Dense Smoke Advisory 4, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
308 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS TO THE WEST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 230 AM WED...WIDESPREAD CONVECTION TO THE WEST CONTS TO GRAD
DISSIPATE AS SLIDES EAST TOWARD MHX CWA. BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS
CONVECTION SHLD BE GONE BY MORNING. EXPECT PC SKIES REST OF THE
DAY WITH HOT...MUGGY CONDITIONS. WITH 850 TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE AOA
20C THINK SOME INLAND SPOTS MAY TOUCH 100. DEWPTS WILL BE HIGHER
TODAY BUT BOTH MAV AND MET GUIDANCE SHOW DEWPTS DROPPING INTO THE
60S CSTL PLAIN THIS AFTN. WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT ADVRY ESPCLY
HIGHWAY 17 CORRIDOR BUT FOR NOW WILL NOT GO WITH ADVISORY AND
KEEP MENTION IN HWO. THE HOT TEMPS WILL PRODUCE GOOD INSTAB AGAIN
AND EXPECT ISOLD TO WDLY SCT CONVECTION MAINLY INLAND.

RGNL RDR CONTS TO SHOW PLUME FROM FIRE IN PENDER COUNTY. LOW LVL
FLOW IS BECOMING MORE SW AND THAT SHLD RESULT IN LESS SMOKE INLAND
AND MOST ALONG THE CST. WILL LIKELY NEED TO CONT SPS PAST 12Z
DOWNWIND OF FIRE AND WILL TOUCH BASE WITH ONSLOW COUNTY OFFICIALS
TO SEE IF NEED DENSE SMOKE ADVRY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
AS OF 230 AM WED...ADDED LOW CHC POPS DEEP INLAND FOR THIS
EVENING WHERE MAY SEE SOME STRONG STORMS DEVELOP WITH GOOD
INSTAB/PRECIP WATER. AS UPR TRF SLIDES E MAY ALSO HAVE WEAK SRT
WAVE AIDING LIFT INLAND THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE WILL HAVE SLIGHT
POP THIS EVENING FOR ALL BUT IMD CST. WILL BE ANOTHER WARM MUGGY
NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S INLAND AND UPR 70S BEACHES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 255 AM WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL
CONTINUE OFFSHORE FOR THE MEDIUM AND EXTENDED RANGE PERIODS. LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY WILL PUSH EAST TOWARDS
NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...DRAGGING A
WEAK COLD FRONT INTO WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL STALL WEST OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. SLIGHT TO CHANCE POPS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVES EXPECTED TO
PASS NORTHEAST ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS INLAND IN THE 90S TO 80S ALONG THE
BEACHES...WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
/SHORT TERM TODAY AND TONIGHT/...
AS OF 230 AM WED...VERY TOUGH AVIATION FCST WITH SMOKE...FOG AND
STRATUS ALL POSSIBLE. WITH LOW LVL FLOW BECOMING SW SMOKE FROM
PENDER COUNTY FORE SHLD BE MAINLY TO THE E OF TAF SITES REST OF
TONIGHT AND THROUGH MOST OF TODAY. THINK WILL HAVE MOSTLY MVFR TO
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH DAYBREAK. LATER TODAY WITH HEATING AND
INCREASING WINDS SHLD SEE MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS DEVELOP ALTHOUGH
SOME MVFR VSBYS WILL BE POSS IN SMOKE OR HAZE. WDLY SCT CONVECTION
EXPECTED THIS EVENING BUT FOR NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO ADD TO
TAFS...OTHERWISE MOSTLY VFR TONIGHT WITH DECENT SW WINDS.

/LONG TERM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 235 AM WEDNESDAY...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MODELS
SUGGEST WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL MIGRATE NORTHEAST ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THIS BOUNDARY WHICH MAY HELP TO KICK OFF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AVIATION CONDITIONS MAY
REDUCE BRIEFLY TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR IN REDUCED CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES DUE TO CONVECTION. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
/SHORT TERM TODAY AND TONIGHT/...
AS OF 230 AM WED...SW WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TODAY AS GRDNT
TIGHTENS WITH TRF BECOMING BETTER DEFINED INLAND. EXPECT SW WINDS
10 TO 15 KTS THIS MORNING TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 THIS AFTN MOST
WATERS. SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FT WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FT...WITH 5 FT
SEAS MOSTLY OUTER CNTRL AND SRN WTRS. TONIGHT SW WINDS LOOK TO
PEAK AROUND 20 KTS OVER OUTER WATERS S OF HAT...THIS SHLD PRODUCE
MARGINAL 6 FT SEAS FAR OUTER CNTRL AND SRN WTRS THIS EVENING INTO
EARLY THU.

/LONG TERM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 245 AM WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEASTER US
COASTLINE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MEDIUM AND EXTENDED
RANGES...PRODUCING A MAINLY WIND DRIVEN WAVE FOR THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL WATERS WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE WATERS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...CAUSING THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS IN 6 FT SEAS WILL
LIKELY BE OBSERVED ON THE OUTER FRINGES OF THE 20 NMI COASTAL ZONES
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH TO OFFSHORE OREGON INLET. SEAS SHOULD
SUBSIDE BELOW 6 FT FOR FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE GRADIENT DIMINISHES
SLIGHTLY. SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS AGAIN
BUILD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. INLAND STALLED BOUNDARY SHOULD LIFT NORTH ON
SUNDAY LESSENING THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FRONT AND OFFSHORE HIGH
PRESSURE. SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD RANGING
10 TO 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE WATERS AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
SOUNDS...WITH EXACT TIMING OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES DEPENDENT ON
TIMING OF SHORTWAVES...WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE SURFACE
GRADIENT...PUSHING EAST ALONG THE STALLING BOUNDARY INLAND.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR AMZ152-154-156-158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RF
NEAR TERM...RF
SHORT TERM...RF
LONG TERM...DAG
AVIATION...RF/DAG
MARINE...RF/DAG

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1120 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

NCZ090-220345-
DUPLIN-
1120 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS DUPLIN COUNTY THROUGH 1145
PM EDT...

AT 1118 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES WEST OF WARSAW...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...WARSAW...AND...
BOWDENS...MAGNOLIA...KENANSVILLE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PENNY SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARLY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS. MANY LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. IF
YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A VEHICLE.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3490 7815 3508 7816 3509 7818 3512 7817
      3514 7777 3473 7774 3482 7818
TIME...MOT...LOC 0318Z 272DEG 33KT 3498 7817

DAG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
111 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

NCZ029-044-045-080-221200-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-BEAUFORT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE...
GREENVILLE...PLYMOUTH...WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD
111 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

...REDUCED VISIBILITIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN SMOKE AND FOG...

SMOKE FROM A FIRE LOCATED OVER PENDER COUNTY WILL DRIFT
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ACROSS BEAUFORT...PITT...MARTIN AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. THE SMOKE COMBINED WITH SOME FOG MAY RESULT IN
VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO LESS THAN 1 MILE AT TIMES. MOTORISTS
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH DAYBREAK.