Alert archive / California / Wind Advisories in 2011

Wind Advisory 67, NWS Los Angeles, CA

November 8, 2011Los Angeles County, California

NWS Los Angeles, CA issued this wind advisory at Nov 8, 2011, 9:46 PM PST for Los Angeles County, California. It took effect at Nov 9, 2011, 12:00 AM PST. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 8, 2011, 9:46 PM PST (05:46 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 9, 2011, 12:00 AM PST
Expired
Nov 9, 2011, 2:00 PM PST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Los Angeles, CA

County Los Angeles County, CA

The radar

The Santa Ana Mts radar (KSOX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

San Diego, CA (KNKX), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, San Diego, CA at 00:00Z on 2011-11-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, San Diego, CA at 00:00Z on 2011-11-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -42 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2531 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

254 
WWUS76 KLOX 090546
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VALLEY...THE
INTERIOR VALLEYS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY AND THE CUYAMA VALLEY
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MORNING WEDNESDAY...

...AREAS OF FROST LIKELY ACROSS THE SANTA YNEZ VALLEY AND THE
OJAI VALLEY LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MORNING WEDNESDAY...

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS...FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS...

.A STRENGTHENING OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL BRING GUSTY TO WINDS
TO SOME AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES TONIGHT. CLEAR
SKIES AND A COLD DRY AIR MASS WITH THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE
TO PRODUCE VERY COLD OVERNIGHT LOWS ACROSS THE INTERIOR SECTIONS
OF THE SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

CAZ059-091400-
/O.NEW.KLOX.FZ.A.0003.111110T1100Z-111110T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.111109T1100Z-111109T1700Z/
ANTELOPE VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANCASTER...PALMDALE
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WATCH FOR THE ANTELOPE VALLEY. THIS WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. A FREEZE
WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST WEDNESDAY.

* TEMPERATURES AND TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO 32 DEGREES
  AROUND 3 AM PST WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES
  BETWEEN 24 AND 28 DEGREES AROUND 600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL
  WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES BY 9 AM PST. SIMILAR TEMPERATURES ARE
  FORECAST FOR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ037-091400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.111109T1100Z-111109T1700Z/
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PASO ROBLES...ATASCADERO
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO 32 DEGREES AROUND 3 AM
  PST WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 24
  AND 28 DEGREES AROUND 600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE
  32 DEGREES BY 9 AM PST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ038-091400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.111109T1100Z-111109T1700Z/
CUYAMA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CUYAMA
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO 32 DEGREES AROUND 3 AM
  PST WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 24
  AND 28 DEGREES AROUND 600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE
  32 DEGREES BY 9 AM PST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ044-091400-
/O.NEW.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.111109T0800Z-111109T2200Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FR.Y.0011.111109T1100Z-111109T1700Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST
WEDNESDAY FOR THE OJAI VALLEY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS. THIS
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY. A FROST ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OJAI VALLEY AND OTHER WIND SHELTERED
LOCATIONS.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO 32 DEGREES AROUND 3 AM
  PST WEDNESDAY MORNING IN WIN SHELTERED LOCATION SUCH AS THE OJAI
  VALLEY. THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 DEGREES WILL OCCUR
  NEAR 60 AM PST AROUND 30 DEGREES NEAR 600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES
  WILL WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES BY 9 AM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...AREAS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
  TO 35 MPH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
  PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT
  UNCOVERED IN WIND PROTECTED AREAS. IN AREAS EXPERIENCING GUSTY
  WINDS...SUDDEN CROSS WINDS MAY OCCUR ALONG HIGHWAYS 23 AND 126.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS IMMINENT. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ053-054-091400-
/O.NEW.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.111109T0800Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS.
THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL
  DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON HIGHWAY 14 OVER THE SOLEDAD
  PASS...AS WELL AS INTERSTATE 5 FROM CASTAIC NORTH TO THE KERN
  COUNTY LINE WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ046-088-091400-
/O.NEW.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.111109T0800Z-111109T2200Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPANGA...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...
VALENCIA
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS AND THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PERSIST
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREAS ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BE
  IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ045-547-091400-
/O.NEW.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.111109T0800Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THOUSAND OAKS...NEWBURY PARK...
MOORPARK...SIMI VALLEY...WOODLAND HILLS...NORTHRIDGE...BURBANK...
UNIVERSAL CITY
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL AND SAN FERNANDO
VALLEYS. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
  WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON HIGHWAYS 23...101...AND 118
  WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ036-091400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FR.Y.0011.111109T1100Z-111109T1700Z/
SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA YNEZ...SOLVANG
946 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN TO 32 DEGREES AROUND 3 AM
  PST WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AROUND 30
  DEGREES NEAR 600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES
  BY 9 AM PST.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS IMMINENT. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

HALL
3 follow-up statements
491 
WWUS76 KLOX 091322
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VALLEY...THE
INTERIOR VALLEYS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY AND THE CUYAMA VALLEY
EARLY THIS MORNING...

