Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2011
Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this flash flood watch at Feb 23, 2011, 2:34 AM CST for 4 states. It took effect at Feb 24, 2011, 12:00 AM CST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 23, 2011, 2:34 AM CST (08:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 24, 2011, 12:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2011, 12:18 AM CST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Flood severity
- None
All 56 counties
Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2439 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 81 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 18 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 23 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
148 WGUS64 KMEG 230834 FFAMEG URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 234 AM CST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .AN INTENSIFYING STORM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY. THE FIRST THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL COME AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED TO STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDSOUTH COUNTIES WITH CONSISTENT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. LATER THAT EVENING A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION THROUGH MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004- 019>021-048>055-088>090-232300- /O.NEW.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T0600Z-110225T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY- HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN... PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON... JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE... MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR 234 AM CST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN EAST ARKANSAS...CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...CRITTENDEN...CROSS... GREENE...LAWRENCE...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT...RANDOLPH AND ST. FRANCIS. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CHESTER...CROCKETT...DECATUR...DYER... FAYETTE...GIBSON...HARDEMAN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...HENRY... LAKE...LAUDERDALE...MADISON...OBION...SHELBY...TIPTON AND WEAKLEY. * FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING * A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM CAPABLE OF TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JAB
9 follow-up statements
577 WGUS64 KMEG 232211 FFAMEG URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 411 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .AN INTENSIFYING STORM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE FIRST THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL COME AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED TO STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID SOUTH COUNTIES WITH CONSISTENT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. ARZ049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ091-092-241100- /O.EXB.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T1800Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE- UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN- CHICKASAW-MONROE-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...SAVANNAH 411 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS...LEE AND PHILLIPS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...CALHOUN...CHICKASAW... COAHOMA...DESOTO...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL... MONROE...PANOLA...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...QUITMAN... TALLAHATCHIE...TATE...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...TUNICA...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...HARDIN AND MCNAIRY. * FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051- 241100- /O.EXT.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T0600Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 411 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...GREENE...LAWRENCE...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT AND RANDOLPH. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CROCKETT...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY... LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * RAINFALLL TOTALS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ035-036-048-TNZ049-050-052>055-088>090-241100- /O.EXT.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T1800Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-MADISON-CHESTER- HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR 411 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS...CRITTENDEN...CROSS AND ST. FRANCIS. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE... HARDEMAN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MADISON...SHELBY AND TIPTON. * FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JLH
734 WGUS64 KMEG 241031 FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 431 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .AN INTENSIFYING STORM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE FIRST THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL COME AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED TO STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID SOUTH COUNTIES WITH CONSISTENT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051- 241845- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 431 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...GREENE...LAWRENCE...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT AND RANDOLPH. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CROCKETT...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY... LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALLL TOTALS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ049-050-052>055- 088>092-241845- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T1800Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL- BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA- QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA- TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY- HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA... BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY... TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 431 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CRITTENDEN...CROSS...LEE...PHILLIPS AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...CALHOUN...CHICKASAW... COAHOMA...DESOTO...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL... MONROE...PANOLA...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...QUITMAN... TALLAHATCHIE...TATE...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...TUNICA...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE... HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MADISON...MCNAIRY... SHELBY AND TIPTON. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ OKULSKI
481 WGUS64 KMEG 241152 FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 552 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .AN INTENSIFYING STORM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE FIRST THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL COME AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED TO STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID SOUTH COUNTIES WITH CONSISTENT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051- 242000- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 552 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...GREENE...LAWRENCE...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT AND RANDOLPH. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CROCKETT...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY... LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALLL TOTALS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ049-050-052>055- 088>092-242000- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T1800Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL- BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA- QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA- TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY- HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA... BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY... TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 552 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CRITTENDEN...CROSS...LEE...PHILLIPS AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...CALHOUN...CHICKASAW... COAHOMA...DESOTO...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL... MONROE...PANOLA...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...QUITMAN... TALLAHATCHIE...TATE...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...TUNICA...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE... HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MADISON...MCNAIRY... SHELBY AND TIPTON. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
