Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Miami, FL

967 
WWUS52 KMFL 292015
SVSMFL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
415 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

FLC086-292045-
/O.CON.KMFL.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110429T2045Z/
MIAMI-DADE FL-
415 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

AT 411 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE 
HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WEST KENDALL AND THIS STORM WAS 
NEARLY STATIONARY.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 2578 8030 2572 8030 2559 8035 2563 8046
      2579 8041 2581 8034
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 113DEG 2KT 2567 8040

$$

TINGLER

186 
WWUS52 KMFL 292021
SVSMFL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
421 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

FLC086-292031-
/O.CAN.KMFL.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110429T2045Z/
MIAMI-DADE FL-
421 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM IN THE AREA THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
WARNING HAS WEAKENED.

LAT...LON 2578 8030 2572 8030 2559 8035 2563 8046
      2579 8041 2581 8034
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 262DEG 11KT 2575 8020

$$

TINGLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
309 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

.DISCUSSION...

THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE HAS BEGUN TO PENETRATE INLAND AND DOPPLER
RADAR INDICATES THAT SHOWERS STARTED TO DEVELOP AT 1 PM EDT ALONG IT
FROM NORTHERN PALM BEACH SOUTH THROUGH BROWARD SOUTH TO SOUTHERN
MIAMI-DADE. THIS CONVECTION PATTERN IS FOLLOWING VERY CLOSELY THE
RUC SOLUTION WHICH INDICATED THAT THE PREVIOUS LINE NORTH OF OUR CWA
WOULD DISSIPATE WITH THE MAIN FOCUS BEING THE CONVECTION INITIATION
OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. SOME OF THESE
STORMS DEVELOPED IN ABOUT 20 MINUTES. THE LACK OF ORGANIZED LOW
LEVEL SHEAR IS MAKING IT DIFFICULT AT THE PRESENT TIME FOR THE
SHOWERS TO PERSIST MUCH BEYOND THE INITIAL CONVERGENCE PUSH PROVIDED
BY THE SEA-BREEZE. OTHER SHOWERS DEVELOPED IN ABOUT 30 MINUTES OFF
OF NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY AND INTENSIFIED QUICKLY AS THEY
ENTERED THE GULF STREAM ENVIRONMENT. PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED
AROUND 250 PM SOUTH OF 75 IN CENTRAL EASTERN BROWARD COUNTY. THE
HIGH RESOLUTION SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE MOST LIKELY AREA
FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IS OVER NORTH MIAMI-DADE,
BROWARD, AND PALM BEACH COUNTY...WHERE THE LIFTING OF THE FRONT WILL
MEET THE SEA-BREEZE AND RESPECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE
PREVIOUS CONVECTION THAT STARTED AROUND 1 PM. THE UPPER LEVEL
DYNAMICS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE AS THE STRONGER UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE IS LIFTING OUT OF THE AREA TOWARD THE NORTHEAST.
HOWEVER...THE PUSH OF THE SEA BREEZE COMBINED WITH THE N-NE WINDS
FROM THE FRONT COULD ENHANCE THE LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND ALLOW FOR
LONGER-LIVED CONVECTION THAN THE ONE CURRENTLY OBSERVED.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST REASONING IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE
PREVIOUS ONE. A MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS BETWEEN SUNDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH THE WINDS BEGINNING TO TURN EASTERLY BY MONDAY. ON WEDNESDAY
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE AHEAD OF ANOTHER WEAK FRONT
FORECAST TO BRING A FEW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...

THE SHORT TERM CONCERN IS GUSTY WINDS TO 35 MILES PER HOUR, HEAVY
DOWNPOURS, AND LIGHTNING AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH
SOUTHWARD INTO OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

THE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST TODAY BEFORE SWINGING TO AN EASTERLY
DIRECTION THIS WEEKEND OVER THE CWA WATERS. THE SPEEDS WILL BE 5 TO
10 MPH TODAY BEFORE INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY FOR MOST OF THE CWA WATERS, EXCEPT FOR THE NEAR-SHORE GULF
WATERS WHERE THEY WILL BE IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE FOR THIS
WEEKEND. THE SEAS WILL ALSO REMAIN BELOW 6 FEET TODAY INTO THIS
WEEKEND OVER BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
THEREFORE...BOATING CONDITIONS SHOULD BE GOOD TODAY INTO THIS
WEEKEND OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
TODAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(ISSUED AT 137 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011)