...AREAS OF FROST LIKELY ACROSS THE SANTA YNEZ VALLEY AND THE
OJAI VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING...

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS...FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS...

.A STRENGTHENING OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL BRING GUSTY TO WINDS
TO SOME AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THIS MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON. CLEAR SKIES AND A COLD DRY AIR MASS WITH THE
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE VERY COLD LOWS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING.

CAZ059-092130-
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.A.0003.111110T1100Z-111110T1700Z/
ANTELOPE VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANCASTER...PALMDALE
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* TEMPERATURES AND TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 24
  AND 28 DEGREES AROUND 600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE
  32 DEGREES BY 9 AM PST. SIMILAR TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE FOR
  LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ037-091700-
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PASO ROBLES...ATASCADERO
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES BY 9 AM
  PST.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ038-091700-
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
CUYAMA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CUYAMA
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BETWEEN 24 AND 28 DEGREES
  AROUND 600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES BY 9
  AM PST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ044-092130-
/O.CON.KLOX.FR.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FROST ADVISORY FOR THE OJAI VALLEY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9
AM PST THIS MORNING...

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE OJAI VALLEY WILL FALL TO
  AROUND 30 DEGREES NEAR 6 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE
  32 DEGREES BY 9 AM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...AREAS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
  TO 35 MPH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN AREAS AND PERSIST
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED IN WIND PROTECTED AREAS. IN AREAS EXPERIENCING GUSTY 
  WINDS...SUDDEN CROSS WINDS MAY OCCUR ALONG HIGHWAYS 23 AND 
  126. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS IMMINENT. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ036-091700-
/O.CON.KLOX.FR.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA YNEZ...SOLVANG
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO AROUND 30 DEGREES NEAR
  600 AM PST. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES BY 9 AM PST.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS IMMINENT. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

CAZ053-054-092130-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL
  DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON HIGHWAY 14 OVER THE SOLEDAD 
  PASS...AS WELL AS INTERSTATE 5 FROM CASTAIC NORTH TO THE KERN 
  COUNTY LINE WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ046-088-092130-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPANGA...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...
VALENCIA
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREAS ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BE 
  IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ045-547-092130-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THOUSAND OAKS...NEWBURY PARK...
MOORPARK...SIMI VALLEY...WOODLAND HILLS...NORTHRIDGE...BURBANK...
UNIVERSAL CITY
522 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
  WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON HIGHWAYS 23...101...AND 118 
  WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

ASR
644 
WWUS76 KLOX 091644
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VALLEY
THURSDAY MORNING...

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS...FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS...

.A STRENGTHENING OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL BRING GUSTY TO WINDS
TO SOME AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THIS MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CLEAR SKIES AND A COLD DRY AIR MASS WITH THE
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE VERY COLD LOWS ACROSS THE
ANTELOPE VALLEY THURSDAY MORNING.

CAZ059-100045-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FZ.A.0003.111110T1100Z-111110T1700Z/
ANTELOPE VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANCASTER...PALMDALE
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURES AND TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 24
  AND 28 DEGREES AROUND 600 AM PST THURSDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ037-091745-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PASO ROBLES...ATASCADERO
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING THIS MORNING.

$$

CAZ038-091745-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
CUYAMA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CUYAMA
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING THIS MORNING.

$$

CAZ044-092200-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FR.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...AREAS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN AREAS AND 
  PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SUDDEN CROSS WINDS MAY OCCUR ALONG HIGHWAYS 23 AND
  126.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ036-091745-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FR.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-111109T1700Z/
SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA YNEZ...SOLVANG
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING THIS MORNING.

$$

CAZ053-054-092200-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL 
  DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON HIGHWAY 14 OVER THE SOLEDAD 
  PASS...AS WELL AS INTERSTATE 5 FROM CASTAIC NORTH TO THE KERN 
  COUNTY LINE WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ046-088-092200-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPANGA...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...
VALENCIA
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY 
  AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREAS ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BE 
  IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ045-547-092200-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THOUSAND OAKS...NEWBURY PARK...
MOORPARK...SIMI VALLEY...WOODLAND HILLS...NORTHRIDGE...BURBANK...
UNIVERSAL CITY
844 AM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH 
  WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON HIGHWAYS 23...101...AND 118 
  WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED BY GUSTY CROSS WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
440 
WWUS76 KLOX 092156
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
156 PM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VALLEY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.CLEAR SKIES AND A COLD DRY AIR MASS WITH THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
COMBINE TO PRODUCE VERY COLD LOWS ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VALLEY
THURSDAY MORNING.

