River Flood Warning 85, NWS Louisville, KY

366 
WGUS83 KLMK 280222
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
922 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...MUHLENBERG...
OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY MORNING.

&&

KYC031-227-281422-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0085.111129T2116Z-111202T0300Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T2116Z.111130T1800Z.111201T2100Z.NO/
922 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 34.6 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...KY 403 AT JAMES MCKINNEY BRIDGE FLOODS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS LOCK WALL.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 34.5  
  FEET ON OCT 13 2002.

$$

KYC031-177-183-281422-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0086.111201T0300Z-111203T0200Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111201T0300Z.111201T1800Z.111202T2000Z.NO/
922 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.4 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...REEDS AND ROCHESTER FERRIES ARE SHUT DOWN. 
  KY 369 FLOODS ONE MILE NORTH OF ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.4  
  FEET ON JAN 6 2004.

$$

213 
WGUS83 KLMK 281523
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1023 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...MUHLENBERG...
OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING.

&&

KYC031-227-290323-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0085.111129T0618Z-000000T0000Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T0618Z.111130T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 38.1 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...KY 403 AT JAMES MCKINNEY BRIDGE FLOODS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS LOCK WALL.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 34.5  
  FEET ON OCT 13 2002.

$$

KYC031-177-183-290323-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0086.111130T0112Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111130T0112Z.111202T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...REEDS AND ROCHESTER FERRIES ARE SHUT DOWN. 
  KY 369 FLOODS ONE MILE NORTH OF ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.4  
  FEET ON JAN 6 2004.

$$
RL

503 
WGUS83 KLMK 290301
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1001 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

KYC061-291501-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0088.111129T1520Z-111201T1317Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.111129T1520Z.111130T0000Z.111201T0717Z.NO/
1001 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE LOCK WALLS AND 
  SOME OF THE LOWER BANKS...CREEKS...SLOUGHS...AND SOME BOTTOMLAND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.7  
  FEET ON APR 19 1998.

$$

KYC031-227-291500-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0085.111129T0618Z-000000T0000Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T0618Z.111130T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1001 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  6:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 38.1 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...LOW SPOTS ON NORTH AND SOUTH CHURCH STREETS 
  IN WOODBURY FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.7  
  FEET ON MAR 21 2008.

$$

KYC031-177-183-291500-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0086.111130T0112Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111130T0112Z.111202T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1001 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.8  
  FEET ON APR 15 1994.

$$
SZAPPANOS

615 
WGUS83 KLMK 291704
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1204 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  ROUGH RIVER NEAR DUNDEE 
  GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
HART...MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT.

&&

KYC183-300504-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-111130T1500Z/
/DUNK2.1.ER.111129T0845Z.111129T1800Z.111130T0900Z.NO/
1204 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROUGH RIVER NEAR DUNDEE.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.6 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...COUNTY ROADS BETWEEN DUNDEE AND NARROWS 
  FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 25.6  
  FEET ON JAN 3 2004.

$$

KYC099-300504-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-111130T1856Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.111129T1336Z.111130T0000Z.111130T1256Z.NO/
1204 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE.
* AT 11:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.8 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...CITY PARK UNDER US 31W BRIDGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 29.6  
  FEET ON MAY 4 2011.

$$

KYC061-300504-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111201T1400Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.111129T1800Z.111130T1200Z.111201T0800Z.NO/
1204 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 18.8 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE LOCK WALLS AND 
  SOME OF THE LOWER BANKS...CREEKS...SLOUGHS...AND SOME BOTTOMLAND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.8  
  FEET ON FEB 8 2008.

$$

KYC031-227-300504-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111202T1930Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T1312Z.111130T1200Z.111202T1330Z.NO/
1204 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 36.1 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS FLOOD NEAR WOODBURY.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 36.0  
  FEET ON MAR 10 1995.

$$

KYC031-177-183-300504-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0086.111130T0000Z-111204T1536Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111130T0000Z.111202T0000Z.111204T0936Z.NO/
1204 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.3  
  FEET ON FEB 26 1994.

$$
CMC

373 
WGUS83 KLMK 300235
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
935 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  ROUGH RIVER NEAR DUNDEE 
  GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
HART...MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

KYC183-301435-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-111130T1500Z/
/DUNK2.1.ER.111129T0845Z.111129T2115Z.111130T0900Z.NO/
935 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROUGH RIVER NEAR DUNDEE.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...COUNTY ROADS NEAR SUNNYDALE FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 25.9  
  FEET ON MAR 27 2002.

$$

KYC099-301435-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-111130T1856Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.111129T1336Z.111130T0200Z.111130T1256Z.NO/
935 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE.
* AT  9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 30.5  
  FEET ON APR 5 2008.

$$

KYC061-301435-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111201T1400Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.111129T1937Z.111130T1200Z.111201T0800Z.NO/
935 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.8 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE LOCK WALLS AND 
  SOME OF THE LOWER BANKS...CREEKS...SLOUGHS...AND SOME BOTTOMLAND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.8  
  FEET ON DEC 12 2007.

$$

KYC031-227-301435-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111202T1930Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T1421Z.111130T1200Z.111202T1330Z.NO/
935 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 36.1 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS FLOOD NEAR WOODBURY.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 36.0  
  FEET ON MAR 10 1995.

$$

KYC031-177-183-301435-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-111204T1536Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111129T2237Z.111202T0000Z.111204T0936Z.NO/
935 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* AT  7:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.3  
  FEET ON FEB 26 1994.

$$

498 
WGUS83 KLMK 301609
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1109 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  ROUGH RIVER NEAR DUNDEE 
  GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY  
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
HART...MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT.

&&

KYC183-301900-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-111130T1900Z/
/DUNK2.1.ER.111129T0845Z.111129T2115Z.111130T1658Z.NO/
1109 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROUGH RIVER NEAR DUNDEE.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.

$$

KYC099-010409-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-111201T0651Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.111129T1336Z.111130T0645Z.111201T0051Z.NO/
1109 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE.
* AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.

$$

KYC061-010409-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111202T0900Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.111129T1937Z.111201T0000Z.111202T0300Z.NO/
1109 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY LATE 
  EVENING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.3  
  FEET ON APR 29 2011.

$$

KYC031-227-010409-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111202T1930Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T1812Z.111130T1800Z.111202T1330Z.NO/
1109 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.6 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...KY 403 AT JAMES MCKINNEY BRIDGE FLOODS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS LOCK WALL.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 34.5  
  FEET ON OCT 13 2002.

$$

KYC031-177-183-010409-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-111204T1300Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111130T0105Z.111202T0000Z.111204T0700Z.NO/
1109 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* AT  7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...REEDS AND ROCHESTER FERRIES ARE SHUT DOWN. 
  KY 369 FLOODS ONE MILE NORTH OF ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.9  
  FEET ON MAY 12 2009.

$$
CMC

046 
WGUS83 KLMK 010232
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
932 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

KYC061-011432-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111202T0900Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.111129T1937Z.111201T0145Z.111202T0300Z.NO/
932 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT  8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY LATE EVENING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.6  
  FEET ON MAR 10 1995.

$$

KYC031-227-011432-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111202T1930Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T1812Z.111201T0600Z.111202T1330Z.NO/
932 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.6 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...KY 403 AT JAMES MCKINNEY BRIDGE FLOODS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS LOCK WALL.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 34.5  
  FEET ON OCT 13 2002.

$$

KYC031-177-183-011432-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-111204T1300Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111130T0105Z.111202T0000Z.111204T0700Z.NO/
932 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* AT  7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...REEDS AND ROCHESTER FERRIES ARE SHUT DOWN. 
  KY 369 FLOODS ONE MILE NORTH OF ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.9  
  FEET ON MAY 12 2009.

$$
SZAPPANOS

692 
WGUS83 KLMK 011458
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
958 AM EST THU DEC 1 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT.

