Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2011

Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Memphis, TN

March 4, 20114 states

NWS Memphis, TN issued this flash flood watch at Mar 4, 2011, 3:47 AM CST for 4 states. It took effect at Mar 4, 2011, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2011, 3:47 AM CST (09:47 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 4, 2011, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 5, 2011, 3:31 PM CST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Flood severity
None
All 56 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-03-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-03-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 128 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1766 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
282 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

643 
WGUS64 KMEG 040947
FFAMEG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
347 AM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MID SOUTH
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

.A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WITH A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
MOVING ALONG IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH FROM LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT
WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL FALL IN AREAS
WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE HEAVY
RAINS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-
007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001-002-019-048-049-088-050000-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.A.0003.110305T0000Z-110306T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-
DYER-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...UNION CITY...DYERSBURG...
COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...
MILLINGTON
347 AM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH 
 MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...
 INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS...CLAY...
 CRAIGHEAD...CRITTENDEN...CROSS...GREENE...LAWRENCE...LEE...
 MISSISSIPPI...PHILLIPS...POINSETT...RANDOLPH AND ST. FRANCIS. 
 IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...COAHOMA...DESOTO...PANOLA...QUITMAN...
 TALLAHATCHIE...TATE AND TUNICA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
 DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...DYER...LAKE...
 LAUDERDALE...OBION...SHELBY AND TIPTON.

* FROM 6 PM CST FRIDAY THROUGH 6 PM CST SATURDAY.

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE
  THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-089>092-
050000-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.A.0003.110305T0600Z-110306T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-
WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-
HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...MARTIN...DRESDEN...
PARIS...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
347 AM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST 
 TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH 
 MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...
 ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL...MONROE...PONTOTOC...
 PRENTISS...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST 
 TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CHESTER...CROCKETT...DECATUR...FAYETTE...
 GIBSON...HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...HENRY...
 MADISON...MCNAIRY AND WEAKLEY.

* FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE
  THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

JLH
5 follow-up statements
626 
WGUS64 KMEG 042130
FFAMEG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MID SOUTH
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

.A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WITH A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
MOVING ALONG IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH FROM LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THAT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL FALL IN
AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.
THE HEAVY RAINS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-
007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001-002-019-048-049-088-050615-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0003.110305T0000Z-110306T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-
DYER-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...UNION CITY...DYERSBURG...
COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...
MILLINGTON
330 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST 
 MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
 IN EAST ARKANSAS...CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...CRITTENDEN...CROSS...
 GREENE...LAWRENCE...LEE...MISSISSIPPI...PHILLIPS...POINSETT...
 RANDOLPH AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...COAHOMA...
 DESOTO...PANOLA...QUITMAN...TALLAHATCHIE...TATE AND TUNICA. IN 
 SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...
 DYER...LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION...SHELBY AND TIPTON.

* FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...
  WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
  REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-089>092-
050615-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0003.110305T0600Z-110306T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-
WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-
HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...MARTIN...DRESDEN...
PARIS...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
330 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING 
 THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...
 CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL...
 MONROE...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...UNION AND 
 YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CHESTER...CROCKETT...
 DECATUR...FAYETTE...GIBSON...HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...
 HENDERSON...HENRY...MADISON...MCNAIRY AND WEAKLEY.

* FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...
  WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
  REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
513 
WGUS64 KMEG 050328
FFAMEG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
928 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MID SOUTH
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

.A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WITH A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
MOVING ALONG IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH FROM LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THAT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL FALL IN
AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.
THE HEAVY RAINS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-
007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001-002-019-048-049-088-051200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-
DYER-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...
HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...
TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...UNION CITY...DYERSBURG...
COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...
MILLINGTON
928 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST 
 MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
 IN EAST ARKANSAS...CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...CRITTENDEN...CROSS...
 GREENE...LAWRENCE...LEE...MISSISSIPPI...PHILLIPS...POINSETT...
 RANDOLPH AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...COAHOMA...
 DESOTO...PANOLA...QUITMAN...TALLAHATCHIE...TATE AND TUNICA. IN 
 SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...
 DYER...LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION...SHELBY AND TIPTON.