CAZ053-054-092300-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG
156 PM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

ISOLATED GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE WINDS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$

CAZ046-088-092300-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPANGA...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...
VALENCIA
156 PM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

ISOLATED GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE WINDS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$

CAZ044-045-547-092300-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-111109T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU...
THOUSAND OAKS...NEWBURY PARK...MOORPARK...SIMI VALLEY...
WOODLAND HILLS...NORTHRIDGE...BURBANK...UNIVERSAL CITY
156 PM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

ISOLATED GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE WINDS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$

CAZ059-100600-
/O.UPG.KLOX.FZ.A.0003.111110T1100Z-111110T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KLOX.FZ.W.0003.111110T1100Z-111110T1700Z/
ANTELOPE VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANCASTER...PALMDALE
156 PM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST
THURSDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TEMPERATURES AND TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 24
  AND 28 DEGREES BY 600 AM THURSDAY THEN WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES BY
  9 AM.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CAZ037-038-100600-
/O.NEW.KLOX.FR.Y.0012.111110T1100Z-111110T1700Z/
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PASO ROBLES...ATASCADERO...CUYAMA
156 PM PST WED NOV 9 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM PST
THURSDAY. 

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO AROUND 28 DEGREES AFTER
  3 AM THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE 32 DEGREES BY 9 AM.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNCOVERED IN WIND PROTECTED AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS IMMINENT. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

WOFFORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Los Angeles, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 8, 9:45 PM PST, 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 9:45 PM PST, 1 minute before
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
945 PM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...

OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND INCREASE
THE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...BUT CHILLY NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE FOR
SOME AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY ON
SATURDAY...ALONG WITH BREEZY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER
THE VETERANS HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT
THE REGION ON MONDAY FOR FAIR AND WARMER CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE AREA AND KEEP A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE.
A WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR OVER THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS AS OFFSHORE FLOW STRENGTHENS. COLD OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING TEMPERATURES...WITH FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS IN SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA...WILL MODERATE SOME
THROUGH THURSDAY. ALL CURRENT FROST/FREEZE HAZARDS WILL REMAIN
INTACT FOR NOW...BUT A FREEZE WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR THE
ANTELOPE VALLEY FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

THE LATEST NAM-WRF SOLUTIONS ARE INCREASING THE OFFSHORE WINDS
FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING AS 850 MB AND 950 MB THERMAL
GRADIENTS TIGHTEN ACROSS THE AREA. LATEST NAM-WRF SURFACE GRADIENT
HAVE KLAX-KDAG GRADIENTS IN EXCESS OF 5 MB OFFSHORE...BUT THE
KLAX-KDAG SURFACE GRADIENT WAS INITIALIZED WITH 1 MB ONSHORE
TREND. WITH THIS MIND...AND SOME 850 MB WIND SUPPORT BEGINNING
LATE TONIGHT...A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ADDED TO THE PACKAGE FOR
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LOS ANGELES COUNTY
MOUNTAINS...SPECIFICALLY THROUGH THE HIGHWAY 14 CORRIDOR...WILL
LIKELY SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BUT MOST VALLEY AND FOOTHILL LOCATIONS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTY WILL BE INCLUDED AS WELL.

WITH THE INCREASE IN THE OFFSHORE FLOW...BETTER MIXING WILL OCCUR
AND THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL WARM SOME. IN ADDITION...HIGH
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SURGE INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM
FOR LATE WEEK. THIS SHOULD RETARD SOME OF THE RADIATIONAL COOLING
EFFECTS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM...UNFORTUNATELY WE AREN'T MUCH MORE CONFIDENT TODAY
ABOUT THIS UPCOMING STORM THAN WE WERE YESTERDAY. MAINLY IT'S A
TIMING ISSUE. ALL THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A PRETTY SIGNIFICANT RAIN
EVENT WHEN THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH, BUT THERE IS STILL A 12-18
HOUR DIFFERENCE IN TIMING OF THE ONSET OF PRECIP, WHICH FOR OUR
PURPOSES IS ONE FULL FORECAST PERIOD AT LEAST. BECAUSE OF THIS I
WAS A LITTLE HESITANT TO CONTINUE WITH CATEGORICAL (>80%) POPS
FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA AS
THE GFS STILL KEEPS THE RAIN WEST OF LA COUNTY THROUGH 12Z SAT.
THE 12Z NAM WAS FASTER, BUT NOW THE 18Z NAM IS ALMOST EXACTLY THE
SAME AS THE GFS. THE ECMWF REMAINS THE LONE FASTER MODEL AND GIVEN
THIS SORT OF PATTERN WITH A CUTOFF LOW I'M VERY MUCH INCLINED TO
LEAN TOWARDS THE SLOWER SOLUTIONS.

