Areal Flood Warning 4, NWS Twin Cities, MN

686 
WGUS83 KMPX 230122
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
822 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MNC023-067-073-085-093-129-171-173-232200-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110323T2200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WRIGHT MN-KANDIYOHI MN-MEEKER MN-LAC QUI PARLE MN-CHIPPEWA MN-
MCLEOD MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-RENVILLE MN-
822 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING FOR RAIN AND MELTING SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
RENVILLE...MCLEOD...MEEKER...KANDIYOHI AND WRIGHT COUNTIES IN CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...AND YELLOW MEDICINE...CHIPPEWA AND LAC QUI PARLE COUNTIES
IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA UNTIL 500 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...


LOCAL DNR AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS CONTINUE TO TO REPORT 
HIGH WATER IN NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME SPECIFIC 
CREEKS THAT HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT BAKNFULL OR ARE ALREADY OUT OF 
THEIR BANKS INCLUDE
-BUFFALO CREEK
-SOUTH FORK OF THE CROW
-NORTH FORK OF THE CROW

THE ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT 
WILL AGGRAVATE THE SITUATION AND INCREASE FLOODING CONCERNS.  

PLEASE REFER TO THE MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION ROAD 
CONDITION SITE FOR INFORMATION RELATED TO COUNTY AND STATE HIGHWAYS 
THAT ARE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

LAT...LON 4527 9645 4512 9599 4515 9525 4541 9525
      4542 9476 4541 9477 4532 9476 4528 9427
      4543 9405 4525 9351 4497 9377 4498 9402
      4472 9402 4471 9463 4446 9464 4480 9549
      4480 9551 4470 9537 4454 9537 4463 9645

$$

DFC

492 
WGUS43 KMPX 232008
FLWMPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
308 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

MNC023-067-073-085-093-129-171-173-252200-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110325T2200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WRIGHT MN-KANDIYOHI MN-MEEKER MN-LAC QUI PARLE MN-CHIPPEWA MN-
MCLEOD MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-RENVILLE MN-
308 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR MELTING SNOW AND PREVIOUS RAIN IN...
  CHIPPEWA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  KANDIYOHI COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  LAC QUI PARLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  MCLEOD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  MEEKER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  RENVILLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  WRIGHT COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  YELLOW MEDICINE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT FRIDAY

* LOCAL DNR AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS CONTINUE TO TO REPORT 
  HIGH WATER IN NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME SPECIFIC 
  CREEKS THAT HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT BANK FULL OR ARE ALREADY OUT OF 
  THEIR BANKS INCLUDE...

  -BUFFALO CREEK
  -SOUTH FORK OF THE CROW
  -NORTH FORK OF THE CROW
  -LAC QUI PARLE 
  -YELLOW MEDICINE 
 
  IN ADDITION...RECENT SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING RAIN
  AND SNOW...COULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE LOCAL RISES IN SMALL CREEKS 
  AND STREAMS. ICE JAMS ARE ANOTHER CONCERN WITH THE COLDER TEMPERATURE
  DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.      

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...BUFFALO...
  GRANITE FALLS...HUTCHINSON...MADISON...MONTEVIDEO...OLIVIA...
  AND WILLMAR.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER
CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...
ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

ICE JAMS CAN CHANGE VERY QUICKLY...EITHER BACKING UP WATER...OR
CAUSING A LARGE VOLUME OF WATER TO FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF THE JAM UPON
BREAKUP. THUS IF YOU OBSERVE AN ICE JAM DEVELOPING NEAR YOU...PLEASE
REMAIN AWARE OF QUICKLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. TO REPORT ICE JAMS...
HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4527 9645 4512 9599 4515 9525 4541 9525
      4542 9476 4541 9477 4532 9476 4528 9427
      4543 9405 4525 9351 4497 9377 4498 9402
      4472 9402 4471 9463 4446 9464 4480 9549
      4480 9551 4470 9537 4454 9537 4463 9645

$$
JPR

538 
WGUS43 KMPX 251953
FLWMPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
253 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