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
  REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

* BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT...WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE
  THE DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS
  OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT
  STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-089>092-
051200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0003.110305T0600Z-110306T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-
WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-
HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...MARTIN...DRESDEN...
PARIS...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
928 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING 
 THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...
 CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL...
 MONROE...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...UNION AND 
 YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CHESTER...CROCKETT...
 DECATUR...FAYETTE...GIBSON...HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...
 HENDERSON...HENRY...MADISON...MCNAIRY AND WEAKLEY.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
  REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

* BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT...WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE
  THE DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS
  OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT
  STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

KRM
892 
WGUS64 KMEG 050922
FFAMEG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
322 AM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
MID SOUTH THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WITH A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
MOVING ALONG IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THROUGH THIS EVENING.
ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL FALL IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL END FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ARZ008-009-017-018-051030-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD
322 AM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EAST ARKANSAS HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS MOVED SOUTH OF THESE AREAS AND
THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED.

$$

ARZ026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-007-008-010>012-
020-TNZ001-002-019-048-049-088-052200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-
LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-
QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-DYER-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-
SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...
WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...HELENA...KENNETT...
CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...
BATESVILLE...UNION CITY...DYERSBURG...COVINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON
322 AM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM CST TODAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST 
  MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
  IN EAST ARKANSAS...CRAIGHEAD...CRITTENDEN...CROSS...LEE...
  MISSISSIPPI...PHILLIPS...POINSETT AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH 
  MISSISSIPPI...COAHOMA...DESOTO...PANOLA...QUITMAN...
  TALLAHATCHIE...TATE AND TUNICA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
  DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...DYER...LAKE...
  LAUDERDALE...OBION...SHELBY AND TIPTON.

* THROUGH 6 PM CST TODAY.

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...
  WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
  REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

* BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT...WHEN IT IS HARDER TO 
  RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH 
  FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD 
  WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER 
  BEGINS RISING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-089>092-
052200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-
WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-
HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...MARTIN...DRESDEN...
PARIS...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
322 AM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...
  CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL...
  MONROE...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...UNION AND 
  YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CHESTER...CROCKETT...
  DECATUR...FAYETTE...GIBSON...HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...
  HENDERSON...HENRY...MADISON...MCNAIRY AND WEAKLEY.

* THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...
  WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
  REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

* BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT...WHEN IT IS HARDER TO 
  RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH 
  FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD 
  WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER 
  BEGINS RISING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

JLH
790 
WGUS64 KMEG 051803
FFAMEG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1203 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
MID SOUTH THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
MID SOUTH. ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL FALL IN AREAS
WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. 

ARZ026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-007-008-010>012-
020-TNZ001-002-019-048-049-088-051915-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-
LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-
QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-DYER-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-
SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...
WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...HELENA...KENNETT...
CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...
BATESVILLE...UNION CITY...DYERSBURG...COVINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON
1203 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. CONSULT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLOOD
WARNINGS AND FLOOD STATEMENTS CONCERNING RIVERS IN THE AREA.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-089>092-
060215-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-
WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-
HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...MARTIN...DRESDEN...
PARIS...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
1203 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING 
 THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...
 CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL...
 MONROE...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...UNION AND 
 YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CHESTER...CROCKETT...
 DECATUR...FAYETTE...GIBSON...HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...
 HENDERSON...HENRY...MADISON...MCNAIRY AND WEAKLEY.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... 
 WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE 
 REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. 

* BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT...WHEN IT IS HARDER TO 
 RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH 
 FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD 
 WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER 
 BEGINS RISING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
858 
WGUS64 KMEG 052131
FFAMEG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
331 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED...

.THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED OVER MID-SOUTH.
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH
MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-089>092-
052245-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110306T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-
WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-
HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...MARTIN...DRESDEN...
PARIS...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
331 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST
TENNESSEE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL HAS
ENDED SO NO ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Mar 3, 11:06 PM CST, 4 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 3, 11:06 PM CST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1106 PM CST THU MAR 3 2011

.UPDATE... /ISSUED 856 PM CST THU MAR 3 2011/

FORECAST IS ON TRACK...ITS HARD TO ADJUST A FORECAST THAT ALREADY
INCLUDES 100 PERCENT POPS. HPC INCREASED QPF THIS EVENING FOR THE
WEEKEND...SO I FOLLOWED THEIR LEAD. WE'RE LOOKING AT A 1.5 TO 2
INCH BASIN AVERAGE EVENT. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY FALL.
EVEN TWO INCHES OVER 24 TO 48 HOURS SHOULDN'T CAUSE TOO MUCH OF A
PROBLEM...HOWEVER WITH SEVERAL RIVERS ALREADY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
AND RISING...WE COULD SEE SOME MINOR ISSUES. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED...ESPECIALLY IF RAIN TOTALS CONTINUE TO TREND UPWARD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 520 PM CST THU MAR 3 2011/

SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON
WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT
WHILE A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE PLAINS STATES. THIS FRONT WILL
EXTEND THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY FRIDAY MORNING. A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.

THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ON FRIDAY AND AS IT
GETS CLOSER TO THE FORECAST AREA...MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. WITH THE CLOUDS AND RAIN...TEMPERATURES WILL
NOT BE AS WARM AS TODAY.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. ONCE THE
FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION...COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA MAKING TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
SATURDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
BRINGING AN END TO THE RAIN AND BRINGING COOLER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO THE FORECAST AREA FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND MUCH OF SUNDAY.

BY MONDAY MORNING...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE EAST OF THE REGION
BRINGING A RETURN OF SOUTH WINDS AND WARMER AIR. DRY WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS A NEW STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.

THIS NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY
BRINGING A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN ON TUESDAY AND A BETTER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY
BRINGING DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF SET

HAVE NOW PUSHED BACK TIMING ON ARRIVAL OF MVFR CIGS AT KTUP AS
WELL. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 12-15Z AT ALL TAF SITES.
AT THAT TIME...MVFR CIGS WILL QUICKLY SPREAD OVER ENTIRE CWA. IN
ADDITION...SHRAS WITH A POSSIBLE TSRA OR TWO WILL DEVELOP OVER NE
AR SHORTLY AFTER 12Z. HAVE KEPT TEMPO GROUP FOR KJBR AS VSBYS COULD
BE TEMPORARILY REDUCED. AFTER 18Z...SHRAS AND ISOL TSRAS WILL
DEVELOP OVER ANY PORTION OF THE CWA. RIGHT NOW TIMING IS TOO HARD
TO PINPOINT THUS WILL CONTINUE MENTION OF VCSH WITH A MENTION OF
CB. MVFR CIGS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR AFTER 00Z. A LINE OF SHRA
WITH ISOL TSRA EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING INTO NE AR SHORTLY BEFORE
6Z. THUS HAVE MENTIONED A TEMPO GROUP FOR LOWER VSBYS AND CIGS AT
KJBR AFTER 3Z. SSE WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE GRADUALLY INCREASE
BY MORNING. SPEEDS OF 12-15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED
BY 15Z.

KRM

&&

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  56  66  56  57 /  10  90 100 100
MKL  55  65  54  58 /  10  90 100 100
JBR  53  64  49  50 /  10  90 100  80
TUP  53  65  56  63 /  10  90 100 100

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 3, 4:36 AM CST, 23 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
436 AM CST THU MAR 3 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-041245-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
436 AM CST THU MAR 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL TRACK NEAR THE MIDSOUTH
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. CONSULT THE
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR MORE INFORMATION.

A SEVERE STORM OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...BUT AN ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

BORGHOFF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 12:21 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMEGMonroe42 hr
Mar 4, 12:24 PM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryMEGHardin42 hr
Mar 4, 1:40 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMEGHaywood50 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Tennessee, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.