Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2011
Red Flag Warning 26, NWS Lubbock, TX
NWS Lubbock, TX issued this red flag warning at Apr 24, 2011, 3:49 PM CDT for 22 counties in Texas. It took effect at Apr 25, 2011, 10:35 AM CDT. It was in force for 9 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 24, 2011, 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 25, 2011, 10:35 AM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 25, 2011, 8:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Lubbock, TX
All 22 counties
Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2:10 PM CDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 3 Nne Tahoka, TX | MESONET GUSTED TO 59 MPH. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 726 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 127 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 197 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
877 WWUS84 KLUB 242049 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 349 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044-250500- /O.UPG.KLUB.FW.A.0027.110425T1700Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.W.0026.110425T1700Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 349 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...AND THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...AND THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SWINGS OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH...WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER TO AROUND 10 PERCENT...AND FIRE DANGER REMAINS EXTREME. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL LEAD TO TINDER DRY VEGETATION AND POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY MOVING WILD-FIRES. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ025-026-032-250500- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0027.110425T1700Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-COTTLE- 349 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SWINGS OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH...WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER TO AROUND 10 PERCENT...AND FIRE DANGER REMAINS EXTREME. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL LEAD TO TINDER DRY VEGETATION AND POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY MOVING WILD-FIRES. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY...HOWEVER...MAY HANG VERY CLOSE TO OR OVER THE AREA BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS. IT IS UNCLEAR IF THIS FRONT WILL IMPACT FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
7 follow-up statements
948 WWUS84 KLUB 250448 AAA RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1148 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044-251200- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0026.110425T1700Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 1148 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS AND FAR SOUTHERN PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND ROLLING PLAINS... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AS AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM SWINGS OUT OF THE ROCKIES. LATE-MORNING WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER TO AROUND 10 PERCENT...AND THE FIRE DANGER REMAINS EXTREME. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL FUEL THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY-MOVING WILDFIRES. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ TXZ025-026-032-251200- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0027.110425T1700Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-COTTLE- 1148 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS MAY DEVELOP MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY AS A PAIR OF UPPER STORM SYSTEMS SWING OUT OF THE ROCKIES. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL APPROACH 20 MPH...HOWEVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY LINGER OVER THE AREA BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY RESULTING IN LIGHTER WINDS AND HIGHER DAYTIME HUMIDITIES. IT REMAINS UNCLEAR HOW THIS FRONT WILL BEHAVE BOTH DAYS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
068 WWUS84 KLUB 251107 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 607 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 TXZ025-026-032-252115- /O.CAN.KLUB.FW.A.0027.110425T1700Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-COTTLE- 607 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TODAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A HEIGHTEN FIRE DANGER WILL DEVELOP TODAY...BUT WINDS AND HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE AREA. HOWEVER...ON TUESDAY...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS MAY DEVELOP AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND HUMIDITIES FALL TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044-252115- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0026.110425T1700Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 607 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM SWINGS OUT OF THE ROCKIES. WESTERLY WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT...AND THE FIRE DANGER REMAINS VERY HIGH. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL FUEL THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY-MOVING WILDFIRES. CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE TONIGHT AS WINDS DECREASE AND A COLD FRONT DIPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WITH A WIND SHIFT AND INCREASED HUMIDITIES. HOWEVER...SIMILARLY WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT RETREATS RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY BECOME DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. && $$
921 WWUS84 KLUB 251535 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1035 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044-252345- /O.EXT.KLUB.FW.W.0026.110425T1535Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 1035 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS......FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS......FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM SWINGS OUT OF THE ROCKIES. WESTERLY WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT...AND THE FIRE DANGER REMAINS VERY HIGH. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL FUEL THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY-MOVING WILDFIRES. CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE TONIGHT AS WINDS DECREASE AND A COLD FRONT DIPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WITH A WIND SHIFT AND INCREASED HUMIDITIES. HOWEVER...SIMILARLY WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT RETREATS RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY BECOME DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. && $$ TXZ025-026-032-252345- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-COTTLE- 1035 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE...... A HEIGHTEN FIRE DANGER WILL DEVELOP TODAY...BUT WINDS AND HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE AREA. HOWEVER...ON TUESDAY...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS MAY DEVELOP AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND HUMIDITIES FALL TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
440 WWUS84 KLUB 251542 CCA RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1041 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044-260000- /O.COR.KLUB.FW.W.0026.110425T1535Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.COR.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 1041 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND AN EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM SWINGS OUT OF THE ROCKIES. WESTERLY WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT...AND THE FIRE DANGER REMAINS VERY HIGH. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL FUEL THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY-MOVING WILDFIRES. CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE TONIGHT AS WINDS DECREASE AND A COLD FRONT DIPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WITH A WIND SHIFT AND INCREASED HUMIDITIES. HOWEVER...SIMILARLY WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT RETREATS RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY BECOME DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. && $$ TXZ025-026-032-260000- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1800Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-COTTLE- 1041 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE...... A HEIGHTEN FIRE DANGER WILL DEVELOP TODAY...BUT WINDS AND HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE AREA. HOWEVER...ON TUESDAY...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS MAY DEVELOP AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WINDS AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND HUMIDITIES FALL TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
279 WWUS84 KLUB 252037 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 337 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044-260445- /O.EXT.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1700Z-110427T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-110426T0100Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 337 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...EXTREME SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER WHICH HAS ALREADY SUPPORTED THE DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD OF SIGNIFICANT WILDFIRES TODAY WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN GRASSLAND WILDFIRES TUESDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED AT SPEEDS NEAR 30 MPH /20 FOOT LEVEL/ AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY BECOME DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. && $$ TXZ025-026-032-260445- /O.EXT.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1700Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-COTTLE- 337 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS NEAR NEAR 20 MPH /20 FOOT LEVEL/ AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
089 WWUS84 KLUB 252106 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 406 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 TXZ032-260100- /O.EXA.KLUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1700Z-110427T0200Z/ COTTLE- 406 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR COTTLE COUNTY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR COTTLE COUNTY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CRTICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH HAVE SUPPORTED A SIGNIFICANT WILD LAND FIRE WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY WITH SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS NEAR NEAR 20 MPH /20 FOOT LEVEL/ AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY BECOME DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. && $$ TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044-260100- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1700Z-110427T0200Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 406 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER WHICH HAS ALREADY SUPPORTED THE DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD OF SIGNIFICANT WILDFIRES TODAY WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN GRASSLAND WILDFIRES TUESDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED AT SPEEDS NEAR 30 MPH /20 FOOT LEVEL/ AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY BECOME DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. && $$ TXZ025-026-260100- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1700Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS- 406 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS NEAR NEAR 20 MPH /20 FOOT LEVEL/ AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
837 WWUS84 KLUB 260118 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 818 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 TXZ021>024-027>044-261200- /O.EXP.KLUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-110426T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1700Z-110427T0200Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY- COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY- LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 818 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... AND EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...THE RED FLAG WARNING THIS EVENING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING THIS EVENING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS HAVE EASED THIS EVENING AS A PASSING COLD FRONT WAS BRINGING LOWER WIND SPEEDS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY. STILL...THIS WIND SHIFT TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION MAY CAUSE CONCERN FOR ON-GOING FIRE SUPPRESSION ACTIVITIES OVER THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN GRASSLAND WILDFIRES TUESDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED AT SPEEDS NEAR 30 MPH AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROP TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ025-026-261200- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0028.110426T1700Z-110427T0200Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS- 818 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS NEAR NEAR 20 MPH /20 FOOT LEVEL/ AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 24, 3:39 PM CDT, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 24, 3:39 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 339 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 ...STRONG WINDS AND POTENTIAL HIGH-END CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PROBLEMS DEVELOPING BY TUESDAY... .SHORT TERM... SW FLOW ALOFT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY...AS AN UA TROUGH NEAR THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE EAST TOWARDS THE REGION. AHEAD OF THE SAID TROUGH...IS AN EMBEDDED IMPULSE NEARING EASTERN NEW MEXICO/WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS THIS SAID IMPULSE THAT HAS INDUCED A SFC LOW ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WHICH IN TURN HAS AIDED TO SLOWLY DEVELOP THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE SAID AREA. THUS WEST OF THE DRYLINE /NEAR THE TEXAS/NEW MEXICO BORDER/ SOUTHWEST SFC WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE A BIT /15-20 MPH/ WITH CLEARING SKIES NOTED ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ZONES. WELL EAST OF THE DRYLINE...UPSLOPE SFC WINDS AND LOW CLOUDS PREVAILED ACROSS THE EASTERN SOUTH PLAINS...AS 20Z METAR ANALYSIS DISPLAYED CLOUD DECKS AOA 1000 FT AGL. THE NAM SOLUTION HAVE CONTINUED TO HANDLE MESO-SCALE FEATURES WELL SUCH AS THE FROPA AND DRYLINE DISPLACEMENT...AND AS SUCH...THE DRYLINE IS PROGGED TO SHARPEN ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING...HENCE INDUCING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW. THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE AS IT WAS FROM A SOUTH OF SWEETWATER TO ABILENE TO NORTH OF BRECKENRIDGE LINE...AND IS PROGGED TO LIKELY STALL ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT...THE BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AXIS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND HENCE WHERE SEVERE STORMS COULD BE GENERATED. HOWEVER...CAN NOT RULE OUT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ALTHOUGH A CAPPING INVERSION WILL HAVE TO BE OVERCOME. TONIGHT...THE UA TROUGH WILL EJECT FROM THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION AND NEAR THE SOUTH PLAINS THUS INDUCING AN EASTWARD SURGE OF THE DRYLINE TO NEAR THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT...WHILE THE FRONT RETREATS TO NEAR THE FAR SERN ZONES. THUS MODEL SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED RATHER MOIST LOW LEVELS /PWATS AOA 1.00 INCH/ AND SLIGHT SYNOPTIC LIFT WHERE LOW CLOUDS...FOG AND -TSRA /ALTHOUGH A CAP WOULD HAVE TO BE OVERCOME/ COULD OCCUR ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE. KEEP IN MIND THAT THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT BETTER PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWA NEAR THE INSTABILITY AXIS/FRONTAL BOUNDARY. BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY...THE UA TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS CAUSING THE DRYLINE TO BE ORIENTED FROM NEAR A SILVERTON TO MATADOR TO ASPERMONT LINE. AS A RESULT...THE FRONT AND BEST MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SKIRT EAST OF THE CWA. THERE ARE HINTS OF SFC RIDGING NORTH OF THE CWA INDUCING NORTHERLY SFC WINDS ACROSS THE FAR SERN TEXAS PANHANDLE/NERN SOUTH PLAINS...WHERE MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON MONDAY IN ADDITION TO SLIGHT CHANCES OF -TSRA. CONCURRENTLY...MODEL SOUNDINGS DISPLAYED ABL MIXING COMMENCING ACROSS LOCALES ON THE CAPROCK...WHERE THE MIXING DEPTH COULD REACH NEAR 600 MB BY LATE AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...MOS GUIDANCE HINTED AT WESTERLY WIND SPEEDS OF 31 KTS AT KLBB...SUGGESTING THE PROSPECT FOR WARM TEMPS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...BLDU /ON THE CAPROCK/ AND WIND ADVISORY WIND SPEEDS. HAVE THEREFORE DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING ACROSS ALL BUT THE NORTHEASTERN SOUTH PLAINS...AND WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR MAINLY LOCALES ON THE CAPROCK FOR LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING. && .LONG TERM... THE NEXT POTENT UPPER LEVEL ENERGY CROSSING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST MONDAY EVENING WILL STREAM RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST DEEPENING A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON TUESDAY. A COOL SURGE WILL OCCUR DEEP INTO SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES PRIOR TO THIS EARLY TUESDAY BUT WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX DEEPLY AND QUICKLY SHUNT THIS SHALLOW MOISTURE INTO ROLLING PLAINS AND FURTHER EAST BY LATE IN THE DAY. SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC ALLY CURVED H300 MB JET CORE ON ORDER OF 120 KTS WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH GENERAL UPWARDS FORCING NORTH OF JET CORE AND SINKING ON SOUTH SIDE ASSISTING IN MIXING STRONGER WINDS CLOSE TO THE SURFACE PERHAPS WELL INTO TUESDAY EVENING. ANYWAY...SURFACE WINDS CURRENTLY APPEAR ADEQUATE FOR WIND ADVISORY LEVELS ON THE CAPROCK AND MAY APPROACH HIGH WIND LEVELS MAINLY NORTHWESTERN ZONES VERY LATE IN THE DAY. LIFT ON THE OTHER HAND MAY HELP ACTIVATE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE INTO NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING...THOUGH MOISTURE DEPTH MAY BE LIMITED. DRY AND COOLER NORTHWEST FLOW TO FOLLOW WEDNESDAY WITH AT LEAST BREEZY