Fire Weather Watch 1, NWS Twin Cities, MN

Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN

878 
WWUS83 KMPX 070010
RFWMPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
710 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM FRIDAY UNTIL 10 PM FRIDAY FOR
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA MAINLY FOR STRONG WINDS...

...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
ON FRIDAY DUE MAINLY TO STRONG WINDS...

.STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN BY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. WIND GUSTS AROUND 45
MPH ARE LIKELY ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH
IN THE EAST. WIND GUSTS OF OVER 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN WESTERN
WISCONSIN. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD ALSO CAUSE POWER LINES TO START
FIRES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL HOWEVER BE HIGHER THAN TODAY...WITH
AFTERNOON READINGS FROM 30 TO 40%. SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY ALSO PUSH INTO MINNESOTA DURING THE DAY. IF RAIN DOES NOT
MATERIALIZE...IT IS VERY POSSIBLE THAT THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY
BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING. 

GRASSES...BRUSH AND CROPS ARE VERY DRY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MINNESOTA AND FIRES COULD SPREAD QUICKLY UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

MNZ041>045-047>052-054>062-064>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-070815-
/O.EXP.KMPX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-111007T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMPX.FW.A.0001.111007T1600Z-111008T0300Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-
MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-
MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-
RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-
FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...
WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...BLAINE...
ST. PAUL...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...
CHASKA...SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...
ST. PETER...LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...RED WING...ST. JAMES...
MANKATO...WASECA...OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
710 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR SOUTHERN AND CENTRALMINNESOTA...

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...WEST CENTRAL...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 30 TO 35 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD BECOME DANGEROUS AND FAST MOVING IN A 
  SHORT PERIOD OF TIME DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&


$$

MNZ053-063-070815-
/O.CON.KMPX.FW.A.0001.111007T1600Z-111008T0300Z/
CHISAGO-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER CITY...STILLWATER
710 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 35 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD BECOME DANGEROUS AND FAST MOVING IN A 
  SHORT PERIOD OF TIME DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MPX (ALL LOWER CASE)

933 
WWUS83 KMPX 070950
RFWMPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
450 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM FRIDAY UNTIL 10 PM FRIDAY FOR CENTRAL 
MINNESOTA MAINLY FOR STRONG WINDS...

...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA
AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN DUE MAINLY TO STRONG WINDS...

.STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND A
FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
WINDS GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH COULD MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD ALSO CAUSE POWER
LINES TO START FIRES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL HOWEVER BE HIGHER
THAN THURSDAY...WITH AFTERNOON READINGS FROM 35 TO 40 PERCENT IN
CENTRAL MINNESOTA. SOMEWHAT HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE SEEN
IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...GENERALLY IN THE 40 TO 45 PERCENT
RANGE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR 80. 

GRASSES...BRUSH AND CROPS ARE VERY DRY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND FIRES COULD SPREAD QUICKLY UNDER THESE
CONDITIONS.

MNZ073>078-082>085-091>093-071100-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FW.A.0001.111007T1600Z-111008T0300Z/
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...
LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...RED WING...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...
OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
450 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL 
MINNESOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS
CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. 

STRONG SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA TODAY BUT HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE 40 TO 45
PERCENT RANGE WILL LESSEN THE FIRE DANGER SOMEWHAT.


$$

MNZ041>045-047>070-071800-
/O.UPG.KMPX.FW.A.0001.111007T1600Z-111008T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMPX.FW.W.0002.111007T1600Z-111008T0200Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON...
MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...
BLAINE...ST. PAUL...STILLWATER...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...
HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE
450 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11
AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

* WINDS...SOUTH 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING LATE MORNING. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...35 TO 40 PERCENT. 

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS NEAR 80. 

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD BECOME DANGEROUS AND FAST MOVING IN A 
  SHORT PERIOD OF TIME DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MPX (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 18Z TAFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
110 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH AND EVEN STRONGER WINDS THAN YESTERDAY.
CURRENTLY 850 MB WINDS ARE ABOUT 40 KNOTS FROM EASTERN KS/NEB
INTO SW MN. AS A WAVE FROM THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH IN THE ROCKIES
ROTATES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
DAKOTAS LATER TODAY...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN THE
PLAINS. STRONG PRESSURE FALLS ARE ALSO FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. RH VALUES AGAIN FORECAST TO
DROP TO 25 PERCENT OR LESS OVER MOST OF OUR MN CWA. THE ABOVE
MENTIONED WIND SIGNAL WILL LIKELY BRING SOUTH WINDS INTO ADVISORY
CRITERIA WESTERN MN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS CLOSE TO SOME
VALUES OF YESTERDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE VERY DRY AREAS OF
SOUTHERN INTO WEST CENTRAL MN. HAVE RAISED LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WITH
THE INCREASING WINDS AND CLOUDS.

