Alert archive / Nevada / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 10, NWS Elko, NV

May 14, 2011Elko County, Nevada

NWS Elko, NV issued this river flood warning at May 14, 2011, 10:46 AM PDT for Elko County, Nevada. It was in force for 51 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2011, 10:46 AM PDT (17:46 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2011, 2:03 PM PDT
In force
51 hr
Issued by
NWS Elko, NV
Flood severity
Minor

County Elko County, NV

The radar

The Elko radar (KLRX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Bruneau River at Rowland (BRON2). The gauge peaked at 8.16 ft at May 15, 2011, 3:00 AM PDT.

actionminormoderate681005/1405/1505/1605/17
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
7 ft
Moderate stage
9.5 ft
Major stage
11 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 13161500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

829 
WGUS45 KLKN 141746
FLWLKN
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1046 AM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEVADA... 

  BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND AFFECTING ELKO COUNTY
FOR THE BRUNEAU RIVER, INCLUDING ROWLAND, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING,
WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO RISE.

WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE ACCELERATED SNOW MELT WHICH HAS PUSHED THE 
BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND TO FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING. WITH 
ANOTHER WARM DAY ON TAP FOR TODAY...RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO
RISE.

                    FLD    OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION            STG   STG DAY  TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

BRUNEAU RIVER
  ROWLAND           7.0    7.0 SAT 09 AM    7.3   7.0    6.8

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR VISITING US ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ELKO.

&&

NVC007-151746-
/O.NEW.KLKN.FL.W.0010.110514T1746Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRON2.1.ER.110514T1530Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1046 AM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND.
* AT  9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$
6 follow-up statements
991 
WGUS85 KLKN 142135
FLSLKN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
235 PM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

FOR THE MARYS RIVER, INCLUDING CHARLESTON...DEETH, MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  FOR THE MARTIN CREEK, 
INCLUDING PARADISE VALLEY, MINOR FLOODING IS FORECASTED.  FOR THE 
BRUNEAU RIVER, INCLUDING ROWLAND, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH 
RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO RISE.  FOR THE OWYHEE RIVER, INCLUDING
MOUNTAIN CITY, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH RIVER LEVELS 
FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  

SNOWMELT...DUE TO WARM TEMPERATURES AND RAIN SHOWERS...CONTINUES TO ADD FLOW TO
LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS. RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE DEPENDING ON
TIME OF DAY...TEMPERATURE...AND RAIN AMOUNTS. COOLER WEATHER WILL MOVE IN ON
SUNDAY...SLOWING THE SNOWMELT FOR A FEW DAYS.

                    FLD      OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION            STG    STG DAY  TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

MARYS RIVER
  CHARLESTON        5.0    5.4 SAT 01 PM    5.5    5.1    4.6
  DEETH             6.0    5.4 SAT 01 PM    5.8    6.2    6.5

MARTIN CREEK
  PARADISE VALLEY   5.0    4.9 SAT 01 PM    5.2    4.7    4.4

BRUNEAU RIVER
  ROWLAND           7.0    7.1 SAT 01 PM    7.0    7.0    6.8

OWYHEE RIVER
  MOUNTAIN CITY     8.0    8.4 SAT 01 PM    8.5    8.2    7.9

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISITING US ON
THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ELKO...

EVEN IF NOT WATER COVERED...NEARBY ROADS AND PASTURES MAY BE MUDDY...ESPECIALLY
IN LOW SPOTS...BE CAREFUL AROUND THESE RIVERS AND CREEKS.


