Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
238 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

.SHORT TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST
TONIGHT. ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS LEFT ACROSS THE AREA WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING HOURS SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH FLORIDA BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE FAVORABLE DYNAMICS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH, A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE AREA OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF OUR CWA. THIS
FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY DIMINISH JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH MOISTURE IN PLACE TO SUPPORT A CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS THROUGHOUT FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM...

MANY AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY ON SATURDAY, HOWEVER
EXTREME SOUTHERN AREAS NEAR THE DIMINISHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STILL
HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE IN SPEED DURING THE DAY
ON SATURDAY. THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA COULD SEE WINDS UP TO 15
TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS ARE FORECASTED TO TURN TO THE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST AFTER TUESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA.

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KNOTS OUT AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS ON FRIDAY. BEHIND
THIS FRONT, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 15
TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ON SATURDAY. SEAS COULD APPROACH 6
FEET OVER PORTIONS OF THE GULF STREAM ON SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AREAS OF SMOKE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF COLLIER, GLADES, AND HENDRY
COUNTIES TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS WILL CREATE RESTRICTED
VISIBILITIES ALONG WITH HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. WINDS MAY
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST LATER ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THIS COULD
RESULT IN ANY ONGOING FIRE BEHAVING DIFFERENTLY WITH THE SMOKE
SPREADING IN A DIFFERENT DIRECTION. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE FORECASTED TO STAY ABOVE 35 PERCENT DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. ON SATURDAY, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COULD FALL
BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN INTERIOR SECTIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  75  87  68  83 / 20 30 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE  75  88  71  83 / 20 30 10 10
MIAMI            75  89  71  85 / 20 30 20 20
NAPLES           74  91  69  88 / 20 30 10 10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE...55/CWC
AVIATION/RADAR/FIRE...47/RGH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
430 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-290845-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
430 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...SMOKE MAY CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES TONIGHT WEST...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES...
...CHANCE OF EVENING THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: A SOUTHEAST WIND OF 10 TO 15 MPH COMBINED WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING
MAINLY INLAND ACROSS GLADES, HENDRY, PALM BEACH AND BROWARD
COUNTIES. THE PRIMARY IMPACT FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH, SMALL HAIL AND
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

TEMPERATURES: A LARGE PORTION OF INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA WILL REACH
THE MID 90S THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES, OR APPARENT TEMPERATURES, OF 100
TO 105 DEGREES WITH VALUES JUST ABOVE 105 POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE
WARMEST SPOTS.

VISIBILITY: MULTIPLE WILDFIRES CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.
A FEW FIRES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE BIG CYPRESS PRESERVE, NEAR THE
GOLDEN GATE COMMUNITY IN NAPLES, AND NEAR MUSE IN GLADES COUNTY. SMOKE
FROM THESE FIRES COULD RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT. THIS COULD ALSO CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR PERSONS WITH
BREATHING ILLNESSES. FURTHERMORE, SHOULD THERE BE ANY WIND SHIFTS
NEAR THESE FIRES TOWARD RESIDENTIAL AREAS EVACUATION ORDERS
COULD BE PUT IN PLACE. SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN ON THE
ALERT WITH THE LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTH FLORIDA AHEAD OF THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

A NORTHEAST TO EAST WIND OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY RESULTING IN AT LEAST A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

PS

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
432 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

FLZ066-282100-
HENDRY FL-
432 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL HENDRY COUNTY

* UNTIL 500 PM EDT

* AT 426 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DEVILS GARDEN... MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  RURAL SOUTH EASTERN HENDRY COUNTY ALONG HIGHWAY 846.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND UP TO
NICKEL SIZED HAIL. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER
IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK SHELTER
IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2660 8107 2649 8088 2635 8099 2642 8121
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 219DEG 6KT 2648 8105

TINGLER