Special Weather Statement, NWS Elko, NV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1236 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL RESTRICT
THUNDERSTORMS TO EASTERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...MOISTURE HAS BEEN MORE ABUNDANT ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
NEVADA THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO
DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY. AS PREVIOUS FORECAST WAS DRY
IN THIS AREA...HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
HERE. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ALL PRODUCTS SENT. RCM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 335 AM /

SYNOPSIS...DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL RESTRICT
THUNDERSTORMS TO EASTERN NEVADA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SHORT WAVE TROUGH BRUSHING
NRN NV WILL BRING A DRIER AIRMAS TO THE WRN PORTION OF THE FCST
AREA TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH TSTMS CONFINED TO AREAS EAST OF THE
RUBY MOUNTAINS AND OVER WHITE PINE COUNTY AND THE ERN PORTION OF
NRN NYE COUNTY. COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. RELATIVELY WEAK
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CWA THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. REMNANT
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR LINGERING OVER MAINLY WHITE PINE AND EASTERN
ELKO COUNTIES SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LIMITED TO NE ELKO COUNTY MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTERNOONS. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT INCREASES OVER THE CWA
DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A TROUGH DROPS INTO THE PAC NW.
ALL IN ALL...GENERALLY MILD CONDITIONS THROUGH THE LONG TERM
PERIOD...WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...COOLING SLIGHTLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE APPROACHING
TROUGH...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. BEST
CHANCE FOR ANY PRECIP IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA. OTHERWISE MOSTLY DRY THROUGH NEXT
THURSDAY.

AVIATION...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SETTING UP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA AGAIN TODAY. AROUND A 55 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR KELY TODAY...AND AROUND A 25
PERCENT CHANCE FOR KTPH. LESS THAN 10 PERCENT CHANCE FOR KWMC AND
KEKO AS THE AIR ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WILL BE DRIER THAN CENTRAL
AND EXTREME EASTERN NEVADA LOCATIONS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE
MAIN CONCERN ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

FIRE WEATHER...DRIER AIR FROM THE WEST WILL CONFINE TSTM ACTIVITY
TO AREAS EAST OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND OVER WHITE PINE COUNTY AND
THE ERN SECTIONS OF NRN NYE COUNTY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. INCREASING
DRY SWLY FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL LIMIT ANY TSTMS TO FAR NERN NV.

HYDROLOGY...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF
THE HUMBOLDT RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF BATTLE MOUNTAIN. EXCESSIVE SNOW
MELT IN LAMOILLE CANYON CONTINUES TO RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING
THERE AS WELL. REPORTS FROM THE FOREST SERVICE INDICATE MANY
SMALLER STREAMS IN THE HIGH COUNTRY ARE ALSO FLOODING OR RUNNING
VERY HIGH...SIMILAR TO LAMOILLE CREEK. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY
DECLINE IN THE COMING DAYS AS AVAILABLE SNOW TO MELT DECREASES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

93

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
300 PM PDT THU JUL 7 2011

NVZ013-030>037-082200-
NORTHERN NYE COUNTY-HUMBOLDT COUNTY-NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE-
WHITE PINE COUNTY-
NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-
300 PM PDT THU JUL 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
NEVADA...NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA...NORTHEAST NEVADA...NORTHWEST
NEVADA AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY
OUTFLOWS WITH POSSIBLY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE
TO BLOWING DUST...HAIL...AND SHORT BURSTS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST AND RESTRICT THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TO EASTERN NEVADA FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE PLEASANT AND DRY ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN
NEVADA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT WEATHER PHENOMENA ACCORDING TO
STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1209 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

NVZ031-081945-
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY NV-
1209 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY UNTIL 1245
PM PDT...

AT 1201 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTH OF CONTACT.  THIS STORM WAS WAS
MOVING TO THE EAST AT ABOUT 7 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...US HIGHWAY 93 10 MILES SOUTH OF
JACKPOT TO THE TOWN OF JACKPOT.

&&

LAT...LON 4183 11459 4185 11484 4194 11490 4201 11475
      4201 11471
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 180DEG 0KT 4162 11477

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1232 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

NVZ035-082000-
WHITE PINE COUNTY NV-
1232 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL WHITE PINE COUNTY UNTIL
100 PM PDT...

AT 1224 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RUTH...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 7 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL CENTRAL WHITE PINE COUNTY...

&&

LAT...LON 3920 11512 3911 11522 3918 11525 3923 11522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 316DEG 8KT 3916 11518

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1253 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

NVZ032-082015-
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY NV-
1253 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY UNTIL
115 PM PDT...

AT 1246 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF CURRIE...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH. THIS STORM IS MOVING ACROSS US HIGHWAY 93 JUST NORTH OF CURRIE.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY...

&&

LAT...LON 4048 11461 4025 11451 4025 11476 4035 11480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 254DEG 15KT 4034 11464

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
112 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

NVZ033-035-082045-
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY NV-WHITE PINE COUNTY NV-
112 PM PDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME NORTHEASTERN WHITE PINE
AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM PDT...

AT 104 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF IBAPAH...OR 20 MILES EAST
OF LAGES JUNCTION...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

&&

LAT...LON 4024 11423 4004 11416 4006 11431 4015 11434
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 254DEG 15KT 4013 11421