BELIEVE SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD START TO DEVELOP SOON ALONG EASTERN AREAS
WITH FEW TSTMS GETTING CLOSER TO THE TERMINALS FROM AS EARLY AS 18Z.
WL KEEP A TEMPO GROUP FOR ALL THE EASTERN TERMINALS AT LEAST THROUGH
21-22Z AFTER WHICH TIME MOST GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT MOST SHWRS/TSTMS
SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE. NEVERTHELESS...WL KEEP VCSH/VCTS THROUGH
EVENING. SFC WINDS FORECAST QUITE MORE DIFFICULT AS SOME OF THE
GUIDANCE INDICATE A SFC THERMAL LOW DEVELOPING AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH AND SFC WINDS OVER THE ERN TERMINALS SHIFTING FROM SW TO SE
AND THEN FINALLY EAST OVERNIGHT. OVER KAPF...WIND FORECAST MUCH
EASIER WITH WINDS STARTING FROM SW BUT SHIFTING TO NW AFTER FRONT
PASSAGE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND NE-E OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

THE WIND SHIFT THAT WILL BE EXPERIENCED THIS EVENING AROUND 7-8 PM
WILL BRING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO THE SLOPE FIRE STILL IN PROGRESS.
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA WHICH COULD
TRIGGER ADDITIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE AREA.

A GRADUAL DECREASE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST FROM SATURDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH WILL BRING DRIER CONDITIONS TO GLADES, HENDRY,
AND COLLIER COUNTY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. RIGHT NOW
THE FORECAST DOES NOT BRING THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT
BUT THE CONDITIONS NEED TO BE MONITORED SINCE BOUNDARY LAYER
ENTRAINMENT COULD BRING THE RH DOWN A LITTLE MORE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 137 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011/

AVIATION...BELIEVE SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD START TO DEVELOP SOON ALONG
EASTERN AREAS WITH FEW TSTMS GETTING CLOSER TO THE TERMINALS FROM
AS EARLY AS 18Z. WL KEEP A TEMPO GROUP FOR ALL THE EASTERN
TERMINALS AT LEAST THROUGH 21-22Z AFTER WHICH TIME MOST GUIDANCE
INDICATE THAT MOST SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE.
NEVERTHELESS...WL KEEP VCSH/VCTS THROUGH EVENING. SFC WINDS
FORECAST QUITE MORE DIFFICULT AS SOME OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATE A
SFC THERMAL LOW DEVELOPING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND SFC
WINDS OVER THE ERN TERMINALS SHIFTING FROM SW TO SE AND THEN
FINALLY EAST OVERNIGHT. OVER KAPF...WIND FORECAST MUCH EASIER WITH
WINDS STARTING FROM SW BUT SHIFTING TO NW AFTER FRONT PASSAGE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND NE-E OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 919 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011/

UPDATE...

THE MAIN FOCUS FOR TODAY IS THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG STORMS OVER
AND AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE MID LEVEL FLOW IN THE REGION IS
WITHIN 30 TO 35 KTS AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES BETWEEN 6.5 AND 6.8 C
PER KM. THE MAIN THREAT, AS DESCRIBED BY SPC COULD BE SOME PULSE-TYPE
MULTICELL STORMS WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
CALCULATIONS USING BUFKIT FOR FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING INDICATE THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN
MARGINAL, AND WITH THE LOW LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STAYING WEAK
RELATIVE TO THE COOL POOL...STRONG CELL REGENERATION ALONG THE GUST
FRONT WILL BE LIMITED. THE ACTIVITY WILL PEAK LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING AFTER DARK. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
CAPE VALUES ABOVE 2000 J/KG AND TOTAL SHEAR AT BEST AROUND 30 KTS.
SOME SPOTS COULD SEE HIGHER CAPE VALUES. CELL SPLITTING COULD
OCCUR...HOWEVER, THE MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LEAD TO
RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED CELLS. THE ESTIMATED POTENTIAL OF THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE DOWNDRAFT IS AROUND 40 KNOTS.

WITH THE PRESENCE OF SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE
IS FORECAST TO MAKE MORE PROGRESS THAN THE EAST COAST ONE. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE A STORM MOTION FROM THE WEST...WHICH COULD MOVE
INTO THE METRO AREAS SOME OF THE ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT
FORM IN THE INTERIOR. IF CELL SPLIT OCCURS, THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE
CELL PROPAGATING TO THE SOUTHEAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN METRO
AREAS.

THE ONLY UPDATE TO THE FORECAST WAS THE INCLUSION OF A SLIGHT RISK
OF WEAK TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY OVER PALM BEACH
COUNTY AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. THE CONDITIONS ARE
MARGINAL...BUT IF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE INTERACTS WITH THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IT COULD GENERATE A SOME LOW LEVEL SPIN NEAR
THE COASTLINE... AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE WEAK TORNADOES
AND WATERSPOUTS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH MARGINAL EPISODES IN THE
PAST.

