Severe Thunderstorm Warning 305, NWS Louisville, KY

040 
WWUS53 KLMK 110814
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
414 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

INC025-037-117-123-110824-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0305.000000T0000Z-110611T0815Z/
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
414 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN PERRY...CRAWFORD...
SOUTHEASTERN DUBOIS AND ORANGE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 415 AM EDT/315
AM CDT/...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. ANOTHER WARMING HAS BEEN ISSUED DOWNSTREAM FOR EASTERN 
CRAWFORD AND EASTERN ORANGE COUNTIES.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...
WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3869 8632 3842 8631 3841 8627 3839 8626
      3833 8627 3833 8629 3830 8628 3822 8629
      3822 8675 3842 8670 3853 8672 3853 8670
      3868 8670 3869 8659
TIME...MOT...LOC 0814Z 266DEG 33KT 3869 8629 3844 8624
          3826 8629

$$

EER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
302 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

MCS JUST TO OUR WEST AND NORTH THIS MORNING AS OF 645Z CONTINUES TO
INCH IT/S WAY CLOSER TO OUR FORECAST AREA.  THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT IT
SEEMS TO BE WEAKENING WITH UPSTREAM OBS ALONG THE ILLINOIS BORDER
ONLY GUSTING TO AROUND 40 TO 45 MPH.  OUTFLOW FROM THIS COMPLEX IS
RUNNING OUT AHEAD OF THE STORMS WHICH CONFIRMS THE WEAKER WINDS.
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS COMPLEX THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS HOWEVER AS IT MOVES THROUGH OUR AREA.  THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THIS MCS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL.  HAVE UPPED
POPS TO 100 PERCENT OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KY THIS
MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE STORMS.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM THE MIDWEST DOWN THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH TOWARD OUR AREA
TODAY.  FROPA SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS
OVER OUR AREA.  STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FIRE ALONG THE FRONT AS
SEVERAL DISTURBANCES RIDE ALONG IT AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS REMAIN QUITE
LOW TODAY IN THE MID 80S.  MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT DAMAGING
MICROBURST TYPE WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS UNTIL THE
FRONT PASSES AND WE ENTER A MORE STABLE AIRMASS.  THEN ONLY GARDEN
VARIETY T-STORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING CLOSE
TO THE EXITING BOUNDARY.

TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY WILL BE TRICKY DUE TO CONVECTION OVER THE
AREA AND FROPA.  WILL GO FOR MID 80S TO LOW 90S FOR HIGHS TODAY.
LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD DIP INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY - FRIDAY)...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL IN THE WAKE OF THE COOL FRONT ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY WITH
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER
TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S
AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WE WILL SEE A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND STORMS ENTERING INTO THE FORECAST
AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO
NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. A SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL SCOOT ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY TUESDAY. THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA COULD SEE SOME STORMS FROM THIS FEATURE. HOWEVER
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW FOR THIS TIME FRAME SO WILL CONTINUE WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.

THE BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. A WARM FRONT WILL
PUSH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH ON THURSDAY. AT THIS
TIME FRIDAY DOES LOOK LIKE IT WILL REMAIN DRY IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A BIT THROUGH THE MID AND LATTER
PORTION OF THE WORK WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER
80S BY MID WEEK WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION (06Z TAF ISSUANCE)...

ALTHOUGH THE TAF SITES ARE RAIN FREE AT THE MOMENT...T-STORM
ACTIVITY REMAINS STRONG TO OUR NORTH AND WEST ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL
ZONE WITH MULTIPLE WAVES RIDING ALONG IT.  THIS BOUNDARY WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH TOWARD OUR REGION THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.  THE 2Z HRRR HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON THE ONGOING MCS ACTIVITY
ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND PROGS CONVECTION MAKING IT INTO THE TAF SITES
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING.  THEREFORE...HAVE UPGRADED
T-STORM CHANCES TO PREVAILING -TSRA FOR THE MORNING HOURS.  ALTHOUGH
HAVE LEFT VFR CONDITIONS IN THE TAFS...IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A T-STORM.  AFTER THE
MORNING COMPLEXES MOVE THROUGH...CONVECTIVE TIMING IS A LITTLE MORE
UNCERTAIN.  HOWEVER WITH THE BOUNDARY STILL IN OUR AREA THROUGH THE
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS...T-STORMS STILL LOOK PROBABLE SO WILL
COVER WITH A VCTS AND REFINE THE TIMING IN LATER TAF ISSUANCES.
CONVECTION SHOULD CEASE TONIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY PUSHES FARTHER SOUTH
AWAY FROM OUR REGION.

