Alert archive / Virginia / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Baltimore/Washington

February 18, 201111 counties in Maryland; 27 counties in Virginia; 8 counties in West Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this red flag warning at Feb 18, 2011, 2:03 PM EST for 11 counties in Maryland; 27 counties in Virginia; 8 counties in West Virginia. It took effect at Feb 19, 2011, 12:01 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr. 31 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2011, 2:03 PM EST (19:03 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 19, 2011, 12:01 AM EST
Expired
Feb 19, 2011, 9:00 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
All 46 counties

Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Grant County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Pendleton County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 19, 3:40 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGWashington, VAMULTIPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS FLINT HILL... SPERRYVILLE AND BOSTON
Feb 19, 4:02 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 582 Sw Flint, MD
Feb 19, 6:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ssw Barstow, MDTREE DOWN AT SANDY POINT ROAD AND SIXES ROAD
Feb 19, 7:15 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 714 Nw Wintergreen, VA
Feb 19, 8:35 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGChester Gap, VATREE DOWN IN CHESTER GAP
Feb 19, 8:50 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 60Reston, VA
Feb 19, 9:46 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGHuntly, VATREE DOWN ALONG ZACHARY TAYLOR HIGHWAY
Feb 19, 9:47 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGSperryville, VATREE DOWN ALONG SPERRYVILLE PIKE
Feb 19, 9:58 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG3 W Mount Airy, MDTREE AND LIMBS DOWN BLOCKING ROAD DUE TO HIGH WINDS.
Feb 19, 10:09 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 W Ijamsville, MDTREES DOWN JUST NORTH OF THE TRAIN TRACKS OFF OF REELS MILL ROAD
Feb 19, 10:25 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 W National Harbor, VATRAFFIC POLE DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF SOUTH WASHINGTON ST AND CHURCH ST.
Feb 19, 10:49 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ese Green Valley, MDMULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG BILL MOXLEY ROAD
Feb 19, 10:59 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ese Oella, MD
Feb 19, 11:01 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 S Fairview Beach, VATREE DOWN AT CALEDON ROAD AND FAIRVIEW DRIVE
Feb 19, 11:24 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ne Eagle Harbor, MDTREE DOWN ACROSS DEEP LANDING ROAD AND HUNTING CREEK ROAD
Feb 19, 11:24 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGWashington, VATREE DOWN ALONG LEE HIGHWAY
Feb 19, 11:30 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG3 Ne Lambs Creek, VATREE DOWN AT COMORN ROAD AND IGO ROAD
Feb 19, 11:34 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 593 Se Mccoole, WV
Feb 19, 11:50 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Wsw Leeland, VATREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD
Feb 19, 11:51 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ese King George, VATREE DOWN ALONG WOODSIDE DRIVE
Feb 19, 11:55 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 E White Oak, VATREE DOWN ON BETHEL CHURCH ROAD
Feb 19, 11:57 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGCalifornia, MDTREE DOWN ON WOODLAND ACRES ROAD IN CALIFORNIA
Feb 19, 12:15 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ne Aquia, VATREE DOWN ALONG TELEGRAPH ROAD
Feb 19, 1:03 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Se Fairview Beach, VATREE DOWN AT CALEDON ROAD AND POTOMAC LANDING DRIVE
Feb 19, 1:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Prince Frederick, MDTREE DOWN AT STOAKLEY ROAD AND M.I. BOWEN ROAD
Feb 19, 2:22 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGLusby, MDTREE DOWN ALONG LONG BOW COURT
Feb 19, 2:49 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGLoveville, MDTREE DOWN ALONG LOVEVILLE ROAD IN LOVEVILLE
Feb 19, 3:05 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 601 Nnw Parole, MD
Feb 19, 3:20 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 621 Ene Forest Park, MD
Feb 19, 4:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGWestminster, MDTREE DOWN ON RT 97 AT BARTHOLOW ROAD
Feb 19, 5:15 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 E Nanjemoy, MDTREE DOWN ON IRONSIDES RD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 151 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1427 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

