River Flood Warning 37, NWS Memphis, TN

144 
WGUS84 KMEG 190201
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
901 PM CDT MON APR 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER 
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-200201-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT MON APR 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 370.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 371.7 FEET EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

717 
WGUS84 KMEG 191722
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1222 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-201722-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1222 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 370.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 371.7 FEET EARLY THURSDAY MORNING APRIL 21.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

718 
WGUS84 KMEG 200123
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
823 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WEDNESDAY.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-210123-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110422T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
823 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 370.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND WILL
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 371.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$
MM

019 
WGUS84 KMEG 201344
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
844 AM CDT WED APR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-211344-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110424T0859Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110422T0500Z.110423T0859Z.NO/
844 AM CDT WED APR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 371.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 371.5 FEET EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

006 
WGUS84 KMEG 210140
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
840 PM CDT WED APR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER
AT SAVANNAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THURSDAY.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-220140-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110423T2300Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T0115Z.110422T2300Z.NO/
840 PM CDT WED APR 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 371.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$
MM

172 
WGUS84 KMEG 211656
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1156 AM CDT THU APR 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-221656-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110424T0800Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T1615Z.110423T0800Z.NO/
1156 AM CDT THU APR 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 372.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

570 
WGUS84 KMEG 220208
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
908 PM CDT THU APR 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-230208-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T2015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CDT THU APR 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 372.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN CLOSE TO 372 FEET FOR THE NEXT COUPLE 
  OF DAYS.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

730 
WGUS84 KMEG 221642
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1142 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER...TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC045-095-MOC155-231642-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TPTT1.1.ER.110420T0048Z.110504T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT TIPTONVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 39.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE 
  RISING TO NEAR 43.0 FEET BY MAY 3.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY 
  BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 44.0 FEET...FIELDS AND ROADS INSIDE THE LEVEE IN NORTHWEST TN 
  AND SOUTHEAST MO ARE UNDER WATER

$$

ARC093-TNC045-095-097-MOC155-231641-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRTM7.1.ER.110415T2100Z.110505T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CARUTHERSVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY APRIL 15 AND WILL CONTINUE
  RISING TO NEAR 40.5 FEET BY THURSDAY MAY 5.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY
  BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 40.5 FEET...WEST END OF BRADLEY ROAD IS FLOODED.

$$

ARC093-TNC097-167-231641-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSGA4.3.ER.110417T1550Z.110506T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BELOW OSCEOLA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.2 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY APRIL 17 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 37.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MAY 6.  ADDITIONAL 
  RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 38.0 FEET...THE HOUSES ON GRAMMER ROAD ARE FLOODING, AND ESCAPE 
  ROADS ARE COVERED. HOMESTEADS BETWEEN JOHNSTON ROAD AND SUNK LAKE 
  ROAD ON HIGHWAY 19 WEST ARE FLOODING. HOUSE AT SOUTH END OF OSCAR 
  GRIGGS ROAD IS FLOODING. ASHPORT IS FLOODING. HOUSES BETWEEN 
  GOLDDUST AND JOHNSON LAKE BETWEEN HIGHWAY 19 WEST AND THE 
  MISSISSIPPI RIVER ARE FLOODING. SETTLEMENT BETWEEN COKER SLOUGH AND
  HIGHWAY 19 IS FLOODING. WATER IS OVERFLOWING THE FARM HEADQUARTERS 
  JUST NORTH OF THE SUNK LAKE ROAD AND LONG HOLE ROAD JUNCTION.

$$

ARC035-077-MSC033-143-TNC157-231641-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0038.110430T0834Z-000000T0000Z/
/MEMT1.1.ER.110430T0834Z.110507T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1142 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MEMPHIS
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY APRIL 30 AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 36.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MAY 7. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.


$$

TNC071-231641-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T2015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 372.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

MSC087-095-231641-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-110425T1700Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.110417T1142Z.110417T2000Z.110425T1100Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 09 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 15.6 FEET TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.6 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...WATER IS COVERING A PORTION OF AIRBASE ROAD LOCATED
  ON THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER. LOW LYING FARM LAND IS FLOODED

$$

481 
WGUS84 KMEG 230156
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
856 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-240156-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110423T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 372.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 372.4 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO 372.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

