Flash Flood Warning 159, NWS Memphis, TN

217 
WGUS54 KMEG 050925
FFWMEG
MSC057-081-115-117-141-145-051330-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110905T1330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
425 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHEASTERN PONTOTOC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  EASTERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 830 AM CDT

* AT 424 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL  
  HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED  
  WITH REMNANTS FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ARE BEGINNING TO MOVE   
  INTO THE AREA AND WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN 
  OVER THE NEXT 3 HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BALDWYN...
  IUKA...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...TISHOMINGO STATE PARK AND TRACE STATE
  PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3468 8811 3463 8814 3425 8855 3423 8912
      3442 8878 3449 8879 3450 8867 3491 8816
      3489 8809

$$

421 
WGUS54 KMEG 051230
FFWMEG
MSC057-081-115-117-141-145-051730-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110905T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
730 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHEASTERN PONTOTOC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  EASTERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 729 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF           
  RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. HEAVY RAIN BANDS      
  ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LEE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH     
  MIDDAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BALDWYN...
  IUKA...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...TISHOMINGO STATE PARK AND TRACE STATE
  PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3468 8811 3463 8814 3425 8855 3423 8912
      3442 8878 3449 8879 3450 8867 3491 8816
      3489 8809

$$

336 
WGUS54 KMEG 051707
FFWMEG
MSC057-081-115-117-141-145-052330-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110905T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1207 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHEASTERN PONTOTOC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  EASTERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 1205 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND TRAINED WEATHER OBSERVERS       
  REPORTED 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 12   
  HOURS. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WILL      
  PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY    
  EXCEED 12 INCHES BY LATER TONIGHT IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE 
  WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BALDWYN...
  IUKA...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...TISHOMINGO STATE PARK AND TRACE STATE
  PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MEMPHIS.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3468 8811 3463 8814 3425 8855 3423 8912
      3442 8878 3449 8879 3450 8867 3491 8816
      3489 8809

$$

136 
WGUS74 KMEG 051952
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
252 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

MSC145-051959-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110905T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UNION MS-
252 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN UNION
COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3467 8811 3463 8814 3425 8855 3425 8891
      3442 8878 3491 8816 3489 8809

$$

MSC057-081-115-117-141-052330-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110905T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TISHOMINGO MS-PRENTISS MS-PONTOTOC MS-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS-
252 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA...NORTHERN LEE...EAST CENTRAL PONTOTOC...
EASTERN PRENTISS AND TISHOMINGO COUNTIES...

AT 249 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND TRAINED WEATHER OBSERVERS REPORTED 
6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES 
OF RAIN IN THE NEXT 4 HOURS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BALDWYN...
IUKA...TUPELO...TISHOMINGO STATE PARK AND TRACE STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

.FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS
OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING
STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP
TO HIGHER GROUND.

.TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MEMPHIS.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 8811 3463 8814 3425 8855 3425 8891
      3442 8878 3491 8816 3489 8809

$$

967 
WGUS54 KMEG 052311
FFWMEG
MSC057-081-115-117-141-060230-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110906T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
611 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  EAST CENTRAL PONTOTOC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHEASTERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 611 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL
  HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 3 HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BALDWYN...
  IUKA...TUPELO AND TISHOMINGO STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

.FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS
OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING
STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP
TO HIGHER GROUND.

.TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MEMPHIS.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 8811 3463 8814 3425 8855 3425 8891
      3442 8878 3491 8816 3489 8809

$$

467 
WGUS74 KMEG 060102
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
802 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

MSC057-081-115-060112-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110906T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PONTOTOC MS-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS-
802 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTHWESTERN
ITAWAMBA...NORTHERN LEE AND EAST CENTRAL PONTOTOC COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3465 8812 3446 8832 3446 8836 3460 8854
      3491 8816 3489 8809

$$

MSC117-141-060230-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110906T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TISHOMINGO MS-PRENTISS MS-
802 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN PRENTISS AND TISHOMINGO COUNTIES...

AT 802 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY 
PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO IUKA AND
TISHOMINGO STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3465 8812 3446 8832 3446 8836 3460 8854
      3491 8816 3489 8809

$$

045 
WGUS74 KMEG 060137
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
837 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

MSC117-060147-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110906T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PRENTISS MS-
837 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EASTERN PRENTISS
COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3465 8812 3446 8832 3477 8832 3491 8816
      3489 8809

$$

MSC141-060230-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110906T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TISHOMINGO MS-
837 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR
TISHOMINGO COUNTY...

AT 837 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY 
PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO IUKA AND
TISHOMINGO STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3465 8812 3446 8832 3477 8832 3491 8816
      3489 8809

$$

470 
WGUS74 KMEG 060221
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
921 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

MSC141-060231-
/O.EXP.KMEG.FF.W.0159.000000T0000Z-110906T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TISHOMINGO MS-
921 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 930 PM CDT FOR TISHOMINGO
COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3465 8812 3446 8832 3477 8832 3491 8816
      3489 8809

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
839 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES ARE CLOUDY OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LEE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AT THIS TIME. MODERATE RAIN
CONTINUES TO FALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND IS
STARTING TO MOVE INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE. HAVE CHANGED
FLOOD WATCH TO A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND HAVE ADDED MCNAIRY...HARDIN
AND DECATUR COUNTIES IN WEST TENNESSEE. WILL SEND OUT UPDATED
FORECAST SHORTLY.

