Alert archive / Arkansas / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 95, NWS Memphis, TN

December 4, 2011Lee County, St. Francis County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood warning at Dec 4, 2011, 9:55 AM CST for Lee County, St. Francis County, Arkansas. It took effect at Dec 5, 2011, 9:43 PM CST. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 4, 2011, 9:55 AM CST (15:55 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 5, 2011, 9:43 PM CST
Expired
Dec 12, 2011, 6:00 AM CST
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Lee County, AR, St. Francis County, AR

The river

Written for the forecast point L'Anguille River at Palestine (PLGA4). The gauge peaked at 26.17 ft at Dec 7, 2011, 9:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate253012/0412/0512/0612/0712/0812/0912/1012/1112/1212/13
Action stage
22 ft
Minor stage
25 ft
Moderate stage
29 ft
Major stage
31 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07047950, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

805 
WGUS44 KMEG 041555
FLWMEG
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
955 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS 
RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FOLLOWUP FLOOD STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-051555-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0091.111206T1800Z-111208T0000Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.111206T1800Z.111206T1800Z.111207T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* FROM TUESDAY DECEMBER 06 UNTIL TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* AT 09 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...15.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 22.0 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
AT 22.0 FEET,  SEVERAL ROADS NEAR WILHELMINA MISSOURI ARE FLOODED. 
RECREATIONAL AREAS AND LARGE AREAS OF AGRICULTURE LAND NEAR THE RIVER
ARE FLOODED.  

$$

ARC031-051554-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0092.111206T1200Z-111207T1800Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111206T1200Z.111206T1200Z.111206T1800Z.NO/
955 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* FROM TUESDAY DECEMBER 06 UNTIL TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* AT 09 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...7.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 10.0 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
AT 10.0 FEET,  FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE LOWLANDS ALONG THE RIVER.


$$

ARC123-051554-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111208T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111208T1800Z.111208T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM THURSDAY DECEMBER 08 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 09 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
AT 32.0 FEET,  FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING.  

$$

ARC093-111-051554-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0094.111208T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T1800Z.111208T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* FROM THURSDAY DECEMBER 08 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 09 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
AT 11.0 FEET,  FARMLAND NORTH OF RIVERVALE IS FLOODED. LOW LYING 
PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 158 NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED.  

$$

ARC077-123-051554-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0095.111209T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111209T0000Z.111209T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* FROM THURSDAY DECEMBER 08 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 09 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...23.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 25.0 FEET THURSDAY DECEMBER 08.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
AT 25.0 FEET,  FLOODING OF LARGE AREAS OF AGRICULTURE LAND ALONG THE 
RIVER IS OCCURRING.  

$$
16 follow-up statements
237 
WGUS84 KMEG 050224
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
824 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION
DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-060224-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0091.111206T0600Z-111207T0600Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.111206T0600Z.111206T0600Z.111206T0600Z.NO/
824 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* FROM TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH UNTIL TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH.
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 22.0 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* AT 22.0 FEET...SEVERAL ROADS NEAR WILHELMINA MISSOURI ARE FLOODED.
  RECREATIONAL AREAS AND LARGE AREAS OF AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE 
  RIVER ARE FLOODED.

$$

ARC031-060223-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0092.111206T0600Z-111207T0600Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111206T0600Z.111206T0600Z.111206T0600Z.NO/
824 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* FROM TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH UNTIL TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH.
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 10.0 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE LOWLANDS ALONG THE 
  RIVER

$$

ARC123-060223-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111208T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111208T1800Z.111208T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 32.0 FEET THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING.

$$

ARC093-111-060223-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0094.111208T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T1800Z.111208T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* FROM THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 11.0 FEET THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FARMLAND NORTH OF RIVERVALE IS FLOODED. LOW LYING 
  PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 158 NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED.

$$

ARC077-123-060223-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.111208T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111208T0000Z.111208T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* FROM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 7TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 25.0 FEET WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 7TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LARGE AREAS OF AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING.