495 
WWUS81 KLWX 181903
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
203 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-
042-050>057-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-190315-
/O.UPG.KLWX.FW.A.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-
FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-
RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-
HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-
EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
203 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTS
7 follow-up statements
847 
WWUS81 KLWX 182225
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
525 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-
051>054-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-190630-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
525 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 60 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MDZ016>018-VAZ050-055>057-190630-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-ORANGE-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
525 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 55 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
106 
WWUS81 KLWX 190125
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
825 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-
051>054-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-190930-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
825 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 60 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MDZ016>018-VAZ050-055>057-190930-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-ORANGE-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
825 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 55 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
428 
WWUS81 KLWX 190501
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1201 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-
051>054-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-191315-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T0501Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
1201 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 60 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MDZ016>018-VAZ050-055>057-191315-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-ORANGE-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
1201 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 55 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
955 
WWUS81 KLWX 191340
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
840 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-
051>054-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-192145-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
840 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 60 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MDZ016>018-VAZ050-055>057-192145-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.110219T1400Z-110220T0200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-ORANGE-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
840 AM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 55 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
165 
WWUS81 KLWX 192048
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
348 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-
051>054-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-200200-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
348 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...PERSISTING BETWEEN 5 AND 20 PERCENT INTO THE
  EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH INTO THE
  EVENING.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MDZ016>018-VAZ050-055>057-200200-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110220T0200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-ORANGE-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
348 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...PERSISTING BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT INTO THE EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH INTO THE EVENING.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

JACKSON
125 
WWUS81 KLWX 200038
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
738 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-
051>054-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-200200-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
738 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MDZ016>018-VAZ050-055>057-200200-
/O.CON.KLWX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110220T0200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-ORANGE-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
738 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH.

* FUEL MOISTURE...LESS THAN 8 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
923 
WWUS81 KLWX 200149
RFWLWX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
849 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-
051>054-501-502-504-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-200300-
/O.EXP.KLWX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110220T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN GRANT-EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
849 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS WINDS
SLOWLY DIMINISH.

$$

MDZ016>018-VAZ050-055>057-200300-
/O.EXP.KLWX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110220T0200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-ORANGE-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
849 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS WINDS
SLOWLY DIMINISH.

$$
SBK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 18, 10:51 AM EST, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 10:51 AM EST, 3 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1051 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC THIS EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
CDFNT APRCHG UPR OHVLY ATTM. PRECIOUS LTL MSTR ALNG FNT...W/O MUCH
OPPORTUNITY TO ACQUIRE MORE BEFORE REACHING AREA. MAY BE A FEW
SPRINKLES/BRIEF SHRA ACRS THE RDGS.

OTRW...PLENTY OF CLDS LINGER. MOST OF IT IS UPR LVL MSTR...EVIDENT
IN LWX SNDG AOA H5. BASED ON VSBL SATPIX...WE MAY BE ABLE TO MIX
TAFTN...BUT H8 INVSN WONT HELP. HV MADE SKY GRIDS A LTL MORE
PESSIMISTIC. THE CLDS LKLY WL INTERFERE W/ BRZY CONDS TOO. WL
ADDRESS THAT INT HE GRIDS NXT.

THE MAIN STORY FOR TODAY THOUGH WILL BE THE WARM TEMPERATURES. HIGHS
ON THURSDAY DID TOP 70S FOR MANY AREAS...W/ TODAY LIKELY REACHING AT
LEAST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE THAT BEFORE THE COLD FRONT MAKES IT
THROUGH. EVEN THOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN COLDER AND DRIER
AIR...TEMPS WON/T DROP ALL THAT QUICKLY. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE ONLY
EXPECTED TO DROP JUST INTO THE 40S...BUT TEMPS ON SAT WILL ONLY
INCREASE ABOUT 10 DEGREES FROM THERE - FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
00-06Z NAM PROFILES INDICATE A MAX 70-80KT RANGE WITHIN H8 JET.
THE 12Z NAM CAME IN W/ 75-80 KT...CENTERED OVR CWFA. MIXING WL BE
FVRBL FOR A VERY STRONG WND ADVY BRDRG ON HWW. GIVEN THAT
RISK/POTL...HV ISSUED HIGH WND WATCH...CENTERED NEAR THE CORE OF
THE LLJ AND BASED ON ITS TIMING.

THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CREATE FIRE DANGER CONCERNS...THEREFORE A
FIRE WX WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE DAYTIME HRS SAT. SEE THE FIRE
WX SECTION FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. DID
UPDATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY GRIDS WITH THE LATEST TEMP AND
WIND GRIDS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT
MOVE OFFSHORE EARLY SUNDAY. A WARM FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE NORTH
ACROSS THE CWFA ON SUNDAY NIGHT. MAX/MIN TEMPS MAY BE TRICKY
SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY DEPENDING UPON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM
FRONT MAKES IT. HAVE BUMPED TEMPS UP A FEW DEGREES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CWFA ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

MODELS STILL CONTINUE TO INDICATE PRECIP WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM THAT MOVES ACROSS MONDAY. BUFKIT PROFILES INDICATE A SWITCH
OVER TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND THEN TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT. CONFIDENCE
IS LOW...SO DID NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WINDS ARE THE MAIN CONCERN TODAY AND ESPECIALLY SAT. TODAY WE/LL SEE
A GENERAL SW-WLY 10-15KT WIND WITH GUSTS IN THE 20-25KT RANGE FOR
THE AFTN/EVE HRS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTN...SHIFTING SFC WINDS TOWARD THE WEST /AFTER STARTING OFF THE
DAY FROM THE SOUTH/. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW-END VFR CIGS EXPECTED
TOWARD SUNRISE...JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
GETS SQUEEZED UP THE ERN SEABOARD. THESE CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO
MIX-OUT OVER THE COURSE OF THE EARLY AFTN HRS FROM THE STRONGER LOW
LEVEL WINDS...CLEARING OUT LATER THIS EVE.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AT THE SFC TO GENERALLY 10KT
OR LESS BUT THEY WILL INCREASE JUST A COUPLE THOUSAND FT UP. BY THE
PRE-DAWN HRS - A SOLID AREA OF 50-60KT WINDS WILL BE JUST OVERHEAD
AND BEGIN TO MIX DOWN TOWARD THE SFC...ESPECIALLY ACROSS N CNTRL MD
AND INTO NRN VA. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS
THE ENTIRE MID ATLC REGION W/ AN EXPECTED RANGE OF 30-40KT /HIGHER
IN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS/ TILL EARLY EVE.

VFR CIGS/VSBYS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...SATURDAY WILL BE
WINDY. NW WINDS SUSTAINED BETWEEN 20-30 KT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40
AND 50 KT ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS GUSTS WILL DIMINISH SATURDAY EVENING.

SUB VFR CIGS/VSBYS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AND FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA CONDITIONS TDA ONCE CLDS SCOUR OUT. THAT STILL SHUD HPPN
TDA...AND MADE NO CHGS TO ADVY.

HOWEVER...GALE STRENGTH GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO APPEAR ACROSS THE WATERS
AFTER SUNRISE ON SAT AND LAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. PORTIONS OF THE
WATERS - ESPECIALLY THE NRN-MID BAY MAY SEE GUSTS PEAK IN THE
LOW-END STORM WARNING BRIEFLY BUT A GENERAL 35-45KT REGIME IS
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAYTIME HRS.

WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SATURDAY EVENING...BUT STILL HAVE HIGH
END SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WATERS OVERNIGHT. SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY SUNDAY.

WINDS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTH SUNDAY AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AND COLD FRONT. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF
CHANNELING UP THE BAY...AND SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SATURDAY ACROSS THE MID ATLC HAS AN ENHANCED RISK FOR FIRE DANGER
FROM STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RHS AND LOW FUEL MOISTURES COMBINING
DURING THE DAYTIME HRS. WINDS WILL BE STRONG FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...OUT OF THE WNW AT THE SFC. GUSTS COULD POTENTIALLY PEAK INTO
THE 50-60MPH RANGE ACROSS N CNTRL MD AND THE POTOMAC RVR VLY REGION.
A SOLID 30-50MPH RANGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE
REGION...WELL INTO RED FLAG CRITERIA - AS WELL AS RH VALUES IN THE
10S AND 20S. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT THE
WESTERNMOST ZONES OF THE CWA /THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CNTRL
APLCNS/ FROM HIGHER RH VALUES.

&&

.CLIMATE...
MAX TEMPS TDA ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 70S AT DCA/BWI/IAD. THIS
WOULD BE THE THIRD DAY THIS MONTH OF MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S AT DCA. AT
LEAST THREE DAYS OF 70F-DEG TEMPS HAVE OCCURRED IN FEB ONLY NINE
OTHER TIMES IN WASH DC SINCE OFFICIAL RECORDS BEGAN IN 1872. THE
LAST TIME WITH AT LEAST THREE DAYS OF 70F-DEGREE TEMPS IN FEB AT DCA
WAS 1997 /FOUR DAYS/.

