High Wind Watch 35, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

302 
WWUS74 KMAF 140852
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
252 AM CST WED DEC 14 2011

NMZ027-TXZ258-142000-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0035.111214T1500Z-111214T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0055.111214T0900Z-111214T2100Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
152 AM MST WED DEC 14 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY TRAVELING
  THROUGH THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. LIGHT AIRCRAFT CAN EXPECT SEVERE
  TURBULENCE AND SHOULD AVOID FLYING NEAR THE MOUNTAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
241 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS/FOG ARE ON A DECREASING TREND TODAY AND AS COMPARED TO THE
LAST SEVERAL DAYS. SUNSHINE HAS BROKEN THRU SOME IN THE W WHERE
NOSE 5H-3H DRY SLOT IS ADVANCING NEWD AND WHERE LOW LEVEL THERMAL
RIDGE IS SUPPORTING BETTER MIXING AND WARMER TEMPS. MEANWHILE 5H
LOW IS INVOF SW AZ. ASSOCD PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
FAR W POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS 03Z AND THEN THRU THE PB BY 12Z. THERE
ARE STILL GOOD INDICATIONS OF MID LEVEL INSTABILITY PER LR/S WITH
7H-5H OMEGA SUPPORTING LIFT COMING OUT JUST AHEAD OF FRONT. MODELS
QPF AND MET/MAV ARE DOWN PLAYING POPS AND WILL OPT TO REFLECT A
DECREASING TREND IN POPS...BUT WILL KEEP ISOLD/SLGHT CHC POPS WITH
THUNDER MENTIONED. ALSO HAVE INCLUDED MENTION OF FOG AGAIN TONIGHT
IN AREAS MAINLY N OF THE PECOS RIVER. IN WAKE OF FRONT/MID LEVEL
TROF AXIS W WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SOLID WINDY CONDITIONS(25-30
MPH) LOOK LIKELY ACRS SE NM/PB. SOMEWHAT SURPRISINGLY MOS KEEP
WINDS ON THE LOW SIDE AT GDP (35KTS). BASED ON 7H WINDS (50KTS AT
12Z-15Z) EXPECT THAT HIER ELEVATIONS WILL GUST 55-60 MPH. MTN WAVE
SET-UP LOOKS A LITTLE BETTER FROM YESTERDAYS RUN AND WILL OPT TO
ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR GDP MTNS FROM 15Z-21Z WED. STILL LOOKS
LIKE A FREEZE THUR AM FOR MOST AREAS N OF I-20. COOLER THUR PM TOO
WITH SFC RIDGE STILL IN PLACE. FRI MORNING MAY BE THE COOLEST
MORNING OF THE CYCLE WITH DRIER AIR AND ABIT OF SECONDARY SURGE OF
SFC HIGH PRESSURE. LOW CLOUDS MAY SNEAK BACK IN BUT WILL BE MOST
LIKELY ACRS THE S-SE FRI. WITH SFC WINDS ON THE BREEZY SIDE FRI PM
IT WILL FEEL COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S. AS LOW LEVEL WAA INCREASES
FRI NIGHT AND SAT MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL EXPAND ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE S-SW. SFC RIDGE NOW ADVERTISED TO BUILD IN FURTHER S. THE RESULT
WILL BE TO KEEP LOW CLOUDS IN THE S AND IN THE MTNS WITH THE BETTER
WAA AND UPSLOPE. 85H TEMPS OF 5C ACRS CNTRL PB SIGNAL ANOTHER DAY
WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR SAT...COOLER W. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER
WAA WILL INCREASE SUNDAY MORNING. CLOSED 5H LOW WILL BE INVOF SRN
AZ WITH NOSE OF 3H JET MOVING INTO W TX/SRN NM. THIS WILL INCREASE
DEPTH OF THE LIFT AND PRECIP CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY...MODELS
ARE MOVING THE LOW E. GFS IS A LITTLE FARTHER E (SE NM) THAN ECMWF
(NEAR EL PASO CITY) 12Z MON...BUT STILL MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT.
WRAP AROUND PRECIP MON PM...MOSTLY -RA...POSSIBLY -RA/SN MIX IN
THE GDP MTNS SE NM. WINDY ON MONDAY TOO. ECMWF HAS COLD AIR
FARTHER S TUE MORNING. MEANWHILE THERE WILL LIKELY BE YET ANOTHER
UPPER LOW EITHER OFF THE SRN CALIF COAST OR FARTHER E IN AZ ON
TUE. GFS IS REFLECTING COOLER TEMPS ON 12Z TOO FOR TUE...BUT STILL
NOT AS COLD AS ECMWF. DIFFERENCE MAY BE THE TRACK OF THE ANTICYCLONE
AS ECMWF BRINGS HIGH THRU THE INTER MTN W WHERE BETTER SNOW PACK
MAY HELP FURTHER MODIFY THE AIRMASS TO THE COLDER SIDE. ATTP SEEMS
THAT HIGH TEMPS WILL BE NO HIER THAN THE M40S TUE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              56  63  33  56  /  20  10  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                47  64  28  59  /  20   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  55  70  40  63  /  10  10   0  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           47  66  34  59  /  10  10   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          40  55  32  53  /  30   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   46  61  29  56  /  30  10   0   0
MARFA TX                   38  59  25  56  /  10   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    53  63  30  56  /  20  10   0   0
ODESSA TX                  52  64  32  57  /  20  10   0   0
WINK TX                    48  65  29  60  /  20  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
     EDDY COUNTY.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
135 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2011

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-141230-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
135 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2011 /1235 PM MST TUE DEC 13 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS
MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THE GREATEST AREAL
COVERAGE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INCLUDING THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS. THE VISIBILITY MAY DROP BELOW A MILE
IN A FEW LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE EXTREME EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN ALONG AND EAST OF A SNYDER...
GARDEN CITY...DRYDEN LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND