Alert archive / Kentucky / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 37, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this river flood warning at Apr 12, 2011, 10:56 AM EDT for Hardin County, Nelson County, Kentucky. It took effect at Apr 12, 2011, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 6 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 12, 2011, 10:56 AM EDT (14:56 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 12, 2011, 6:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 18, 2011, 10:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 6 days
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Hardin County, KY, Nelson County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Rolling Fork River near Boston (BSNK2). The gauge peaked at 44.17 ft at Apr 14, 2011, 3:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 33 ft
- Minor stage
- 35 ft
- Moderate stage
- 42 ft
- Major stage
- 45 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03301500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
531 WGUS43 KLMK 121456 FLWLMK BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY 1056 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE KY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. .UP TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE 18 HOURS IS CAUSING THE RIVER TO RISE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT. && KYC093-179-130256- /O.NEW.KLMK.FL.W.0037.110412T2200Z-110414T2100Z/ /BSNK2.1.ER.110412T2200Z.110413T1800Z.110414T1500Z.NO/ 1056 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE KY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * FROM THIS EVENING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 10:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 39.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO CROSS LOW SPOTS ON SOME COUNTY ROADS. SOME HOMES IN FLOOD PLAIN ARE CUTOFF. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 39.5 FEET ON SEP 25 2006. $$ CMC
12 follow-up statements
393 WGUS83 KLMK 130253 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1053 PM EDT TUE APR 12 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED WEDNESDAY MORNING. && KYC093-179-131453- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110416T0300Z/ /BSNK2.1.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T0600Z.110415T2100Z.NO/ 1053 PM EDT TUE APR 12 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 10:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 41.0 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO CROSS LOW SPOTS ON SOME COUNTY ROADS. SOME HOMES IN FLOOD PLAIN ARE CUTOFF. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 40.3 FEET ON MAY 29 2004. $$
569 WGUS83 KLMK 131432 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1032 AM EDT WED APR 13 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... STONER CREEK AT PARIS SOUTH FORK LICKING RIVER AT CYNTHIANA LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BOURBON...HARDIN... HARRISON...NELSON...NICHOLAS...ROBERTSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING. && KYC017-140232- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110414T1124Z/ /PRSK2.2.ER.110412T0754Z.110413T0359Z.110414T0524Z.NO/ 1032 AM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE STONER CREEK AT PARIS. * AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TONIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS HOMES ALONG TAYLOR, CHAMBERS, STONER AVENUES AND CATHERINE STREET. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.1 FEET ON MAY 31 2004. $$ KYC097-140100- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110414T0100Z/ /CYNK2.1.ER.110412T1931Z.110413T1315Z.110413T1900Z.NO/ 1032 AM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH FORK LICKING RIVER AT CYNTHIANA. * AT 9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...POPLAR STREET IS CLOSED. SOME HOMES ON WEST SIDE ARE EVACUATED. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.9 FEET ON MAY 4 2010. $$ KYC181-201-140232- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110415T0100Z/ /BLSK2.1.ER.110412T1010Z.110413T0515Z.110414T1900Z.NO/ 1032 AM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING. * AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 34.6 FEET ON MAR 21 2002. $$ KYC093-179-140232- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110417T0100Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T1200Z.110416T1900Z.NO/ 1032 AM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 42.6 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...FLOODWALL BEGINS CLOSING IN LEBANON JUNCTION. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 42.2 FEET ON FEB 18 2003. $$ RL
210 WGUS83 KLMK 140058 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 858 PM EDT WED APR 13 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... STONER CREEK AT PARIS SOUTH FORK LICKING RIVER AT CYNTHIANA AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BOURBON...HARRISON. ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON... NICHOLAS...ROBERTSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THURSDAY MORNING. && KYC017-141458- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110414T1524Z/ /PRSK2.2.ER.110412T0754Z.110413T0359Z.110414T0524Z.NO/ 858 PM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE STONER CREEK AT PARIS. * AT 7:06 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY. $$ KYC097-141458- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110414T2032Z/ /CYNK2.1.ER.110412T1931Z.110413T1530Z.110414T1432Z.NO/ 858 PM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH FORK LICKING RIVER AT CYNTHIANA. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY LATE MORNING. $$ KYC181-201-141458- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110415T0100Z/ /BLSK2.1.ER.110412T1010Z.110413T0515Z.110414T1900Z.NO/ 858 PM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. $$ KYC093-179-141458- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110417T0100Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T1200Z.110416T1900Z.NO/ 858 PM EDT WED APR 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 42.6 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...FLOODWALL BEGINS CLOSING IN LEBANON JUNCTION. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 42.2 FEET ON FEB 18 2003. $$
