Small Craft Advisory 18, NWS Milwaukee, WI

030 
WHUS73 KMKX 241518
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
918 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011

...BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS TODAY...THEN
INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES ALONG THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY REGION TONIGHT.
BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW WILL
GENERATE HIGH WAVES TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.

LMZ643>646-242330-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0018.110225T0000Z-110226T0200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
918 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM CST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM CST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
  30 KNOTS THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET THIS EVENING BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET AFTER
  MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
DDV

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

423 
WHUS73 KMKX 242138
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
338 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011

...BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES FROM NORTHERN ARKANSAS TO
SOUTHERN OHIO TONIGHT. BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW WILL GENERATE HIGH WAVES TONIGHT AND INTO
FRIDAY.

LMZ643>646-250545-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0018.110225T0000Z-110226T0200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
338 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 
  AROUND 30 KNOTS THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. 

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET THIS EVENING BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
DDV

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

721 
WHUS73 KMKX 250332
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
932 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011

...BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES ACROSS KENTUCKY INTO SOUTHERN
OHIO OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE NORTHEAST STATES FRIDAY. BRISK NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH WAVES INTO FRIDAY.

LMZ643>646-251200-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110226T0200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
932 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
  30 KNOTS INTO FRIDAY MORNING...THEN TURNING NORTHWEST AND
  DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.  

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 5 TO 10 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH HIGHEST
  WAVES TOWARD THE ILLINOIS BORDER. THE WAVES WILL START TO
  SUBSIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT REMAIN ABOVE 4 FEET INTO THE EARLY
  EVENING HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

CRAVEN

710 
WHUS73 KMKX 250943
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
343 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...BRISK NORTH WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL EXIT NORTHEAST KENTUCKY THIS MORNING AND
REACH THE NORTHEAST U.S. DURING THE DAY. BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY.

LMZ643>646-251745-
/O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110226T0000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
343 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS MORNING...THEN
  TURNING NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET WITH HIGHEST WAVES TOWARD THE ILLINOIS
  BORDER. THE WAVES WILL START TO SUBSIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
HENTZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

715 
WHUS73 KMKX 251526
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
926 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...NORTH WINDS DIMINISHING TODAY BUT BRISK NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL EXIT NORTHEAST KENTUCKY THIS MORNING
AND REACH THE NORTHEAST U.S. DURING THE DAY. BRISK NORTH WINDS
WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY.

LMZ643-644-251630-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110226T0000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
926 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS CANCELLED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED EARLY THIS MORNING AND DROPPED
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

$$

LMZ645-646-252200-
/O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110225T2200Z/
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
926 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: NORTH AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS LATE THIS MORNING...THEN TURNING
  NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHING EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET WITH HIGHEST WAVES TOWARD THE ILLINOIS
  BORDER. THE WAVES WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

CJK
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

460 
WHUS73 KMKX 252045
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
245 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...NORTH WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED THIS AFTERNOON...

.LOW PRESSURE HAS MOVED WELL EAST RELAXING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT.
WINDS HAVE EASED SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING ALLOWING WAVES TO
SUBSIDE. AS A RESULT...THE SMALL CRAFT HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LMZ645-646-252145-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110225T2200Z/
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
245 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS CANCELLED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

EXPECT NORTH WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS WITH WAVES OF 2 TO 3 FEET FOR
THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON SUBSIDING TO AROUND 1 FOOT LATE THIS
EVENING.

$$
CJK

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
302 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011

TODAY AND TONIGHT - FORECAST CONFIDENCE - MEDIUM

LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN SHOULD DIMINISH
EARLY THIS MORNING AS WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND BRINGS
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW EROSION OF MOISTURE
FROM ABOVE AS INVERSION HEIGHTS LOWER.  MODELS/FORECAST SOUNDINGS
MAY OVERDO MOISTURE AS STILL A PERSISTENT STATUS SHIELD WELL TO THE
WEST.

EVEN IF THE CLOUDS DO THIN DUE TO LOW LEVEL DRYING AS WEAK RIDGE
TRIES TO BUILD INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...UPPER/MID LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS SHORTWAVE EXITS THE
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES.  THIS SHORTWAVE MOVES NORTHEAST INTO
ILLINOIS BY MIDNIGHT...THEN INTO THE EASTERN OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY
MORNING.

DESPITE LOW MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER...AND LOW LEVEL FORCING
FOCUSING ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER AREA...THE
UPPER FORCING IS INDICATING SOUTHERN WISCONSIN MAY GET ACCUMULATING
SNOW FROM THIS FAST MOVING SYSTEM.  500-300 MB RH PATTERN SHOWS
SOUTHERN EDGE OF MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES UP ACROSS FAR
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.  STRONG FRONTOGENESIS IN THE 700 TO 500 MB
LAYER...EVEN AROUND 850 MB NEAR THE ILLINOIS BORDER...ALONG WITH
MODERATE Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA...A BIT
STRONGER IN THE FAR SOUTH AROUND -30.  EVEN SOME DECENT SATURATED
GEO POTENTIAL VORTICITY INDICATING MID/UPPER INSTABILITY.  2 G/KG OF
MOISTURE IN THE 850 TO 700 MB LAYER.  SNOW GROWTH LAYER FROM 7 TO
ALMOST 15 THSD FT WITH 3 TO 4 INCH SNOW POTENTIAL FAR SOUTHEAST
NEAR KENOSHA WITH UP TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR THE ILLINOIS BORDER
IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN UP TO MILWAUKEE...LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE
NORTH. WILL GO WITH SNOW ADVISORY FOR KENOSHA COUNTY FOR LATE
TONIGHT AS SNOW MAY BE CONCENTRATED IN A RATHER SHORT PERIOD.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY - FORECAST CONFIDENCE - HIGH

THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL ALLOW
A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO RIDGE INTO THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL TRACK ACROSS MINNESOTA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN
SATURDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING IN LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS STARTING
FRIDAY AFTERNOON LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE SEEMS TO BE
ENOUGH MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS AND JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE THROUGHOUT
THE COLUMN TO ALLOW FOR PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW. CURRENT THINKING IS
TO SEE PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW STARTING MAINLY FRIDAY EVENING
LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCH OF
SNOW AREA WIDE WITH UP TO TWO INCHES ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY - FORECAST CONFIDENCE - MEDIUM

MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BRINGING A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE CALIFORNIA COAST SATURDAY
INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY. STRONG WARM AIR
ADVECTION KICKS IN ACROSS THE REGION BY NOON SUNDAY AS SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPS OVER THE PANHANDLE OF OKLAHOMA AND QUICKLY MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE
ARE SLIGHT TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
SURFACE LOW AT THIS POINT WITH THE GFS AROUND SIX HOURS FASTER THAN
THE EUROPEAN. THE CURRENT FORECASTED SURFACE LOW TRACK MOVES
ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS ON THE GFS AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS ON THE
EUROPEAN. INITIALLY...PRECIP WILL LIKELY START OUT AS SNOW OR A
MIX LATE SUNDAY MORNING...BUT THEN TRANSITION TO A MIX BY THE
EVENING AS WARM AIR SURGES IN WITH A 850 MB SOUTHWESTERLY JET OF
40 TO 50 KTS. STRONGEST FORCING AND OMEGA LOOKS TO BE LATE SUNDAY
EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS STILL PLENTY
OF TIME FOR MODELS TO SHIFT THE TRACK OF THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
IN TURN AFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE AND AMOUNTS...SO STAY TUNED.

THE WINTER STORM WILL QUICKLY MOVE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY WITH
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND COLDER AIR EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
MONDAY. DEPENDING ON HOW DEEP THE LOW GETS...WINDS MONDAY COULD
REACH 30 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS CLOSE TO 50 MPH IN SOME
LOCATIONS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY - FORECAST CONFIDENCE - MEDIUM

NORTHWESTERLY FLOW LOOKS TO DOMINATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH A
SURFACE HIGH DROPPING OUT OF SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA TUESDAY INTO THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WEDNESDAY. SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS NORTHERN HALF
OF WISCONSIN TUESDAY NIGHT MAY BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW NORTH...BUT
ELECTED TO KEEP THINGS DRY ACROSS CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN SHOULD DIMINISH
EARLY THIS MORNING AS WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND BRINGS
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW EROSION OF MOISTURE
FROM ABOVE AS INVERSION HEIGHTS LOWER.  MODELS/FORECAST SOUNDINGS
MAY OVERDO MOISTURE AS STILL A PERSISTENT STRATUS SHIELD WELL TO THE
WEST. THEREFORE EXPECT IFR/LIFR SOUTHEAST WITH MVFR CIGS SOUTH
CENTRAL...BECOMING MAINLY MVFR CIGS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE MVFR CIGS MAY SCATTER FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING BEFORE CIGS LOWER AGAIN TONIGHT.

A SHORTWAVE MOVES QUICKLY NORTHEAST INTO ILLINOIS BY MIDNIGHT...THEN
INTO THE EASTERN OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY MORNING.

DESPITE LOW MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER...AND LOW LEVEL FORCING
FOCUSING ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER AREA...THE
UPPER FORCING IS INDICATING SOUTHERN WISCONSIN MAY GET ACCUMULATING
SNOW FROM THIS FAST MOVING SYSTEM.  EXPECT IFR CIGS/VSBYS ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS SOUTH OF MSN TO MKE...AND MVFR TO THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THURSDAY
EVENING...AS NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF APPROACHING
LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AREA.  WINDS WILL
EASE ON FRIDAY...BUT HIGHER WAVES WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY
DUE TO THE FAVORABLE FETCH.  WILL ISSUE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
THIS.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY
     FOR WIZ072.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM CST FRIDAY
     FOR LMZ643>646.

&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...16
VERY SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
922 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-241100-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
922 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SHORTLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK FROM OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI
THURSDAY AND THEN INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE
HAS BEEN A TREND FOR THIS LOW TO TRACK A BIT FURTHER
NORTH...INCREASING THE THREAT OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IN SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN AND ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ILLINOIS BORDER. A COUPLE INCHES
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE...BUT A SLIGHT NORTHWARD CHANGE TO THE STORM
TRACK COULD RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW.

A STRONGER STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS FROM CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO
LOWER MICHIGAN SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR
BRINGING MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND
SNOW TO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. THE MIXTURE MAY CHANGE TO RAIN FOR A
TIME IN THE SOUTH.

ALL LATE WEEKEND INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR THE FORECAST ON THIS
NEXT POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED...HOWEVER SNOW AND MIXED
PRECIPITATION REPORTS ARE ALWAYS APPRECIATED.

LMZ643>646-241100-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
922 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LOW PRESSURE PASSING TO THE SOUTH WILL RESULT IN A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND BLUSTERY NORTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. WINDS AND WAVES WILL LIKELY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS DURING THIS TIME.

WINDS AND WAVES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS ILLINOIS AND INTO THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS STORM TO
STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY AS IT PASSES ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN...RESULTING
IN GALE FORCE NORTHWEST WINDS FOR LAKE MICHIGAN ON MONDAY.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

CRAVEN