&&

KYC061-020258-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111202T0812Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.111129T1937Z.111201T0145Z.111202T0212Z.NO/
958 AM EST THU DEC 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECASTED.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.9 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE LOCK WALLS AND 
  SOME OF THE LOWER BANKS...CREEKS...SLOUGHS...AND SOME BOTTOMLAND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.7  
  FEET ON APR 19 1998.

$$

KYC031-227-020257-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111202T2327Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T1812Z.111201T1100Z.111202T1727Z.NO/
958 AM EST THU DEC 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...KY 403 AT JAMES MCKINNEY BRIDGE FLOODS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS LOCK WALL.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 34.9  
  FEET ON JAN 11 1999.

$$

KYC031-177-183-020257-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-111204T0142Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111130T0105Z.111201T1800Z.111203T1942Z.NO/
958 AM EST THU DEC 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...REEDS AND ROCHESTER FERRIES ARE SHUT DOWN. 
  KY 369 FLOODS ONE MILE NORTH OF ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.4  
  FEET ON DEC 2 2001.

$$

795 
WGUS83 KLMK 020227
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
927 PM EST THU DEC 1 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...MUHLENBERG...
OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS 
TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

KYC031-227-021727-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111202T1848Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T1812Z.111201T1100Z.111202T1248Z.NO/
927 PM EST THU DEC 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...KY 403 AT JAMES MCKINNEY BRIDGE FLOODS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS LOCK WALL.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 34.9  
  FEET ON JAN 11 1999.

$$

KYC031-177-183-021727-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-111203T1648Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.111130T0105Z.111202T0600Z.111203T1048Z.NO/
927 PM EST THU DEC 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* AT  7:43 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.0 FEET 
  OVERNIGHT FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...REEDS AND ROCHESTER FERRIES ARE SHUT DOWN. 
  KY 369 FLOODS ONE MILE NORTH OF ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.0  
  FEET ON SEP 29 2002.

$$

526 
WGUS83 KLMK 021633
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1133 AM EST FRI DEC 2 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...WARREN.

&&

KYC031-227-021703-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111202T1848Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.111129T1812Z.111201T1100Z.111202T0947Z.NO/
1133 AM EST FRI DEC 2 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  4:47 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 26.2 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
610 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.Short Term (Today and Tonight)...

Deep plume of moisture continues to advect from the western Gulf of
Mexico northeastward through the Ohio Valley ahead of a highly
amplified trough axis stretching from central Ontario to south
Texas. Meanwhile, a sharp frontal boundary is slowly pushing east of
a line from the Wabash River Valley southward through the lower
Mississippi River Valley. Moisture transport and ascent with low
level jet around 40-50 knots will continue through the pre-dawn
hours, coincident with the right entrance region of a 110 knot upper
level jet. Low level jet influence should diminish around dawn from
west to east with main focus for continued rainfall coming from mid
level forcing ahead of the trough and convergence ahead of the
front. Have a 100 percent chance of periodic rainfall across the
entire CWA through the day with 0.5" to 1" of QPF. Locations most
likely to see amounts just over 1 inch would be along the Tennessee
border.

Temperatures will fall throughout the day from current readings in
the upper 50s and low 60s as frontal boundary moves through and cold
air advection takes over from west to east.

Closed upper low, cut off from the mean flow, is expected to develop
over the Ark/La/Tex region this evening and tonight, with an
associated surface low developing on the southern spine of the
Appalachians by dawn on Sunday. Periodic light to moderate rain
showers are expected to continue through the overnight hours with an
additional 0.5" to 1" of QPF possible. Slightly lower amounts are
expected west of I 65 with the highest amounts in the Lake
Cumberland region. Temperatures will continue to fall through the
evening and overnight with areas west of I 65 around the 40 degree
mark by dawn on Monday. Areas east of this line should expect low to
mid 40s for lows. Have removed chances for any snow mixing with rain
in the northwest CWA toward dawn on Monday as 1000-850 mb
thicknesses along with forecast soundings suggest lower levels will
be too warm for snow. However, snow line will be just to the
northwest of the CWA and will monitor trends as stronger/quicker
surface low development to the south of the CWA could bring snow
chances further southeast.

.Long term (Monday - Saturday)...

Have good confidence that the current meridional trough, now moving
into the Mississippi River Valley, will split, with a closed upper
low on the south side, centered near the AR/LA/MS border Monday
morning. GEFS analysis indicates this upper low will be
significantly deep, with heights 5 standard deviations below normal!
The cold front now approaching the region will stall out over the
Appalachians as this upper low generates a surface low over western
Georgia. These features will mean continued moisture feeding
high rain chances for the day Monday.