460 WGUS64 KMEG 241155 FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 555 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .AN INTENSIFYING STORM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE FIRST THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL COME AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED TO STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID SOUTH COUNTIES WITH CONSISTENT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051- 242000- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 555 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...GREENE...LAWRENCE...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT AND RANDOLPH. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CROCKETT...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY... LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALLL TOTALS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ049-050-052>055- 088>092-242000- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T1800Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL- BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA- QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA- TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY- HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA... BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY... TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 555 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CRITTENDEN...CROSS...LEE...PHILLIPS AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...CALHOUN...CHICKASAW... COAHOMA...DESOTO...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL... MONROE...PANOLA...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...QUITMAN... TALLAHATCHIE...TATE...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...TUNICA...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE... HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MADISON...MCNAIRY... SHELBY AND TIPTON. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
683 WGUS64 KMEG 241503 FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 903 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .AN INTENSIFYING STORM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE FIRST THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL COME AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED TO STALL ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AND NORTHWEST TENNESSEE. CONSISTENT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG THE STALLED WARM FRONT. LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051- 242315- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 903 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...GREENE...LAWRENCE...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT AND RANDOLPH. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CROCKETT...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY... LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ049-050-052>055- 088>092-242315- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.110224T1800Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL- BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA- QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA- TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY- HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA... BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY... TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 903 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CRITTENDEN...CROSS...LEE...PHILLIPS AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...CALHOUN...CHICKASAW... COAHOMA...DESOTO...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL... MONROE...PANOLA...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...QUITMAN... TALLAHATCHIE...TATE...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...TUNICA...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE... HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MADISON...MCNAIRY... SHELBY AND TIPTON. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KRM
884 WGUS64 KMEG 242126 FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 326 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .AN INTENSIFYING STORM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT. ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AS A RESULT FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051- 250530- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE... UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT... MILAN...HUNTINGDON 326 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...GREENE...LAWRENCE...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT AND RANDOLPH. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CARROLL...CROCKETT...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY... LAKE...LAUDERDALE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY * TOTAL RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ049-050-052>055- 088>092-250530- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-MARSHALL- BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA- QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA- TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY- HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA... BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY... TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 326 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS... CRITTENDEN...CROSS...LEE...PHILLIPS AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON...CALHOUN...CHICKASAW... COAHOMA...DESOTO...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL... MONROE...PANOLA...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...QUITMAN... TALLAHATCHIE...TATE...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...TUNICA...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE... HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MADISON...MCNAIRY... SHELBY AND TIPTON. * UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KRM
942 WGUS64 KMEG 250241 AAA FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 841 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... .A SQUALL LINE MOVING EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WILL BRING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL... RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING. LIGHT TO MODERATE STEADY RAIN WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE SQUALL LINE... WHICH WILL GRADUALLY BE ERODED BY DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE WEST LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-250345- /O.CAN.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE 841 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED. WATER MAY REMAIN ON AREA ROADS FROM RAIN THAT OCCURRED EARLIER THIS EVENING. $$ TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051-250900- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS... DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON 841 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... CARROLL...CROCKETT...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY...LAKE... LAUDERDALE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ049-050-052>055-088>092-250900- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS- ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-TIPTON- HAYWOOD-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH... IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD... NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...COVINGTON...JACKSON... LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS... MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 841 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON... CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...COAHOMA...DESOTO...ITAWAMBA... LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL...MONROE...PANOLA...PONTOTOC... PRENTISS...QUITMAN...TALLAHATCHIE...TATE...TIPPAH... TISHOMINGO...TUNICA...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE... CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE...HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HAYWOOD... HENDERSON...MADISON...MCNAIRY...SHELBY AND TIPTON. * UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ PWB
