River Flood Warning 18, NWS Louisville, KY

637 
WGUS83 KLMK 070350
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1050 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN INDIANA...
KENTUCKY...

  OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE UPPER 
  OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE LOWER 
  OHIO RIVER AT CANNELTON LOCK 
  OHIO RIVER AT TELL CITY 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN INDIANA...CLARK...FLOYD...PERRY 
AND IN KENTUCKY...BRECKINRIDGE...HANCOCK...JEFFERSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY MORNING.

&&

INC019-043-KYC111-071550-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0018.110307T1800Z-110309T0000Z/
/MLUK2.1.ER.110307T1800Z.110307T1800Z.110308T1800Z.NO/
1050 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE UPPER.
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...SOME SECTIONS OF RIVER ROAD ARE CLOSED NEAR 
  COX'S PARK. EIFLER BEACH AND JUNIPER BEACH ARE CUT OFF.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.1  
  FEET ON MAY 18 1996.

$$

INC019-043-KYC111-071550-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0019.110308T0600Z-110308T1200Z/
/MLPK2.1.ER.110308T0600Z.110308T0600Z.110308T0600Z.NO/
1050 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE LOWER.
* FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 52.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 55.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 55.0 FEET...PARKS AND RIVER FRONT AREAS IN CLARKSVILLE 
  AND NEW ALBANY MAY BE FLOODED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 55.1  
  FEET ON JAN 8 2004.

$$

INC123-KYC027-091-071550-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0020.110307T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNNI3.1.ER.110307T0600Z.110309T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1050 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT CANNELTON LOCK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 42.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 42.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS NEAR CLOVERPORT
  AND CANNELTON. HIGHWAY 66 FLOODS NEAR DERBY AND DEXTER. ROCKY POINT
  GIRL SCOUT CAMP IS AFFECTED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 42.5  
  FEET ON APR 20 1994.

$$

INC123-KYC027-091-071550-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TELI3.1.ER.110228T1814Z.110309T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1050 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT TELL CITY.
* AT  7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 41.8 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...INDIANA HIGHWAY 66 CLOSES ABOVE CANNELTON.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 41.5  
  FEET ON APR 20 1994.

$$
RL

142 
WGUS83 KLMK 071053
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
553 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
INDIANA...KENTUCKY...
 
  OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE UPPER
  OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE LOWER
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN INDIANA...CLARK...FLOYD AND IN 
KENTUCKY...JEFFERSON.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN INDIANA...
KENTUCKY...

  OHIO RIVER AT CANNELTON LOCK 
  OHIO RIVER AT TELL CITY 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN INDIANA...PERRY AND IN 
KENTUCKY...BRECKINRIDGE...HANCOCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATE MONDAY MORNING.

&&

INC019-043-KYC111-071123-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110309T0000Z/
/MLUK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
553 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE UPPER.
* AT  5:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 21.7 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 20.9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...SOME SECTIONS OF RIVER ROAD ARE CLOSED NEAR 
  COX'S PARK. EIFLER BEACH AND JUNIPER BEACH ARE CUT OFF.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.1  
  FEET ON MAY 18 1996.

$$

INC019-043-KYC111-071123-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110308T1200Z/
/MLPK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
553 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT MCALPINE LOWER.
* AT  5:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 52.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 55.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED NEAR 52.5 FEET AND WILL CONTINUE
  TO SLOWLY FALL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

$$

INC123-KYC027-091-072253-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNNI3.1.ER.110307T0845Z.110309T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
553 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT CANNELTON LOCK.
* AT  5:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 42.5 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 42.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS NEAR CLOVERPORT
  AND CANNELTON. HIGHWAY 66 FLOODS NEAR DERBY AND DEXTER. ROCKY POINT
  GIRL SCOUT CAMP IS AFFECTED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 42.5  
  FEET ON APR 20 1994.

$$

INC123-KYC027-091-072253-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TELI3.1.ER.110228T1814Z.110309T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
553 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHIO RIVER AT TELL CITY.
* AT  7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 41.8 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...INDIANA HIGHWAY 66 CLOSES ABOVE CANNELTON.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 41.5  
  FEET ON APR 20 1994.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1204 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION AND HYDRO DISCUSSION...

...FORECAST UPDATE...

