Alert archive / Mississippi / Wind Advisories in 2011
Wind Advisory 1, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this wind advisory at Jan 31, 2011, 2:43 PM CST for 4 states. It took effect at Feb 1, 2011, 7:34 AM CST. It was in force for 22 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 31, 2011, 2:43 PM CST (20:43 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 1, 2011, 7:34 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2011, 5:36 AM CST
- In force
- 22 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
All 56 counties
Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 492 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 129 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 124 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
992 WWUS74 KMEG 312043 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 243 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM EASTERN TEXAS TUESDAY MORNING...TO NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL TUESDAY EVENING AND CENTRAL INDIANA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE FOR A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-011100- /O.NEW.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.110201T1800Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS- ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE- OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 243 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ BORGHOFF
8 follow-up statements
011 WWUS74 KMEG 011018 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 418 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... .A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM EASTERN TEXAS THIS MORNING...TO NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-011900- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.110201T1800Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS- ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE- OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 418 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOWARDS SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
874 WWUS74 KMEG 011334 AAA NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 734 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT... .A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM EASTERN TEXAS THIS MORNING...TO NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-012145- /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.110201T1334Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS- ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE- OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 734 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOWARDS SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
276 WWUS74 KMEG 012111 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 311 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... .A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-020515- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS- ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE- OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 311 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO REACH 50 OR 55 MPH AS THE FRONT GOES THROUGH. TUNICA GUSTED TO 53 MPH AT 255 PM AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN CRITTENDEN COUNTY AT 305 PM. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ BORGHOFF
171 WWUS74 KMEG 012126 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 326 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... .A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. MSZ001>006-008-009-012>017-TNZ049-050-052>055-088>092-020530- /O.NEW.KMEG.HW.W.0001.110201T2126Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TATE-PRENTISS- PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY- HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH... IUKA...BOONEVILLE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO... COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR... SAVANNAH 326 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT BUT STILL REMAIN 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY AS THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH AND WINDS GUST TO 60 MPH. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. && $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ007- 010-011-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051-020530- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- TUNICA-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW- MONROE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE- CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...AMORY... ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG... HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON 326 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO REACH 50 OR 55 MPH AS THE FRONT GOES THROUGH. TUNICA GUSTED TO 53 MPH AT 255 PM AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN CRITTENDEN COUNTY AT 305 PM. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ BORGHOFF
700 WWUS74 KMEG 012216 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... .A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. MSZ001-008-012-TNZ049-088-020615- /O.CAN.KMEG.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ DESOTO-TATE-PANOLA-TIPTON-SHELBY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...BATESVILLE... COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS... MILLINGTON 416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-TNZ050-052>055-089>092-020615- /O.CON.KMEG.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE- UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-HAYWOOD-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON- DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD... NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT BUT STILL REMAIN 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY AS THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH AND WINDS GUST TO 60 MPH. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. && $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ007- 010-011-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051-020615- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- TUNICA-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW- MONROE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE- CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...AMORY... ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG... HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON 416 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ BORGHOFF
442 WWUS74 KMEG 012353 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 553 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... .A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM NEAR THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. MSZ002>006-009-013>017-TNZ050-052>055-089>092-021100- /O.CAN.KMEG.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE- UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-HAYWOOD-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON- DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD... NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 553 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001- 007-008-010>012-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-049-051-088-021100- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA- CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON- CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-CROCKETT-SHELBY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...AMORY...ABERDEEN... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON 553 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * TIMING: STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUBSIDE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ KRM
722 WWUS74 KMEG 021024 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 424 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011 ...GUSTY WINDS GRADUALLY SUBSIDING THIS MORNING... .STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BEHIND A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN OHIO. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS MORNING. ARZ017-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ048>055- 088>092-021130- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ LAWRENCE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN- ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH- ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA- LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA- CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY- HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG... BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...HELENA... SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE... CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY... ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 424 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE ALREADY WEAKENED BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. THUS...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ARZ008-009-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-021200- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-GREENE-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY- DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PARAGOULD...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 424 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. * WINDS: SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. * TIMING: GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AROUND 6 AM THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS: TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BLOW AROUND AND TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
