Alert archive / Texas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011
Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Lubbock, TX
NWS Lubbock, TX issued this winter storm warning at Jan 31, 2011, 3:53 PM CST for 24 counties in Texas. It took effect at Jan 31, 2011, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 15 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 31, 2011, 3:53 PM CST (21:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 31, 2011, 6:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2011, 9:20 AM CST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Lubbock, TX
All 24 counties
Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 6:51 AM CST | SNOW 4 | Friona, TX |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2706 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 82 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
350 WWUS44 KLUB 312153 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 353 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION... .A WINTER STORM WILL MARK THE ONSET OF PROLONGED ARCTIC AIR OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION OF WEST TEXAS. WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING...THEN OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT. RAIN AND SLEET WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES...AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS. MEANWHILE BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITY OF ONE MILE OR LESS AND SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING OF SNOW. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 20 BELOW AND 5 BELOW ZERO DEGREES FAHRENHEIT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TXZ021>037-039-010600- /O.UPG.KLUB.WS.A.0001.110201T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.WS.W.0001.110201T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KLUB.WC.A.0001.110202T0000Z-110202T1800Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-YOAKUM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART... TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS... MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...MORTON...LEVELLAND... LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...RALLS...DICKENS... SPUR...PLAINS...DENVER CITY 353 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILL VALUES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING: ONSET OF PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ENDING LATE TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED TOTALS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL...STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE THIS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS THIS EVENING. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT. ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. && $$ TXZ038-040>044-010600- /O.UPG.KLUB.WS.A.0001.110201T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.WS.W.0001.110201T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ KING-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUTHRIE...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA... ODONNELL...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 353 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILL VALUES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING: ONSET OF PRECIPITATION AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ENDING BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED TOTALS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL...STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE THIS STORM SYSTEM PARTICULARLY HAZARDOUS. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY BE SURE TO BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT AS ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. $$
3 follow-up statements
649 WWUS44 KLUB 010527 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1127 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION... .A WINTER STORM WILL MARK THE ONSET OF PROLONGED ARCTIC AIR OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION OF WEST TEXAS. WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES...AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS. MEANWHILE BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITY OF ONE MILE OR LESS AND SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING OF SNOW. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 20 BELOW AND 5 BELOW ZERO DEGREES FAHRENHEIT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TXZ033>035-039-011400- /O.CAN.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.110201T0527Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.WC.A.0001.110202T0000Z-110202T1800Z/ COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-YOAKUM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON... WOLFFORTH...PLAINS...DENVER CITY 1127 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ENDING LATE TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. && $$ TXZ040-041-011400- /O.CAN.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.110201T0527Z-110202T0000Z/ TERRY-LYNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL 1127 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ENDING LATE TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ TXZ021>032-036-037-011400- /O.CON.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.WC.A.0001.110202T0000Z-110202T1800Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-CROSBY-DICKENS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART... TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS... MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...CROSBYTON...RALLS... DICKENS...SPUR 1127 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ENDING LATE TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED TOTALS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL...STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE THIS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT. ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. && $$ TXZ038-042>044-011400- /O.CON.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110202T0000Z/ KING-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUTHRIE...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 1127 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ENDING LATE TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED TOTALS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL...STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE THIS STORM SYSTEM PARTICULARLY HAZARDOUS. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY BE SURE TO BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT AS ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. $$