WILL UPDATE THIS MORNING TO LOWER HIGH TEMPERATURES AND KEEP SKY
COVER IN LONGER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. CURRENTLY...SURFACE LOW IS
MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CAROLINAS...WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THE RESULTING PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL KEEP US IN STEADY NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE DAY. COMBINED WITH
STEADY COLD AIR ADVECTION...LOW LEVEL STRATUS/STRATOCU WILL ALSO BE
PERSISTENT AS EVIDENCED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WILL STAY OPTIMISTIC
THAT AT LEAST SOME BREAKS WILL APPEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN
INDIANA/NORTHERN KENTUCKY BY THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER CLEARING
UPSTREAM IS QUICKLY FILLING IN WITH DIURNAL HEATING. LOWERED HIGH
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH ALL LOCATIONS IN
THE 40 TO 44 DEGREE RANGE. THIS MAY STILL BE TOO HIGH IF OVERCAST
SKY COVER HOLDS IN ALL AFTERNOON. UPDATED PRODUCTS OUT SHORTLY.

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

THE WEATHER FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL BE QUIETER AND MUCH COOLER THAN
THE LAST FEW DAYS. LIGHT SNOW IS BEGINNING TO MIX IN WITH THE AREA
OF LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING.
THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD AND
SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA ENTIRELY BY DAYBREAK. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE THAT WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS
MORNING. LIGHT SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS IMPULSE SHOULD STAY NORTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA SO WILL REMOVE ALL POPS FROM THE FORECAST TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

ONE OF THE MAIN QUESTIONS TODAY WILL BE IN TERMS OF CLOUD COVER. WE
WILL START OUT THE DAY UNDER CLOUDY SKIES. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LOOKS
TO HANG AROUND FOR THE MORNING HOURS. SKIES SHOULD BEGIN TO SCATTER
OUT FROM THE WEST BY MIDDAY. PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES IN.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE ON THE COOL SIDE UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES AND NORTHERLY WINDS. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST OF THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK
WITH TEMPS DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY - SATURDAY)...

MONDAY THRU THU NIGHT...

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PD RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS FROM MONDAY THROUGH
THE DAY ON TUESDAY.  SFC WARM FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE NORTHWARD DURING
THE DAY ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IN THE
PLAINS.  THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INFLUX OF WARMER TEMPERATURES DUE TO
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AS WELL AS SOME MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE.
HIGHS ON MONDAY SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50 IN THE
NORTHEAST/BLUEGRASS TO THE LOWER-MID 50S ACROSS THE I-65 CORRIDOR
AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTHWEST SECTIONS. TEMPS LOOK TO COOL BACK TIN
THE MID-UPPER 30S MONDAY NIGHT.  HIGHS ON TUESDAY SHOULD WARM INTO
THE LOWER 60S.  TEMPS ON TUESDAY COULD BE A BIT CONSERVATIVE SINCE
THE MODELS TYPICALLY DO NOT WARM US UP ENOUGH WHEN WE HAVE DECENT
SOUTHERLY FLOW.  SO WE MAY NEED TO BUMP THOSE UP IN FUTURE FORECASTS.

BY TUESDAY NIGHT...SFC LOW OVER THE PLAINS WILL START TO CRANK UP
AND HEAD NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MO.  SFC COLD FRONT
LOOKS TO HANG BACK TO THE WEST A BIT...BUT FAIRLY DEEP ASCENT WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIGHTING UP ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AXIS.  BASED ON THE EURO AND
GFS TIMING...THIS SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF
THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AND OVERSPREAD MUCH OF CENTRAL
KENTUCKY DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY HEAD EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AS DRY SLOTTING TRIES TO COME
UP INTO THE REGION WED AFTERNOON.  WITH THE FRONT HANGING BACK TO
THE WEST...COULD SEE THE DRY SLOT CLEAR SKIES OUT A BIT AND COULD
POSSIBLY SEE SOME RE-DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOMETHING TO WATCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

SEVERE AND FLOOD POTENTIAL STILL LOOK QUITE QUESTIONABLE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND MODEL DATA STILL SHOW A
GOOD 60-70KT 850 JET IN THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK MARGINAL.
DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY NOT REACH EVEN 55 DEGREES...THUS OVERALL
ENVIRONMENT LOOKS TO BE A HIGH SHEAR / LOW INSTABILITY SETUP.
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT BULK SHEAR WILL BE AVAILABLE THAT
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ABLE TO
DEVELOP.  MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORM WOULD LIKELY BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...BUT OVERALL THREAT OF THAT IS FAIRLY LOW BASED ON THE
CURRENT DATA. WITH THE INSTABILITY LACKING...THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL APPEARS TO BE LESS AS WELL.  THOUGH...WE STILL STAND TO
PICK UP BETWEEN 0.5 AND 1.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM THE EVENT.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD THEN PUSH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
AND BE CLEAR OF THE REGION BY THURSDAY.  DEEP NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
WILL BLANKET THE AREA ON THURSDAY.  PLENTY OF COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS
SHOULD BE AROUND ALONG WITH A FEW ISO-SCT SHOWERS.  THUS WILL KEEP
SLIGHT-CHC POPS IN THE FCST FOR NOW...WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
BY THU EVENING.  HIGHS WED WILL LIKELY BE IN THE LOWER-MID 60S WITH
LOWS WED NIGHT IN THE MID 30S...AND HIGHS THU WARMING INTO THE
MID-UPPER 40S.