THE FORECAST REASONING FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK CONTINUES THE SAME.
THE WARMEST DAYTIME TEMPERATURES SHIFT TO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE CWA FOR SATURDAY AS THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO TURN FROM THE NE
AFTER THE FRONT CLEARS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER THIS EVENING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 720 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011/

AVIATION...CLOUDS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT BEGINNING TO ENTER SOUTH FLORIDA
PENINSULA THIS MORNING, BUT MOST OF THESE ARE IN VFR CATEGORY,
THEREFORE NO SIGNIFICANT CEILINGS AND VSBYS EXPECTED IN SHORT TERM.
CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AFT 16Z WITH MOST
STORMS OVER INTERIOR AND EASTERN SECTIONS. WENT WITH TEMPO TSRA AT
PBI AND FLL AREA SITES AS GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF TSTMS SHOULD BE
NEAR THESE AREAS, HOWEVER TSRA CAN'T BE RULED OUT IN MIA AREA
EITHER. KAPF IS THE LEAST LIKELY TO SEE TSRA THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
STILL A POSSIBILITY AS STORMS DEVELOP JUST INLAND. WIND SHIFTS TO NE
TONIGHT BEHIND WEAKENING COLD FRONT WITH VCSH LINGERING AT EAST
COAST SITES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011/

SOME STRONG STORMS NORTHEAST AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...
DRY WEATHER OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND...

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER NORTH FLORIDA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE SOUTH AND BE LOCATED OVER SOUTH FLORIDA BY
THIS EVENING. THE STEERING FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE FROM
THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE WEST COAST SEA
BREEZE TO PUSH ACROSS THE CWA TODAY WHILE KEEPING THE EAST COAST
SEA BREEZE OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS. SO THE FOCUS FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE OVER THE INTERIOR AND EAST
COAST METRO AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST POPS OVER THE NORTHEAST
INTERIOR AREAS. THEREFORE...THE POPS WILL BE RAISE TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS WITH LIKELY POPS OVER THE NORTHEAST
INTERIOR AREAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. REST OF THE CWA WILL SEE
SCATTERED POPS FOR TODAY.

THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL
REMAIN COLD (-10C TO -11C)...AS THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE
IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE STORMS
THIS AFTERNOON TO BECOME STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHEAST
AREAS OF THE CWA WHERE THE SEA BREEZES AND LAKE BREEZE COLLIDE.
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM THE STRONG STORMS WILL BE HEAVY
RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL. SO WILL MENTION THIS IN
THE MORNING HWO PACKAGE.

THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA THIS
EVENING AND WASH OUT OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. SO THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER
THE CWA THIS EVENING AS THE HEATING OF THE DAY IS LOST.
THEREFORE...SCATTERED POPS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE EAST COAST METRO
AREAS FOR THIS EVENING BEFORE GOING DRY FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
FRIDAY. FOR REST OF THE CWA...THE INTERIOR AREAS WILL HAVE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF POPS FOR THE EVENING HOURS WHILE THE WEST COAST
METRO AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE NORTH
FOR THE WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE CWA. THIS
WILL KEEP MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA DRY THIS WEEKEND WITH ONLY A
COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS. DUE TO
THE SMALL COVERAGE OF THE SHOWERS FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS
THIS WEEKEND...PLAN ON ONLY HAVING A SLIGHT 10 POPS AT THIS TIME
FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS.

THE WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME BREEZY OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS
THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THIS WEEKEND.

EXTENDED FORECAST...
THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA EARLY NEXT WEEK
BEFORE MOVING EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO WORK INTO SOUTH
FLORIDA FROM THE NORTH FOR LATE NEXT WEEK. SO WILL CONTINUE THE
DRY WEATHER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK OVER THE CWA.

MARINE...
THE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST TODAY BEFORE SWINGING TO A EASTERLY
DIRECTION THIS WEEKEND OVER THE CWA WATERS. THE SPEEDS WILL BE 5
TO 10 MPH TODAY BEFORE INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY FOR MOST OF THE CWA WATERS, EXCEPT FOR THE NEAR-SHORE
GULF WATERS WHERE THEY WILL BE IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE FOR THIS
WEEKEND. THE SEAS WILL ALSO REMAIN BELOW 6 FEET TODAY INTO THIS
WEEKEND OVER BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
THEREFORE...BOATING CONDITIONS SHOULD BE GOOD TODAY INTO THIS
WEEKEND OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
TODAY.

FIRE WEATHER...
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TODAY WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE THE 35 PERCENT
CRITICAL VALUE DUE TO THE TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE CWA. THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ON SATURDAY WILL ABLE TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S FOR
COUPLE OF HOURS OVER THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR AREAS WITH 40S OVER
REST OF THE CWA...AS DRY AIR WORKS TO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  73  82  74  84 / 30 10 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE  75  85  76  85 / 30 10 10 10
MIAMI            74  86  74  85 / 30 10 10 10
NAPLES           70  90  69  90 / 10 10 -  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE...71/JE
AVIATION/RADAR/FIRE...47/RGH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
836 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-300345-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
836 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA AND PALM BEACHES...
...ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS PALM BEACH AND BROWARD AND ADJACENT WATERS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING OVER MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE
MOST CONCENTRATED AREA OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE REGION AND PALM BEACH COUNTY, WITH LESS COVERAGE ALONG
THE GULF COAST.