707 WGUS64 KMEG 250347 AAA FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 947 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... .A SQUALL LINE MOVING EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WILL BRING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL... RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING. LIGHT TO MODERATE STEADY RAIN WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE SQUALL LINE... WHICH WILL GRADUALLY BE ERODED BY DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE WEST LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ048>051-088-250500- /O.CAN.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAUDERDALE- TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-SHELBY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...TUNICA... CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...COVINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON 947 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED. $$ TNZ001>004-019>021-250900- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS... DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON 947 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... CARROLL...DYER...GIBSON...HENRY...LAKE...OBION AND WEAKLEY. * UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO 1 INCH. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ052>055-089>092-250900- /O.CON.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE- UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE- MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD... NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 947 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...ALCORN...BENTON... CALHOUN...CHICKASAW...ITAWAMBA...LAFAYETTE...LEE...MARSHALL... MONROE...PONTOTOC...PRENTISS...TIPPAH...TISHOMINGO...UNION AND YALOBUSHA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CHESTER...DECATUR...FAYETTE... HARDEMAN...HARDIN...HENDERSON...MADISON AND MCNAIRY. * UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY * RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
546 WGUS64 KMEG 250618 FFAMEG FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1218 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011 MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-052>055-089>092- 250730- /O.CAN.KMEG.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE- UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE- LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-MADISON-CHESTER- HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD... NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY...MARTIN... DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON... JACKSON...LEXINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 1218 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY RAIN AND THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO RUNOFF FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING LOCATIONS. $$ JCL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Feb 22, 11:50 PM CST, 2 hours 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 11:50 PM CST, 2 hours 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1150 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2011 .UPDATE... UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 854 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2011/ UPDATE... A MOSTLY CLEAR AND CHILLY EVENING WAS UNDERWAY ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH AT DISCUSSION TIME. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WAS RESULTING IN LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS. GOES IR IMAGERY SHOWED SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THESE CLOUDS SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. A COUPLE OF FORECAST UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT THUS FAR THIS EVENING... BOTH WITH REDUCTION IN TONIGHT/S LOW TEMPS. A FURTHER REDUCTION MAY BE IN ORDER FOR THE TN RIVER VALLEY...GIVEN FEWER CLOUDS AND PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE PRESSURE RIDGE. PWB && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2011/ DISCUSSION... NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE...THUS NO DRASTIC CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. THE GFS CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A SLOWER...WEAKER SOLUTION...BRINGING THE MAIN ROUND OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE WEATHER LATER IN THE DAY. THIS SOLUTION WOULD NOT TAKE AS MUCH ADVANTAGE OF DAYTIME HEATING ENHANCED INSTABILITY AS A FASTER SOLUTION SUCH AS THE ECMWF. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY TOMORROW...AND SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE MIDSOUTH PUMPING WARM MOIST AIR BACK INTO THE AREA...SETTING THE STAGE FOR THE FIRST ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN 2011. DEW POINTS WILL CLIMB THROUGH 40S DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE MIDDLE 50S OVERNIGHT. TIMING ISSUES REMAIN THE BIGGEST QUESTION REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY. AT THIS POINT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE QUESTION IF WE WILL SEE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...JUST HOW MANY. THE PLACEMENT OF THE SURFACE LOW THURSDAY MORNING IS SIMILAR AMONG GUIDANCE...BUT BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THE ECMWF IS ABOUT 300 MILES FARTHER NORTHEAST OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY STRONG FLOW ALOFT WILL SIDE CLOSER TO THE FASTER SOLUTION. THE ECMWF ALSO FORECASTS A DEEPER AND HIGHER LATITUDE LOW WHICH WOULD HELP SURGE THE SURFACE FRONT NORTH PUTTING MORE OF THE CWA IN THE WARM SECTOR. INSTABILITY ISN'T ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE...LIKELY LIMITED BY EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER...BUT DYNAMICS SHOULD BE PLENTY TO PRODUCE AT LEAST A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE GREATEST THREAT AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE HAIL...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WIND AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW RELATIVELY STRAIGHT HODOGRAPHS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY...SO PRECEDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY RIDE FROM WEST TO EAST ALONG THE WARM FRONT...MOST LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...INTO WESTERN MISSISSIPPI. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS AROUND 2.5 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE MID SOUTH. STORM TOTAL QPF VALUES RANGE NEAR ONE INCH NEAR TUPELO...TO ALMOST THREE INCHES NEAR PARIS TENNESSEE. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE. 30/SIRMON && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF SET VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME MVFR CIGS WITH SCATTERED -SHRA WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE MIDSOUTH BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GREATER INSTABILITY WILL BEGIN TO PUSH OVER ARKANSAS AFTER 00Z...WITH SOME THUNDER POSSIBLE THEREAFTER ALONG AND WEST OF THE MS RIVER. IN ADDITION...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AFTER 00Z SO INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP FOR RAIN AND CB AT KMEM AND KJBR WITH VCSH CONTINUING AT KMKL AND KTUP. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL VEER SOUTHEAST DURING THE PERIOD AND REMAIN GENERALLY BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KTS. BORGHOFF && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 35 60 55 65 / 0 10 80 90 MKL 30 61 51 64 / 0 10 80 90 JBR 31 54 48 60 / 0 20 80 100 TUP 32 64 52 69 / 0 10 50 60 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 3:54 AM CST, 22 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 354 AM CST TUE FEB 22 2011 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-231200- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 354 AM CST TUE FEB 22 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. INCREASING INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM MAY RESULT IN SOME STRONG STORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES. SINCE THIS WILL BE THE FIRST SEVERE WEATHER RISK OF THE YEAR...RESIDENTS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES NOW IN PREPARATION FOR SEVERE WEATHER. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST INFORMATION THROUGH THE WEEK REGARDING THIS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ENDING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. JAB
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Tennessee, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.