN MINNESOTA THIS MORNING...AREAS IN EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN SHOULD NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW UNTIL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD...TO RICE LAKE WISCONSIN. LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM BENSON...TO NEAR ST. CLOUD...TO MORA. THIS IS A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WITH BANDS OF MODERATE SNOWFALL DEVELOPING QUICKLY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA DUE TO STRONGER WINDS DEVELOPING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS WINTER STORM. MNZ041>045-047>059-064-WIZ014>016-191745- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.111119T1200Z-111120T0300Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-YELLOW MEDICINE-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...GRANITE FALLS... AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...BARRON...LADYSMITH 344 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON EXPECTED ON SATURDAY... * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND QUICKLY BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE MORNING. CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL HAVE THE BANDS OF SNOW MOVE IN LATE THIS MORNING...WITH WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN EXPECTING THE SNOWFALL AFTER 12 NOON. THE SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH LOCALLY NEAR 5 INCHES FROM BENSON TO ST. CLOUD TO MORA MINNESOTA. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$
255 WWUS43 KMPX 191735 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1135 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT THIS SEASON... .THE NATIONAL WEATHER IN CHANHASSEN HAD UPGRADED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR A SMALL PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY BEFORE 600 PM THIS EVENING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS AND HAZARDOUS. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL...CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN UNTIL 900 PM THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD...TO RICE LAKE WISCONSIN. LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MADISON...BENSON AND APPLETON AREAS. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AND DIMINISH TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES OVER WESTERN MINNESOTA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING. MNZ054>056-200000- /O.UPG.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-111120T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.W.0016.111119T1735Z-111120T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO 1135 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...SNOW CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS AROUND 7 INCHES IN THE BENSON...APPLETON AND MADISON AREAS. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA. TRAVEL MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS AND TREACHEROUS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALLOW PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION. && $$ MNZ041>045-047>053-057>059-064-WIZ014>016-200145- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-111120T0300Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT- YELLOW MEDICINE-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...WILLMAR... LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...GRANITE FALLS...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE... RICE LAKE...BARRON...LADYSMITH 1135 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON EXPECTED ON SATURDAY... * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH LOCALLY NEAR 5 INCHES FROM BENSON TO ST. CLOUD TO MORA MINNESOTA. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$
477 WWUS43 KMPX 192056 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 256 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...HEAVY SNOW TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND ALL OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THROUGH 9 PM TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA AND EAU CLAIRE. A BAND OF INTENSE SNOWFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE COURSE OF 3 TO 4 HOURS. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM ST. CLOUD EAST TOWARD CAMBRIDGE AND ACROSS THE US 8 CORRIDOR IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE CAUSE THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW IN OPEN AREAS THROUGH 8 PM. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AND DIMINISH TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES OVER WESTERN MINNESOTA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING. MNZ054>056-200000- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.W.0016.000000T0000Z-111120T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO 256 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL COME TO AN END BY THIS EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS AROUND 7 INCHES IN THE BENSON...APPLETON AND MADISON AREAS. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA. TRAVEL MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS AND TREACHEROUS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALLOW PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION. && $$ MNZ060>063-070-078-WIZ023>028-200300- /O.EXA.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-111120T0300Z/ HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-DAKOTA-GOODHUE-ST. CROIX-PIERCE- DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MINNEAPOLIS...BLAINE...ST. PAUL... STILLWATER...BURNSVILLE...RED WING...HUDSON...NEW RICHMOND... RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE...BOYCEVILLE...DURAND... PEPIN...CHIPPEWA FALLS...BLOOMER...EAU CLAIRE...ALTOONA 256 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH LOCALLY NEAR 5 INCHES FROM BENSON TO ST. CLOUD TO MORA MINNESOTA. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY UNTREATED AND RURAL ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ MNZ041-047-048-064-200000- /O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-111120T0000Z/ DOUGLAS-STEVENS-POPE-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD... GRANITE FALLS 256 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON EXPECTED ON SATURDAY... * TIMING...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ MNZ042>045-049>053-057>059-WIZ014>016-200300- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-111120T0300Z/ TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI- CHISAGO-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONG PRAIRIE...LITTLE FALLS... PRINCETON...MORA...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE... CENTER CITY...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...AMERY... BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...BARRON...LADYSMITH 256 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. * TIMING...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. * OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$
824 WWUS43 KMPX 200306 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 906 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 MNZ042>045-049>053-057>063-070-078-WIZ014>016-023>028-200415- /O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-111120T0300Z/ TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI- CHISAGO-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON- DAKOTA-GOODHUE-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN- CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONG PRAIRIE...LITTLE FALLS... PRINCETON...MORA...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE... CENTER CITY...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS... BLAINE...ST. PAUL...STILLWATER...BURNSVILLE...RED WING...AMERY... BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...BARRON...LADYSMITH...HUDSON... NEW RICHMOND...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE...BOYCEVILLE... DURAND...PEPIN...CHIPPEWA FALLS...BLOOMER...EAU CLAIRE...ALTOONA 906 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOWFALL HAS TAPERED OFF OVER MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN WITH LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. MOTORISTS ARE STILL URGED TO USE EXTRA CAUTION...INCLUDING TRAVELING AT REDUCED SPEEDS AND ALLOWING EXTRA SPACE BETWEEN VEHICLES...AS ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLIPPERY. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Nov 18, 2:05 PM CST, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 2:05 PM CST, 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 205 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 .DISCUSSION... FAST MOVING SHRTWV ACROSS CENTRAL MN HAS DEVELOPED A SMALL AREA OF -SN...JUST NORTH OF THE FA. THIS AREA WAS ENHANCED BY THE RIGHT ENTRANCE AREA OF THE UPPER JET ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THIS AREA OF -SN WILL QUICKLY MOVE NE OF THE AREA BY 00-03Z...WITH THE BIGGER SNOW EVENT MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ROCKIES...AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS OF SD/NE BY MIDNIGHT. A FEW WEATHER ITEMS HAVE CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FIRST IS THE FASTER NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM DUE TO THE STRONG WSW/SW FLOW ALOFT WHICH TAKES THIS SYSTEM QUICKLY THRU THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST BY SAT NIGHT. THE NEXT CHG IS IN THE SHORT TERM WHICH DEALS WITH THE ONSET OF -SN OVERNIGHT. DUE TO THE AMPLE MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE FROM THE DEPARTING SYSTEM ACROSS MN THIS AFTN...WILL TREND TOWARD A MORE AGGRESSIVE SCENARIO. THEREFORE...AREAS IN WC MN WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FLURRIES DEVELOPING AFT MIDNIGHT...WITH -SN...SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS BY 12Z. AS WILL PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSIONS...THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF STRONG FORCING DURING THE BEGINNING OF THIS SYSTEMS EVOLUTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO WC MN...THE STRONGEST PART OF THE UPPER FORCING WILL BE PRESENT...WITH A FAST DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM QUICKLY DEPARTS TO THE E/NE BY THE LATE AFTN IN WC WI. TIMING AND SATURATION OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN WILL BE KEY ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH THE MAXIMIZED DENTRITIC LAYER MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL MN. BASED ON MODELS AND MOISTURE VARIABLES/LIFT...THERE WILL BE A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL DEVELOPING ACROSS WC MN TOWARD DAYBREAK...WITH A QUICK E/NE PROJECTORY ACROSS CENTRAL MN BY THE EARLY AFTN. CURRENT WX GRIDS HAVE A BAND OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL FROM NEAR MONTEVIDEO IN WC MN...EASTWARD TOWARD ELK RIVER OR THE FAR NW TWIN CITIES METRO AREA...TO NORTH OF RICE LAKE WI. THIS IS WHERE AN WINTER WX ADV WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. SOUTH OF THIS AREA...AND MAINLY DUE TO POOR LIFT/SATURATION IN THE FAVORED DENTRITIC ZONE...AN AREA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...WITH LITTLE OR NONE FOR AREAS SOUTH OF REDWOOD FALLS...TO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TWIN CITIES...TO LADYSMITH WI. THE HEAVIEST TOTALS WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR MORRIS TO ALEXANDRIA TO LITTLE FALLS MN...WHERE LOCALLY 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. FURTHER SOUTH...