MNC023-067-073-085-093-129-171-173-282200-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110328T2200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WRIGHT MN-KANDIYOHI MN-MEEKER MN-LAC QUI PARLE MN-CHIPPEWA MN-
MCLEOD MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-RENVILLE MN-
253 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR RAIN AND MELTING SNOW IN...
  CHIPPEWA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  KANDIYOHI COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  LAC QUI PARLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  MCLEOD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  MEEKER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  RENVILLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  WRIGHT COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  YELLOW MEDICINE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT MONDAY

* LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS CONTINUE TO REPORT HIGH WATER 
  IN NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS. THIS HIGH WATER WILL BE SLOW 
  TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ICE JAMS ARE POSSIBLE ON AREA      
  STREAMS. SOME SPECIFIC CREEKS THAT HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT BANK FULL 
  OR ARE ALREADY OUT OF THEIR BANKS INCLUDE...

  -BUFFALO CREEK
  -SOUTH FORK OF THE CROW
  -NORTH FORK OF THE CROW
  -LAC QUI PARLE 
  -YELLOW MEDICINE 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED 
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A 
FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

ICE JAMS CAN CHANGE VERY QUICKLY...EITHER BACKING UP WATER...OR
CAUSING A LARGE VOLUME OF WATER TO FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF THE JAM UPON
BREAKUP. THUS IF YOU OBSERVE AN ICE JAM DEVELOPING NEAR YOU...PLEASE
REMAIN AWARE OF QUICKLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. TO REPORT ICE JAMS...
HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4527 9645 4512 9599 4515 9525 4541 9525
      4542 9476 4541 9477 4532 9476 4528 9427
      4543 9405 4525 9351 4497 9377 4498 9402
      4472 9402 4471 9463 4446 9464 4480 9549
      4480 9551 4470 9537 4454 9537 4463 9645

$$

MTF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
413 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...

POTENT SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER S CENTRAL
SODAK. SYSTEM POISED TO DEEPEN NOTICEABLY AS IT TREKS INTO NORTHWESTERN
IOWA BY LATE THIS AFTN. CURRENT RAIN SHIELD NOTED MAINLY NORTH OF A
CANBY TO OWATONNA LINE. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
WILL FALL AS RAIN...WITH TEMPERATURES ALOFT FORCING ISSUE OF CHANCE
SLEET SCENARIO MAINLY NORTH OF A MORRIS TO BROOKLYN PARK TO EAU CLAIRE
LINE THIS MORNING...AND PUSHING THIS LINE NORTH APPROXIMATELY 50 MILES
DURING THE AFTERNOON. 850MB LI CONVERGENCE AREA ALSO DEMANDED
INCLUSION OF ISOLATED T-STORMS THIS MORNING MAINLY SOUTH OF A
BENSON TO MINNEAPOLIS LINE...WITH THE AREA SHRINKING NOTICEABLY TO
THE SOUTH PRIOR TO 23/00Z. ALTHOUGH OVERALL QPF VALUES FOR BULK OF
PRECIPITATION ARE BETWEEN ONE AND ONE AND TWO INCHES PRIOR TO 23/12Z
TIME PERIOD...OVERNIGHT CONVECTION PRODUCED ABOUT HALF OF FORECASTED
VALUES. THUS HAVE CUT QPF VALUES BY ABOUT THIS AMOUNT FOR LIFE CYCLE
OF SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION.../06Z TAF ISSUANCE/
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING RATHER QUICKLY
OVER EASTERN SD AND NW IA AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE
FAR SW PORTIONS OF OUR AREA SHORTLY. THERE WAS A SCATTERING OF
MVFR CIGS OVER PARTS OF THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND THIS SHOULD
FILL IN AS THE STRING FORCING CONTINUES TO MOVE IN. AREAS OF IFR
CIGS OVER SW MN MAY ALSO AFFECT KRWF AND KAXN AS RAIN AND SHOWERS
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE THUNDER MENTION AT
KRWF...BUT MAY ALSO MENTION A VCNTY THUNDER FOR KMSP BY ABOUT 12Z.
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS IN RAIN WILL PREVAIL OVER ALL SITES...AND IFR
CIGS WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO AT LEAST THE MN TAF SITES DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY. LOW LEVEL COOLING WILL GIVE THE RISK OF FREEZING RAIN TO
KSTC AND KAX FOR THE MORNING HOURS AND AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
COOLING OF THE ENTIRE LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CHANGE THE
PRECIPITATION TO ALL SLEET AND SNOW MOST AREAS JUST PRIOR TO THE
END OF THE PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR KRWF. SUSTAINED EAST WINDS OF 15 TO
20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY
KMSP...TO KSTC...TO KAXN.

