Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

October 10, 2011Seminole County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this river flood warning at Oct 10, 2011, 2:01 AM EDT for Seminole County, Florida. It took effect at Oct 20, 2011, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 10, 2011, 2:01 AM EDT (06:01 UTC)
In effect from: Oct 20, 2011, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired: Oct 17, 2011, 5:33 PM EDT
In force
Issued by: NWS Melbourne, FL
Flood severity: Minor

County Seminole County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point St. Johns River above Lake Harney (GENF1). The gauge peaked at 7.54 ft at Oct 18, 2011, 6:00 AM EDT.

Action stage: 6 ft
Minor stage: 8 ft
Moderate stage: 9 ft
Major stage: 10 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02234000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

499 
WGUS42 KMLB 100601
FLWMLB
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
201 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA.

 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND HAS CAUSED THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER TO BEGIN TO RISE. WHILE THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AFFECTED AREA, THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY UNTIL REACHING FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY.

FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER, INCLUDING ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA, MINOR 
FLOODING IS FORECAST.

FLC117-110601-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111014T1115Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111014T1115Z.111015T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
201 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011


* FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 01AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS...5.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
 *AT 8.8 FEET, WATER COVERS WHITCOMB ROAD.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   5.7  MON 01 AM   6.5    7.1    7.6    8.6    

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

9 follow-up statements

724 
WGUS82 KMLB 101521
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
1121 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND HAS CAUSED THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER TO BEGIN TO RISE. WHILE THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AFFECTED AREA, THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY UNTIL REACHING FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER, INCLUDING ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA, MINOR 
FLOODING IS FORECAST.

FLC117-111521-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111014T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111014T0600Z.111015T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1121 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA.
* AT 10AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET.
 *AT 8.8 FEET, WATER COVERS WHITCOMB ROAD.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   6.0  MON 10 AM   7.1    8.0    8.3    8.5    8.7

$$

870 
WGUS82 KMLB 111452
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
1052 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER
AT GENEVA ABOVE LAKE HARNEY. 

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND HAS CAUSED THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER
TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY RISE. WHILE THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS
THE AFFECTED AREA, THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY
AROUND GENEVA UNTIL REACHING FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE ROAD
46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY. FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS OCCURS AROUND 
MULLET LAKE AREAS.

FLC117-121452-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111015T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111015T1200Z.111016T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA.
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
*AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE ROAD
  46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY.FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS OCCURS AROUND 
  MULLET LAKE AREAS.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR GENEVA ABOVE
LAKE HARNEY  8.5   6.7  TUE  9 AM   7.4    8.0    8.3    8.5    8.6

$$

088 
WGUS82 KMLB 121434
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
1034 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER
AT GENEVA ABOVE LAKE HARNEY. 

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND HAS CAUSED THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER
TO SLOWLY RISE. WHILE THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE
AFFECTED AREA, THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY
AROUND GENEVA UNTIL REACHING FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.

AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE ROAD
46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY. FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS OCCURS AROUND 
MULLET LAKE AREAS.

FLC117-131434-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111017T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111017T0600Z.111017T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1034 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA.
* AT 09AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
* AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE ROAD
  46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY. FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS OCCURS AROUND 
  MULLET LAKE AREAS.
* AT 8.3 FEET, DOCKS ARE PARTIALLY SUBMERGED ALONG THE RIVER BETWEEN 
  LAKE HARNEY AND LEMON BLUFF 
* AT 8.5 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS HOMES ON STILTS ON PREVATT ROAD, 
  ENTERING GARAGES ON THE FIRST STORY.  WATER FILLS YARDS AND DITCHES 
  ALONG WHITCOMB DRIVE AND LAKE HARNEY ROAD. ROADS FLOOD IN THE PALM 
  SHORES AND MULLET LAKE AREAS.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   7.4  WED 09 AM   7.9    8.1    8.3    8.4    8.5

$$

165 
WGUS82 KMLB 131427
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
1027 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER
AT GENEVA ABOVE LAKE HARNEY. 