ARS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 705 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011/

DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011/

A MIXTURE OF HEAVY RAIN...RAIN SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
APPROACHING TWO INCHES FROM THE EARLY MORNING HOURS IN THE BAND
ALONG A WEBB TO BELMONT MISSISSIPPI LINE. TEMPERATURES HAVE
MAINLY BEEN STEADY TO SLOWLY FALLING AS THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION
MOVES NORTH. THE COLD FRONT OVER THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ILL
DEFINED BUT BELIEVE IS SET UP JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE FORTY.

FOR TONIGHT THROUGH LABOR DAY...RAIN WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDER WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS PERIOD ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE FORTY. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL APPEARS
TO BE LINING UP WITH THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH THAT EXTENDS FROM
TALLAHATCHIE TO TISHOMINGO COUNTIES IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI. NOTICED
HOWEVER...THAT RAIN HAS NOT BEEN AS HEAVY IN SOUTHERN CALHOUN
EASTWARD TO MONROE COUNTIES. THESE THREE COUNTIES MAY BE UNDER THE
GUN FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS SOME MIDLEVEL DRY
AIR IS GETTING SHUNTED NORTH AND ENTRAINED INTO LEE. A COUPLE
TORNADO WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED WITH A CURRENT LINE OF STORMS
JUST NORTHWEST OF MERIDIAN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STEADY IN
THE MID AND UPPER 60S WITH NORTH AND NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO
15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND 25 TO 30 KNOTS ON MONDAY. THUS HAVE
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING FOR THE ENTIRE
MIDSOUTH. PUSHED CLOUD COVER BACK TOWARDS THE WEST ACROSS EASTERN
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO LINE UP WITH A GFS AND EURO MODEL
BLEND. FEEL THOUGH THAT NORTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH ONLY SEE A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR RAIN AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SHARP PRECIP GRADIENT
SETTING UP FROM A MEMPHIS TO MARTIN LINE. THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN
WILL FALL ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TOMORROW AS THE GFS HAS
BEEN THE MODEL OF CHOICE WITH LEES SLOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TRACK.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...LEE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARDS
BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA BY LATE TUESDAY KEEPING LIKELY POPS AND
MODERATE RAIN IN ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING WHEN THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH IS PROGGED TO EXPIRE.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS ACTUALLY LOWERING THAT FLOODING RAINS MAY
NOT BE OVER AT THIS POINT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AS
LEE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL AND STALLS TO CLOSE TO THE REGION.
THUS...FUTURE FORECASTS WILL HAVE TO REEVALUTE THIS SCENARIO
LEADING TO A POSSIBLE WATCH EXTENSION.

MODELS SHOW A MAX 925MB MAX WIND BAND REMAINING OVER THE MID SOUTH
ON TUESDAY SO CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN TEN
TO FIFTEEN DEGREES COOLER ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
ARKANSAS AND THE BOOT HEEL OF MISSOURI WHERE PEEKS OF SUNSHINE WILL
OCCUR.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...CONTINUED WITH A EURO/GS BLEND DURING
THIS PERIOD WITH SLIGHT TO CHANCE POPS IN ACROSS THE MAJORITY
MID SOUTH AS LEE BECOMES EXTRA TROPICAL AND A CLOSED 500MB LOW
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE/OHIO RIVER VALLEYS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH ONLY THE FAR WESTERN
COUNTIES REMAINING DRY.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY WILL KEEP THE MID SOUTH IN DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. INSTABILITY
SEEMS LIKELY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS FOR
ISOLATED SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY. SO HAVE LEFT LOW POPS IN
ACROSS THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH. TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO
INCREASE A FEW DEGREES...HOWEVER THEY WILL STILL STAY REMAIN BELOW
NORMAL FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER.

JAB

&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAF CYCLE (05/00Z-06/00Z)

TROPICAL STORM LEE OVER SOUTHEAST LA IS FORECAST TO MOVE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN MS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH MS AND PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST TN. IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KTUP THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD. KMEM AND KMKL WILL BE ON THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE RAIN
WILL MVFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING OVERNIGHT. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF
AT KMEM AND KMKL MONDAY MORNING AS LEE MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST
WITH CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR AT THOSE SITES. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KJBR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN TROPICAL STORM LEE AND HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL CAUSE STRENGTHENING
WINDS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING
OVERNIGHT BECOMING 12-15 KTS WITH GUSTS 18-20 KTS...THEN WINDS
CONTINUING TO INCREASE MONDAY BECOMING 17-20 KTS WITH GUSTS 27-30
KTS.

JCL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  65  74  58  77 /  40  50  20  10
MKL  64  73  59  75 /  60  50  20  20
JBR  62  73  57  75 /  20  30   0   0
TUP  67  73  62  72 / 100  90  60  30

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR CLAY-
     CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-
     MISSISSIPPI-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR DUNKLIN-
     PEMISCOT.

MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR ALCORN-
     BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-
     LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-
     QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-
     YALOBUSHA.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR CARROLL-
     CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-
     HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-
     MCNAIRY-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR DECATUR-HARDIN-
     MCNAIRY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
854 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-060400-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
854 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI
AND SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE. TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL SLOWLY MOVE
THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. OUTER RAIN
BANDS WILL PRODUCE EXTENDED PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES OVER MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL LIKELY
AFFECT NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO WEST
CENTRAL ALABAMA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

RAINFALL AND FLOODING REPORTS MAY BE REQUESTED OF SPOTTERS TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.