501 
WGUS84 KMEG 231814
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
114 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER...TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC093-TNC097-167-241814-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSGA4.3.ER.110417T1550Z.110507T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
114 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BELOW OSCEOLA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY APRIL 17 AND WILL 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 42.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MAY 7.  ADDITIONAL 
  RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 43.0 FEET...ALL HOUSES ALONG ROUTE 19 ARE AWASH. PLACE AT NORTH 
  END OF GRAINERY ROAD IS STILL NOT FLOODED.

$$

ARC077-107-MSC027-143-241814-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0042.110502T0329Z-000000T0000Z/
/HEEA4.1.ER.110502T0329Z.110510T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
114 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT HELENA
* FROM SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 44.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY APRIL 24 AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 49.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MAY 10. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 51.0 FEET...LOADING DOCKS NOT PROTECTED BY LEVEES ARE FLOODED

$$

TNC071-241814-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110426T1530Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110423T2300Z.110425T1530Z.NO/
114 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 12 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 371.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 372.3 FEET THIS EVENING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

MSC087-095-241813-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-110425T1930Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.110417T1142Z.110423T1700Z.110425T1330Z.NO/
114 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 12 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* AT 15.0 FEET...WATER IS COVERING A PORTION OF AIRBASE ROAD LOCATED
  ON THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER. LOW LYING FARM LAND IS FLOODED

$$

858 
WGUS84 KMEG 240109
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
809 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-250109-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110426T0808Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T2015Z.110425T0808Z.NO/
809 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 371.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 372.0 FEET...EVACUATION ROAD FROM BIG RIVER PLANTATION RESORT IS
  FLOODED. MOST ALL EVACUATION ROADS IN BOTTOM LANDS NEAR SAVANNAH 
  ARE INUNDATED.

$$

589 
WGUS84 KMEG 241731
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER...SAINT FRANCIS RIVER...ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH...
TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC045-095-MOC155-251731-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TPTT1.3.ER.110420T0048Z.110505T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT TIPTONVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 
  49.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MAY 4.  ADDITIONAL RISES 
  MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 47.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF THE TIPTONVILLE LEVEE EXTENSION ARE OVER
  TOPPED AT THIS LEVEL.  EVACUATIONS IN THE LOW AREAS OF TIPTONVILLE 
  ARE NECESSARY

$$

ARC093-TNC097-167-251731-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSGA4.3.ER.110417T1550Z.110507T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BELOW OSCEOLA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.6 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 
  44.5 FEET BY MAY 7.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* AT 45.0 FEET...UNUSALLY HIGH STAGE OF 48.5 FEET OCCURRED IN 1927. 
  HIGHWAY 87 AND ADJOINING HOMESTEAD NORTH OF THE ROAD  JUST EAST OF 
  FULTON ARE FLOODING.

$$

ARC035-077-MSC033-143-TNC157-251731-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0038.110427T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MEMT1.2.ER.110427T2000Z.110508T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MEMPHIS
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.6 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY APRIL 27 AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 44.0 FEET BY SUNDAY MAY 8. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 44.0 FEET...THERE IS SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG BOTH 
  BANKS OF THE RIVER IN TENNESSEE, ARKANSAS, AND MISSISSIPPI

$$

ARC021-055-MOC069-251731-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SFRA4.1.ER.110424T0223Z.110425T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT FRANCIS RIVER NEAR SAINT FRANCIS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 26.0 FEET TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 
  26.0 FEET BY  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FLOOD WATER BEGINS FLOWING OVER THE LOWER PLACES IN
  THE LEVEE NEAR COUNTY HIGHWAY 338 NORTH OF SAINT FRANCIS

$$

ARC123-251731-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0044.110505T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MSNA4.1.ER.110505T0000Z.110505T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST FRANCIS RIVER DIVERSION DITCH AT MADISON
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARM LAND EAST OF MADISON IS OCCURRING

$$

TNC071-251731-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110426T0808Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T2015Z.110425T0808Z.NO/
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 371.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* AT 371.0 FEET...FEDERAL ROAD IS FLOODED AT LICK CREEK NORTH OF 
  HAMBURG.  PARTS OF LACEFIELD DRIVE ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATER.

