Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 105, NWS Memphis, TN

December 5, 2011Lauderdale County, Tipton County, Tennessee; Mississippi County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood warning at Dec 5, 2011, 4:11 PM CST for Lauderdale County, Tipton County, Tennessee; Mississippi County, Arkansas. It took effect at Dec 9, 2011, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Dec 5, 2011, 4:11 PM CST (22:11 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 9, 2011, 6:00 PM CST
Expired: Dec 8, 2011, 12:27 PM CST
In force
Issued by: NWS Memphis, TN
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Mississippi County, AR, Lauderdale County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The river

Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Osceola (OSGA4).

Action stage: 24 ft
Minor stage: 28 ft
Moderate stage: 31 ft
Major stage: 35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 5, 3:18 PM CST, 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 5, 3:18 PM CST, 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
318 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE REACHED 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN
ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND MUCH
OF WEST TENNESSEE. THIS HAS CAUSED SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AREAS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA ARE
EITHER FLOODING OR FORECAST TO FLOOD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

THE COLD FRONT IS LOCATED FROM ABOUT NASHVILLE TO JACKSON MS AND
CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST. WEAK LOW PRESSURE NEAR
MUSCLE SHOALS AL IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT.
MEANWHILE A POTENT 500 MB SHORTWAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE FEATURE REPRESENTS THE BACK EDGE OF THE
SIGNIFICANT RAIN. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING INTO THE REGION A
LITTLE FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED AND AS A RESULT THE RAIN IS QUICKLY
TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE EVENT WILL NOT BE VERY SIGNIFICANT AND SINCE NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI HAS NOT HAD MUCH RAIN HAVE DECIDED TO GO AHEAD AND
CANCEL THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA

TONIGHT...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
STRONG CAA BEHIND THE FRONT COMBINED WITH LOTS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN PATCHY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE EVEN AFTER
THE MAIN AREA OF RAIN MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. TEMPS WILL GENERALLY
BE IN THE 30S WITH A BRISK NORTH WIND. ADDED THE POSSIBILITY OF A
PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE OVER PARTS OF NE ARKANSAS WHERE TEMPS
COULD DIP TO 32F LATE TONIGHT.

TUESDAY...STRONG LOW LEVEL CAA WILL CONTINUE AS COLD SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN. LOTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE.
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLOUDY AND TEMPS WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY SKIES CONTINUE AS A 500 UPPER
LOW SWINGS INTO THE REGION. THE 12Z MODELS ARE ALL IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THIS FEATURE. A LITTLE OVERRUNNING RAIN COULD WORK
INTO NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW.
LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE 30S SINCE CLOUDS WILL BE WIDESPREAD. ON
WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL SWING THROUGH. ALL THE MODELS SHOW AT
LEAST SOME LIGHT PRECIP WITH THIS FEATURE SO DECIDED TO ADD A
SMALL POP TO THE FORECAST. THE BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD BE WARM
ENOUGH SO THAT MOST OF THE PRECIP WOULD BE LIQUID THOUGH SOME
FLAKES COULD BE MIXED IN ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-40. WHATEVER
HAPPENS IT WILL BE A LIGHT QPF EVENT SO NO TROUBLES ARE
ANTICIPATED.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOL AND DRY PERIOD OF WEATHER
IS EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THURSDAY AND
BE REINFORCED WITH COLDER HIGH PRESSURE BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL
BE WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S AND LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 20S. SATURDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE COLDEST DAY WITH
UPPER 30S NORTH TO MID 40S SOUTH.

SJM

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF CYCLE

FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHILE
LINGERING POST-FRONTAL RAIN REMAINS. WIDESPREAD LIFR-IFR CIGS AND
IFR VSBYS WILL ALSO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AT ALL SITES.
RA/+RA WILL DIMINISH GRADUALLY AND SHOULD TRANSITION TO -DZ AFTER
00Z AS DRIER AIR PUSHES IN.

