River Flood Warning 22, NWS Mobile, AL

481 
WGUS84 KMOB 040223
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
923 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. 
  PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC003-FLC033-050223-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.110904T1027Z-110905T0748Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.110904T1027Z.110904T1800Z.110905T0148Z.NO/
923 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
* AT 9PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 14.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.

$$

ALC003-050223-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.110904T1348Z-110906T0000Z/
/FSHA1.1.ER.110904T1348Z.110905T0000Z.110905T1800Z.UU/
923 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* FROM TOMORROW MORNING UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 12.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC003-FLC033-050223-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.110905T0815Z-110907T0600Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.110905T0815Z.110906T0600Z.110907T0000Z.NO/
923 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 1.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 14.1 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  BY TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

718 
WGUS84 KMOB 041412
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
912 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
FLORIDA...
 
  PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES.


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC003-FLC033-041442-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110907T0600Z/
/BRPF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* AT 8AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.5 FEET AND RISING
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST AT 7.8 FEET AT 8 AM TUESDAY.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
349 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)TONIGHT)LEE MOVING ONSHORE OVER LA
WILL BRING CATEGORICAL POPS TO SW-ERN SECTIONS OF THE FA...TAPERING
TO LOW END SCATTERED NE. THERE WILL BE A SHIFT IN THE PRECIP
COVERAGE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FIRST TWO PERIODS AS LEE MOVES
INLAND. EVERYTHING PRETTY MUCH IN TROPICAL MODE THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM. /16

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...ON SUNDAY TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL BE
MOVING NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. THIS TRACK WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY AS THE FLOW WILL REMAIN
SOUTHERLY OFF THE GULF. SIGNIFICANT RAINS WILL LIKELY BE CONTINUING
AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE AND MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED
NORTH. FOR ADDITIONAL...MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)BY TUESDAY WHAT SHOULD BE A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF LEE IS FORECAST TO BEE ABOUT 100 MILES
NORTH OF MOBILE. THE LATEST HPC FORECAST HAS THE LOW CENTER OVER
NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA ON WEDNESDAY. I HAVE KEPT THE DEW POINTS A
LITTLE HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE NORTHWEST FLOW
AROUND THE DEPARTING LOW SHOULD STILL BE RATHER MOIST PLUS WE WILL
LIKELY HAVE A VERY SATURATED SOIL TO CONTRIBUTE TO THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. WILL HAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND END THEM OVER THE EAST ON THURSDAY. SINCE I
KEPT THE DEW POINTS HIGHER THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE LONG
TERM...THE LOW ALSO NEED TO BE ADJUSTED UP FROM THE GUIDANCE. /11
THE

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z ISSUANCE)CONDITIONS OVER THE FA WILL START FROM A
GENERAL MVFR SW WITH FREQUENT DROPS DUE TO SQUALLS FROM LEE TO VFR
CONDITIONS NE AWAY FROM LEE. THE DROP IN CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH AN
INCREASE IN THE WINDS...IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WORK ITS WAY NORTH AS
LEE MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. /16

&&

.MARINE...TS LEE WILL DOMINATE THE ENTIRE FORECAST. TS LEVEL WINDS
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN SETTLE AND BECOME OFFSHORE AS LEE
MOVES IN AND WEAKENS. GUIDANCE ADVERTISING A SLOW DROP TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY AS LEE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM MS TO AL...ALONG WITH A
SHIFT IN THE WINDS TO OFFSHORE.

/16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS WILL PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY DETERIORATE
NORTHWARD. /11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      82  77  88  78 / 100  90  90  70
PENSACOLA   83  79  87  79 /  90  90  90  70
DESTIN      85  77  87  78 /  90  90  80  70
EVERGREEN   86  74  87  76 /  70  80  80  70
WAYNESBORO  85  74  84  75 /  90  90  90  70
CAMDEN      89  73  85  74 /  50  60  80  70
CRESTVIEW   85  76  86  77 /  70  70  80  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER
     MOBILE...AND WASHINGTON.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...AND
     UPPER MOBILE.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     TROPICAL STORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL
     SANTA ROSA.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...AND STONE.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: GEORGE...AND STONE.

GM...TROPICAL STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     OUT 20 NM...MOBILE BAY...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...AND WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     TROPICAL STORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...AND
     WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1202 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-040000-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1202 AM CDT SAT AUG 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

THE ROUTINE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAS BEEN SUSPENDED. THE HWO
WILL RESUME WHEN TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR
THE AREA. INFORMATION NORMALLY CARRIED IN THE HWO CAN BE FOUND IN
THE TROPICAL STORM STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MOBILE ALABAMA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE GRAPHICAL HWO FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE INTERNET HOME PAGE.