$$

MSC087-095-251731-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-110425T2024Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.110417T1142Z.110423T1700Z.110425T1424Z.NO/
1231 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* UNTIL TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* AT 15.0 FEET...WATER IS COVERING A PORTION OF AIRBASE ROAD LOCATED
  ON THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER. LOW LYING FARM LAND IS FLOODED

$$

491 
WGUS84 KMEG 250152
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
852 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-260152-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110426T2059Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T2015Z.110425T2059Z.NO/
852 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 371.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* AT 371.0 FEET...FEDERAL ROAD IS FLOODED AT LICK CREEK NORTH OF 
  HAMBURG.  PARTS OF LACEFIELD DRIVE ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATER.

$$

369 
WGUS84 KMEG 251847
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
146 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...TENNESSEE 
RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

TNC071-251916-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110425T1846Z/
/SAVT1.1.ER.110418T1557Z.110421T2015Z.110425T1705Z.NO/
146 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  TENNESSEE RIVER AT SAVANNAH
* AT 01 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 369.9 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 369.9 FEET THIS EVENING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 369.9 FEET THIS EVENING.
* AT 370.0 FEET...COFFEE LANDING ROAD IS FLOODING JUST NORTH OF 
  BEASON CREEK AND TOWARD BOX ELDER DRIVE. CAMPSITES JUST NORTH OF 
  THE MOUTH OF BEASON CREEK ARE FLOODING.  BOX ELDER DRIVE IS 
  FLOODED. ACCESS TO SITES ALONG BARGEVIEW LANE IS CUT OFF. DIAMOND 
  ISLAND DRIVE IS FLOODED AT MUD CREEK JUST WEST OF GAMMILL SLOUGH 
  ROAD.  WEST END OF CROSS POND ROAD IS FLOODING.  SLOUGH JUST EAST 
  OF WILKENSON FERRY DRIVE ACROSS THE RIVER FROM SATILLO IS BEGINNING
  TO FLOOD.  

$$

MSC087-095-251916-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-110425T1846Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.110417T1142Z.110423T1700Z.110425T1353Z.NO/
146 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* AT 12 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 12.0 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 12.1 FEET THIS EVENING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1253 PM CDT MON APR 18 2011

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR 18Z TAF CYCLE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 AM CDT MON APR 18 2011/

UPDATE...

LOW LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS MORNING OUT AHEAD OF A QUICKLY
APPROACHING WARM FRONT. DROPPED HIGH TEMPERATURES A BIT ACROSS
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI IN RESPONSE TO THE CLOUD COVER. REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK. UPDATED ZONES WILL BE SENT SHORTLY.

CCD

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 622 AM CDT MON APR 18 2011/

UPDATE...
UPDATED TO ADD 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 505 AM CDT MON APR 18 2011/

DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE WARM FRONT THAT EXTENDED FROM NEAR TEXARKANA TO NEW
ORLEANS AT DISCUSSION TIME WILL SURGE NORTH THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH
TODAY. 00Z NAM PROGS THE WARM FRONT NEAR THE I70 CORRIDOR OVER MO
BY EARLY EVENING. NEAR 60F DEWPOINTS WILL SPREAD THROUGH THE
REGION... DISPLACING THE DRIER CONTINENTAL AIR OF THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS. NAM SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK/NIL POST FRONTAL CAPPING WITH
RESPECT TO BOUNDARY LAYER ROOTED CONVECTION AT 21Z...MAINLY ALONG AND
WEST OF THE MS RIVER. NOT MUCH POST FRONTAL FORCING OTHER THAN
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING...BUT WITH A WEAK CAP...IT MAY NOT MATTER.
HAVE CONTINUED THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TODAY... BUT LIMITED TO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

PRIMARY CONCERN WITH RESPECT TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS
TUESDAY NIGHT / EARLY WEDNESDAY. NAM 21Z TUESDAY JONESBORO
SOUNDING SHOWED SFC BASED CAPE OF 4000 J/KG... CAPPED BY A
PRONOUNCED WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER ABOVE 800MB. THIS EML SHOULD
LIMIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE
MIDSOUTH.

A STRONGLY FORCED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHEAST AR BY
MIDNIGHT TUESDAY EVENING...DRIVEN SOUTHEAST BY A PRONOUNCED
MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE LIFTING THROUGH HE MID MS RIVER VALLEY. EXPECT
A LINEAR...LIKELY QLCS MCS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
FRONTAL CONVECTION WILL BE FED BY A MOISTURE RICH 65KT LOW LEVEL
JET NEAR 925MB. PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL LIKELY BE
DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOWING CONVECTIVE SEGMENTS. ISOLATED LEADING
EDGE TORNADOES POSSIBLE. PREFRONTAL 850/500MB LAPSE RATES NEAR
7.5 C/KM WILL ALSO BE SUPPORTIVE OF LARGE HAIL.

EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO STALL OVER OVER CENTRAL MS BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...LONG AFTER THE UPPER WAVE HAS DEPARTED. SCATTERED SHOWERS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT OVER
NORTH MS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ROOTED IN MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY.

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WILL SEE THE FRONT RETURN NORTHWARD
AS A WARM FRONT. SOME STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT NORTH
OF I40...BUT THE BULK OF STORMS SHOULD OCCUR NEARER THE SURFACE
FRONT AND DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW OVER MO/IL/IN. WITH THE MIDSOUTH
REMAINING IN A WELL MIXED WARM SECTOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

THE GFS/ECMWF DIFFER ON HOW TO HANDLE THE FRONT SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY... ONCE THE UPPER WAVE LIFTS OUT OF THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY.
THE GFS REMAINS THE MOST SOUTHERLY IN FRONTAL POSITION... MEANDERING
THE FRONT ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF I40 THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS MAY
BE A MORE PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION IF THE FRONTAL PUSH IS ENHANCED BY
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM THE NORTH. TOO EARLY TO TO TELL AT THIS
POINT. WILL MAINTAIN POPS FOR THE WEEKEND...HIGHEST NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40.

ALTHOUGH DIFFERENT IN TIMING AND PLACEMENT...BOTH GFS AND ECMWF
POINT TOWARD A POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL TROF LIFTING OUT
OF THE PLAINS EARLY NEXT WORKWEEK. SUCH A FEATURE WOULD ENHANCE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR MUCH OF THE MS RIVER VALLEY. BEYOND
THE FORECAST...BUT WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE TAF CYCLE WILL BE WARM FRONTAL INTRUSION
ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITIES OF CONVECTION. WARM FRONT IS MAKING
ITS MARCH NORTHWARD. WINDS ARE GUSTING IN THE 20KT RANGE FOR
NEARLY ALL TAF SITES. POSSIBLE CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WAS A CONCERN BUT CONFIDENCE WAS LOW DUE TO CAPPING. SO
WENT WITH CB ON EVERY SITE AT THE APPROPRIATE TIME TO SIGNIFY
POSSIBLE CONVECTION. IF CAP BREAKS...SOME CONVECTION COULD BECOME
SEVERE. CEILINGS WILL REMAIN VFR WHILE A FEW LOWER TO MID CLOUDS WILL
BE SEEN AT ALL SITES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MOST OF THESE
CLOUDS WILL LIFT BY 15Z AS THE AIR IS MIXED OUT. WINDS WILL
INCREASE BEHIND AND ALONG THE FRONT TO GUSTING NEAR 30KT BY
MORNING AT MEM...MKL...AND JBR. TUP WILL SEE WINDS INCREASING A
FEW HOURS SOONER DUE TO LOCATION RELATIVE TO THE FRONT.
HOWEVER...WINDS AT TUP WILL NOT REMAIN AS STRONG TOMORROW AS
DISTANCE FROM SURFACE LOW IS TOO GREAT.

CDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  68  86  69  77 /  20  20  90  50
MKL  66  84  69  75 /  20  20  90  50
JBR  66  84  64  75 /  30  20  80  20
TUP  66  85  68  81 /  10  10  40  60

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
102 PM CDT MON APR 18 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-192015-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
102 PM CDT MON APR 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...FAR WESTERN TENNESSEE...AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

A WARM FRONT POSITIONED ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS INTO CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG SURFACE HEATING AND
INCREASING MOISTURE ALONG WITH MODEST FORCING ALONG THE WARM FRONT
MAY ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THERE STILL REMAINS UNCERTAINTY
WITH RESPECT TO WHETHER THUNDERSTORMS CAN DEVELOP AND THE EVENTUAL
OVERALL COVERAGE. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER...IF THUNDERSTORMS DO INITIATE. THIS REMAINS A CONDITIONAL
THREAT AND CONFIDENCE IN THUNDERSTORM INITIATION REMAINS LOWER
THAN PREFERRED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR AREAS NORTH OF A
JONESBORO ARKANSAS TO PARIS TENNESSEE LINE. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MID SOUTH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
IF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS WILL
BE LIKELY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

JLH