Alert archive / Mississippi / Wind Advisories in 2011

Wind Advisory 1, NWS Memphis, TN

January 31, 20114 states

NWS Memphis, TN issued this wind advisory at Jan 31, 2011, 2:43 PM CST for 4 states. It took effect at Feb 1, 2011, 7:34 AM CST. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 31, 2011, 2:43 PM CST (20:43 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 1, 2011, 7:34 AM CST
Expired
Feb 2, 2011, 5:36 AM CST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
All 56 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-01-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-01-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 129 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
492 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

992 
WWUS74 KMEG 312043
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
243 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM EASTERN TEXAS TUESDAY
MORNING...TO NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL TUESDAY EVENING AND
CENTRAL INDIANA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE FOR A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-011100-
/O.NEW.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.110201T1800Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-
PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-
ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE-
OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-
CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-
HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...
OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...
MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...
HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
243 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL SWING
  THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30
  MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST
  WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
  LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF
8 follow-up statements
011 
WWUS74 KMEG 011018
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
418 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM EASTERN TEXAS THIS
MORNING...TO NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL
INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-011900-
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.110201T1800Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-
PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-
ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE-
OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-
CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-
HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...
OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...
MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...
HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
418 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST
  WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOWARDS
  SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL 
  IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
874 
WWUS74 KMEG 011334 AAA
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
734 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM EASTERN TEXAS THIS
MORNING...TO NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO
CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND
THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH
TONIGHT.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-012145-
/O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.110201T1334Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-
PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-
ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE-
OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-
CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-
HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...
OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...
MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...
HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
734 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY
  THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  45 MPH TONIGHT.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS
  EXPECTED TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOWARDS SUNRISE
  ON WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL 
  IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
276 
WWUS74 KMEG 012111
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
311 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-020515-
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-
PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-
ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE-
OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-
CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-
HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...
OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...
MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...
HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
311 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  40 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
  TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO REACH
  50 OR 55 MPH AS THE FRONT GOES THROUGH. TUNICA GUSTED TO 53 MPH
  AT 255 PM AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN CRITTENDEN
  COUNTY AT 305 PM.

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL 
  IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF
171 
WWUS74 KMEG 012126
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
326 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ001>006-008-009-012>017-TNZ049-050-052>055-088>092-020530-
/O.NEW.KMEG.HW.W.0001.110201T2126Z-110202T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TATE-PRENTISS-
PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-
MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-
HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...
IUKA...BOONEVILLE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...
COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...
COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...
SAVANNAH
326 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. A WIND
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
  MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60
  MPH. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT BUT STILL REMAIN 20 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 45.

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE 
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE
  LIKELY AS THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH AND WINDS GUST TO 60
  MPH. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ007-
010-011-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051-020530-
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
TUNICA-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-
MONROE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-
CROCKETT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...AMORY...
ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...
HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON
326 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
  40 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS 
  TO REACH 50 OR 55 MPH AS THE FRONT GOES THROUGH. TUNICA GUSTED 
  TO 53 MPH AT 255 PM AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN 
  CRITTENDEN COUNTY AT 305 PM. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE 
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL 
  IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF
700 
WWUS74 KMEG 012216
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ001-008-012-TNZ049-088-020615-
/O.CAN.KMEG.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
DESOTO-TATE-PANOLA-TIPTON-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...BATESVILLE...
COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...
MILLINGTON
416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
  MPH. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE 
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-TNZ050-052>055-089>092-020615-
/O.CON.KMEG.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-HAYWOOD-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-
DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 
  MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 35 TO 40 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT BUT STILL REMAIN 
  20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE 
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE 
  LIKELY AS THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH AND WINDS GUST TO 60 
  MPH. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ007-
010-011-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051-020615-
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
TUNICA-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-
MONROE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-
CROCKETT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...AMORY...
ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...
HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON
416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
  MPH.
  
* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE 
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL 
  IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF
442 
WWUS74 KMEG 012353
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
553 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-TNZ050-052>055-089>092-021100-
/O.CAN.KMEG.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-HAYWOOD-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-
DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
553 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
  MPH.

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE 
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN WITH POWER
  OUTAGES POSSIBLE. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND
  TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-
007-008-010>012-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-049-051-088-021100-
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-
CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-
CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-CROCKETT-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...AMORY...ABERDEEN...
UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...
MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...
COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON
553 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 
  MPH. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE 
  BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS: TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN WITH POWER
  OUTAGES POSSIBLE. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND
  TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KRM
722 
WWUS74 KMEG 021024
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
424 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011

...GUSTY WINDS GRADUALLY SUBSIDING THIS MORNING...

.STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BEHIND A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
NORTHERN OHIO. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS
MORNING. 

ARZ017-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ048>055-
088>092-021130-
/O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
LAWRENCE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-
ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-
ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-
LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-
CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-
MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-
HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...
BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...HELENA...
SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...
CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...
ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
424 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE ALREADY WEAKENED BELOW WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THUS...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ARZ008-009-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-021200-
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-GREENE-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-
DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PARAGOULD...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...
UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...
MILAN...HUNTINGDON
424 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  30 MPH.

* TIMING: GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AROUND 6 AM THIS
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS: TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN WITH POWER 
  OUTAGES POSSIBLE. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND 
  TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
328 
WWUS74 KMEG 021136
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
536 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011

ARZ008-009-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-021245-
/O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-GREENE-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-
DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PARAGOULD...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...
UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...
MILAN...HUNTINGDON
536 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE ALREADY WEAKENED BELOW WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THUS...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 31, 12:02 PM CST, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 12:02 PM CST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1202 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR AVIATION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1037 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011/

UPDATE...

CLOUDY SKIES WITH A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED NEAR THE MS/TN
STATE LINE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. SOME BREAKS HAVE
BEEN SEEN ACROSS NORTHERN MS IN THE LAST FEW SATELLITE SCANS
HOWEVER. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 40S TODAY OVER NORTHEAST
AR...WITH AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40 REACHING THE LOW TO MID
60S.

FOG HAS BEEN GRADUALLY IMPROVING OVER THE LAST HOUR WITH
ALL SITES NOW ABOVE 1/4SM. UNLESS THEY TAKE A DIVE BY 11 AM...THE
DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE CANCELLED WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF OBS.

BORGHOFF

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011/

DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE A DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST FOR MUCH
OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI...A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...AND A
PORTION OF EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS STRETCHED ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS
MORNING. AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND FOG HAVE PERSISTED ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE FRONT WITH LOW CLOUDS ENVELOPING THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH. SOME
OF THE FOG HAS BECOME DENSE ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND THIS AREA
IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES
REMAIN RATHER COOL TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT AND MILD TO THE
SOUTH. ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH
THE BEST LIFT FOCUSED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. THESE
LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE THE BEST CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE AT LEAST A HUNDREDTH
OF AN INCH. PATCHY FOG SHOULD ALSO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION THROUGH THE DAY. THE FRONT SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT BACK TO THE
NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATER TODAY AS LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGHING DEEPENS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. AND DEEP LAYER WINDS
TURN MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BASED
MAINLY ON POSITION WITH RESPECT TO THE FRONT. AREAS NORTH OF THE
FRONT SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW SEASONAL LEVELS...WITH WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT.

THE WARM FRONT SHOULD LIFT NORTH OF MOST OF THE MID SOUTH
TONIGHT...WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING FAR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY
WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER LATER TONIGHT AS ISENTROPIC ASCENT
INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET STREAK
FOCUSED ACROSS THE REGION.

A POTENT NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO PHASE WITH A STRONG SOUTHERN
STREAM SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS PHASING
SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE HILL COUNTRY OF TEXAS. THIS SURFACE
LOW SHOULD LIFT RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STRETCHED FROM CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
THIS LOW PRESSURE SHOULD ALSO RAPIDLY DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO THE
STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTING SHORTWAVE AS IT TRACKS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE LATEST GFS AND
GEM MODELS ARE NOW TRENDING FURTHER NORTH TOWARDS THE MORE
NORTHERN TRACK OF THE ECMWF MODEL. THEREFORE IT APPEARS THAT THE
THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS DIMINISHING...BUT THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE INCREASING.