&&

NVC007-152135-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110517T0100Z/
/MBON2.1.ER.110513T0415Z.110514T0730Z.110516T1300Z.UU/
235 PM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER NEAR CHARLESTON.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.5 FEET ON SUNDAY. THE
RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING THROUGHOUT
  REACH...ABOUT 800 CFS.  LIKE FLOOD OF 5/20/1993.

$$

NVC007-152135-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110519T2200Z/
/MHSN2.1.ER.110515T1900Z.110517T0900Z.110519T1000Z.UU/
235 PM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER ABOVE HOT SPRINGS CK NEAR DEETH.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 6.6 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.8 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING ON LOWER 
  MARY'S RIVER, WITH FLOODING OF MANY RURAL ROADS NEAR THE RIVER.  
  SOME STREETS IN DEETH FLOOD, AS WELL AS BASEMENTS AND FOUNDATIONS 
  OF A FEW HOMES.  ABOUT 800 CFS.

$$

NVC013-152135-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0008.110514T2103Z-110516T0400Z/
/MARN2.1.ER.110514T1500Z.110515T0600Z.110515T1600Z.UU/
235 PM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARTIN CREEK NEAR PARADISE VALLEY.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 5.2 FEET OVERNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-152135-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRON2.1.ER.110514T1530Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
235 PM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  1:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-152135-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMCN2.1.ER.110514T0250Z.110514T1945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
235 PM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OWYHEE RIVER AT MOUNTAIN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  1:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$
861 
WGUS85 KLKN 151045
FLSLKN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
345 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

FOR THE MARYS RIVER, INCLUDING CHARLESTON...DEETH, MODERATE FLOODING 
IS OCCURING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO INCREASE A BIT MORE 
BEFORE DECREASING.  FOR THE MARTIN CREEK, INCLUDING PARADISE VALLEY, 
MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  FOR THE 
JARBIDGE RIVER, INCLUDING JARBIDGE, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING, WITH 
RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO INCREASE.  FOR THE BRUNEAU RIVER, 
INCLUDING ROWLAND, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING, WITH RIVER LEVELS 
FORECASTED TO INCREASE.  FOR THE OWYHEE RIVER, INCLUDING MOUNTAIN 
CITY, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO 
INCREASE.

WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO COOL TODAY...CONTINUED RUNOFF FROM 
SNOW MELT IN RECENT DAYS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED RISES ON MANY RIVERS
AND STREAMS. SOME DECREASE IN RIVER LEVELS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR EARLY IN
THE COMING WORK WEEK AS SNOW MELT CONTINUES TO DECLINE.

                    FLD    OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION            STG   STG DAY  TIME    MON    TUE    WED

MARYS RIVER
  CHARLESTON        5.0    6.0 SUN 03 AM    5.1    4.6    4.3
  DEETH             6.0    5.6 SUN 03 AM    6.2    6.5    6.5

MARTIN CREEK
  PARADISE VALLEY   5.0    5.3 SUN 03 AM    4.7    4.4    4.2

JARBIDGE RIVER
  JARBIDGE          5.5    5.5 SUN 03 AM    5.6    5.5    5.3

BRUNEAU RIVER
  ROWLAND           7.0    7.7 SUN 03 AM    7.8    7.7    7.2

OWYHEE RIVER
  MOUNTAIN CITY     8.0    8.8 SUN 03 AM    8.9    8.8    8.4

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...


&&

NVC007-161045-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110517T0100Z/
/MBON2.2.ER.110513T0415Z.110515T0615Z.110516T1300Z.UU/
345 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER NEAR CHARLESTON.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING THROUGHOUT REACH 
  WITH MANY ROADS NEAR RIVER BEGINNING TO FLOOD OR WASH OUT.  ABOUT 
  1000 CFS.  LIKE FLOOD OF 5/17/2005.

$$

NVC007-161045-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110519T2200Z/
/MHSN2.1.ER.110515T1900Z.110517T0900Z.110519T1000Z.UU/
345 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER ABOVE HOT SPRINGS CK NEAR DEETH.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 6.6 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.8 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING ON LOWER 
  MARY'S RIVER, WITH FLOODING OF MANY RURAL ROADS NEAR THE RIVER.  
  SOME STREETS IN DEETH FLOOD, AS WELL AS BASEMENTS AND FOUNDATIONS 
  OF A FEW HOMES.  ABOUT 800 CFS.