$$
751 
WGUS84 KMEG 051549
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
949 AM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION
DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-061549-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0091.111205T1546Z-111209T0900Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.111205T1311Z.111206T1200Z.111208T0900Z.NO/
949 AM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* UNTIL THURSDAY DECEMBER 08.
* AT 09 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 23.5 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY DECEMBER 05 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY TUESDAY DECEMBER 06. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY DECEMBER 08.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND INSIDE THE LEVEE SYSTEM IS FLOODED

$$

ARC031-061549-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0092.111205T2125Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111205T2125Z.111206T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* FROM MONDAY DECEMBER 05 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 09 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 10.5 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY DECEMBER 05 AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE LOWLANDS ALONG THE 
  RIVER

$$

ARC123-061549-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111210T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111210T0600Z.111215T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM SATURDAY DECEMBER 10 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 09 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY DECEMBER 10 AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.3 FEET BY THURSDAY DECEMBER 15. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING

$$

ARC093-111-061548-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0094.111210T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111210T0600Z.111210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* FROM SATURDAY DECEMBER 10 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 09 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FARMLAND NORTH OF RIVERVALE IS FLOODED. LOW LYING 
  PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 158 NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED

$$

ARC077-123-061548-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.111207T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111207T0300Z.111209T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* FROM TUESDAY DECEMBER 06 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 08 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY DECEMBER 06 AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY THURSDAY DECEMBER 08. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER

$$
532 
WGUS84 KMEG 060203
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
803 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION
DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-070203-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-111210T1600Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.111205T1311Z.111206T1800Z.111209T1600Z.NO/
803 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* UNTIL FRIDAY DECEMBER 9TH.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 24.0 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING DECEMBER 5TH AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON DECEMBER 6TH. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON DECEMBER 9TH.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND INSIDE THE LEVEE SYSTEM IS FLOODED.

$$

ARC031-070202-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111205T2313Z.111206T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 10.5 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EVENING DECEMBER 5TH AND 
  WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY TUESDAY DECEMBER 6TH. 
  THEN...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN FALLING TUESDAY EVENING DEVEMBER 6TH.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE LOWLANDS ALONG THE 
  RIVER.

$$

ARC123-070202-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111210T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111210T1200Z.111210T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM SATURDAY DECEMBER 10TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE TO FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING DECEMBER 
  10TH. ADDITIONAL RISE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING.

$$

ARC093-111-070202-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0094.111210T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111210T0600Z.111210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* FROM SATURDAY DECEMBER 10TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE TO FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT DECEMBER 
  9TH. ADDITIONAL RISE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FARMLAND NORTH OF RIVERVALE IS FLOODED. LOW LYING 
  PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 158 NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED.

$$

ARC077-123-070202-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.111206T0343Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0343Z.111208T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* FROM MONDAY DECEMBER 5TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 25.5 FEET THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH. THE RIVER
  WILL REMAIN AT 25.5 FEET FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THURSDAY.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER

$$
633 
WGUS84 KMEG 061244
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
644 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS 
RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC031-071244-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111205T2313Z.111207T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
644 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 06 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 11.1 FEET WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 07.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY DECEMBER 05 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY  WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 07 THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE LOWLANDS ALONG THE 
  RIVER

$$

ARC077-123-071243-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
644 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 05 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 26.1 FEET WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 07.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY DECEMBER 05 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.1 FEET BY  WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 07 THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER

$$
181 
WGUS84 KMEG 061628
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS 
RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-071628-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-111209T2000Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.111205T1311Z.111206T1800Z.111208T2000Z.NO/
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* UNTIL THURSDAY DECEMBER 08.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 23.7 FEET TUESDAY DECEMBER 06.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY DECEMBER 05 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.7 FEET BY TUESDAY DECEMBER 06. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY DECEMBER 08.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND INSIDE THE LEVEE SYSTEM IS FLOODED

$$

ARC031-071628-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111205T2313Z.111207T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 11.0 FEET WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 07.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY DECEMBER 05 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY  WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 07 THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING.

$$

ARC123-071628-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111214T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111214T1800Z.111214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 14 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING

$$

ARC077-123-071628-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 09 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 26.0 FEET THURSDAY DECEMBER 08.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY DECEMBER 05 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY  THURSDAY DECEMBER 08 THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER

$$
157 
WGUS84 KMEG 070113
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
713 PM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS 
RIVER AND THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WEDNESDAY MORNING.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-080113-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-111209T1200Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.111205T1311Z.111206T1100Z.111208T1200Z.NO/
713 PM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* UNTIL THURSDAY DECEMBER 8.
* AT 6 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET AND FALLING AND IT HAS 
  CRESTED .
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND INSIDE THE LEVEE SYSTEM IS FLOODED

$$

ARC031-080112-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111205T2313Z.111206T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
713 PM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET AND FALLING.
  IT HAS CRESTED.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE LOWLANDS ALONG THE 
  RIVER

$$

ARC123-080112-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111214T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111214T1800Z.111214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
713 PM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 14 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING

$$

ARC077-123-080112-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
713 PM CST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 26.5 FEET THURSDAY DECEMBER 8.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY DECEMBER 8 THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER

$$
MM
597 
WGUS84 KMEG 071551
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
951 AM CST WED DEC 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS 
RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC021-055-MOC069-081551-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-111209T0800Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.111205T1311Z.111206T1100Z.111208T0800Z.NO/
951 AM CST WED DEC 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* UNTIL THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH.
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 23.0 FEET...MOST LOW LAND INSIDE THE LEVEE SYSTEM IS FLOODED.