634 WGUS83 KLMK 141537 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1137 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON... NICHOLAS...ROBERTSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT. && KYC181-201-150337- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110416T2300Z/ /BLSK2.1.ER.110412T1010Z.110413T0515Z.110416T1700Z.NO/ 1137 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING. * AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. $$ KYC093-179-150336- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110416T1747Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110415T0000Z.110416T1147Z.NO/ 1137 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 44.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...HOUSES IN LOW AREAS IN BOSTON FLOOD. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 44.0 FEET ON MAR 12 1994. $$ CMC
129 WGUS83 KLMK 150225 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1025 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON... NICHOLAS...ROBERTSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FRIDAY MORNING. && KYC181-201-151625- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110416T2300Z/ /BLSK2.1.ER.110412T1010Z.110413T0515Z.110416T1700Z.NO/ 1025 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING. * AT 10:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. $$ KYC093-179-151625- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110416T1747Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110416T1147Z.NO/ 1025 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 9:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. $$
759 WGUS83 KLMK 151435 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1035 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...NICHOLAS...ROBERTSON. ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. .ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL SLOW DOWN THE FALL OF THE RIVERS BUT NO NEW FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT. && KYC181-201-151505- /O.CAN.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110415T1800Z/ /BLSK2.1.ER.110412T1010Z.110413T0515Z.110415T1800Z.NO/ 1035 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICKS SPRING. * AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY NOON. $$ KYC093-179-160235- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110417T0600Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110417T0000Z.NO/ 1035 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING. $$ CMC
875 WGUS83 KLMK 160056 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 856 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...HARDIN... MUHLENBERG...NELSON...OHIO...WARREN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SATURDAY MORNING. && KYC093-179-161456- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110417T0600Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110417T0000Z.NO/ 856 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING. $$ KYC031-227-161456- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WDBK2.1.ER.110412T1316Z.110415T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 856 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY. * AT 6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 39.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 37.3 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. $$ KYC031-177-183-161456- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /RCHK2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110416T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 856 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER. * AT 7:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY THEN BEGIN FALLING. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.0 FEET ON FEB 21 2003. $$
679 WGUS83 KLMK 161443 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1043 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING. && KYC093-179-170243- /O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110417T0600Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110417T0000Z.NO/ 1043 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING. $$ RL
194 WGUS83 KLMK 170120 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 920 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATE SUNDAY MORNING. && KYC093-179-171320- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110418T1800Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110418T1200Z.NO/ 920 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL BOTTOMLAND IS COVERED. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 35.3 FEET ON JAN 4 2004. $$
258 WGUS83 KLMK 171442 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1042 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING. && KYC093-179-180242- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110418T0400Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110417T2200Z.NO/ 1042 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING. $$ RL
485 WGUS83 KLMK 180117 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 917 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATE MONDAY MORNING. && KYC093-179-180708- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110418T0708Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110418T0108Z.NO/ 917 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL BOTTOMLAND IS COVERED. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 35.1 FEET ON MAR 8 1996. $$ SZAPPANOS