$$

NVC013-160400-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110516T0400Z/
/MARN2.1.ER.110514T1500Z.110515T1000Z.110515T1600Z.UU/
345 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARTIN CREEK NEAR PARADISE VALLEY.
* UNTIL LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT  3:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-161045-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JBGN2.1.ER.110515T0100Z.110515T1000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
345 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JARBIDGE RIVER BELOW JARBIDGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING ALONG CHANNEL.

$$

NVC007-161045-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRON2.1.ER.110514T1530Z.110515T1015Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
345 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.


$$

NVC007-161044-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMCN2.1.ER.110514T0250Z.110515T0945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
345 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OWYHEE RIVER AT MOUNTAIN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.


$$
570 
WGUS85 KLKN 152051
FLSLKN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
151 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

FOR THE MARYS RIVER, INCLUDING CHARLESTON...DEETH, MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  FOR THE MARTIN CREEK, 
INCLUDING PARADISE VALLEY, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE.  FOR THE JARBIDGE RIVER, INCLUDING JARBIDGE, MINOR FLOODING IS
OCCURRING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  FOR THE BRUNEAU RIVER,
INCLUDING ROWLAND, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO
DECREASE.  FOR THE OWYHEE RIVER, INCLUDING MOUNTAIN CITY, MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  

A COLD FRONT IS BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION...WHICH WILL
DRASTICALLY SLOW SNOW MELT THROUGH MID WEEK. HOWEVER MINOR RISES ARE STILL
LIKELY IN SOME RIVERS AND STREAM EARLY THIS WEEK DUE TO SNOW MELT FROM THE
PREVIOUS FEW DAYS WORKING INTO THE WATERWAYS.

                    FLD      OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION            STG    STG DAY  TIME    MON    TUE    WED

MARYS RIVER
  CHARLESTON        5.0    5.8 SUN 12 PM    5.4    4.9    4.5
  DEETH             6.0    5.7 SUN 01 PM    6.1    6.8    7.0

MARTIN CREEK
  PARADISE VALLEY   5.0    5.4 SUN 01 PM    5.0    4.6    4.2

JARBIDGE RIVER
  JARBIDGE          5.5    5.5 SUN 01 PM    5.5    5.3    5.1

BRUNEAU RIVER
  ROWLAND           7.0    7.6 SUN 12 PM    7.4    7.0    6.7

OWYHEE RIVER
  MOUNTAIN CITY     8.0    8.8 SUN 01 PM    8.7    8.4    8.2

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT...


&&

NVC007-162051-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110517T1400Z/
/MBON2.2.ER.110513T0415Z.110515T0615Z.110517T0200Z.UU/
151 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER NEAR CHARLESTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 12:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING THROUGHOUT REACH 
  WITH MANY ROADS NEAR RIVER BEGINNING TO FLOOD OR WASH OUT.  ABOUT 
  1000 CFS.  LIKE FLOOD OF 5/17/2005.

$$

NVC007-162051-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110520T1500Z/
/MHSN2.1.ER.110516T0500Z.110517T1200Z.110520T0300Z.UU/
151 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER ABOVE HOT SPRINGS CK NEAR DEETH.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 7.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.8 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING ON LOWER 
  MARY'S RIVER, WITH FLOODING OF MANY RURAL ROADS NEAR THE RIVER.  
  SOME STREETS IN DEETH FLOOD, AS WELL AS BASEMENTS AND FOUNDATIONS 
  OF A FEW HOMES.  ABOUT 800 CFS.

$$

NVC013-161200-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110516T1200Z/
/MARN2.1.ER.110514T1500Z.110515T2000Z.110516T0000Z.UU/
151 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARTIN CREEK NEAR PARADISE VALLEY.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  1:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-162051-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JBGN2.1.ER.110515T0100Z.110515T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
151 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JARBIDGE RIVER BELOW JARBIDGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING ALONG CHANNEL.