$$

ARC031-081550-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCRA4.1.ER.111205T2313Z.111206T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM CST WED DEC 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER AT LAKE CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN AROUND 10.0 FEET FOR NEXT 5 DAYS. 
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE LOWLANDS ALONG THE 
  RIVER.

$$

ARC123-081550-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111211T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111211T1800Z.111211T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM CST WED DEC 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM SUNDAY DECEMBER 11TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 32.0 FEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...DECEMBER 11TH.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING.

$$

ARC077-123-081550-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111209T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM CST WED DEC 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 26.5 FEET THURSDAY EVENING DECEMBER 8TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY DECEMBER 5TH AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING DECEMBER 8TH. 
  THEN...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN FALLING SLOWLY.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER.

$$
431 
WGUS84 KMEG 080154
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
754 PM CST WED DEC 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC077-123-090154-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111207T2000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
754 PM CST WED DEC 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER.

$$
518 
WGUS84 KMEG 081542
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
942 AM CST THU DEC 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC123-091542-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111214T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111214T1200Z.111214T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 AM CST THU DEC 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 14TH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 32.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 14TH.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING.

$$

ARC093-111-091542-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T0812Z.111209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 AM CST THU DEC 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 12.0 FEET FRIDAY DECEMBER 9TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY FRIDAY DECEMBER 9TH. THE RIVER 
  WILL REMAIN NEAR 12.0 FEET FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME AREAS INSIDE 
  THE MAIN LEVEE SYSTEM DUE TO ACCESS PROBLEMS. AGRICULTURE FLOODING 
  IS WIDESPREAD.

$$

ARC077-123-091542-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111211T1800Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111211T1200Z.NO/
942 AM CST THU DEC 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL SUNDAY DECEMBER 11TH.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON DECEMBER 11TH.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER.

$$
577 
WGUS84 KMEG 090116
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
716 PM CST THU DEC 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC077-123-100116-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111211T1500Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111211T0900Z.NO/
716 PM CST THU DEC 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL SUNDAY DECEMBER 11.
* AT 06 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER.

$$
839 
WGUS84 KMEG 091736
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1136 AM CST FRI DEC 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC123-101736-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0093.111214T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.111214T0600Z.111214T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1136 AM CST FRI DEC 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 14 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING

$$

ARC093-111-101735-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T0812Z.111210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1136 AM CST FRI DEC 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 12.3 FEET SATURDAY DECEMBER 10.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY DECEMBER 08 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.3 FEET BY SATURDAY DECEMBER 10 THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME AREAS INSIDE 
  THE MAIN LEVEE SYSTEM DUE TO ACCESS PROBLEMS. AGRICULTURE FLOODING 
  IS WIDESPREAD

$$

ARC077-123-101735-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111211T1800Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111211T1200Z.NO/
1136 AM CST FRI DEC 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL SUNDAY DECEMBER 11.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER

$$
385 
WGUS84 KMEG 100033
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
633 PM CST FRI DEC 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC077-123-110033-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111212T0000Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111211T1800Z.NO/
633 PM CST FRI DEC 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL SUNDAY DECEMBER 11.
* AT 05 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER.

$$
166 
WGUS84 KMEG 101525
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
925 AM CST SAT DEC 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC093-111-111525-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T0812Z.111210T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CST SAT DEC 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* AT 12.0 FEET...EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME AREAS INSIDE 
  THE MAIN LEVEE SYSTEM DUE TO ACCESS PROBLEMS. AGRICULTURE FLOODING 
  IS WIDESPREAD

$$

ARC077-123-111524-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111212T0600Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111212T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CST SAT DEC 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL SUNDAY DECEMBER 11.
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN LOW LYING FARM LAND NEAR 
  THE RIVER

$$
637 
WGUS84 KMEG 110214
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
814 PM CST SAT DEC 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC093-111-120214-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T0812Z.111210T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM CST SAT DEC 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* AT 12.0 FEET...EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME AREAS INSIDE 
  THE MAIN LEVEE SYSTEM DUE TO ACCESS PROBLEMS. AGRICULTURE FLOODING 
  IS WIDESPREAD