WINDS HAVE SHIFTED AROUND TO THE NORTH AT ALL SITES EXCEPT KTUP
ATTM AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY IN THE 8-12 KT RANGE OVERNIGHT
WITH A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. AS A RESULT...DO NOT
EXPECT ANY WIDESPREAD FOG TOWARD THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

CCD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  36  42  35  42 /  30  10  10  20
MKL  37  42  33  42 /  40  10  10  20
JBR  33  40  31  41 /  10  10  10  10
TUP  43  47  38  45 /  90  40  40  30

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 5, 3:32 PM CST, 39 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
332 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-062345-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
332 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL SOME LOW LYING AREAS AND LOW WATER
CROSSING MAY REMAIN FLOODED OVERNIGHT ACROSS EASTERN
ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST
TENNESSEE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SJM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 5, 10:59 AM CST, 5 hours 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1059 AM CST MON DEC 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 AM     HEAVY RAIN       UNION CITY              36.42N 89.05W
12/05/2011  M3.80 INCH       OBION              TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0445 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW MILAN              35.93N 88.77W
12/05/2011  M3.06 INCH       GIBSON             TN   COCORAHS

0445 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DYERSBURG               36.04N 89.38W
12/05/2011  M4.53 INCH       DYER               TN   AWOS

0445 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ATOKA                   35.45N 89.77W
12/05/2011  M3.35 INCH       TIPTON             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNE SOUTHAVEN         35.04N 89.98W
12/05/2011  M4.11 INCH       SHELBY             TN   ASOS

            MEMPHIS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 WSW JACKSON           35.61N 88.92W
12/05/2011  M2.00 INCH       MADISON            TN   ASOS

            JACKSON MCKELLAR-SIPES REGIONAL AIRPORT.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N GERMANTOWN          35.12N 89.79W
12/05/2011  M4.09 INCH       SHELBY             TN   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            LOCATED AT NWS MEMPHIS OFFICE.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MEDINA                  35.80N 88.77W
12/05/2011  M2.52 INCH       GIBSON             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ENE JONESBORO         35.83N 90.65W
12/05/2011  M3.45 INCH       CRAIGHEAD          AR   ASOS

            JONESBORO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SSW MARION            35.14N 90.23W
12/05/2011  M4.68 INCH       CRITTENDEN         AR   ASOS

            WEST MEMPHIS AIRPORT.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 E BLYTHEVILLE         35.94N 89.83W
12/05/2011  M3.74 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   ASOS

            BLYTHEVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE NEWBERN            36.14N 89.24W
12/05/2011  M4.38 INCH       DYER               TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

0930 AM     FLOOD            4 N OAKLAND             35.28N 89.51W
12/05/2011                   FAYETTE            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BILL MEAD ROAD HAS BEEN WASHED OUT CUTTING OFF 55-60
            HOMES.

0943 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BRIGHTON                35.48N 89.74W
12/05/2011  M5.00 INCH       TIPTON             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0953 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BLYTHEVILLE             35.93N 89.92W
12/05/2011  M4.98 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LAST 24 HOURS

&&

CCD

Local storm report, Dec 5, 3:46 PM CST, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
346 PM CST MON DEC 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ATOKA                   35.45N 89.77W
12/05/2011  M4.97 INCH       TIPTON             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR

0230 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NE LAKELAND           35.25N 89.72W
12/05/2011  E4.90 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SINCE 7 AM SUNDAY DECEMBER 3RD.

&&

RRH

Local storm report, Dec 5, 3:55 PM CST, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
355 PM CST MON DEC 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       10 E BLYTHEVILLE        35.93N 89.75W
12/05/2011  E5.54 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL OF 5.54 INCHES IN THE LAST 17 HOURS AT NUCOR
            STEEL.

&&

RRH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 5, 9:38 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Tate, Tunica	20 hr
Dec 4, 9:35 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	MEG	Lake, Obion	10 hr
Dec 5, 3:15 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	MEG	Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale and 3 more	12 hr
Dec 5, 7:33 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	MEG	Lake, Obion	8 hr
Dec 5, 9:19 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	MEG	Dyer, Lauderdale, Shelby, Tipton	6 hr
Dec 5, 9:37 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Dyer	9 days
Dec 5, 9:37 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Fayette, Shelby	20 hr
Dec 5, 2:13 PM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Madison	20 hr
Dec 5, 4:11 PM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	Dyer, Lauderdale	68 hr
Dec 5, 4:19 PM CST	River Flood Advisory	MEG	Lake	8 days
Dec 5, 5:18 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	MEG	Decatur	12 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2011 River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2011 Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.