CATEGORY WINDS EXPECTED...STRONGEST PROBABLY OVER ROLLING PLAINS EARLY IN THE DAY THOUGH UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL BE ROTATING INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ALREADY BY LATE IN THE DAY. RETURN TO ZONAL WARMER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH TYPICAL DEEPENING OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE EXPECTED ALONG LEE SIDE OF THE ROCKIES. INCREASING WINDS AGAIN BY FRIDAY AND PERHAPS SATURDAY AS WELL AS THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT WESTERN TROUGH SWINGS BY TO OUR NORTH BUT TIGHTENS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT AND WIND GRADIENTS OVER SOUTHERN PLAINS ONCE AGAIN. PATTERN MIGHT FAVOR A COLD FRONT AGAIN AT SOME POINT OVER THE WEEKEND BUT PREDICTABILITY IN THIS PATTERN WILL BE RAPIDLY BREAKING DOWN WITH MAIN MODEL CAMPS LEAPING OUT OF PHASE BETWEEN DAYS 6 AND 8. IN ANY CASE...WE CANNOT HOLD ANY REAL HOPE FOR MEANINGFUL MOISTURE RETURN IN SUCH A PATTERN. MAYBE NEXT MONTH WILL BE MORE KIND. RMCQUEEN && .FIRE WEATHER... THIS EVENING AND MONDAY...SKIES CONTINUED TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL LIKELY HANG AROUND THE FAR EASTERN SOUTH PLAINS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPED ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO DUE TO DAYTIME DESTABILIZATION AND THUS...HAVE COMMENCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A DRYLINE ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO. THIS DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO SHARPEN AND MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH HINTS OF WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE FAR WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS INCREASING TO BETWEEN 15 TO 20 MPH...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD FOR WINDS TO INCREASE FURTHER ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA. 20-FOOT WINDS ARE PROGGED TO NEAR 20 MPH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT. ONLY MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE THE 3-HOURLY TIME CRITERIA DUE TO THE ANTICIPATED LATE ONSET OF INCREASING WINDS SPEEDS. WILL THEREFORE MAINTAIN THE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT SET TO EXPIRE THIS EVENING. MONDAY APPEARS TO BE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS INDUCING THE DRYLINE TO SURGE ACROSS ALL BUT PERHAPS THE FAR NORTHEASTERN SOUTH PLAINS. THUS...20-FOOT WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND UPGRADED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING ACROSS ALL BUT THE NORTHEASTERN SOUTH PLAINS...AND WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY ACROSS LOCALES ON THE CAPROCK WHICH COINCIDES WITH BEST CHANCES OF BLDU. TUESDAY...A POTENTIAL HIGH END CRITICAL OR EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY CONTINUES TO LOOM ON TUESDAY. LATE ARRIVING STRONG WIND CORE ALOFT APPEARS WILL GENERATE VERY STRONG WINDS MOST AREAS ON THE CAPROCK AT LEAST SHUNTING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LYING OVER MANY AREAS EARLY IN THE DAY QUICKLY OFF TO THE EAST. BUT MOISTURE MAY RETAIN ITSELF TO SOME DEGREE OVER NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS. WITH UNCERTAINTIES...WE WILL HOLD ONTO THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH OVER THE FULL AREA ON TUESDAY FOR NOW. STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT PASSING MONDAY EVENING WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A PACKED ENOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SUPPORT WIND POTENTIAL WELL PAST DARK. WEDNESDAY...DRY AND COOLER BUT STILL BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW DURING THE DAY. QUICKLY MOVING UPPER TROUGH OFF TO THE EAST MAY HELP OFF-SET A STRONGER WIND DAY...BUT FIRE WEATHER LIKELY TO REMAIN AT LEAST ELEVATED. FRIDAY/SATURDAY...DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH AND INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AS STRONG TROUGH MOVES OUT INTO NORTHERN PLAINS MAY BE ENOUGH FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MANY AREAS ON THE CAPROCK. RMCQUEEN .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 45 78 41 78 38 / 10 10 10 10 10 TULIA 48 78 43 79 41 / 20 10 10 10 10 PLAINVIEW 49 80 45 82 41 / 20 0 10 10 10 LEVELLAND 50 84 47 85 44 / 10 0 0 0 10 LUBBOCK 52 84 50 85 46 / 10 0 0 0 10 DENVER CITY 53 86 48 90 46 / 10 0 0 0 10 BROWNFIELD 52 85 48 88 46 / 10 0 0 0 10 CHILDRESS 54 79 49 80 48 / 20 10 10 10 20 SPUR 53 87 53 89 49 / 10 0 10 10 10 ASPERMONT 57 90 54 92 51 / 20 0 10 10 10 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ021>024-027>031-033>044. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ021>044. WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ021>024-027>030-033>036-039>042. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ025-026-032. && 29/05
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 24, 3:44 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 344 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 TXZ021>044-252045- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 344 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT CONVECTIVE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS TODAY WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ROLLING PLAINS. ALTHOUGH...ANY STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ELEVATED...THEY MAY STILL BRING THE RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. FIRE WEATHER ELEVATED TO BRIEFLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS WARM AND VERY DRY AIR SPREAD EASTWARD ON GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS...WHEN GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO COINCIDE WITH WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS. FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR BOTH DAYS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN BY LATE IN THE WEEK.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 6:54 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | LUB | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cochran, Cottle and 18 more | 48 hr |
| Apr 24, 3:39 PM CDT | Wind Advisory | LUB | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Crosby, Floyd and 10 more | 28 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.