$$

ARC077-123-120213-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111212T0600Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111212T0000Z.NO/
814 PM CST SAT DEC 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL SUNDAY DECEMBER 11.
* AT 07 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LARGE AREAS OF AGRICULTURE LAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING

$$
223 
WGUS84 KMEG 111801
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1201 PM CST SUN DEC 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED [...] OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC093-111-121801-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T0812Z.111210T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1201 PM CST SUN DEC 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* SHOULD GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* AT 12.0 FEET...EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME AREAS INSIDE 
  THE MAIN LEVEE SYSTEM DUE TO ACCESS PROBLEMS. AGRICULTURE FLOODING 
  IS WIDESPREAD

$$

ARC077-123-120600-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111212T0600Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111212T0000Z.NO/
1201 PM CST SUN DEC 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW. 
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LARGE AREAS OF AGRICULTURE LAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING

$$
010 
WGUS84 KMEG 120135
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
735 PM CST SUN DEC 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER...RIGHT HAND 
CHUTE LITTLE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC093-111-130135-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-111215T0000Z/
/RIGA4.1.ER.111208T0812Z.111210T1400Z.111214T1800Z.NO/
735 PM CST SUN DEC 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIGHT HAND CHUTE LITTLE RIVER AT RIVERVALE
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 14.
* AT 07 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* AT 12.0 FEET...EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME AREAS INSIDE 
  THE MAIN LEVEE SYSTEM DUE TO ACCESS PROBLEMS. AGRICULTURE FLOODING 
  IS WIDESPREAD

$$

ARC077-123-121200-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-111212T1200Z/
/PLGA4.1.ER.111206T0236Z.111208T0300Z.111212T0600Z.NO/
735 PM CST SUN DEC 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE L'ANGUILLE RIVER AT PALESTINE
* UNTIL MONDAY DECEMBER 12.
* AT 06 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LARGE AREAS OF AGRICULTURE LAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 4, 9:48 AM CST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 9:48 AM CST, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
948 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

.UPDATE...

A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM NEAR DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO FORREST
CITY ARKANSAS AT THIS TIME. RAIN CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO THE MIDSOUTH
AHEAD OF A SFC LOW THAT HAS DEVELOPED NEAR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS ALONG
THE FRONT. MOST OF THE RAIN REMAINS WEST OF A LINE FROM CLARKSDALE
MISSISSIPPI TO JACKSON TENNESSEE. THIS LINE WILL PROBABLY NOT
BUDGE TOO MUCH TODAY. THUS HIGHS ARE OCCURRING NOW OR HAVE BEEN
REACHED ALONG THIS LINE AND TOO THE WEST. RAIN WILL PREVENT
TEMPERATURES FROM RISING MUCH MORE. WILL UPDATE TO MENTION NEARLY
STEADY TEMPERATURES OR POSSIBLY SLOWLY FALLING TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. MEANWHILE...ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI
AND A FEW COUNTIES IN WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE TENNESSEE
RIVER...CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL MOST OF THE DAY WITH A FEW
SPOTTY SHOWERS. HIGHS WILL LIKELY WILL REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID
60S.

KRM

&&

.DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 451 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011/

A PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS STILL ON TRACK TO AFFECT MUCH
OF THE MIDSOUTH BEGINNING TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. DID DELAY
THE ONSET OF THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MS
INCLUDING TUPELO UNTIL THIS EVENING.

EARLY THIS MORNING...THE EARLY STAGES OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT
WERE TAKING SHAPE. A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING THE
MIDSOUTH FROM THE WEST...STRETCHING FROM SOUTHEAST MO INTO NORTH
CENTRAL AR AND THEN ON INTO NORTHEAST TX. GUSTY SE WINDS WERE
PUSHING MILD AIR INTO THE MIDSOUTH WITH TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. MUCH COLDER AIR WAS LOCATED BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S ACROSS MUCH OF OK WITH TEENS AND
SINGLE DIGITS OVER WESTERN KS AND CO. RAIN WAS BEGINNING TO MOVE
INTO THE NORTHEAST AR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES WITH THE MIDSOUTH IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WATER
VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A PLUME OF MOISTURE FROM THE
PACIFIC OCEAN ACROSS MEXICO AND TX INTO THE MIDSOUTH.

THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF MODELS INDICATE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL OCCUR GENERALLY ALONG AND TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM ABOUT LEXINGTON TENNESSEE TO
AROUND MARKS AND CLARKSDALE MISSISSIPPI. MODELS SHOW WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES IN THIS AREA...AND LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS INCLUDES MUCH OF THE
MIDSOUTH. IT APPEARS THAT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MS WILL HAVE THE
LEAST AMOUNT OF RAIN...AND CONFIDENCE OF FLOODING IN THIS AREA IS
THE LOWEST.

FOR TODAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE MIDSOUTH AND
GRADUALLY SLOW WITH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. BY LATE
AFTERNOON...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STRETCH FROM WEST KY INTO
WEST TN THEN ON INTO NORTHEAST LA. UPWARD MOTION INCREASES
SIGNIFICANTLY ALONG AND TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FRONT TODAY WITH
HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPING. THERE IS SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY FORECAST
ALONG AND WEST OF THE MS RIVER THIS MORNING THAT COULD LEAD TO A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...LIGHTNING DETECTION IS NOT SHOWING
ANY LIGHTNING NEAR OUR FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME...AND THUS WILL
LEAVE OUT MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR NOW. COLDER AIR WILL
GRADUALLY FILTER INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AS A SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL WILL LEAD TO
CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE FRONT
GENERALLY IN THE AREA MENTIONED ABOVE. DELAYED THE ONSET OF THE FLOOD
WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MS INCLUDING TUPELO UNTIL THIS
EVENING...BUT CONFIDENCE OF THIS AREA RECEIVING FLOODING RAINS IS
LOW EVEN FOR TONIGHT.

AS THE SHORT WAVE LIFTS ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY MORNING AND
COMBINES WITH THE FRONTAL SYSTEM...HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE. THE
FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST POSSIBLY ALLOWING THE
HEAVY RAIN TO ALSO SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST MS. COLDER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH ON MODERATE NORTH WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT.

THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL BE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF WEST TN AND NORTH MS AS THE COLD FRONT
PUSHES SOUTHEAST OF THE MIDSOUTH.

CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY / WEDNESDAY NIGHT IS VERY
LOW. MODELS SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WITH
COLD AIR IN PLACE...BUT DIFFER ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN PLACE.
KEPT A DRY FORECAST GOING AS IN THE EARLIER FORECAST. THIS IS IN
LINE WITH THE ECMWF AND CMC. HOWEVER...THE GFS IS MUCH WETTER AND
INDICATES MORE RAIN BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE RAIN CHANGING TO
SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. FOR NOW...WILL WAIT UNTIL LATER
MODEL RUNS TO DETERMINE IF CHANGES ARE NEEDED IN THE FORECAST
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

DRY BUT COLD WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS COLD HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST.

JCL

&&

.AVIATION...

12Z TAF CYCLE

IFR CONDITIONS HAVE ARRIVED AT KJBR WITH A LARGE AREA OF STEADY
RAIN NOW OVERHEAD. VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE AT THE OTHER TAF
SITES...BUT DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AT
KMEM AND KMKL AS THE RAIN DEVELOPS FURTHER EAST. IFR OR LIFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON AT KMEM AND KMKL WITH
PREVAILING MODERATE RAIN AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN. TOWARDS
KTUP...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY...WITH IFR CIGS POSSIBLY ARRIVING EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RAIN
SHOULD MAINLY STAY NORTH AND WEST OF KTUP THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY THIS MORNING...BUT WILL BACK NORTHERLY
LATE THIS MORNING AT KJBR AND THIS EVENING AT KMEM AND KMKL.

BORGHOFF

&&

&&

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     COAHOMA-DESOTO-LAFAYETTE-MARSHALL-PANOLA-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LEE MS-MONROE-PONTOTOC-
     PRENTISS-TISHOMINGO.

TN...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 4, 5:18 AM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
518 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-051200-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
518 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE MIDSOUTH. HEAVY RAIN WILL
SPREAD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY. RIVER FLOODING WILL BE
THE MAIN THREAT. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDSOUTH MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 4 AND 6
INCHES...LOCALLY MORE...ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND TO THE
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM AROUND CLARKSDALE MISSISSIPPI TO
LEXINGTON TENNESSEE. THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF
MEMPHIS...JACKSON...AND JONESBORO. LESSER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO THE SOUTHEAST. RIVER FLOODING AND LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND FLOODING SHOULD BE RELAYED TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MEMPHIS.

JCL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 4, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMEGClay, Greene3 days
Dec 4, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMEGCraighead3 days
Dec 4, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMEGSt. Francis6 days
Dec 4, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMEGMississippi, Poinsett48 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.