Severe Thunderstorm Warning 371, NWS Louisville, KY

032 
WWUS53 KLMK 041247
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
747 AM CDT MON JUL 4 2011

KYC009-041300-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0371.000000T0000Z-110704T1300Z/
BARREN KY-
747 AM CDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN BARREN COUNTY...

AT 746 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CARDEN...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  GLASGOW...
  GLASGOW MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND PRITCHARDSVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...
WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3702 8609 3706 8609 3706 8607 3711 8607
      3714 8587 3696 8591
TIME...MOT...LOC 1247Z 266DEG 10KT 3704 8598
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

AMS

607 
WWUS53 KLMK 041259
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
759 AM CDT MON JUL 4 2011

KYC009-041307-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0371.000000T0000Z-110704T1300Z/
BARREN KY-
759 AM CDT MON JUL 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN BARREN COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 800 AM CDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER 
SEVERE. HOWEVER STRONG STORMS REMAIN IN THE AREA. THESE ARE CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND DANGEROUS 
LIGHTNING.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...
WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3702 8609 3706 8609 3706 8607 3711 8607
      3714 8587 3696 8591
TIME...MOT...LOC 1257Z 266DEG 10KT 3704 8595

$$

DK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
711 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY TO WRAP UP THE LONG
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A SHORTWAVE ACROSS MO/IL THIS MORNING WILL CROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY. MEANWHILE AN ILL-DEFINED QUASI-STATIONARY
BOUNDARY WILL RESIDE NEAR THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THE MODELS THIS MORNING ARE IN FAIRLY DECENT AGREEMENT THAT STORMS
WILL FIRE UP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA
BEFORE DAYBREAK. REGIONAL RADARS SHOW THAT THIS HAS BEGUN TO HAPPEN
NEAR ST. LOUIS THIS MORNING. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST.
THESE STORMS LOOK TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
POSSIBLY AROUND 12Z. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THEREFORE LOOKS TO BE MID
MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION. HAVE THEREFORE KEPT LIKELY POPS ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

MOST OF THE STORMS TODAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AS WINDS
ALOFT ARE FAIRLY WEAK. HOWEVER...LIKE YESTERDAY A FEW PULSE SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT
WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
DECREASE TONIGHT...THOUGH WILL KEEP IN SLIGHT CHANCES ACROSS THE
NORTH AND CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH. DEPENDING ON COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION OVERNIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN IN THE RIVER
VALLEYS.

WITH INCREASED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION TODAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN
INDIANA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S NORTH TO THE
LOWER 90S IN THE SOUTH. LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY - SUNDAY)...

THROUGH THE WEEK THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL BE STEADY WITH A SHALLOW
TROF IN THE EAST AND A RIDGE IN THE WEST. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY. AT THE SURFACE A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL SETTLE IN FROM THE NORTH
ON WEDNESDAY AND STICK AROUND THROUGH THE REST OF THE SHORT WORK
WEEK. THIS WILL HELP TO SPARK THOSE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS UNLIKELY THOUGH ANY STORM CAN GET
STRONG IF IN THE RIGHT LOCAL ENVIRONMENT. ON A SYNOPTIC SCALE THOUGH
WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BE WEAK. FREEZING HEIGHTS
DO LOOK TO LOWER ENOUGH ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS TO
SUGGEST A HAIL THREAT WITH THE MOST ROBUST CONVECTION. WE WILL
GENERALLY SEE AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S AND MORNING LOWS AROUND 70.
ALL IN ALL...A FAIRLY TYPICAL WEEK IN JULY.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z TAF ISSUANCE)...

STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY
THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SHORTWAVE AND A STALLED FRONT.
STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS COMPLEX MAY AFFECT SDF AFTER 11Z. HAVE
PUT IN A TEMPO TSRA GROUP AS THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY MAY JUST MISS
THE TAF SITE TO THE SOUTH. REGARDLESS...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT ALL TERMINAL OFF AND ON THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LINGER INTO THIS EVENING AND POSSIBLY
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT BWG.

LIGHT FOG HAS NOT DEVELOPED THIS MORNING. HOWEVER WILL INCLUDE IT AT
SDF AND LEX AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING AS AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
BE AVAILABLE IF WINDS BECOME CALM AND CLOUDS CLEAR ENOUGH TONIGHT.
WINDS TODAY WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT AND ALSO VARIABLE AT TIMES DUE TO A
COMBINATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
STORMS.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM........EER
LONG TERM.........13
AVIATION..........EER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
357 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-050800-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
357 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2011 /257 AM CDT MON JUL 4 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE REGION. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.
HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY ANY
THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS A WEAK SURFACE COOL FRONT AND UPPER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SETTLE INTO THE REGION. SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAKS OF SEVERE WEATHER
ARE NOT EXPECTED THIS WEEK...THOUGH ANY STORM COULD BECOME
STRONG. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STORMS THIS WEEK WILL BE
LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THERE IS A SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
CHANCE OF HAIL IN THE STRONGEST STORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

BY THE WEEKEND ISOLATED STORMS LOOK TO REMAIN CONFINED TO SOUTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN BLUEGRASS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY HAIL OR HIGH WINDS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE.

EER/13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
830 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

KYZ071-073-074-041300-
ALLEN-BARREN-WARREN-
730 AM CDT MON JUL 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
PENNY SIZE HAIL...

AT 727 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
GLASGOW TO 11 MILES NORTH OF SCOTTSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND PENNY SIZE HAIL...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  STOVALL AND RED CROSS...
  CARDEN AND FINNEY...
  ROCKY HILL AND BECKTON...
  OIL CITY...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 43 AND 48.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 8633 3707 8613 3706 8607 3711 8607
      3714 8583 3687 8606
TIME...MOT...LOC 1230Z 261DEG 10KT 3708 8601 3691 8617

AMS