$$

NVC007-162051-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRON2.1.ER.110514T1530Z.110515T1315Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
151 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.


$$

NVC007-162051-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMCN2.1.ER.110514T0250Z.110515T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
151 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OWYHEE RIVER AT MOUNTAIN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  1:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.


$$
027 
WGUS85 KLKN 160016
FLSLKN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
516 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

FOR THE MARYS RIVER, INCLUDING CHARLESTON...DEETH, MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  FOR THE MARTIN CREEK, 
INCLUDING PARADISE VALLEY, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH RIVER 
LEVELS FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  FOR THE BRUNEAU RIVER, INCLUDING 
ROWLAND, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO 
DECREASE.  FOR THE OWYHEE RIVER, INCLUDING MOUNTAIN CITY, MINOR 
FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  

A COLD FRONT IS BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION...WHICH WILL
DRASTICALLY SLOW SNOW MELT THROUGH MID WEEK. HOWEVER RISES ARE STILL
LIKELY IN SOME RIVERS AND STREAMs EARLY THIS WEEK DUE TO SNOW MELT FROM THE
PREVIOUS FEW DAYS WORKING INTO THE WATERWAYS.

                    FLD    OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION            STG   STG DAY  TIME    MON    TUE    WED

MARYS RIVER
  CHARLESTON        5.0    5.7 SUN 04 PM    5.2    4.5    4.3
  DEETH             6.0    5.7 SUN 04 PM    6.8    7.0    6.5

MARTIN CREEK
  PARADISE VALLEY   5.0    5.3 SUN 04 PM    4.6    4.2    4.1

BRUNEAU RIVER
  ROWLAND           7.0    7.6 SUN 04 PM    7.4    6.8    6.5

OWYHEE RIVER
  MOUNTAIN CITY     8.0    8.7 SUN 04 PM    8.5    8.2    7.8

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...


&&

NVC007-170016-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110517T1400Z/
/MBON2.2.ER.110513T0415Z.110515T0615Z.110517T0200Z.UU/
516 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER NEAR CHARLESTON.
* UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  4:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING THROUGHOUT
  REACH...ABOUT 800 CFS.  LIKE FLOOD OF 5/20/1993.

$$

NVC007-170016-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110520T1500Z/
/MHSN2.1.ER.110516T0500Z.110517T1200Z.110520T0300Z.UU/
516 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER ABOVE HOT SPRINGS CK NEAR DEETH.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  4:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 7.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.8 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING ON LOWER 
  MARY'S RIVER, WITH FLOODING OF MANY RURAL ROADS NEAR THE RIVER.  
  SOME STREETS IN DEETH FLOOD, AS WELL AS BASEMENTS AND FOUNDATIONS 
  OF A FEW HOMES.  ABOUT 800 CFS.

$$

NVC013-161227-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110516T1227Z/
/MARN2.1.ER.110514T1500Z.110515T2000Z.110516T0027Z.UU/
516 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARTIN CREEK NEAR PARADISE VALLEY.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  4:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-170016-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRON2.1.ER.110514T1530Z.110515T1315Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
516 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  4:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.


$$

NVC007-170016-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMCN2.1.ER.110514T0250Z.110515T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
516 PM PDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OWYHEE RIVER AT MOUNTAIN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  4:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.


$$
878 
WGUS45 KLKN 161053
FLWLKN
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
353 AM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

  MARYS RIVER NEAR CHARLESTON AFFECTING ELKO COUNTY
  MARYS RIVER ABOVE HOT SPRINGS CK NEAR DEETH AFFECTING ELKO COUNTY
  BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND AFFECTING ELKO COUNTY
  OWYHEE RIVER AT MOUNTAIN CITY AFFECTING ELKO COUNTY
  MARTIN CREEK NEAR PARADISE VALLEY AFFECTING HUMBOLDT COUNTY