The surface low will shift northward into eastern Kentucky by Monday
evening as the upper low moves into northern MS. The strength of
this low varies by model, but same GEFS analysis indicates some
confidence toward the GFS solution, with about a 1005 mb low. The
heaviest precip associated with these features should be close to
the low. Expect rainfall totals around a quarter of an inch over the
northwest forecast area and up near an inch to the southeast.

Monday night, the upper low starts to catch up with the surface low,
as the latter's pressure field elongates up the Ohio River. We look
to get into a region of lighter precip, but as the cold air aloft
moves in, we may see some rain/snow mix across our southern forecast
area. As mentioned previously, little accumulations are expected
with warm ground temps and antecedent rains. Precip should change
back to cold rain during the day Tuesday as wrap-around moisture
comes in behind the departing upper low.

Tuesday night still looks to be the best chance for some light snow,
as one more wave rotates around the upper low. The surface low will
be up over Lake Erie, and given it's strength expect a nice fetch of
moisture from the Great Lakes to come down. Thermal profiles are a
little more supportive as far as surface temperatures go. However
the problem is the depth of the moisture. The top of the layer looks
to be warmer than -10C...so fewer ice crystals will be available to
form the snow. Given the marginal conditions needed here, will
maintain equal chances for snow or rain.

Will continue to mention the threat for river flooding with the
rainfall expected from today to Tuesday night. Total QPFs in this
forecast package range from 2-3" over the northwest forecast area to
3-4" over the Bluegrass and Lake Cumberland regions. Ensemble river
forecasts indicate a good chance for several rivers to get into
minor flood stage.

Some residual moisture may continue during the day Wednesday, mainly
over the east, and then the rest of the period looks pretty dry.
Only hitch may be some light precip Friday afternoon as a
quick-moving front moves through. Most models keep QPF to our north
with the system. AllBlend comes in drier with this system, so will
keep pops out of the forecast.

For temperatures, Monday looks to be the warmest day this period.
With the surface low in the vicinity, readings could get to the mid
50s over the Bluegrass, whereas points to the west will range from
the mid 40s to around 50. With persistent cloud cover and cooler
thicknesses over the region Tuesday, readings should be in the mid
40s everywhere. Wednesday we will get some sun breaking through, but
cold westerly to northwesterly winds should keep us in the lower
40s. Rest of the period should stay in the mid/upper 40s. For lows,
the coldest mornings should be Thursday through Saturday, once we
break into the clear. Have readings touching the upper 20s each
morning.

&&

.Aviation (12Z TAF Issuance)...

Large shield of precipitation ahead of an upper level system and
frontal boundary is currently over the TAF sites and will persist
with periodic rain throughout the forecast period. Expecting current
MVFR ceilings to periodically dip around the IFR range through mid
morning at SDF/LEX before more showery activity comes and slightly
drier air allows for ceilings in the low MVFR range. Conditions will
again deteriorate by mid afternoon as another surge of low level
moisture moves in along with more widespread rain. Once ceilings go
down into the IFR range this afternoon/evening they will remain
through the end of the forecast period.

LEX is expected to remain VFR until around 10 AM EST before ceilings
dip into the low MVFR/IFR range and remain there through the
remainder of the forecast period. LEX is expected to also experience
more intermittent shower activity this afternoon with a return to
more steady rain by the evening.

Frontal boundary will move through the area from west to east today
with passage at BWG/SDF in the Noon to 3 PM EST time frame. Passage
at LEX is expected around 7 PM EST this evening. Northwest winds
will follow frontal passage, generally less than 10 mph.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.

Short Term.......BJS
Long Term........RJS
Aviation.........BJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
337 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-280845-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
337 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 /237 AM CST SUN NOV 27 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE POTENTIAL FOR
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS WHERE THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS
THE DEEP SOUTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY. GIVEN ITS SLOW MOVEMENT...AMPLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN
AS WELL TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION. GIVEN THE
WARM ROAD TEMPERATURES...ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT LOOKS TO BE FROM RAINFALL WHERE
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL THROUGH THE EVENT WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS...COMBINED WITH THE RAINFALL
FROM THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS LIKELY WILL BRING SOME AREA RIVERS
NEAR FLOOD STAGE OR JUST BARELY INTO FLOOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL TOTALS TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE.

BJS/RJS