THE RIVER CONTINUES TO REACT TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE PAST
WEEKEND. WHILE NO SIGINIFICANT RAIN IS FORECAST, A SLOW RISE WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY
AROUND GENEVA UNTIL REACHING FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY.

AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE ROAD
46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY. FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS OCCURS AROUND 
MULLET LAKE AREAS.

FLC117-141427-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111018T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111018T0600Z.111018T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1027 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA.
* AT 9AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET.
* AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE ROAD
  46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY. FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS OCCURS AROUND 
  MULLET LAKE AREAS.
* AT 8.3 FEET, DOCKS ARE PARTIALLY SUBMERGED ALONG THE RIVER BETWEEN 
  LAKE HARNEY AND LEMON BLUFF.  
*AT 8.5 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS HOMES ON STILTS ON PREVATT ROAD, 
ENTERING GARAGES ON THE FIRST STORY.  WATER FILLS YARDS AND DITCHES 
ALONG WHITCOMB DRIVE AND LAKE HARNEY ROAD. ROADS FLOOD IN THE PALM 
SHORES AND MULLET LAKE AREAS.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

ST. JOHNS RIVER AT GENEVA ABOVE
LAKE HARNEY  8.5   7.8  THU  9 AM   8.0    8.2    8.3    8.4    8.5

$$

081 
WGUS82 KMLB 141321
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
921 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT GENEVA ABOVE LAKE HARNEY.

THE RIVER CONTINUES TO REACT TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE PAST
WEEKEND. WHILE NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS FORECAST, A SLOW RISE WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY
AROUND GENEVA UNTIL REACHING FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE ROAD 46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY. FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS OCCURS AROUND MULLET LAKE AREAS.

FLC117-151321-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111019T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111019T1200Z.111019T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA.
* AT 08AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
* AT 8.5 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS HOMES ON STILTS ON PREVATT ROAD, 
ENTERING GARAGES ON THE FIRST STORY.  WATER FILLS YARDS AND DITCHES 
ALONG WHITCOMB DRIVE AND LAKE HARNEY ROAD. ROADS FLOOD IN THE PALM 
SHORES AND MULLET LAKE AREAS.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   8.0  FRI 08 AM   8.1    8.2    8.3    8.4    8.5

$$

511 
WGUS82 KMLB 151503
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
1103 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER ABOVE
LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA.

 THE RIVER CONTINUES TO REACT TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE PAST
WEEKEND. WHILE NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS FORECAST, A SLOW RISE WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE 
SLOWLY AROUND GENEVA UNTIL REACHING FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY.

FLC117-161503-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111020T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111020T1200Z.111020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA.
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
 *AT 8.5 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS HOMES ON STILTS ON PREVATT ROAD, 
ENTERING GARAGES ON THE FIRST STORY.  WATER FILLS YARDS AND DITCHES 
ALONG WHITCOMB DRIVE AND LAKE HARNEY ROAD. ROADS FLOOD IN THE PALM 
SHORES AND MULLET LAKE AREAS.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   8.1  SAT 10 AM   8.2    8.2    8.3    8.4    8.5

$$

569 
WGUS82 KMLB 161355
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
955 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER ABOVE
LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA.

 THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER CONTINUES TO REACT TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM 
LAST WEEKEND. SOME ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED BEGINNING MONDAY EVENING 
WHICH WILL ADD TO THE CONTINUING SLOW RISE OF THE RIVER. THE SAINT JOHNS IS EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE AROUND GENEVA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

FLC117-171355-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111020T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111020T0600Z.111020T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA.
* AT 09AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
 *AT 8.5 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS HOMES ON STILTS ON PREVATT ROAD, 
ENTERING GARAGES ON THE FIRST STORY.  WATER FILLS YARDS AND DITCHES 
ALONG WHITCOMB DRIVE AND LAKE HARNEY ROAD. ROADS FLOOD IN THE PALM 
SHORES AND MULLET LAKE AREAS.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   8.2  SUN 09 AM   8.2    8.3    8.3    8.5    8.5

$$


BOWEN

813 
WGUS82 KMLB 171423
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
1023 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE
HARNEY NEAR GENEVA.

THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER CONTINUES TO REACT TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE
RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK WHICH
WILL ELEVATE WATER LEVELS FURTHER...REACHING FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY
EVENING.

FLC117-191423-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.111021T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.111021T0000Z.111022T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA.
* AT 09AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
 *AT 8.7 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS HOMES ON STILTS ON PREVATT ROAD, 
ENTERING GARAGES ON THE FIRST STORY. WATER FILLS YARDS AND DITCHES 
ALONG WHITCOMB DRIVE AND LAKE HARNEY ROAD. ROADS FLOOD IN THE PALM
SHORES AND MULLET LAKE AREAS.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   8.2  MON 09 AM   8.2    8.3    8.4    8.6    8.7

$$

525 
WGUS82 KMLB 172133
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 
533 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

A BIAS CORRECTION ADJUSTMENT HAS BEEN MADE ON THE ST JOHNS
RIVER ABOVE LAKE HARNEY. THIS DROPS THE RIVER LEVEL BELOW
FLOOD STAGE IN THE FORECAST. THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

THERE IS STILL EXPECTED A SLOW RISE TO ABOVE ACTION BANKFUL
STAGE BY FRIDAY.

 
FLC117-172203-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-111017T2133Z/
/GENF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
533 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR ABV LAKE HARNEY NR GENEVA.

AT 04PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
 * AT 8.0 FEET, WATER MOVES INTO YARDS ON PREVATT ROAD OFF STATE 
ROAD 46 NEAR LAKE HARNEY. FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS AND ROADS
BEGINS TO OCCURR IN MULLET LAKE PARK.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ABV LAKE H  8.5   7.5  MON 04 PM   7.6    7.7    7.9    8.1    8.3

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 9, 9:46 PM EDT, 4 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 9:46 PM EDT, 4 hours 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
946 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...

...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COAST OF BREVARD AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES...
...VERY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS AND BEACH EROSION LIKELY
OCCURRING...

CURRENT-OVERNIGHT...A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH AN ASSOCIATED TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS OFF THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST THIS
EVENING. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NASTY MARINE CONDITIONS WITH BUOY 41009 20
NAUTICAL MILES OFF THE COAST OF THE CAPE CONSISTENTLY GUSTING OVER
50 KNOTS WHERE NOW A STORM WARNING EXISTS UNTIL 5 AM. A VERY LOW
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW LOW-TOPPED ROTATING STORMS CAPABLE OF
WATER SPOUTS OR A BRIEF TORNADO ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SOME
STRONG WINDS/GUSTS HAVE MADE IT TO THE VOLUSIA AND SPACE COASTS WITH
LIKELY DAMAGE IN TERMS OF TREES DOWN AND POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES. A
HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT (PRESENTLY)
ACROSS COASTAL VOLUSIA...BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES WHERE
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY APPROACH 40 MPH ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH EXPECTED. A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED ACROSS A PORTION OF THE INTERIOR TO
INCLUDE INLAND VOLUSIA...SEMINOLE...ORANGE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES
UNTIL 4 AM. HERE GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE. WINDS HAVE
BEEN FORECAST TO EVENTUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT BUT LOW CONFIDENCE IN
SHORT TERM MODELS CURRENTLY FOR BOTH SPEED AND DIRECTION SURROUNDING
EVOLUTION OF LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE COAST.

LARGER BLOB OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION MOVING SLOWLY ONSHORE OF NORTH
BREVARD COUNTY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES POSSIBLE
LOCALLY HERE THROUGH MIDNIGHT AT LEAST.