658 WWUS44 KLUB 011107 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 507 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 TXZ021>032-036-037-011800- /O.EXT.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.WC.A.0001.110202T0000Z-110202T1800Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-CROSBY-DICKENS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART... TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS... MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...CROSBYTON...RALLS... DICKENS...SPUR 507 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * TIMING: MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...AND WILL SUBSIDE BY MIDDAY. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL IMPROVE BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE REDEVELOPING TONIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS AROUND 4 INCHES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL...STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE THIS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT. ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. && $$ TXZ038-042>044-011800- /O.EXT.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ KING-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUTHRIE...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 507 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. * TIMING: MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...AND WILL SUBSIDE BY MIDDAY. HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS LOWER THAN 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WILL PERSIST THROUGH NOON. * MAIN IMPACT: ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL...STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE THIS STORM SYSTEM PARTICULARLY HAZARDOUS. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY BE SURE TO BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT AS ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. $$ TXZ033>035-039-011800- /O.EXT.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.WC.A.0001.110202T0000Z-110202T1800Z/ COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-YOAKUM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON... WOLFFORTH...PLAINS...DENVER CITY 507 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * TIMING: MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND WILL GENERALLY SUBSIDE BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON. HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS LOWER THAN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WILL PERSIST THROUGH NOON...THEN DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS LOWER THAN 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO AROUND 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. && $$ TXZ040-041-011800- /O.EXT.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ TERRY-LYNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL 507 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. * TIMING: MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MORNING... AND WILL GENERALLY SUBSIDE BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON. HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS LOWER THAN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WILL PERSIST THROUGH NOON. * MAIN IMPACT: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AREAWIDE. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
340 WWUS44 KLUB 011520 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 920 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 TXZ021>032-036-037-011800- /O.CAN.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.WC.A.0001.110202T0000Z-110202T1800Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-CROSBY-DICKENS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART... TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS... MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...CROSBYTON...RALLS... DICKENS...SPUR 920 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS...LIGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * TIMING: AS AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SHIFTS TO THE EAST...LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. COLD TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF MINUS 5 DEGREES OR LESS THIS MORNING. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL IMPROVE BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE REDEVELOPING TONIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ONE INCH. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EVEN THOUGH SNOWFALL IS DIMINISHING...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DANGEROUS WINTER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT. ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. && $$ TXZ038-042>044-011800- /O.CAN.KLUB.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ KING-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUTHRIE...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 920 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS...LIGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING: AS AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SHIFTS TO THE EAST...LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. COLD TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF MINUS 5 DEGREES OR LESS THIS MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ONE INCH. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EVEN THOUGH SNOWFALL IS DIMINISHING...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DANGEROUS WINTER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT. ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. && $$ TXZ033>035-039-011800- /O.CON.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.WC.A.0001.110202T0000Z-110202T1800Z/ COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-YOAKUM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON... WOLFFORTH...PLAINS...DENVER CITY 920 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND WILL GENERALLY SUBSIDE BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON. HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS LOWER THAN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WILL PERSIST THROUGH NOON...THEN DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS LOWER THAN 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EVEN THOUGH SNOWFALL IS DIMINISHING...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DANGEROUS WINTER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT. ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. && $$ TXZ040-041-011800- /O.CON.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110201T1800Z/ TERRY-LYNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL 920 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL GENERALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH NOON. HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS LOWER THAN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WILL PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT NOON. * MAIN IMPACT: GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY. FROSTBITE OF EXPOSED SKIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER ONLY 30 MINUTES OF EXPOSURE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EVEN THOUGH SNOWFALL IS DIMINISHING...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DANGEROUS WINTER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...BRING A WINTER STORM SURVIVAL KIT. ANYONE STRANDED WILL BE EXPOSED TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 31, 3:45 PM CST, 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 3:45 PM CST, 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 345 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011 .SHORT TERM... CONDITIONS STARTING TO GO DOWNHILL ACROSS THE AREA...WINTER STORM STILL ON THE WAY FOR THE REGION. 21Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE INITIAL COLD FRONT BISECTED THE FORECAST AREA FROM WEST TO EAST ROUGHLY ALONG A CLOVIS TO ASPERMONT LINE AND WAS MOVING SOUTH AT ABOUT 20 MPH. WIND SPEEDS BEHIND THE LEADING EDGE HAVE BRIEFLY JUMPED UP INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE...BUT OBSERVATIONS OVER THE PANHANDLE SHOW SPEEDS DECREASING BACK A BIT. TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA HAVE BEEN HOLDING STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S AND EXPECT TO SEE THE SECOND STRONGER SURGE OF COLD AIR PUSH INTO THE REGION AFTER SUNSET. ALOFT...WV SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE BASE OF THE TROF STARTING TO SWING OUT FROM SRN CALIFORNIA ACROSS THE US/MEXICO BORDER REGION WITH SOME ENHANCEMENT IN VAPOR OVER E AZ/W NM. NLDN ALSO STARTING TO SHOW SOME LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS WHICH MAY INDICATE SOME STRONGER LIFT THAN MODELS HAD DEPICTED. LOOKING AT THE 12Z UPA HAND ANALYSIS AND COMPARING WITH THE CURRENT LOCATION... THE GFS AND ECMWF PROBABLY HAVE THE CLOSEST FORWARD SPEED TO WHAT IS SHOWN ON SATELLITE. NAM AND GEM ARE A BIT FASTER BUT OVERALL... MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PROGRESSION AND TRACK OF THE INITIAL WAVE FOR TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. HOWEVER...BIGGER DIFFERENCES EXISTS WHEN IT COMES TO THE PRECIP/SNOW FORECASTS BETWEEN THE MODELS. GENERAL CONSENSUS IS FOR SNOWFALL TO PICK UP FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA STARTING BETWEEN 6-9 PM OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES AND THEN SPREADING SOUTHEAST OVER THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. NAM CONTINUES TO INDICATE CONVECTIVE BANDS DEVELOPING WITH THE MOST FAVORED LOCATION HAVING BEEN THE ROLLING PLAINS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS. GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW TWO AREAS OF ENHANCED PRECIPITATION...ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH A SECOND AREA ALONG THE EDGE OF THE CAPROCK TOWARDS SUNRISE TUESDAY. VARIOUS LOOPS OF CROSS SECTIONS ACROSS THE AREA SHOW THAT CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH...A NEARLY SATURATED LAYER IN THE -5 TO -15 DEG C SECTION WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE LIFT AS SHOWN BY OMEGA FIELDS DEVELOP AT VARIOUS TIMES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE REGION. SOUNDINGS AND BUFKIT DATA FOR POINTS IN AND AROUND THE FORECAST AREA SHOW SIMILAR SCENARIO BUT NONE OF THE DATA IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR WHERE THE MOST FAVORED LOCATION WILL BE FOR ANY OF THE BANDS TO DEVELOP. TEMPERATURE PROFILE ALSO SHOWS THAT THE WINDOW FOR SLEET CONTINUES TO DECREASE AS THE TEMPERATURE IN THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN RAPIDLY COOLS TO BELOW FREEZING. TIMING OF ONSET OF PRECIPITATION DOES APPEAR TO BE LATE ENOUGH HOWEVER TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF SLEET THAT SHOULD FALL. LAST BUT NOT LEAST WILL BE THE COMBINATION OF EXTREMELY COLD TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WIND SPEEDS. RESULT WILL BE WIND CHILL READINGS FALLING FROM -5 TO -25 DEG F AT TIMES ACROSS THE REGION. READINGS LIKE THIS WILL RESULT IN FROSTBITE ON EXPOSED SKIN WITHIN 30 MINUTES. TO SUMMARIZE ALL THE IMPACTS THAT WILL NEED SOME FORM OF PRODUCT... AVERAGE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES WHICH IS ADVISORY LEVEL...BUT THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED 2 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS WOULD FAVOR A WARNING. STRONG WINDS INCREASING TONIGHT AND REMAINING STRONG THROUGH TOMORROW ALSO COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING SNOW WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO BELOW ONE MILE. ALSO ADD IN THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES AND THE WARNING WARNING ADVISORY WATCH