DCA/BWI/IAD EXCEEDED THE 70F-DEG MARK YESTERDAY AS WELL. THE LAST
TIME DCA/BWI/IAD HAD TWO CONNECTIVE DAYS IN FEB OF 70F-DEG TEMPS
WAS 24-25 FEB 2000.

THE RECORD NUMBER OF 70F-DEG DAYS IN FEB IS 7 FOR WASH DC... AND
6 FOR BALTIMORE AND DULLES. ALL OF THESE RECORDS OCCURRED IN FEB
1976.

THE MIN TEMPS SO FAR TDA /AS OF 9 AM/ ARE ABOVE THE CURRENT RECORD
HIGH MIN FOR 18 FEB AT DCA/BWI/IAD. IF THE TEMPS AT ALL THREE SITES
DO NOT DROP BELOW 50F BY MIDNIGHT...THEN NEW RECORD HIGH MINS WOULD
BE SET. BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGH MINS FOR 18 FEB AND MINS SO FAR
TDA...

SITE   REC HIMIN   /YR OF RECORD/    MIN SO FAR THIS MRNG
DCA      50F       /1890 AND 1891/     52F
BWI      50F       /1891/              51F
IAD      50F       /1976/              53F

FCST MAXES THIS AFTN ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH DAILY RECORDS AT ALL
THREE CLIMATE SITES. BELOW ARE THE RECORD MAX TEMPS FOR 18 FEB...

SITE  REC MAX    /YR OF RECORD/
DCA     76F      /1976 AND 1981/
BWI     75F      /1976/
IAD     73F      /1981/

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
NOAA WEATHER RADIOS FROM MANASSAS VA...WASHINGTON DC...PIKESVILLE
MD...HAGERSTOWN MD...AND MOOREFIELD WV ALL INOP ATTM. SUSPECT CUT
IN PHONE LINE. TELCO HAS BEEN NOTIFIED.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR DCZ001.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     DCZ001.
MD...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-502.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-501-502.
VA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR VAZ025>031-036>040-042-050>057-501-502-504.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     VAZ026>031-038>040-042-051>054-501-502.
WV...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     WVZ050>053-055-501>506.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ530>534-
     537>543.
     GALE WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ530>543.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ535-
     536.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ535-
     536.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LISTEMAA
NEAR TERM...HTS/GMS
SHORT TERM...HTS/GMS
LONG TERM...LISTEMAA
AVIATION...GMS/LISTEMAA
MARINE...HTS/GMS/LISTEMAA
FIRE WEATHER...GMS
CLIMATE...KLEIN
EQUIPMENT...HTS
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 12:05 PM EST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-
191000-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND
MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY TODAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC
SOUTH OF COBB ISLAND OVERNIGHT.

A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT FOR MOST OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA. SEE WBCNPWLWX FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE HIGH WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING ON SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
THE PORTIONS OF LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND THAT ARE NOT INCLUDED IN
THE HIGH WIND WATCH.

A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC AND
MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY FOR SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS
POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO SUNDAY.

DRY CONDITIONS AND HIGH WINDS WILL COMBINE TO CREATE AN ENHANCED
FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED. SEE WBCRFWLWX FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

MDZ003>005-009-010-501-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-050-051-501>504-
WVZ050>053-055-501>506-191000-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-
1205 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT FOR MOST OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA. SEE WBCNPWLWX FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE HIGH WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING ON SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
THE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA THAT ARE NOT INCLUDED IN THE HIGH
WIND WATCH.

DRY CONDITIONS AND HIGH WINDS WILL COMBINE TO CREATE AN ENHANCED
FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON SATURDAY FOR MUCH OF MARYLAND...PORTIONS OF
THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. SEE WBCRFWLWX FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

JRK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 3:16 AM ESTFire Weather WatchLWXAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles and 5 more11 hr
Feb 18, 10:30 AM ESTHigh Wind WatchLWXAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Prince George's and 2 more7 hr
Feb 18, 5:22 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningLWXAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles and 5 more26 hr
Feb 18, 5:22 PM ESTWind AdvisoryLWXAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles and 5 more19 hr
Feb 18, 3:12 AM ESTGale WarningLWX33 hr
Feb 18, 3:12 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryLWX18 hr
Feb 18, 5:22 PM ESTGale WarningLWX35 hr
Feb 18, 5:22 PM ESTStorm WarningLWX26 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Virginia, 2011Red Flag Warnings in Maryland, 2011Red Flag Warnings in West Virginia, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.