LIGHT MVFR BR WILL BE POSSIBLE AT BWG THIS MORNING.

AS FOR WINDS...THEY WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SE EARLY THIS
MORNING AND THEN SW AFTER SUNRISE.  THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS SWITCHING
WINDS TO THE WEST WITH SPEEDS PEAKING IN THE 10 TO 12 KT RANGE WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.  TONIGHT EXPECT WINDS TO GO MORE NW.  WINDS
WILL LIKELY VARY FROM THESE GENERAL DIRECTIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY
DUE TO T-STORMS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN THE REGION.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM........AMS
LONG TERM.........EER
AVIATION..........AMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
330 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-120730-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
330 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011 /230 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN
INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS MORNING. DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.

STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY PUSHING SOUTH INTO
CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN MAINLY
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES CROSS THE
REGION. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE THURSDAY AS A COOL FRONT PASSES
THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL TODAY.

AMS/EER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1051 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ034-110315-
SHELBY-
1051 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
DIME SIZE HAIL...

AT 1049 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SHELBYVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND DIME SIZE HAIL...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  SHELBYVILLE...
  HOOPER...
  MULBERRY...
  CLAY VILLAGE AND CROPPER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3832 8511 3817 8506 3817 8526 3826 8529
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 256DEG 13KT 3823 8523

AML

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1131 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ033-035-110345-
FRANKLIN-HENRY-
1131 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
DIME SIZE HAIL...

AT 1126 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW CASTLE...AND MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND SMALL PEA OR DIME SIZE HAIL...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  POLSGROVE AND ORVILLE...
  SWALLOWFIELD AND PEAKS MILL...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3844 8492 3841 8488 3838 8490 3836 8487
      3835 8483 3835 8476 3830 8475 3826 8500
      3829 8501 3833 8497 3834 8505 3838 8508
      3845 8492
TIME...MOT...LOC 0331Z 248DEG 21KT 3834 8497

EER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1147 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ033-035-110400-
FRANKLIN-HENRY-
1147 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
DIME SIZE HAIL...

AT 1145 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTH OF FRANKFORT...AND MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND SMALL PEA OR DIME SIZE HAIL...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  SWALLOWFIELD...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3844 8492 3841 8488 3838 8490 3836 8487
      3836 8485 3835 8482 3834 8481 3829 8497
      3843 8497 3845 8492
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 257DEG 13KT 3837 8491

EER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
301 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

INZ083-110730-
DUBOIS-
301 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
STRONG WINDS...

AT 257 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WASHINGTON TO 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF WINSLOW TO 20 MILES WEST OF DALE...AND MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  JASPER...
  PORTERSVILLE AND MILLERSPORT...
  HOLLAND AND HAYSVILLE...
  HUNTINGBURG...
  HUNTINGBURG AIRPORT AND THALES...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE AWARE THAT A GUST FRONT PRECEDING THESE STORMS WILL GENERATE
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF ANY RAIN.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3851 8708 3852 8700 3850 8695 3850 8689
      3853 8685 3853 8674 3825 8678 3824 8680
      3821 8680 3820 8681 3820 8708 3832 8709
TIME...MOT...LOC 0700Z 269DEG 32KT 3872 8714 3847 8710
          3809 8731

EER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
334 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

INZ076-083-084-089-110800-
CRAWFORD-DUBOIS-ORANGE-PERRY-
334 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
STRONG WINDS...

AT 332 AM EDT/232 AM CDT/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SHOALS
TO 13 MILES EAST OF JASPER TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SANTA CLAUS...AND
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  PAOLI...
  ENGLISH...
  FRENCH LICK MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND WICKLIFFE...
  WEST BADEN SPRINGS AND UNIONTOWN...
  YOUNGS CREEK AND TERRY...
  WEST FORK AND PINE VALLEY...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 74 AND 86.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE AWARE THAT A GUST FRONT PRECEDING THESE STORMS WILL GENERATE
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF ANY RAIN.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 8682 3853 8685 3853 8670 3869 8669
      3869 8639 3837 8631 3813 8645 3812 8648
      3808 8646 3804 8652 3801 8653 3803 8679
      3810 8679 3811 8681 3815 8682 3819 8680
      3820 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 0734Z 272DEG 33KT 3870 8675 3844 8668
          3805 8685

EER