FOR THE MARYS RIVER, INCLUDING CHARLESTON...DEETH, MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  FOR THE MARTIN CREEK, 
INCLUDING PARADISE VALLEY, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING, WITH RIVER 
LEVELS FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  FOR THE BRUNEAU RIVER, INCLUDING 
ROWLAND, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO 
DECREASE.  FOR THE OWYHEE RIVER, INCLUDING MOUNTAIN CITY, MINOR 
FLOODING IS OCCURING, WITH RIVER LEVELS FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  

SNOW MELT HAS ENDED NOW THAT MUCH COLDER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION.
THIS WILL ALLOW MOST RIVERS WHICH ARE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TO DECLINE. THE
EXCEPTION IS THE MARYS RIVER AT DEETH...WHERE FLOOD WATERS FROM 
UPSTREAM ARE STILL MOVING DOWNSTREAM TOWARD THE AREA AND RIVER LEVELS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE.

                    FLD    OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION            STG   STG DAY  TIME    TUE    WED    THU

MARYS RIVER
  CHARLESTON        5.0    5.4 MON 03 AM    4.9    4.5    4.3
  DEETH             6.0    6.0 MON 03 AM    6.8    7.0    6.5

MARTIN CREEK
  PARADISE VALLEY   5.0    5.0 MON 03 AM    4.4    4.2    4.1

BRUNEAU RIVER
  ROWLAND           7.0    7.3 MON 03 AM    7.1    6.9    6.7

OWYHEE RIVER
  MOUNTAIN CITY     8.0    8.7 MON 03 AM    8.5    8.3    8.1

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...


&&

NVC007-171053-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110517T1400Z/
/MBON2.2.ER.110513T0415Z.110515T0615Z.110517T0200Z.UU/
353 AM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARYS RIVER NEAR CHARLESTON.
* AT  3:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING THROUGHOUT
  REACH...ABOUT 800 CFS.  LIKE FLOOD OF 5/20/1993.

$$

NVC007-171053-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110520T1500Z/
/MHSN2.1.ER.110516T1022Z.110517T1200Z.110520T0300Z.UU/
353 AM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARYS RIVER ABOVE HOT SPRINGS CK NEAR DEETH.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.0 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.8 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING ON LOWER 
  MARY'S RIVER, WITH FLOODING OF MANY RURAL ROADS NEAR THE RIVER.  
  SOME STREETS IN DEETH FLOOD, AS WELL AS BASEMENTS AND FOUNDATIONS 
  OF A FEW HOMES.  ABOUT 800 CFS.

$$

NVC013-162207-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110516T2207Z/
/MARN2.1.ER.110514T1500Z.110515T2000Z.110516T1007Z.UU/
353 AM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARTIN CREEK NEAR PARADISE VALLEY.
* AT  3:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-171053-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRON2.1.ER.110514T1530Z.110515T1315Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
353 AM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
  DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-171053-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMCN2.1.ER.110514T0250Z.110515T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
353 AM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OWYHEE RIVER AT MOUNTAIN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  3:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
  DAYS.

$$
165 
WGUS85 KLKN 162103
FLSLKN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
203 PM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

FOR THE MARYS RIVER, INCLUDING CHARLESTON...DEETH, MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  FOR THE OWYHEE RIVER, 
INCLUDING MOUNTAIN CITY, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH RIVER 
LEVELS FORECASTED TO DECREASE.  FOR THE BRUNEAU RIVER, INCLUDING 
ROWLAND, NO FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR FORECAST.  

COLDER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION...ENDING SNOW MELT AT HIGH ELEVATIONS. THIS
WILL CAUSE MOST RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT ARE CURRENTLY FLOODING TO DECREASE
THROUGH MIDWEEK. MARYS RIVER NEAR DEETH IS AN EXCEPTION AND WILL CONTINUE TO
RISE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE UPSTREAM CREST MOVES WORKS ITS WAY
DOWNSTREAM.