THAT LETTERMAN LOVES TO USE WOULD BECOME A REALITY. BECAUSE OF THIS WIDE RANGE OF IMPACTS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...THE DECISION WAS MADE AFTER COORDINATING WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES TO LUMP ALL THE IMPACTS INTO A WINTER STORM WARNING STARTING AT 6 PM TONIGHT THROUGH 6PM TUESDAY /00Z TUE - 00Z WED. WILL EVENTUALLY SEE WIND SPEEDS TAPER OFF AS WE HEAD INTO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WHICH TECHNICALLY WILL NOT MEET OUR REQUIREMENT FOR DURATION AND STRENGTH OF WINDS...BUT WE WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO AT LEAST KEEP A WIND CHILL WATCH FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN REGARDS TO THE GRIDS/FORECAST...GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO COME IN ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO COLDER COMPARED TO PREVIOUS TEMPS AND LOWERED MAX AND MINS FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON A DEGREE OR TWO. MODEL/MOS WIND GRIDS AGAIN CAME IN UNDER WHAT SHOULD OCCUR BASED ON THE POST FRONTAL PRESSURE GRADIENT SO KEPT THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE TIMING AND STRENGTH INTACT. DID ADJUST POPS DO GO DEFINITE SNOW FOR 06-12Z TUESDAY MORNING OVER THE REGION AND TWEAKED WEATHER GRIDS TO BETTER REFLECT THE TRANSITION AND TIMING FOR SLEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES. CLOUDS ALSO APPEAR TO STAY SOCKED IN OVER THE REGION AND CARRIED CLOUDY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ALL IN ALL...PREVIOUS FORECAST SHIFT DID AN EXCELLENT JOB SETTING THINGS UP FOR OUR GO AT THE FORECAST. LOTS GOING ON...NOW THE WAITING BEGINS TO SEE IF WE GOT THE FORECAST RIGHT AND WILL BE CONSIDERED HEROES OR IF WE WILL HAVE TO EAT CROW WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE. JORDAN && .LONG TERM... THIS LONG TERM FORECAST BEGINS WED EVENING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA AND EVENTUALLY EAST. AN ELONGATED UA TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH A CLOSED LOW FORECAST NEAR THE NM BOOTHEEL BY 12 THU. WITH THIS SCENARIO EXPECT CONTINUE LIGHT SNOW TO IMPACT PRIMARILY SW 1/3 OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT WED NIGHT BEFORED TAPERING TO FLURRIES ON THU. MODELS DO SHOW SOME LARGE SCALE LIFT CROSSING THE AREA TO SUPPORT THIS THOUGH WITH NEUTRAL OMEGA ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN WAY OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. OPTIMISTICALLY WENT CLOSE TO MODEL GUIDANCE ON THU AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND WESTERLY FLOW STARTS TO SCOUR THE ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE. THOUGH WE COULD SEE SOME LOCATIONS STRUGGLE TO GET BACK INTO THE 20S ESPECIALLY WHERE APPRECIABLE SNOWFALL REMAINS AND HIGHS ON THU WILL LIKELY NEED ADJUSTING ONCE THAT IS KNOWN. H8 TEMPS MODIFY FURTHER ON FRI WITH NW SURFACE WINDS DEVELOPING AS A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO A SHORTWV DROPPING INTO THE REGION. OVERALL BROAD TROUGHINESS REMAINS IN PLACE ALOFT THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACROSS THE U.S. WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE STILL TAPPING INTO THE ARCTIC AND TO SOME EXTENT CROSS POLAR FLOW ACCORDING THE ECMWF. SAT WILL LIKELY BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE NEXT 7-10 AS PREFRONTAL WARMING OCCURS WITH STRONG SW SURFACE WINDS. ARCTIC FROPA IS EXPECTED HOWEVER TO OCCUR ACROSS THE PNHDLS ON SUN WHICH WILL SIGNAL THE BEGINNING OF THE NEXT COLD SPELL. CURRENTL MODELS SHOW N/NW FLOW ALOFT WHICH DOES NOT FAVOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIP BUT WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL FOR A WHILE LONGER. OPTED TO NOT INCLUDE POPS ATTM ON DAY 7. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 4 14 -5 9 -4 / 90 50 30 20 20 TULIA 5 13 -2 12 -4 / 90 60 20 20 10 PLAINVIEW 7 16 -1 13 -1 / 90 60 20 20 20 LEVELLAND 9 20 2 15 6 / 90 60 20 20 20 LUBBOCK 10 19 2 15 4 / 90 60 20 20 20 DENVER CITY 11 20 3 16 10 / 90 50 20 20 20 BROWNFIELD 10 20 4 17 9 / 90 60 20 20 20 CHILDRESS 12 16 3 13 5 / 100 70 20 10 10 SPUR 12 20 4 16 7 / 100 70 10 10 20 ASPERMONT 13 16 3 17 11 / 100 70 10 10 10 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ021>044. WIND CHILL WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ021>037-039. && 14/24
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 4:17 AM CST, 11 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 417 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011 TXZ021>044-011030- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 417 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WINTER WEATHER THE ARRIVAL OF BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL BE MARKED BY A WINTER STORMS POISED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION TONIGHT. WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS...THEN EXPAND SOUTHWARD OVER ALL OF THE SOUTH PLAINS LATE TONIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...OR SLEET...BUT WILL TRANSITION TOWARD SNOW AREAWIDE OVERNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE LOCALLY HEAVIER BANDS OF PRECIPITATION DEVELOP. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT...BUT IDENTIFYING THE LOCATIONS AT RELATIVELY HIGHER THREAT REMAINS DIFFICULT. NORTHERLY WINDS MAY APPROACH OR BRIEFLY EXCEED SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 MPH OVER PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW...AND IN WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN -5 AND -15 DEGREES. WINTER STORM AND WIND CHILL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS WEATHER IMPACTS TUESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA BEFORE SNOWFALL DECREASES IN INTENSITY DURING THE LATE MORNING TO MIDDAY HOURS. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY MORNING...AND AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT THE PROBABILITY OF ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY FIRST RESPONDER ORGANIZATIONS ARE ASKED TO RELAY REPORTS OF INCLEMENT WEATHER AND ITS IMPACTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Texas, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.