MAIN SHORT TERM CONCERNS OVERNIGHT CONTINUE TO REVOLVE AROUND
DEVELOPING LOW WITH ASSOCIATED TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE BREVARD-VOLUSIA
COASTS...STRONG SURFACE WINDS AND VERY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 4 AM OVERNIGHT AND MAY HAVE TO BE
PUSHED FARTHER OUT FOR A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DEPENDING
ON PRECIPITATION TRENDS THESE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WILL CONTINUE HIGH
POPS BREVARD COUNTY NORTHWARD AND ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-4
CORRIDOR OVERNIGHT. ANY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS MOSTLY LIKELY
ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COASTS.

&&

.AVIATION...SOME THINNING OF CLOUDS NEAR KSUA/KFPR WITH DRIER AIR
ENTRAINMENT OCCURRING IN THIS AREA. FURTHER NORTH CONSIDERABLE CLOUD
COVER CONTINUES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE
INLAND FROM THE COAST NORTH OF KMLB. A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
IS LOCATED KVRB NORTHWARD TO KDAB. MVFR CIGS/VSBYS INVOF
PRECIPITATION. WILL CONTINUE TO HANDLE WITH TEMPO GROUPS IN TAFS.
SCATTERED SHOWER/STORM CHANCES DURING THE DAY MON.

AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING CONTINUES AT KDAB UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...OVERNIGHT...DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE BREVARD
COUNTY COAST TONIGHT WITH VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED.
STORM WARNING ISSUED THIS EVENING FOR ALL MARINE ZONES NORTH OF
SEBASTIAN INLET AS BUOY 41009 HAS REPEATEDLY REPORTED WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 50 KTS. THIS HAZARD RUNS THROUGH 5 AM PRESENTLY. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES EXIST SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET. SEAS MOST RECENTLY
UP TO 22 FEET AT BUOY 41009. LONG PERIOD SWELLS 11-12 SECONDS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SHINGLE CREEK
AT CAMPBELL DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS.
SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAINFALL IS FORECAST OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO CREST JUST ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING. FLOOD STAGE IS 59.0 FEET FOR THE
LOCATION AT CAMPBELL WITH SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES OF GOOD SAMARITAN
VILLAGE AND SHERWOOD FOREST.

THE GAUGE SITE ABOVE LAKE HARNEY IS ALSO BEING MONITORED FOR RISES
NEAR ACTION STAGE AND PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE THE SAINT
JOHNS SITE AT GENEVA (SEMINOLE COUNTY) TO STEADILY RISE OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. CURRENT MODEL RESULTS SHOW A SLOW AND STEADY RISE TO
ACTION STAGE BUT NOT EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE AT THIS TIME.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN
     BREVARD-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST.
     LUCIE.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-
     INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST.
     LUCIE.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-
     INDIAN RIVER-NORTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN BREVARD.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY FOR INLAND VOLUSIA-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS
     FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE.

     STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS
     FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM
     SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

SHORT TERM UPDATES/AVIATION: SEDLOCK
IMPACT WEATHER/RADAR: WIMMER
RADAR: MOSES
HMT: BOWEN
COORDINATOR: KELLY

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 6:10 PM EDT, 7 hours 51 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
610 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-100600-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
610 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
OCCASIONAL BRIEF SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD
AT 40 MPH AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH AND POSSIBLY A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST. SINCE THE GROUND ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS WATERLOGGED FROM ALL THE HEAVY RAIN OF THE
PAST TWO DAYS...WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH WILL BE CAPABLE OF BLOWING
DOWN TREES...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE WEAK...OR WITH SHALLOW ROOT
SYSTEMS.

.TORNADO THREAT...
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. THERE IS A LOW...BUT DISCERNIBLE THREAT
FOR TORNADOES...MAINLY ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND SPACE COASTS.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
CONTINUED STRONG AND GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WILL GENERATE RAIN AND
SQUALLS OVER THE ATLANTIC THAT MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA. SOME
TRAINING OF ECHOES IS EXPECTED WHICH COULD PRODUCE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN OVER VOLUSIA AND BREVARD COUNTIES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODING AND STANDING WATER
CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS...AND ALSO CAUSE ADDITIONAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT ARE HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE
TO FLOODING.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
STRONG LOW LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY CONDITIONS
THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS VOLUSIA...BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER
COUNTIES WHERE A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
POWER OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY FROM
FALLING TREES AND TREE LIMBS DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED WATERLOGGED
CONDITIONS. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING
ALONG THE COAST ACROSS SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES AND A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS.

.COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
THE OCEAN WILL BE LIKE A WASHING MACHINE THROUGH TONIGHT AS GUSTY
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ATLANTIC GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND
FREQUENT LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG THE BEACHES AND JETTIES. A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. DUE TO THE PROLONGED NATURE OF THIS
LARGE WAVE EVENT...BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SIGNIFICANT.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
ALTHOUGH THE PRIMARY BEACH THREAT WILL BE LARGE BREAKING WAVES...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS OCCUR DURING LARGE WAVE EVENTS...MAINLY ALONG
PIERS AND JETTIES.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
WIDESPREAD SQUALLS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 KNOTS...MAINLY NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS OVER THE ATLANTIC AND
INTRACOASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
EASTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO AROUND 40 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET WILL PRODUCE VERY
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. WAVE HEIGHTS TO AROUND 20 FEET
WILL OCCUR IN THE OPEN ATLANTIC. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH ON MONDAY BUT SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE...
WHICH WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS NEAR INLETS. ROUGH
SURF WILL LINGER ON MONDAY AND RIP CURRENTS WILL BE A HAZARD INTO
MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND REPORT MINOR
DAMAGE...FLOODING...HIGH WINDS AND RAINFALL TOTALS OVER 3 INCHES.

LASCODY/CRISTALDI/SEDLOCK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 9, 10:51 PM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1051 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E HAULOVER CANAL      28.74N 80.70W
10/09/2011  M75 MPH          BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            USAF 54 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 19 MEASURED A WIND GUST OF
            65 KT/75 MPH.

&&

ARB

Special weather statement, Oct 9, 11:06 PM EDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1106 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

AMZ550-552-FLZ047-141-147-100430-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-NORTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1106 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

...DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTHERN BREVARD COAST NEAR
CAPE CANAVERAL...

LATEST DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AND IS CURRENTLY JUST
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN BREVARD COAST.

THE BAND OF STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHERN
BREVARD COUNTY IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD AND IS APPROACHING
MAINLAND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY. NUMEROUS WIND TOWERS
AROUND CAPE CANAVERAL CONTINUE TO REPORT GUSTS BETWEEN 60 AND 65
MPH...WITH TWO TOWERS REPORTING GUSTS TO 75 MPH.

FREQUENT GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS COCOA
BEACH...PORT CANAVERAL...THE MERRITT ISLAND WILDLIFE REFUGE...AND
KENNEDY SPACE CENTER THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING
ALONG THE MAINLAND PRIMARILY ALONG AND EAST OF US 1 NORTH OF
ROCKLEDGE WHICH WILL SEE FREQUENT GUSTS UP 50 MPH...INCREASING TO 60
MPH TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.

AS THIS LOW MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST...WINDS WILL INCREASE ALONG THE
VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST EAST OF I-95 WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE REPORTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED ACROSS COASTAL
NORTHERN BREVARD AND COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES...AND ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH THESE
WINDS. THE EXTREMELY MOIST GROUND WILL MAKE DOWNED TREES AND POWER
LINES LIKELY. THESE WIND SPEEDS WILL ALSO CAUSE DAMAGE TO ROOFS AND
SMALL OBJECTS BECOMING AIRBORNE. WINDS OF THESE SPEEDS WILL CHURN UP
WAVES WITHIN LOCAL MARINAS WHICH MAY CAUSE BOATS TO BECOME LOOSE
FROM THEIR MOORINGS AND DAMAGE TO DOCKS AND MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
ALONG BEACH AND RIVER FRONT LOCATIONS. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO MAKE
DRIVING ACROSS LOCAL CAUSEWAYS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

MOSES

Local storm report, Oct 9, 11:18 PM EDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1118 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE PLAYALINDA BEACH  28.61N 80.61W
10/09/2011  M81.00 MPH       BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            USAF 60 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 393 MEASURED A 70 KT/81 MPH
            WIND GUST.

