Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
252 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...

WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA AND ADJACENT WATERS. A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES
TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND IS NOW EXTENDING INTO THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO
BRING MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION...ALTHOUGH SOME DRIER LOWER
LEVEL AIR MIGHT BE MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BISCAYNE BAY. BREAKS IN THE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON TO CLIMB INTO
THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90...WITH AFTERNOON CONVECTION STARTING TO
GET ACTIVE ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT SOME DRIER LOWER LEVEL
AIR COULD BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...WHILE
DEEPER LAYER MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
CWA AND INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THESE FEATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FORECAST TO CONTINUE SINKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION. THEREFORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND INTO
THE WEEKEND. BUT THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE
FORECAST...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH ON THE REGION AND JUST HOW FAR NORTHWARD THE LOWER
LEVEL DRIER AIR MIGHT PENETRATE INTO THE REGION.

60

&&

.MARINE...

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION IS FORECAST TO BE WEAK
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS OR LESS WITH
MAINLY TRANQUIL SEAS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  75  88  75  87 / 40 50 30 40
FORT LAUDERDALE  78  89  78  87 / 30 40 30 40
MIAMI            77  89  76  88 / 30 40 30 40
NAPLES           75  87  75  89 / 30 50 30 40

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE...60/BD
AVIATION/RADAR/FIRE...85/AG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
333 AM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-302245-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
333 AM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG, CONTAINING FREQUENT LIGHTING STRIKES AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS. HEAVY RAINS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS AS WELL.

WIND: THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH.

FLOODING: LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SLOW STORM MOVEMENT MAY
RESULT IN MINOR STREET FLOODING IN SOME LOCALES.

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC BEACHES DUE TO A SOUTHEAST WIND NEAR 10 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EACH DAY...WITH THE PRIMARY
RISK BEING LIGHTNING STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL AND
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
234 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

FLZ071>074-301900-
INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL METRO BROWARD
COUNTY FL METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL
234 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY
  NORTHEASTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 230 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CORAL GABLES. THIS STORM WAS MOVING
  NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 T0 55 MPH...UP TO
NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE
ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN
FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE WINDS
CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM
PASSES.

LAT...LON 2612 8053 2610 8019 2575 8025 2577 8044
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 180DEG 0KT 2572 8026

85-GIBBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
237 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

FLZ067-068-072-168-172-301900-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL INLAND PALM
BEACH COUNTY FL METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL
237 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 230 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BOCA RATON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5
  MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 T0 55 MPH...UP TO
NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE
ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN
FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE WINDS
CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM
PASSES.

LAT...LON 2650 8005 2643 8005 2640 8006 2639 8006
      2626 8007 2628 8023 2655 8017 2653 8004
TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 225DEG 4KT 2639 8009

85-GIBBS

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