SO MUCH REMAINS TO BE SETTLED WITH THIS UPCOMING RAIN EVENT, BUT FOR
NOW HAVE TRIED TO STRIKE A BALANCE BETWEEN THE MODELS AND
SURROUNDING FORECAST OFFICES. I THINK THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE THAN
NOT THAT POPS FRIDAY WILL ULTIMATELY HAVE TO BE DECREASED,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

LONG TERM...DESPITE ALL THE MODEL DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE ONSET
OF PRECIP ALL THE MODELS SHOW AT LEAST SOME RAIN FALLING ON
SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF PT CONCEPTION. WHETHER IT'S THE
BEGINNING OF THE EVENT, THE MIDDLE, OR THE END OF THE EVENT
REMAINS TO BE SEEN. DECENT SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD HELP ENHANCE
PRECIP AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTH FACING MTN SLOPES, AND PWAT VALUES
BETWEEN 1 AND 1.25 INCHES CERTAINLY SUPPORTS A GOOD RAIN EVENT
ACROSS THE AREA. THE SLOWER MODEL SOLUTIONS ALSO SUPPORT HIGHER
TOTALS AS IT MAY TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR THE MAIN FRONTAL BAND TO
MOVE THROUGH.

THIS MAY NOT BE A GREAT SNOW MAKER FOR AREAS BELOW RESORT LEVELS
(IE. 7000 FT) AS THE MODELS ARE SHOWING FREEZING LEVELS PRETTY HIGH.
THIS IS NOT UNCOMMON FOR STORMS WITH GOOD SOUTHERLY FLOW AND I
EXPECT THE SNOW LEVEL WILL REMAIN AROUND 7000 FEET DURING THE PEAK
OF THE EVENT. SOME LOWERING IS EXPECTED LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
BUT BY THAT TIME THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA.

IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE CONVECTION IS GOING TO BE A SIGNIFICANT PLAYER
IN THIS EVENT. GIVEN THE LOCATION AND ORIENTATION OF THE JET IT'S
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD DEVELOP,
BUT CAPE AND LIFTED INDEX VALUES AREN'T IMPRESSIVE AND THERE ISN'T A
BIG COLD POOL BEHIND IT THAT'S GOING TO DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS.

SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES ALSO EXIST WITH THE AMOUNT OF POST
FRONTAL SHOWER ACTIVITY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE GFS IS WETTER
WITH WHAT APPEARS TO BE A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE COMING THROUGH THE
AREA SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF IS COMPLETELY DRY. AT THIS
POINT IT'S CERTAINLY WORTH KEEPING IN SOME LOW POPS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

DRIER CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A VERY SLIGHT WARMING
TREND.

&&

.AVIATION...09/0545Z.

HIGH CONFIDENCE WITH 06Z TAFS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD EXCEPT FOR VLIFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT KPRB
BETWEEN 11Z AND 17Z WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF MODERATE
TURBULENCE AND LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT KOXR...KCMA...AND KVNY
BETWEEN 10Z AND 20Z WEDNESDAY. THE BEST AXIS FOR WIND SHEAR AT LOW
LEVELS WILL STAY TO THE WEST OF KBUR. SO ONLY 30 PERCENT CHANCE FOR
LLWS FOR KBUR.

KLAX...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EAST WINDS GREATER THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 KNOTS COULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 13Z AND 18Z WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

KBUR...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NEXT 24 HOUR PERIOD. 30
PERCENT CHANCE FOR WIND SHEAR BELOW 015 BETWEEN 10Z-20Z.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
FREEZE WATCH (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
FROST ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT (SEE LAXSPSLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...HALL/WOFFORD
AVIATION...KAPLAN
SYNOPSIS...SETO/HALL

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 8, 8:45 AM PST, 13 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
845 AM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-091400-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
845 AM PST TUE NOV 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A HARD FREEZE WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE ANTELOPE VALLEY...THE
INTERIOR OF SLO COUNTY AND THE CUYAMA VALLEY EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AREAS OF FROST WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE THE SANTA YNEZ AND
OJAI VALLEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE WINDY BELOW
NORTHEAST FACING PASSES AND CANYONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A
SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

* FREEZE WARNING.............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* FROST ADVISORY.............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WOFFORD/RORKE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Los Angeles, CA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 8, 9:26 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisoryLOX5 hr
Nov 8, 9:46 PM PSTFreeze WatchLOX16 hr
Nov 9, 2:42 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisoryLOX6 hr
Nov 9, 1:56 PM PSTFrost AdvisoryLOXSanta Barbara19 hr
Nov 9, 1:56 PM PSTFreeze WarningLOX7 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in California, 2011Every wind advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.