KMSP...MVFR CIGS INTO THE MORNING...WITH RAIN AND SHOWERS
DEVELOPING AFTER 09Z. WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF THE CB BUT WILL
NEED TO WATCH FOR ADDING THUNDER. GREATEST RISK WILL BE IN THE 12Z
TO 15Z TIME FRAME. THE MVFR CIGS WILL BE ABOVE 017 UNTIL ABOUT
10Z...THEN DOWN TO 014-015. STEADIER RAIN AND SHOWERS WILL LOWER
CIGS TO IFR AFTER 22Z...THEN IFR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD
ALONG WITH IFR VSBYS. CURRENT THINKING IS A CHANGE OVER TO SLEET
AND SNOW AFTER 08Z.  SUSTAINED EAST WINDS OF 15 TO
20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL BE COMMON AFTER 15Z.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR BENTON-CHISAGO-
     DOUGLAS-ISANTI-KANABEC-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-TODD.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ANOKA-CARVER-DAKOTA-
     HENNEPIN-MCLEOD-RAMSEY-RENVILLE-SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WRIGHT.

WI...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR BARRON-
     CHIPPEWA-POLK-RUSK.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR DUNN-EAU CLAIRE-PEPIN-
     PIERCE-ST. CROIX.

&&

AJZ/JLT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1215 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
221715-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1215 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY TUESDAY MORNING. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE STRONGEST
STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL ALONG WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF
RAIN.

ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THAT DOES OCCUR COULD AGGRAVATE THE
FLOODING THAT IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT TO OCCUR OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA TRACKS EAST...SNOW AND SLEET OR RAIN WILL
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA LATER TONIGHT. SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS COULD VARY UP TO ONE HALF INCH BY DAYBREAK
TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW WILL BE ONGOING OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TUESDAY. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT...ACROSS
MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD EXCEED OVER SIX
INCHES BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA. THIS
WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RUNOFF AND FLOODING.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR RIVER FLOOD FORECASTS AND THE LATEST
ON THE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
142 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MNZ075>078-083>085-092-093-220745-
BLUE EARTH-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-GOODHUE-LE
SUEUR-NICOLLET-RICE-STEELE-WASECA-
142 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER BLUE
EARTH...FARIBAULT...FREEBORN...GOODHUE...LE
SUEUR...NICOLLET...RICE...STEELE AND WASECA COUNTIES
THROUGH 245 AM CDT...

AT 136 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NORTH MANKATO TO 3 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WASECA TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF MYRTLE. THESE STORMS WERE
MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST...BUT CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THE IOWA
BORDER. ALTHOUGH ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS...MOST OF THE HAIL WILL BE PEA SIZE BUT INTENSE ENOUGH TO
COVER THE GROUND IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  ELLENDALE.
  STEELE CENTER.
  DEERFIELD.
  WARSAW.
  RUSKIN.
  KENYON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4350 9365 4395 9373 4404 9429 4438 9369
      4439 9271 4419 9271 4419 9304 4351 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0640Z 241DEG 55KT 4420 9397 4408 9340
          4363 9314