                    FLD    OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION            STG   STG DAY  TIME    TUE    WED    THU

MARYS RIVER
  CHARLESTON        5.0    5.1 MON 01 PM    4.9    4.5    4.3
  DEETH             6.0    6.2 MON 01 PM    6.7    6.9    6.4

OWYHEE RIVER
  MOUNTAIN CITY     8.0    8.4 MON 01 PM    8.2    8.0    7.8

BRUNEAU RIVER
  ROWLAND           7.0    6.9 MON 01 PM    6.7    6.5    6.4

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT...


&&

NVC007-171700-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110517T1700Z/
/MBON2.2.ER.110513T0415Z.110515T0615Z.110517T0500Z.UU/
203 PM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER NEAR CHARLESTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 5.1 FEET THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS 
  IN LOWEST PORTIONS OF REACH.  ABOUT 600 CFS...LIKE FLOOD OF 
  6/3/1995.

$$

NVC007-172103-
/O.EXT.KLKN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110520T1300Z/
/MHSN2.1.ER.110516T1145Z.110517T1400Z.110520T0100Z.UU/
203 PM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARYS RIVER ABOVE HOT SPRINGS CK NEAR DEETH.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 6.9 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.8 FEET...MINOR TO MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING ON LOWER 
  MARY'S RIVER, WITH FLOODING OF MANY RURAL ROADS NEAR THE RIVER.  
  SOME STREETS IN DEETH FLOOD, AS WELL AS BASEMENTS AND FOUNDATIONS 
  OF A FEW HOMES.  ABOUT 800 CFS.

$$

NVC007-172103-
/O.CON.KLKN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMCN2.1.ER.110514T0250Z.110515T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
203 PM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OWYHEE RIVER AT MOUNTAIN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  1:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE DECREASING TO NEAR 8.2 FEET BY TUESDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NVC007-162133-
/O.CAN.KLKN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110516T2103Z/
/BRON2.1.ER.110514T1530Z.110515T1315Z.110516T1900Z.UU/
203 PM PDT MON MAY 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BRUNEAU RIVER AT ROWLAND.
* AT  1:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE; MINOR FLOODING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Elko, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 14, 10:20 AM PDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 10:20 AM PDT, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1020 AM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE PACIFIC COAST
WILL IMPACT THE GREAT BASIN THIS WEEKEND. SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA. A VIGOROUS SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY...BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND MUCH COLDER
WEATHER TO THE GREAT BASIN...WITH SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
COOLER AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...FOR THE 18Z TAFS...CONVECTION EXPECTED TO BEGIN
BY 19-20Z ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEVADA. THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL FAVOR STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS EXPECTED TO FAVOR HUMBOLDT/NORTHERN ELKO COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 50 KTS...BUT WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE HOW
CLOSE THEY GET TO KWMC/KEKO. OPTED TO BROADBRUSH VCTS AT ALL
TERMINALS FOR NOW...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KTPH WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN DRY THIS AFTERNOON. FULLY EXPECT TEMPOS WILL BE NEEDED
FOR TS AT SOME POINT FOR EITHER KWMC/KEKO. SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL INCREASE SHARPLY THIS AFTERNOON...STRONGEST AT KELY AND KTPH
WHERE GUSTS TO 35 KTS ARE LIKELY. MORE ORGANIZED SHRA ARE EXPECTED
06-12Z SUN AT KWMC AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. BT

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 736 AM /

SYNOPSIS...A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE PACIFIC COAST
WILL IMPACT THE GREAT BASIN THIS WEEKEND. SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA. A VIGOROUS SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY...BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND MUCH COLDER
WEATHER TO THE GREAT BASIN...WITH SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
COOLER AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

UPDATE...ADDED THUNDERSTORMS TO ALL OF THE CWA TODAY AND EARLY
THIS EVENING AS LIS ARE AT OR BELOW ZERO. TSTMS ALREADY DEVELOPING
OVER WHITE PINE COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING ALREADY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 408 AM /