FRIDAY THRU SATURDAY...

NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE THROUGH THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.

THIS SHUD BE A DRY PERIOD OVERALL AS TEMPS WILL BE SEASONALLY COOL
THU AND FRI WITH A MODERATE WARM-UP SAT.

LONGWAVE TROF AXIS SHUD BE POSITIONED ACROSS THE LOWER OH VLY AT THE
START OF THIS PERIOD. ASSOCIATED WEAK SFC TROF EXPECTED TO DROP NW
TO SE ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA...TRIGGERING A FEW SHOWERS...MAINLY
NORTH AND EAST ON THU. HPC AND THE 12Z GFS IN SUPPORT OF THIS. TROF
WILL EXIT EAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FRI WITH A SHRTWV RIDGE AND
HIGH PRES BUILDING INTO OUR FORECAST AREA. BY EARLY SAT...ANOTHER
TROF(WITH PACIFIC ORIGINS) ACRS THE MID/UPPER MS VLY...WILL MOVE
INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY AFTERNOON. ASSOCIATED DRY COLD FRONT...
WITH PRE-FRONTAL LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN...WILL TRAVERSE OUR REGION
SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

* BASINS OF CONCERN -

CURRENTLY...MIDDLE OHIO RIVER AND GREEN RIVERS HAVE SECTIONS THAT
ARE FLOODING.

THE OHIO RIVER FROM LOUISVILLE DOWN TO CANNELTON IS RISING...AND
WILL BE NEAR FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING. FLOOD WARNINGS FOR MINOR
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE FOR THESE SECTIONS OF THE OHIO.

THE KENTUCKY AND LICKING RIVER BASINS WILL SEE HIGH WATER...BUT
FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE GREEN RIVER FROM WOODBURY TO
ROCHESTER. FLOOD CRESTS SHOULD BE LOWER THAN THE CRESTS WE
OBSERVED LAST WEEK.

* GRAPHICAL INFORMATION -

FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND GRAPHICAL INFORMATION SEE OUR INTERNET
WEBSITE FOR RIVERS AND LAKES AT...

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/APPS/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK  (USE LOWER CASE)

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF ISSUANCE)...

QUESTION FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING/S FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO
DEAL WITH HOW LONG LOW MVFR CIGS ARE GOING TO HANG IN AT THE TAF
SITES. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES SHOW SOME SIGNS OF LOW LEVEL
STRATUS/STRATOCU BEGINNING TO BREAK UP A BIT ACROSS NORTHERN
INDIANA. AT THIS PACE...THINK IT WILL BE AFTER 4 PM EST BEFORE
SDF/LEX SEE ANY SORT OF BREAK IN THE CLOUDS AND AFTER 7 PM EST
BEFORE CEILING SCATTERS OUT. EXPECT BWG TO BE STUCK IN A 1500 TO
2000 FOOT CEILING UNTIL JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...EXPECT WINDS TO SLACKEN AND VEER TO AN
EASTERLY DIRECTION...WITH UPPER LEVEL SKY COVER BEGINNING TO WORK IN
FROM THE WEST. AM NOT CONFIDENT IN ANY VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS DUE
TO FOG AT THIS POINT...HOWEVER IF SKIES ARE ABLE TO CLEAR OUT
OVERNIGHT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE FOG AT BWG/LEX DUE TO RECENT
RAINFALL. EXPECT BROKEN CIGS AROUND 15 K FEET FROM WEST TO EAST BY
LATE MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE.........BJS
SHORT TERM.....EER
LONG TERM......MJ
HYDROLOGY......CALLAHAN
AVIATION.......BJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1045 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-071545-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
1045 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 /945 AM CST SUN MAR 6 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON SOME AREA RIVERS OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS
FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THURSDAY. A COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA ON WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

BJS