526 WGUS83 KLMK 180118 FLSLMK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 918 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY... ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...HARDIN...NELSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE). THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATE MONDAY MORNING. && KYC093-179-181400- /O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-110418T1400Z/ /BSNK2.2.ER.110412T1910Z.110414T2000Z.110418T0108Z.NO/ 918 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROLLING FORK RIVER NEAR BOSTON. * AT 8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL BOTTOMLAND IS COVERED. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 35.1 FEET ON MAR 8 1996. $$ SZAPPANOS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 12, 10:46 AM EDT, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 12, 10:46 AM EDT, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1046 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011 ...UPDATED HYDROLOGY SECTION... ...MESOSCALE UPDATE... MESOSCALE UPDATE #2 DEFORMATION BAND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY. TWO DISTINCT BANDS ARE SHOWING UP. THE FIRST ONE EXTENDS FROM FRANKLIN COUNTY SOUTHWARD THROUGH ANDERSON COUNTY. THE SECOND ONE EXTENDS FROM WOODFORD COUNTY SOUTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF JESSAMINE AND MERCER COUNTIES. OVERALL PRECIPITATION IN THE DEFORMATION BAND IS ON THE DOWNSWING...BUT THE OVERALL MOVEMENT OF THE BAND IS A BIT SLOWER. THEREFORE...IT MAY BE EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE THIS BAND LIFTS OUT OF THE BLUEGRASS REGION. FURTHER SOUTH...OVER OUR SOUTHEAST...THE BAND IS MOVING EAST AT A BETTER CLIP. FURTHER WEST...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING CLEARING SKIES WORKING INTO OUR WESTERN CWA. THIS CLEARING IS LIKELY TO MAKE SOME PROGRESS EASTWARD LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. WILL GO AHEAD ADJUST THE FORECAST TO KEEP HIGH RAIN CHANCES IN THE EAST AND LOWER POPS OUT TO THE WEST. WILL ALSO LOWER CLOUDS IN THE WEST TOO BASED ON THE CURRENT SAT IMAGERY. AFTERNOON TEMPS WILL BE LARGELY AFFECTED BY CLOUDS/RAIN. LOWER 60S IN THE WEST STILL LOOK ON TARGET WITH 50S IN THE EAST. HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS ARE ADDRESSED BELOW IN ADDED HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION. MESOSCALE UPDATE #1 HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...WHILE EXCESSIVE RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE EAST. DEFORMATION BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. NUMEROUS CALLS FROM OUR CO-OP FOLKS HAVE REPORTED BETWEEN 2.5 AND 3.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN WOODBURY KENTUCKY. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF PONDING OF WATER AND STANDING WATER HAVE BEEN RECEIVED AT THE OFFICE THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...SEVERAL COUNTIES HAVE NUMEROUS ROADS UNDER WATER DUE TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. COMBINATION OF FLOOD ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CWA. AREA AT MOST RISK FOR FLOODING IS OVER THE BLUEGRASS REGION WHERE DEFORMATION BAND HAS SET UP. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. IN AREAS WEST OF I-65...THE RAINFALL HAS ENDED HOWEVER HIGH WATER WILL PERSIST FOR A WHILE AS AREA STREAMS/CREEKS SLOWLY DRAIN. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE OBVIOUSLY ON THE RISE AND FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR... DEPUTY INDIANA ON THE MUSCATATUCK RIVER BLUE LICK SPRINGS ON THE LICKING RIVER DUNDEE ON THE ROUGH RIVER PARIS ON STONER CREEK MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS LIKELY IN THE GREEN...SALT...KENTUCKY AND LICKING RIVER BASINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RIVER FORECASTS FOR THOSE BASINS WILL BE UPDATED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. .SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)... NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED LOWS ACRS SERN KY AT 07Z WITH SURFACE LOW CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN. AS A RESULT...MOISTURE FROM THE GULF CONTINUES TO WRAP AROUND SYS WITH SATELLITE COOLING TOPS/EMBEDDED TSTMS IN VERY SLOW MOVING WIDESPREAD RAINS ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. WHILE RAINS HAVE NOT BEEN EXCESSIVE...RATES OF ONE HALF TO 1 INCH AN HOUR ARE COMMON. STREAMS...ESPECIALLY THE SMALLER ONES IN MUCH OF OUR CWA WILL LIKELY GO INTO FLOOD TODAY WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OR MORE OF TOTAL RAIN BEFORE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM DEPARTS THIS MORNING. HAVE ALREADY ISSUED A RIVER FLOOD WARNING FOR DEPUTY ON THE MUSCATATUCK RIVER IN SOUTHERN INDIANA AND ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS MORNING. AFTER SYSTEM DEPARTURE THIS MORNING...SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES BUILDS IN. RIDGE WILL BE OVERHEAD TONIGHT AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...FROST WILL BE A CONCERN. WILL MENTION IN HWO. .LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY - MONDAY)... WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... MID-LEVEL RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL KEEP THE REGION RELATIVELY DRY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL SEE DAILY HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY LATE THURSDAY...A FAIRLY STRONG AND LARGE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE UPPER PLAINS. THE LATEST GFS...ECMWF...AND NAEFS CONTINUE TO ILLUSTRATE THE CLOSING OFF OF THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS FRIDAY...WITH A SLOW MIGRATION TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES BY SATURDAY. AS THIS SYSTEM STRENGTHENS...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION AND SPREAD MOISTURE BACK INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE TIMING ISSUES...WHICH AFFECTS THE QUALITY AND DEPTH OF MOISTURE ADVECTION. HOWEVER...IT STILL APPEARS DEWPOINTS WILL INCREASE INTO THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S BY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. WITH A 120 KNOT CYCLONICALLY CURVED JET SWINGING INTO THE REGION...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD LIFT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODEL CONSENSUS INDICATES THE BEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM VERY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. WITH THE DEPTH OF MOISTURE AND QUESTIONABLE INSTABILITY...THE OVERALL THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS IS STILL IN QUESTION. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE FORECAST UPPER-LEVEL DYNAMICS...STRONG FORCING WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO OVERCOME MARGINAL MOISTURE/STABILITY. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE RATHER MILD WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 50S EXPECTED. HIGHS FRIDAY SHOULD WARM BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S BEFORE THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE FRIDAY NIGHT. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT LOOK SHOULD DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S IN THE WEST AND MID 40S ACROSS THE EAST. THE REMAINING DISCUSSION IS FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...ISSUED AT 319 PM MONDAY...AND REMAINS VALID. SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY... IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD...BOTH THE 11/12Z GFS AND EURO SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A DEEP 500 HPA LOW SLOWLY TRANSLATING EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES STATES DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. BOTH MODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM BECOMING VERTICALLY STACKED BY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE SYSTEM PULLING OUT A BIT FASTER THAN PREVIOUS SOLUTIONS SHOWED. SATURDAY STILL LOOKS TO BE A RATHER COOL AND CLOUDY DAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. GIVEN THE NORTHWEST FLOW...SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BE CONTAINED TO OUR BLUEGRASS/NORTHEASTERN REGIONS. FAIRLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE IN PLACE AS WELL...SO BREEZY CONDITIONS STILL LOOK LIKELY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THE SYSTEM WILL START TO MOVE AWAY WITH DRIER AIR WORKING IN FROM THE WEST. SOME RAIN SHOWERS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST SECTIONS...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY MIX IN. HOWEVER...OVERALL BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE IS A BIT WARMER IN BOTH THE DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE RUNS...SO AM ONLY GOING TO SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE GRIDS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT. SUNDAY SHOULD SEE THE AREA BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS AS A FAST MOVING WAVE WITHIN THE NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY. QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN THIS TIME FRAME IN THE ENSEMBLES THUS PLAN ON LEAVING MONDAY DRY AT THIS POINT. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS ON SATURDAY WARMING INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S WITH LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT COOLING INTO THE MID-UPPER 30S. WE SHOULD SEE MODERATING TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH HIGHS WARMING INTO THE MID-UPPER 50S ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE LOWER 60S BY MONDAY WHILE OVERNIGHT TEMPS COOL INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S. && .HYDROLOGY... * FORECASTS AND RAINFALL - WIDESPREAD HEAVY/EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LOUISVILLE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES HAVE OCCURRED SINCE LATE SUNDAY THROUGH THIS MORNING. SLOW MOVING DEFORMATION BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THIS WILL AFFECT THE KENTUCKY AND LICKING RIVER BASINS. ANOTHER ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR OVER THE BLUEGRASS REGION THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY BECOME HIGHER IF THIS DEFORMATION BAND SLOWS DOWN MORE THAN FORECAST. * BASINS OF CONCERN - ALL BASINS IN THE LOUISVILLE HYDROLOGIC AREA WILL FEEL THE IMPACTS OF THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THE GREEN...SALT...KENTUCKY...LICKING RIVER AND OHIO RIVER BASINS WILL SEE SHARP RISES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WE ARE CURRENTLY WORKING VERY CLOSELY WITH THE OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER AND UPDATED FORECASTS WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. * SIGNIFICANT CHANGES - THIS IS THE FIRST ISSUANCE OF THE HYDROLOGY DISCUSSION. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS. MUSCATATUCK RIVER AT DEPUTY INDIANA LICKING RIVER AT BLUE LICK SPRINGS ROUGH RIVER AT DUNDEE STONER CREEK AT PARIS CYNTHIANA ON THE SOUTH FORK OF THE LICKING RIVER DRAKES CREEK NEAR ALVATON GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...WOODBURY AND ROCHESTER ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE LIKELY ON AREA BASINS. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA NEAR ANY CREEK OR STREAM...BE ON THE ALERT FOR RAPID RISES AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. * GRAPHICAL INFORMATION - FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND GRAPHICAL INFORMATION SEE OUR INTERNET WEBSITE FOR RIVERS AND LAKES AT... HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/APPS/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (USE LOWER CASE) && .AVIATION (12Z TAF ISSUANCE)... STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO VIRGINIA BY THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS...GUSTY NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS AT KLEX AND KBWG WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. KLEX WILL TAKE THE LONGEST TO CLEAR AS THE WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE HANGS ACROSS THE BLUEGRASS REGION. VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PRESENT ACROSS THE LOUISVILLE METRO AREA WILL CONTINUE...WITH SKIES CLEARING BY LATE THIS MORNING. KBWG WILL CLEAR OUT BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH KLEX CLEARING BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && MESOSCALE......MJ SHORT TERM.....DK/11 LONG TERM......MJP HYDROLOGY......MJ AVIATION.......MJP
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 12, 4:50 AM EDT, 6 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 450 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-130800- ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY- FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY- MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY- GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY- TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY- ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY- CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY- 450 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011 /350 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL END EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THOSE AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. EAST OF I-65...RAIN WILL END BY MID MORNING INTO MIDDAY. RIVER FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED OVER PARTS OF THE REGION. FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE. PATCHY FROST MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE BLUEGRASS REGION OF KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ANOTHER POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR FRIDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING ALONG WITH RAINFALL TOTALS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE. DK/MJP