WIND: GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING, EXCEPT POSSIBLY
UP TO 60 MPH AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND PALM BEACH COUNTY.

TORNADOES: WEAK TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PALM BEACH AND BROWARD
COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

HAIL: LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND PALM BEACH
COUNTY, WITH SMALL HAIL A POSSIBILITY ELSEWHERE.

VISIBILITY: REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FOG AND SMOKE ARE POSSIBLE
OVER GLADES, HENDRY AND INLAND SECTIONS OF COLLIER COUNTY EARLY
THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS EASTERLY
WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH.

AS THE EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA BEGINNING ON
SATURDAY, THIS COULD PRESENT A PROBLEM WITH THE FIRE IN THE GOLDEN
GATE ESTATES AREA. IF THE FIRE IS NOT CONTAINED BY THE TIME THE
WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST THIS WEEKEND, IT COULD RESULT IN
EVACUATIONS ORDERS FOR A FEW OF THE SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES WEST
OF THE FIRE. RESIDENTS IN THAT AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN ON THE ALERT
AND STAY TUNED WITH INFORMATION COMING FROM THE LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY. SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL AND FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
303 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     HAIL             2 S WESTON              25.73N 80.31W
04/29/2011  E0.75 INCH       MIAMI-DADE         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED PENNY-SIZED HAIL NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF SW 199TH AVENUE AND GRIFFIN ROAD AT 250
            PM EDT.

&&

ROSS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
303 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

FLZ071-072-291930-
INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL-METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL-
303 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 258 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PEMBROKE PINES...AND MOVING EAST AT 10
  MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  SOUTHWEST RANCHES...
  PEMBROKE PINES...
  COOPER CITY...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE UP TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING STRIKES. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK
SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2610 8021 2599 8021 2597 8032 2597 8047
      2616 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 292DEG 11KT 2602 8036

TINGLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
306 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

FLZ073-074-173-291930-
METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-INLAND MIAMI-DADE FL-COASTAL MIAMI-
DADE COUNTY FL-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 304 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HIALEAH...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  HIALEAH...
  OPA-LOCKA...
  LITTLE HAITI...
  MIAMI SHORES...
  NORTH MIAMI...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND UP TO
NICKEL SIZED HAIL. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER
IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK SHELTER
IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2577 8019 2568 8041 2595 8041 2595 8014
TIME...MOT...LOC 1906Z 252DEG 16KT 2586 8029

TINGLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
312 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     HAIL             2 SSW WESTON            26.08N 80.40W
04/29/2011  E0.25 INCH       BROWARD            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED PEA-SIZED HAIL NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF US-27 AND GRIFFIN ROAD AT 245 PM EDT.

&&

ROSS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
323 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

FLZ073-074-173-174-292015-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL-METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-
INLAND MIAMI-DADE FL-COASTAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL-
323 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 323 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NORTH
  MIAMI BEACH TO ROYAL PALM RANGER STATION...AND MOVING EAST AT 10
  MPH.

* THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT...
  MIAMI INTERNATIONAL A/P...
  METRO ZOO...
  HOMESTEAD...
  AVENTURA...
  CUTLER RIDGE...
  CORAL GABLES...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 T0 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2575 8014 2567 8015 2567 8016 2569 8019
      2573 8016 2574 8017 2572 8024 2563 8027
      2560 8031 2554 8030 2549 8033 2540 8032
      2538 8030 2533 8033 2532 8036 2529 8038
      2534 8071 2596 8030 2597 8011 2584 8011
TIME...MOT...LOC 1924Z 272DEG 9KT 2596 8018 2537 8058

TINGLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
341 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     HAIL             2 W SOUTH MIAMI         25.71N 80.33W
04/29/2011  E1.00 INCH       MIAMI-DADE         FL   PUBLIC

            A MEMBER OF THE PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER-SIZED HAIL NEAR
            THE INTERSECTION OF SW 70TH STREET AND SW 85TH
            AVENUE...ABOUT 1 MILE EAST OF SUNSET...AT 315 PM EDT.

0332 PM     HAIL             WEST MIAMI              25.76N 80.31W
04/29/2011  E1.00 INCH       MIAMI-DADE         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED DIME- TO QUARTER-SIZED HAIL
            NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF SW 64TH AVENUE AND SW 14TH
            STREET IN WEST MIAMI...AT 332 PM EDT.

&&

ROSS