THIS SYSTEM WILL BE VERY DYNAMIC WITH POWERFUL WIND FIELDS
DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO THE TIGHT TEMPERATURE GRADIENT. A
POWERFUL 100+KT MID LEVEL JET STREAK SHOULD ROTATE THROUGH THE
ARKLATEX REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS ACROSS
THE MID SOUTH STRENGTHEN TO IN EXCESS OF 70 KTS. THESE STRONG LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELDS SHOULD HELP TO ADVECT MID AND UPPER 50S
DEWPOINTS NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. THESE
LOW LEVEL DEWPOINTS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND
STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY RESULT IN MODEST INSTABILITY
ACROSS THE AREA. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLUSTERS
OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT SHOULD RACE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA
FOLLOWED BY A STRENGTHEN SQUALL-LINE ALONG THE STRONG COLD FRONT.
STORMS SHOULD BE STRONGLY FORCED BY THE SIGNIFICANT MID AND UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE DYNAMICS AS LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY
SUGGESTING MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100 METERS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THESE CONSIDERABLE MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS SHOULD BE
ENOUGH TO OVERCOME THE LACK OF BETTER THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY.
IN ADDITION...CONSIDERING THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS...LOW LEVEL
SHEAR SHOULD BE VERY STRONG WITH 0-1KM HELICITY VALUES IN EXCESS
OF 400 M2/S2. THIS ALL POINTS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40...WHERE THE BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESIDE.
THIS AREA HAS BEEN PLACED UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. A COUPLE OF INCHES COULD FALL IN THESE
LOCATIONS...WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. PLAN TO HOLD
OFF ON A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW AS THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE RATHER
FAST MOVING. ANOTHER THREAT THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM
WILL BE VERY STRONG GRADIENT WINDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS MAY APPROACH 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
THIS TIME PERIOD AND THIS THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ASSESSED BY
THE DAY SHIFT FORECASTER.

A DRAMATIC DROP IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED QUICKLY BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT. RAIN MAY
CHANGE TO A SHORT PERIOD OF MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION OR SNOW
BEFORE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST LATER TUESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
TIME...NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATIONS. THERE MAY
BE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THE FASTEST. A
LARGE MID LEVEL DRY SLOT ROTATING INTO THE REGION SHOULD BRING A
QUICK END TO ANY WINTER TYPE PRECIPITATION...THEREFORE NOT
EXPECTING THIS ASPECT OF THE STORM TO BE SIGNIFICANT. NO WINTER
WEATHER HEADLINES WILL BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME.

THE STORM SYSTEM SHOULD LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY AS
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. DRY BUT MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE SHOULD EJECT FROM THE SOUTHWEST U.S.
AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRIDAY...WITH SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE ORGANIZING ALONG THE GULF COAST AND LIFTING NORTHEAST.
THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO AVAILABLE MOISTURE...SO
THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH HEADING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK.

DRY AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEKEND BEFORE ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM BRINGS ADDITIONAL CHANCES
FOR RAIN OR SNOW FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART
OF NEXT WEEK. QUITE AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WINTER
SEASON.

JLH

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE

STATIONARY FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLIDE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAINLY MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND MVFR VSBYS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TIME FRAME WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE DUE TO
ISENTROPIC ASCENT. STILL BELIEVE IFR VSBYS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL
SITES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND LOW DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. REMOVED MENTION OF LIFR VSBYS FOR
NOW BUT DID TEMPO FOR LIFR CIGS.

DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE TAF PERIOD...WINDS WILL BACK AND
BECOME GUSTY AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS NORTHEAST
TEXAS. BELIEVE MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE TAF
SITES DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY (14Z- 16Z). LEFT OUT
MENTION OF THUNDER FOR NOW AS IT SHOULD OCCUR JUST BEYOND THIS TAF
PERIOD.

CCD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  66  53  65  24 /  30  70 100  80
MKL  61  50  65  25 /  30  60 100  90
JBR  49  43  50  23 /  30  70 100  80
TUP  64  51  68  26 /  30  50 100 100

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 11:13 AM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1113 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-011345-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1113 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
PUSH ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL LIKELY BRING A VARIETY OF INCLEMENT WEATHER TO THE MID SOUTH
INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDY CONDITIONS...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AND SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REGION ON TUESDAY. AS THESE STORMS MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD...A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA
FOR SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...INCLUDING EASTERN ARKANSAS...PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS WITH LOCALIZED
RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES. THIS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING.

STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH
POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH.

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW MAY ALSO OCCUR AS TEMPERATURES
RAPIDLY FALL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. ANY WINTER PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE RATHER LIMITED IN
DURATION WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THE FASTEST AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD
LAST THE LONGEST.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR THE EXPECTED
INCLEMENT WEATHER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY
BE NEEDED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

JLH/BORGHOFF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 5:23 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryMEGHardin, McNairy6 hr
Jan 31, 3:01 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryMEGLawrence, Randolph24 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Mississippi, 2011Wind Advisories in Tennessee, 2011Wind Advisories in Arkansas, 2011Every wind advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.