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 12, 10:32 AM EDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1032 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 E FORDSVILLE 37.64N 86.64W
04/12/2011 M3.55 INCH BRECKINRIDGE KY TRAINED SPOTTER
REPORT FROM ASKIN... KY
&&
EVENT NUMBER LMK1100378
LGLocal storm report, Apr 12, 10:39 AM EDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1039 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN VINE GROVE 37.81N 85.98W
04/12/2011 M4.50 INCH HARDIN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTS OTTER CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS
&&
EVENT NUMBER LMK1100379
LGLocal storm report, Apr 12, 10:43 AM EDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1043 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 SSW VERSAILLES 37.98N 84.77W
04/12/2011 M3.03 INCH WOODFORD KY COCORAHS
&&
EVENT NUMBER LMK1100380
LGLocal storm report, Apr 12, 10:44 AM EDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1044 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM HEAVY RAIN LOUISVILLE 38.22N 85.74W
04/12/2011 M3.36 INCH JEFFERSON KY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER LMK1100381
LGLocal storm report, Apr 12, 10:45 AM EDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1045 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 WSW SONORA 37.49N 86.01W
04/12/2011 M4.19 INCH HARDIN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTS 2.83 INCHES FELL FROM 7PM MONDAY
THROUGH THIS MORNING...ENDING WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 4.19
INCHES
&&
EVENT NUMBER LMK1100382
LGLocal storm report, Apr 12, 10:48 AM EDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1048 AM EDT TUE APR 12 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 E FORDSVILLE 37.64N 86.64W
04/12/2011 M3.55 INCH BRECKINRIDGE KY TRAINED SPOTTER
REPORT FROM ASKIN... KY
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
EVENT NUMBER LMK1100378
LGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 8:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Barren, Metcalfe | 31 min |
| Apr 11, 8:46 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Adair, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe | 29 min |
| Apr 11, 9:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Russell | 24 min |
| Apr 12, 4:27 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Allen, Breckinridge, Butler, Edmonson, Grayson, Logan and 3 more | 4 hr |
| Apr 12, 5:22 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Nicholas, Robertson | 3 days |
| Apr 12, 5:56 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Ohio | 66 hr |
| Apr 12, 7:23 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Bourbon | 48 hr |
| Apr 12, 7:37 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Adair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland and 9 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 7:41 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Anderson, Boyle, Clark, Fayette, Franklin, Garrard and 9 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 7:46 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Nicholas | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 7:52 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Breckinridge, Bullitt, Grayson, Hardin, Henry, Jefferson and 7 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 8:00 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Hancock | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 8:09 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LMK | Hardin, Larue | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 8:15 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Anderson, Bourbon, Fayette, Franklin, Harrison, Jessamine and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 8:22 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LMK | Hancock | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 8:25 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LMK | Spencer | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 8:34 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LMK | Butler, Warren | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 8:50 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Mercer | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 9:46 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Washington | 3 hr |
| Apr 12, 10:19 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Harrison | 45 hr |
| Apr 12, 10:30 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Adair, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Lincoln, Russell and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 12, 10:34 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Warren | 21 hr |
| Apr 12, 10:34 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Hart | 61 hr |
| Apr 12, 10:34 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Edmonson | 4 days |
| Apr 12, 10:34 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Butler, Warren | 6 days |
| Apr 12, 10:34 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Butler, Muhlenberg, Ohio | 8 days |
| Apr 12, 10:48 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LMK | Anderson, Bourbon, Boyle, Clark, Fayette, Franklin and 10 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 12, 11:37 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Jefferson, Oldham | 4 days |
| Apr 12, 11:37 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Jefferson, Meade | 72 hr |
| Apr 12, 11:37 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock | 7 days |
| Apr 12, 11:37 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock | 27 days |
| Apr 12, 11:48 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Allen, Butler, Edmonson, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.