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DEEP WOUND UP LOW OVER
THE EASTERN PAC WILL BEGIN SERIOUSLY AFFECTING OUR WEATHER TODAY.
INSTABILITY INCREASES WITH LI'S DROPPING WELL BELOW ZERO IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA. SLIGHT RISK AREA TO OUR NORTH
NEARLY TOUCHES THE NEVADA LINE...WITH 5% RISK AREA FOR GUSTY WINDS
INTO OUR NORTHERN ZONES. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AMPLE MID
LEVEL MOISTURE...COUPLED WITH INCREASING PW'S WILL SUSTAIN
UPDRAFTS TO THE POINT OF NEAR SEVERE IN THE FAR NORTH AND
NORTHWEST. MAIN ISSUES WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND SOME SMALL HAIL.
YESTERDAY ONE STORM PRODUCED A 55 MPH GUST...SO DEPENDING ON THE
SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS TODAY...WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR
POSSIBLE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

STORMS WILL EXTEND INTO THE EVENING AND AFTER DARK TONIGHT AND
DECREASE TO SHOWERS AS HAPPENED TONIGHT...BUT COVERAGE WILL BE
GREATER AND THEY WILL LAST LONGER WITH APPROACH OF JET AND
TIGHTENING SURFACE GRADIENT.

SUNDAY MORNING HAS A LITTLE BREAK IN THE ACTION BEFORE THE FRONT
COMES IN. BUT STILL SHOWERS OVER A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA.
INSTABILITY IS LESS SO DO NOT EXPECT THUNDER (WELL, MAY ONE OR
TWO) BUT GRADIENT WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH FROPA AND HAVE KEPT
NORTHERN NYE'S WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY AND HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
NORTHERN NYE AND WHITE PINE FOR SUNDAY.

AFTER FROPA...THE TEMP REALLY DROPS AND THIS WILL HERALD A
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN PRECIP TYPE AS SNOW LEVELS DROP TO VALLEY
FLOORS IN THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS MAINLY. DO NOT EXPECT
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...BUT POSSIBLY SOME BRIEF
SQUALLS OF BIG WET HEAVY FLAKES ON SUMMITS AND LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
IN THE RUBIES OR UPPER REACHES OF WHITE PINE COUNTY.  BOYD

LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE THE OVERALL
FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME...WITH THE LARGE CUT-OFF LOW EXPECTED TO
LINGER ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE
GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY TO THE EAST LATER IN THE WEEK...THE GFS AND
ECMWF ARE NOW A BIT OUT OF SYNC BEYOND THE FIRST 72 HOURS AS THE
GFS KICKS THE LOW OUT SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER THAN THE ECMWF. AS BOTH
MODELS SHOW THE LOW LINGERING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AT THE
LEAST...DID INCREASE POPS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. AS
LONG AS THE LOW REMAINS IN THE AREA...CLOUD COVER WILL
PREVAIL...TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL...AND SHOWERS
WILL BE LIKELY. SNOW LEVELS WILL NOT BE FAR ABOVE THE VALLEY
FLOORS EITHER...AND CONVECTIVE SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS COULD EASILY BRING GRAUPEL/SNOW PELLETS DOWN TO THE
VALLEY FLOORS. THUNDER MAY ALSO OCCUR BUT GIVEN LIMITED
INSTABILITY PROGGED AND CHANGING LOCATIONS OF THAT INSTABILITY
HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST JUST YET. ONCE THE LOW KICKS
OUT...BY THURSDAY OR AT THE LATEST FRIDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL
RETURN CLOSER TO NORMAL WITH DRYING. DID NOT ALTER THIS PERIOD OF
THE FORECAST MUCH AS WHILE ECMWF NOW DEPICTS THE LOW LINGERING
LONGER...NOT SURE IF ITS CORRECT JUST YET. RCM