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF MN RIVER VALLEY...LT RAIN...MIXED WITH AREAS OF DRIZZLE IS LIKELY DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HRS. HOWEVER...FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT TERM DUE TO THERMODYNAMIC EFFECTS NEAR THE SFC. THIS AREA WILL ALSO BE THE LAST IN TERMS OF CHG OVER TO -SN BY THE MID/LATE AFTN HRS WHICH WILL KEEP ANY TYPE OF SNOWFALL AMTS TO A MINIMUM. LINGERING -SN DURING THE EVENING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS EC MN AND WC WI...BUT THIS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH BY 9 PM AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AFTER THE WEEKEND SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD AIR...WE WILL RETURN TO A MILDER PATTERN TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE DEEPER UPPER TROUGH OVER AK AND INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL SUPPORT A MILD TREND FOR OUR AREA. THERE HAVE BEEN SOME HINTS THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS FOR A SYSTEM LIFTING NE THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BY NEXT FRIDAY...BUT BETTER MOISTURE TRANSPORT MAY BE JUST TO OUR SOUTHEAST. WILL KEEP FRIDAY /DAY7/ DRY FOR NOW...AND THIS SYSTEM LIKELY TO BE MILD ENOUGH FOR RAIN. ..JLT/JPR.. && .AVIATION.../18Z TAF ISSUANCE/ THE FIRST 12 HOURS OF THE TAF PERIOD WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACTS ON AVIATION. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THIS INITIAL PERIOD. CONDITIONS BEGIN TO CHANGE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO TRACK THROUGH IOWA INTO WISCONSIN...PUTTING MUCH OF MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN IN THE BEST AREAS FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. FIRST...MVFR CEILINGS WILL BEGIN TO OVERTAKE THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. WESTERN SITES WILL SEE THESE CONDITIONS IN THIS PERIOD...HOWEVER...NEW RICHMOND AND EAU CLAIRE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD AS THE LOWER CEILINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THOSE AREAS UNTIL AFTER 18Z. MSP IS A LITTLE DIFFERENT STORY...BUT MORE DETAILS REGARDING MSP WILL BE IN THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THIS DISCUSSION. THE INITIAL BAND OF PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE ALL SNOW...WILL SETUP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF OUR CWA. AXN AND STC WILL BE IMPACTED BY THIS INITIAL BAND WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN PRODUCING SNOWFALL PRIOR TO 18Z AT THOSE SITES. HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN AXN SEEING SNOWFALL FROM THE INITIAL BAND...SO BEGAN SNOWFALL AT 15Z THERE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS AS SNOWFALL INTENSITY INCREASES QUICKLY DURING THE ONSET. DELAYED THE ONSET OF SNOWFALL AT STC UNTIL 16Z...AND BROUGHT THEM DOWN TO MVFR VSBYS AS THE INTENSITY OF SNOWFALL DOESN'T LOOK QUITE AS STRONG AS AXN INITIALLY. IFR VSBYS WILL LIKELY BE SEEN DURING THE AFTERNOON AT STC...BUT THAT IS OUTSIDE OF THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD. FURTHER SOUTH...RWF SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE INITIAL BAND OF SNOWFALL...WHICH MEANT NO SNOW WAS MENTIONED IN THIS TAF ISSUANCE...BUT MVFR CIGS SHOULD BE SEEN DURING THE MORNING AS THE LOW APPROACHES. MSP...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. AS THE LOW APPROACHES...MVFR CIGS WILL SPREAD INTO THE METRO DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS. SINCE THIS TAF SITE HAS A 30 HOUR TAF PERIOD...DID INTRODUCE SNOWFALL WITH IFR CONDITIONS DURING THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND SPEEDS WILL PICK UP DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WELL...WITH GUSTS NEAR 15 TO 20 KNOTS. WITH FALLING SNOW AND THE INCREASING WINDS...VSBYS MAY FALL EVEN FURTHER FOR A BRIEF TIME. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...NONE. WI...NONE. && JLT/SPD
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 18, 12:23 PM CST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1223 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028- 191100- DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON- YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA- REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH- WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE- 1223 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA... AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN FALLING IN FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA LATE TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY SATURDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SNOW ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. A BAND OF WIDESPREAD 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL FROM WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THROUGH NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. AT THIS TIME...AREAS NEAR A LINE FROM MORRIS TO LITTLE FALLS/ST. CLOUD TO HAYWARD ARE IN A MORE FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WHERE A FEW SPOTS COULD SEE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN SHOULD SEE A RAIN AND SNOW MIXTURE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME ON SATURDAY...EVEN SWITCHING TO A LIGHT DRIZZLE AT TIMES SOUTH OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW BAND. THE SNOW TOTALS WILL BE MUCH LESS SOUTH OF THE LINE DESCRIBED ABOVE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MIGHT BE NEEDED AT SOME POINT. LATER FORECAST SHIFTS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AND MAKE ADJUSTMENTS AS NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS AND SNOWFALL OBSERVERS ARE URGED TO BEGIN REPORTING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in Minnesota, 2011Winter Weather Advisories in Wisconsin, 2011Every winter weather advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.