Fire Weather Watch 20, NWS Mobile, AL

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
420 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-051830-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
420 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY AS AN ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE MOVES IN FROM
THE WEST. THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL OF SEVERE STORMS OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BEGINNING
AROUND 6 PM TO 7 PM THIS EVENING AS THE SQUALL LINE MOVES INTO THE
OUTLOOK AREA. THE SQUALL LINE WILL THEN ADVANCE EAST ACROSS THE
ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...THEN EXIT THE
OUTLOOK AREA BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. THIS SPEED OF MOTION IS SLIGHTLY
FASTER THAN EARLIER INDICATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA.
DATA STILL SUGGESTS THAT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG
THIS LINE OF STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE
PRIMARY THREATS. IN ADVANCE OF THE LINE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
CELLS MAY DEVELOP...AND SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
THERE IS NOW A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FCST AREA...ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 84...WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE FCST AREA. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FAIRLY
RAPIDLY...AND AS SUCH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED.
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1 TO 1.5 INCHES ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...WITH BUILDING SEAS
IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST...
FOLLOWED BY A STRONG NORTHERLY WIND FLOW DEVELOPING AROUND MIDNIGHT
AND LASTING THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. BAYS AND
COASTAL WATERWAYS WILL BE ROUGH...AND SEAS WILL BUILD TO 7 TO 9
FEET. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL
CRAFT. A GALE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE MARINE AREA DURING
THE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW ALONG WITH INCREASING SWELL AND TIDAL
RANGES WILL RESULT IN HIGH SURF ALONG THE GULF BEACHES...MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING...AND A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 35 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER LAND AREAS IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THESE STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL POSE A HAZARD TO MOTORISTS
DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AS WELL AS TO OTHERS IN OUTDOOR WIND
SENSITIVE ACTIVITIES. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM
TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG NORTHERLY WIND FLOW TUESDAY MORNING WILL DECREASING TO 15 TO
20 KNOTS BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES AWAY FROM
THE AREA. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS WILL BE ROUGH...AND SEAS OF 7 TO
9 FEET WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 7 FEET EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE REQUIRED BEGINNING AROUND MID AFTERNOON.