THE STRONG WAVE LIFTING OUT TO OUR WEST WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO
OUR AREA LATER TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE
PROBLEMATIC FOR CONTINUING IN RED FLAG CRITERIA. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL STILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS GIVEN THE VERY DRY FUELS. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THOUGH IN WESTERN MINNESOTA. WILL NOT
EXTEND THE WARNING AT THIS TIME BUT KEEP A WATCH ON THE MOISTURE
RETURN AND PRECIP CHANCES. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPAND TO THE EAST ON FRIDAY...AND THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED INTO FRIDAY EVENING POINTS EAST. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
SHOW 850 MB WINDS IN THE 60 KNOT RANGE FRIDAY MORNING INTO OUR
AREA.

AS FOR PRECIP CHANCES THE OVERALL TREND FOR DEEPER MOISTURE RETURN
IS STILL THERE..ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT..WITH THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET AIDING LIFT FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. HAVE RAISED POPS A FEW AREAS INTO CENTRAL MN AND
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A NEED TO EXPAND THIS TREND LATER.
THERE MAY BEE A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR SEVERE LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OR EVENING IN WESTERN MN AS PRESSURE FALLS CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA AND EXTEND INTO WESTERN MN. GOOD SFC
CONVERGENCE ALONG A NARROW AXIS OF THETA E ADVECTION WILL AID IN
STORM DEVELOPMENT. HIGH PROBS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR GREATER THAN 50
KNOTS IN THIS AREA AS WELL.

CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS INTO MONDAY UNTIL THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE LARGE SCALE TROF KICKS NORTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TAF ISSUANCE/

VFR MAINLY SKC OR HIGH CLOUDS. ISSUE ONCE AGAIN IS WITH STRONG
WINDS. EXPECT GUSTS THIS AFTN AROUND 3O TO 35 KTS AT AXN/RWF WITH
GUSTS AROUND 25 KTS REMAINING MN TAF SITES.  OVERNIGHT STRONG LLJ
WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS ALL TAF SITES.  THERE WILL BE FAIRLY STRONG
SPEED SHEAR ABOVE THE INVERESION...BUT LITTLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR.
THUS HAVE NOT INCLUED IN TAF FORECASTS. EVEN STRONGER WINDS FOR
FRIDAY THAN TODAY WITH WIND SPEEDS INCREASING RAPIDLY THE MORNING.
MAY SEE A FEW -SHRS DEVELP FROM MID CLOUDS ON FRIDAY AT MN TAF SITES.

MSP...SSE WINDS (140-160) GUSTING TO 20 TO 25 KTS THIS AFTN.
OVERNIGHT STRONG LLJ WILL BE IN PLACE.  THERE WILL BE FAIRLY
STRONG SPEED SHEAR ABOVE THE INVERSION...BUT LITTLE DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR. THUS HAVE NOT INCLUED IN TAF FORECASTS.  WINDS INCREASING
RAPIDLY AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING. MAY SEE A FEW -SHRA ON FRIDAY OUT OF
MID CLDS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ANOKA-BENTON-
     BLUE EARTH-BROWN-CARVER-CHIPPEWA-DAKOTA-DOUGLAS-FARIBAULT-
     FREEBORN-GOODHUE-HENNEPIN-ISANTI-KANABEC-KANDIYOHI-LAC QUI
     PARLE-LE SUEUR-MARTIN-MCLEOD-MEEKER-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-
     NICOLLET-POPE-RAMSEY-REDWOOD-RENVILLE-RICE-SCOTT-SHERBURNE-
     SIBLEY-STEARNS-STEELE-STEVENS-SWIFT-TODD-WASECA-WATONWAN-
     WRIGHT-YELLOW MEDICINE.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR BROWN-
     CHIPPEWA-DOUGLAS-KANDIYOHI-LAC QUI PARLE-MARTIN-POPE-
     REDWOOD-RENVILLE-STEARNS-STEVENS-SWIFT-TODD-WATONWAN-YELLOW
     MEDICINE.

WI...NONE.

&&

JPR/BAP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1159 AM CDT THU OCT 6 2011

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
071100-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1159 AM CDT THU OCT 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA... AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE A CONCERN AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING OVER MOST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA.
THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY WILL BE OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHERE SOUTH WINDS COULD GUST TO 40 OR 45 MPH.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL LEAD TO A VERY RAPID SPREAD OF FIRE. SEE THE
LATEST RED FLAG WARNING...AND WIND ADVISORY PRODUCTS FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

STRONG SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING.

EVEN THOUGH HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE SEEN ON FRIDAY...THE
STRONG WINDS AND CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES COULD STILL CAUSE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG TO SEVERE AND CAUSE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

A FEW NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REST OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...ALONG THE SLOW MOVING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.