Flash Flood Warning 96, NWS Baltimore/Washington

464 
WGUS71 KLWX 140716
FFSLWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
316 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

VAC003-125-140800-
/O.CON.KLWX.FF.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110814T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NELSON VA-ALBEMARLE VA-
316 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHERN ALBEMARLE AND NELSON COUNTIES...

AT 312 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE 
HEAVIEST RAIN HAS MOVED EAST OF THE WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...STREAMS 
AND CREEKS ARE LIKELY STILL OUT OF THEIR BANKS AND FLASH FLOODING IS 
LIKELY OCCURRING.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PINEY
RIVER...NELLYSFORD...BRYANT...BATESVILLE...ROSELAND...NORTH GARDEN...
LOVINGSTON AND GREENFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RADAR ESTIMATES OVER 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
THE WARNED AREA.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER 
TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED 
ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT 
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON 
FOOT. 

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE
YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME
KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR
CREEKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3756 7892 3764 7895 3769 7899 3771 7904
      3802 7876 3789 7853 3775 7862 3773 7865
      3768 7866 3769 7869 3763 7873 3764 7882
      3754 7883 3753 7886

$$

SBK

946 
WGUS51 KLWX 140751
FFWLWX
VAC003-125-141100-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FF.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110814T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
351 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NELSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN ALBEMARLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 700 AM EDT

* AT 347 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLASH     
  FLOODING FROM OVER THE WARNED AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY THE HEAVY RAIN
  INCLUDE SCHUYLER AND SHIPMAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...LAW 
ENFORCEMENT REPORTS SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES ONGOING. CREEKS AND 
STREAMS ARE OUT OF THEIR BANKS...AND VEHICLES HAVE BEEN STRANDED AND 
WASHED INTO SWOLLEN CREEKS. RADAR ESTIMATES UP TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN 
MAY HAVE FALLEN...AND DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE 
EVEN THOUGH RAIN HAS STOPPED.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY 
AUTOMOBILE.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
STERLING VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3756 7892 3764 7895 3769 7899 3771 7904
      3802 7876 3789 7853 3775 7862 3773 7865
      3768 7866 3769 7869 3763 7873 3764 7882
      3754 7883 3753 7886

$$

SBK

835 
WGUS71 KLWX 140951
FFSLWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

VAC003-125-141100-
/O.CON.KLWX.FF.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110814T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NELSON VA-ALBEMARLE VA-
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHERN ALBEMARLE AND NELSON COUNTIES...

AT 548 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.  HOWEVER...AREA 
CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE STILL OUT OF THEIR BANKS IN MANY LOCATIONS 
AND FLASH FLOODING MAY STILL BE OCCURRING.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SHIPMAN AND 
SCHUYLER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3756 7892 3764 7895 3769 7899 3771 7904
      3802 7876 3789 7853 3775 7862 3773 7865
      3768 7866 3769 7869 3763 7873 3764 7882
      3754 7883 3753 7886

$$

SBK

724 
WGUS71 KLWX 141050
FFSLWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
650 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

VAC003-125-141100-
/O.EXP.KLWX.FF.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110814T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NELSON VA-ALBEMARLE VA-
650 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 700 AM EDT FOR SOUTHERN
ALBEMARLE AND NELSON COUNTIES...

LAT...LON 3756 7892 3764 7895 3769 7899 3771 7904
      3802 7876 3789 7853 3775 7862 3773 7865
      3768 7866 3769 7869 3763 7873 3764 7882
      3754 7883 3753 7886

$$

SBK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1002 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER MICHIGAN WILL TRACK EAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...BRINGING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. AN UPPER TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH ON MONDAY BRINGING MORE SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FOR MIDWEEK...BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM AFFECTS THE REGION
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /OVERNIGHT/...

ATTM OUR EYES ARE ON THE LN OF RW/TRW S OF DC XTNDG INTO AUG/ROCK
COUNTIES. THESE HV BEEN TRACKING SLOWLY E INTO A VERY MOIST AIR
MASS BEING VERY EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS. POPS WERE UPPED S OF DC
IN RESPONSE TO THIS.

THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A DECENT LULL IN PRECIP ALL NIGHT
LONG...THEN ANOTHER BATCH MOVING IN AROUND OR AFTER DAYBREAK. SUCH
THINGS LIKE TO HAPPEN EARLIER THAN THE MODELS DEPICT...SO I
SHIFTED ALL THE HIGHER POPS FORWARD A COUPLE HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR
THIS.

LTL MVMNT IN TEMPS OVRNGT - LOWS IN 60S W OF I-95...L70 I-95
CORRIDOR AND E.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/...

FOR THE NERN CORNER OF THE CWA AM INCRSG THE POPS TO 100% AND
RAISING QPF HIGHER BASED ON 18Z MDLS.

SUSPECT SUNDAY WL BE CLOUDY AND WET. UPPER TROF WL BE BE
W OF THE APLCHNS BUT DEEPENING...AT SAME TIME A CSTL LOW WL BE
DVLPG. ERN PART OF THE CWA IS IN A SLT RISK...BUT SVR TSTM PSBLTY
WL BE DEPENDENT ON CLDS BRKG OUT...AND I'M UNSURE THERE'S GOING TO
BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF SUNNY BRKS DURG THE DAY. MODELS INDICATE 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE AREA...AND THERE WILL CERTAINLY BE
HIGHER AMOUNTS SOMEWHERE. SEE HYDROLOGY SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

HV DROPPED TEMPS A FEW DEGS PREDICATED ON THE XPCTD DENSE CLD CVR.
HIGHS GNRLY ARND 80.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

LOW PRESSURE/ASSOCIATED FRONT WORK THEIR WAY EAST OF THE BAY AND OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY NIGHT. EXPECT NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO BE ONGOING SUNDAY EVENING THEN FOR ACTIVITY
TO DECREASE SOME IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT. MAIN THREAT FROM EVENING
STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL/LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING BUT STRONG
GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL ALSO BE A CONCERN NEAR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AREA.

UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY FOR MORE SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. WITH PLENTY OF
CLOUDS/CONVECTION...DAYTIME MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
HELD DOWN SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGY.

UPPER TROUGH WILL BE LURKING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON TUESDAY.
COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS THAT ROTATE BACK INTO THE EASTERN PORTION OF
THE CWA ON TUESDAY...BUT TREND SHOULD BE FOR LOWER POPS THAN THE
PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS.

WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR WEDNESDAY FOR WHAT MAY BE THE DRY
DAY OF THE WEEK. NEXT TROUGH IS POISED TO ROLL DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST...BRINGING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

VFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING...THEN LOW CLOUDS AND FOG BUILD
IN...ESPECIALLY AT THE USUAL SUSPECTS /KCHO...KMRB...KIAD/. FOR
NOW...JUST BLANKETED SUNDAY WITH 6SM SHRA AND MVFR CIGS...BUT
WORSE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES.

THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF SHRA/TSRA AFFECTING THE TERMINALS
SUNDAY EVENING. LOCAL IFR VSBYS/GUSTY WINDS MAY RESULT. CONVECTION
SHOULD WANE OVERNIGHT...BUT MVFR RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY AS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS. UPPER TROUGH BRINGS MORE SHRA/TSRA ON
MONDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE MID WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...

SCA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. BEST CHANCE FOR SCA CRITERIA
WINDS IS PROBABLY TONIGHT. TOMORROW IS QUESTIONABLE FOR WIDESPREAD
CRITERIA WINDS...BUT WINDS TO CRITERIA WOULD STILL OCCUR IN
SHRA/TSRA...SO LEFT THE SCA IN PLACE.

WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY EVENING...GRADIENT SHOULD BE
WEAK ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE SCA. HOWEVER THERE WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS
AROUND THAT COULD PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. MORE
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...THEN DRIER WEATHER
SHOULD MOVE IN FOR THE MID WEEK WITH NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT
36 HOURS. THE GOOD NEWS IS A LOT OF THAT RAIN WILL BE SPREAD OUT
OVER TIME...AND THEREFORE WOULD NOT POSE A WIDESPREAD FLOOD
THREAT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ALSO EXTREMELY LOW GIVEN RECENT DRY
CONDITIONS...SO THAT FLOOD THREAT IS LOW AS WELL.
HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR AND TRAINING OF STORMS
IS ALWAYS A THREAT. SO ISOLATED INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ARE
EXPECTED. SOIL MOISTURE IS HIGHEST IN THE BALTIMORE METRO AREA
/AND THAT IS ONLY BEING ADDED TO TODAY/...SO IF THERE IS AN AREA
MORE PRIMED FOR IT...THAT WOULD BE IT. WILL NOT ISSUE A FLOOD
WATCH BUT WILL PASS ALONG THIS INFO FOR FUTURE SHIFTS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

THE PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW AND FAVORABLE PORTION OF THE LUNAR
CYCLE ARE COMBINING TO ELEVATE WATER LEVELS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. ALREADY ISSUED THE ADVISORY FOR THE BAY. MODELS INDICATE
EASILY REACHING CRITERIA...ESPECIALLY FROM ANNAPOLIS NORTHWARD. HIGH
TIDES IN THAT AREA ARE BETWEEN 4 AM AND NOON. TIDAL POTOMAC IS
SLIGHTLY MORE UNCERTAIN...AND WE HAD A STORM COME THROUGH ON THE
UPPER TIDAL POTOMAC RIGHT AT LOW TIDE WHICH CONTAMINATED THE VALUE
MAKING IT TOUGH TO EXTRAPOLATE. WILL HOLD OFF ON ADVISORY THERE...AS
THE THREAT IS TWO HIGH TIDE CYCLES AWAY.

ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL TURN AND LIGHTEN SUNDAY NIGHT...GIVEN THE LUNAR
SITUATION...AND A LACK OF A STRONG PUSH OUTWARD...MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING MAINLY ON THE BAY CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE HIGH TIDE
MONDAY MORNING. IF IT OCCURS...IT PROBABLY WOULD BE LESS THAN SUNDAY.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO NOON EDT SUNDAY FOR MDZ007-
     011-014-018.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ531>534-
     537>543.

&&

UPDATE...WOODY!
PRVS...CJE/BPP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1053 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-
141200-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
1053 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE MARYLAND
CHESAPEAKE BAY BELOW POOLES ISLAND AND FOR THE LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC
RIVER.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE WATER LEVELS ACROSS THE WESTERN SHORE
OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER TONIGHT. MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE TONIGHT
ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE BAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE
LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY.

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY
MORNING ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY. MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE UPPER TIDAL POTOMAC
DURING THE SAME HIGH TIDE CYCLE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY ALSO
BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY WITH THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
SUNDAY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY.

MDZ003>005-009-010-501-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-050-051-501>504-
WVZ050>053-055-501>506-141200-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-
1053 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
SUNDAY EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
732 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

VAZ025-036-037-140000-
NELSON VA-ALBEMARLE VA-AUGUSTA VA-
732 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT NELSON...ALBEMARLE AND AUGUSTA
COUNTIES...

AT 732 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
AFTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE YANCEY MILLS...GREENFIELD AND BATESVILLE.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS STORM WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO BELOW
ONE MILE AND MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. RAINFALL OF ONE
HALF TO ONE INCH IN THE NEXT 30 MINUTES IS POSSIBLE.

WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

&&

LAT...LON 3798 7856 3781 7875 3803 7894 3811 7882
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 313DEG 11KT 3803 7884

SMZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
917 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE WOODSTOCK          38.89N  78.50W
08/13/2011                   SHENANDOAH         VA   911 CALL CENTER

            DAMAGE TO ROOF AT SHENANDOAH COUNTY THRIFT STORE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101389

WOODY!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
919 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW DUNDALK           39.27N  76.52W
08/13/2011                   BALTIMORE          MD   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN FROM CEDAR ST TO NORWOOD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101390

WOODY!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1224 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S GREENFIELD          37.92N  78.84W
08/14/2011                   NELSON             VA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROCKFISH VALLEY HIGHWAY CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101391

SBK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1228 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S TYRO                37.81N  79.00W
08/14/2011                   NELSON             VA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            CRABTREE FALLS HIGHWAY NEAR CUB CREEK ROAD CLOSED DUE
            TO FLASH FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101392

SBK