328 WWUS74 KMEG 021136 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 536 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011 ARZ008-009-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-021245- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T1200Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-GREENE-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY- DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PARAGOULD...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 536 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE ALREADY WEAKENED BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. THUS...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 31, 12:02 PM CST, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 12:02 PM CST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1202 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 .UPDATE... UPDATED FOR AVIATION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1037 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011/ UPDATE... CLOUDY SKIES WITH A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED NEAR THE MS/TN STATE LINE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. SOME BREAKS HAVE BEEN SEEN ACROSS NORTHERN MS IN THE LAST FEW SATELLITE SCANS HOWEVER. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 40S TODAY OVER NORTHEAST AR...WITH AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40 REACHING THE LOW TO MID 60S. FOG HAS BEEN GRADUALLY IMPROVING OVER THE LAST HOUR WITH ALL SITES NOW ABOVE 1/4SM. UNLESS THEY TAKE A DIVE BY 11 AM...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE CANCELLED WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF OBS. BORGHOFF PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011/ DISCUSSION... UPDATED TO INCLUDE A DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST FOR MUCH OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI...A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...AND A PORTION OF EASTERN ARKANSAS... A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS STRETCHED ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING. AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND FOG HAVE PERSISTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT WITH LOW CLOUDS ENVELOPING THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH. SOME OF THE FOG HAS BECOME DENSE ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND THIS AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES REMAIN RATHER COOL TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT AND MILD TO THE SOUTH. ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH THE BEST LIFT FOCUSED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE THE BEST CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY...BUT MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE AT LEAST A HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH. PATCHY FOG SHOULD ALSO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY. THE FRONT SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATER TODAY AS LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING DEEPENS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. AND DEEP LAYER WINDS TURN MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BASED MAINLY ON POSITION WITH RESPECT TO THE FRONT. AREAS NORTH OF THE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW SEASONAL LEVELS...WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD LIFT NORTH OF MOST OF THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT...WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING FAR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER LATER TONIGHT AS ISENTROPIC ASCENT INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET STREAK FOCUSED ACROSS THE REGION. A POTENT NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO PHASE WITH A STRONG SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS PHASING SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE HILL COUNTRY OF TEXAS. THIS SURFACE LOW SHOULD LIFT RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHED FROM CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SHOULD ALSO RAPIDLY DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO THE STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTING SHORTWAVE AS IT TRACKS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE LATEST GFS AND GEM MODELS ARE NOW TRENDING FURTHER NORTH TOWARDS THE MORE NORTHERN TRACK OF THE ECMWF MODEL. THEREFORE IT APPEARS THAT THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS DIMINISHING...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE INCREASING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE VERY DYNAMIC WITH POWERFUL WIND FIELDS DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO THE TIGHT TEMPERATURE GRADIENT. A POWERFUL 100+KT MID LEVEL JET STREAK SHOULD ROTATE THROUGH THE ARKLATEX REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH STRENGTHEN TO IN EXCESS OF 70 KTS. THESE STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS SHOULD HELP TO ADVECT MID AND UPPER 50S DEWPOINTS NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. THESE LOW LEVEL DEWPOINTS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY RESULT IN MODEST INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT SHOULD RACE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA FOLLOWED BY A STRENGTHEN SQUALL-LINE ALONG THE STRONG COLD FRONT. STORMS SHOULD BE STRONGLY FORCED BY THE SIGNIFICANT MID AND UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE DYNAMICS AS LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY SUGGESTING MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100 METERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE CONSIDERABLE MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO OVERCOME THE LACK OF BETTER THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY. IN ADDITION...CONSIDERING THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS...LOW LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD BE VERY STRONG WITH 0-1KM HELICITY VALUES IN EXCESS OF 400 M2/S2. THIS ALL POINTS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WHERE THE BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESIDE. THIS AREA HAS BEEN PLACED UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. A COUPLE OF INCHES COULD FALL IN THESE LOCATIONS...WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. PLAN TO HOLD OFF ON A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW AS THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE RATHER FAST MOVING. ANOTHER THREAT THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE VERY STRONG GRADIENT WINDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS MAY APPROACH 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS TIME PERIOD AND THIS THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ASSESSED BY THE DAY SHIFT FORECASTER. A DRAMATIC DROP IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED QUICKLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT. RAIN MAY CHANGE TO A SHORT PERIOD OF MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION OR SNOW BEFORE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST LATER TUESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATIONS. THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THE FASTEST. A LARGE MID LEVEL DRY SLOT ROTATING INTO THE REGION SHOULD BRING A QUICK END TO ANY WINTER TYPE PRECIPITATION...THEREFORE NOT EXPECTING THIS ASPECT OF THE STORM TO BE SIGNIFICANT. NO WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES WILL BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME. THE STORM SYSTEM SHOULD LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. DRY BUT MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE SHOULD EJECT FROM THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRIDAY...WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING ALONG THE GULF COAST AND LIFTING NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO AVAILABLE MOISTURE...SO THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH HEADING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. DRY AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEKEND BEFORE ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM BRINGS ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR RAIN OR SNOW FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. QUITE AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WINTER SEASON. JLH && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF CYCLE STATIONARY FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLIDE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAINLY MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND MVFR VSBYS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TIME FRAME WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE DUE TO ISENTROPIC ASCENT. STILL BELIEVE IFR VSBYS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND LOW DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. REMOVED MENTION OF LIFR VSBYS FOR NOW BUT DID TEMPO FOR LIFR CIGS. DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE TAF PERIOD...WINDS WILL BACK AND BECOME GUSTY AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS. BELIEVE MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE TAF SITES DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY (14Z- 16Z). LEFT OUT MENTION OF THUNDER FOR NOW AS IT SHOULD OCCUR JUST BEYOND THIS TAF PERIOD. CCD && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 66 53 65 24 / 30 70 100 80 MKL 61 50 65 25 / 30 60 100 90 JBR 49 43 50 23 / 30 70 100 80 TUP 64 51 68 26 / 30 50 100 100 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 11:13 AM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1113 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-011345- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 1113 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND PUSH ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING A VARIETY OF INCLEMENT WEATHER TO THE MID SOUTH INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDY CONDITIONS... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AND SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. AS THESE STORMS MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD...A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA FOR SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...INCLUDING EASTERN ARKANSAS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS WITH LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES. THIS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW MAY ALSO OCCUR AS TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY FALL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ANY WINTER PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE RATHER LIMITED IN DURATION WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THE FASTEST AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD LAST THE LONGEST. RESIDENTS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR THE EXPECTED INCLEMENT WEATHER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. JLH/BORGHOFF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 5:23 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | MEG | Hardin, McNairy | 6 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:01 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 24 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Mississippi, 2011Wind Advisories in Tennessee, 2011Wind Advisories in Arkansas, 2011Every wind advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.