1020 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE PLAYALINDA BEACH   28.61N 80.60W
10/09/2011  M78.00 MPH       BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            USAF 60 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 394 MEASURED A 68 KT/78 MPH
            WIND GUST.

&&

ARB

Special weather statement, Oct 10, 12:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1215 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

FLZ141-147-100530-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
1215 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...GALE CENTER NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL MOVING NORTHWEST...

AT 1210 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THE GALE CENTER THAT HAD BROUGHT WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH TO PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN BREVARD COAST HAD MOVED ONSHORE NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL.

THE LOW CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST THROUGH 2 AM AND A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO CONTINUE NORTH OF THE LOW WHERE
STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 TO 55 MPH
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE BEACHES AND BARRIER ISLANDS FROM
PLAYALINDA BEACH TO ORMOND BEACH.

THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS FROM THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING MINOR WIND DAMAGE ALONG THE COAST...INCLUDING CAUSING
UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER
OUTAGES. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING ACROSS LOCAL CAUSEWAYS
DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH
SHOWERS NORTH OF LOW CENTER AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE VOLUSIA
COUNTY COAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

VOLKMER

Special weather statement, Oct 10, 12:59 AM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1259 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

FLZ141-100700-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-
1259 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH OVER COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 300 AM EDT.

AT 1253 AM EDT...A GALE CENTER THAT HAD MOVED ONSHORE ACROSS
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY HAD PRODUCED A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG
THE VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CAUSE
WINDS TO FURTHER INCREASE ALONG THE COAST TO 30 TO 40 MPH FROM THE
EAST WITH GUSTS TO 45 TO 55 MPH ALONG THE BEACHES THROUGH 3 AM.

THESE STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT COASTAL SECTIONS OF VOLUSIA COUNTY
INCLUDING ORMOND BEACH...DAYTONA BEACH...AND NEW SMYRNA BEACH.

THE GUSTY WINDS TO 45 TO 55 MPH...CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY.

LAT...LON 2942 8109 2916 8097 2909 8092 2908 8093
      2907 8090 2879 8073 2881 8078 2885 8079
      2885 8081 2879 8079 2879 8087 2880 8087
      2938 8114 2942 8115 2943 8114
TIME...MOT...LOC 0453Z 180DEG 0KT 2911 8076

15

Special weather statement, Oct 10, 1:56 AM EDT, 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
156 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

FLZ141-100745-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-
156 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 50 AND 55 MPH OVER COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 345 AM EDT.

AT 149 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE
GALE CENTER HAD MOVED INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF VOLUSIA
COUNTY. NORTH OF THE LOW...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE STRONG ONSHORE WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 55
MPH.

THESE STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT COASTAL SECTIONS OF VOLUSIA COUNTY
INCLUDING ORMOND BEACH...DAYTONA BEACH...AND NEW SMYRNA BEACH.

THE GUSTY WINDS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS...CAN
CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE
POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY.

LAT...LON 2942 8109 2916 8097 2910 8092 2908 8093
      2907 8090 2880 8073 2880 8077 2885 8078
      2885 8081 2880 8078 2880 8096 2927 8117
      2927 8116 2941 8116 2943 8114
TIME...MOT...LOC 0549Z 180DEG 0KT 2908 8096

15

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 9, 8:10 PM EDT	Wind Advisory	MLB	Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia	8 hr
Oct 9, 8:34 PM EDT	Storm Warning	MLB		8 hr
Oct 9, 10:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	MLB	Lake	55 min
Oct 9, 10:59 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	MLB	Brevard, Volusia	2 hr
Oct 10, 12:59 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	MLB	Volusia	2 hr
Oct 10, 1:56 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	MLB	Volusia	109 min
Oct 10, 2:33 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	MLB	Osceola	15 hr
Oct 10, 2:55 PM EDT	Small Craft Advisory for Hazardous Seas	MLB		20 hr
Oct 10, 6:00 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	MLB	Osceola	19 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2011 Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.