AVIATION...APPROACHING LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS...WITH THUNDER EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
INSTABILITY BUILDS WITH DAYTIME HEATING. CIGS AND VIS WILL REMAIN
VFR AT ALL TERMINALS...BUT BESIDES THE THREAT OF THUNDER...GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 40 KNOTS AT
KTPH AND 35 KNOTS AT KELY OUTSIDE OF T-STORMS. WINDS COULD BRIEFLY
GUST EVEN STRONGER WITH ANY STORMS AT ANY OF THE TERMINALS. RCM

HYDROLOGY...MORE OF THE SAME AS EXTREMELY WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE
SPED UP THE SNOW MELT PROCESS. SEVERAL RIVERS ARE ON THE RISING
LIMB OF THEIR HYDROGRAPHS...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. MIGHT EVEN SPEED UP A LITTLE MORE AS TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL AND RAINS INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH FROPA SUNDAY. AFTER
FROPA SUNDAY TEMPERATURES DROP MIGHTILY AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
REPLACE MOST RAIN SHOWERS AND MIN TEMPS DROP BELOW FREEZING AGAIN.
EVEN THOUGH SOME STREAMS ARE FLUCTUATING BACK AND FORTH OVER FLOOD
STAGE...IT SEEMS IN THE BEST INTEREST OF ALL CONCERNED TO KEEP
FLW'S GOING RATHER THAN FLIP FLOPPING TO RVS'S AND BACK. BOYD

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR NORTHERN NYE COUNTY.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHERN NYE COUNTY...WHITE PINE COUNTY.

&&

99/99
Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 3:58 AM PDT, 6 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
358 AM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

NVZ013-035-151100-
NORTHERN NYE COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
358 AM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
NEVADA AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LARGE UPPER LOW WILL HELP PRODUCE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO DEVELOP AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE INCREASINGLY HIGH WINDS ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST NYE COUNTY AND
WHITE PINE COUNTY. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO MAKE DRIVING
DANGEROUS FOR TRUCKS AND RV'S AND OTHER HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST HIGHWAYS.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP DRAMATICALLY AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH
SUNDAY...BRINGING CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS AND EVEN LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE HIGHER RIDGES SUCH AS IN GREAT BASIN NATIONAL
PARK AND ROUND MOUNTAIN. THE COOLER AIR WILL STICK AROUND FOR A FEW
DAYS NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT WEATHER PHENOMENA ACCORDING TO
STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURE.

NVZ030>034-036-037-151100-
HUMBOLDT COUNTY-NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE-
NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-
358 AM PDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NEVADA...NORTHEAST NEVADA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL MOVE
ASHORE AND BEGIN AFFECTING THE WEATHER IN THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN
TODAY. GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY OVER ESPECIALLY HUMBOLDT AND
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTIES...WITH INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. SOME OF THE
STORMS CLOSER TO THE OREGON AND IDAHO BORDERS COULD BE CLOSE TO
SEVERE STRENGTH WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL...UNTIL WELL AFTER
DARK TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND SHOWERS
WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FOR MANY LOCATIONS AS THE FREEZING LEVEL
DROPS DRAMATICALLY. VALLEY FLOORS WILL HAVE SNOW SHOWERS...BUT NO
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...EXCEPT ON THE HIGHEST RIDGES SUCH AS
IN THE RUBIES. SUMMITS MAY SEE SOME BIG WET FLAKES...THOUGH.

THE WEATHER WILL STAY COOLER THAN OF LATE AS FREEZING TEMPERATURES
RETURN ON MONDAY MORNING. EXPECT AS MUCH AS A 25 TO 30 DEGREE DROP
IN HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM WHAT WE HAVE HAD LATELY.

THE COOLER WEATHER WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT WEATHER PHENOMENA ACCORDING TO
STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Elko, NV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 9:06 PM PDTRiver Flood WarningLKNElko4 days
May 14, 11:34 AM PDTSpecial Weather StatementLKN41 min
May 14, 12:55 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementLKN50 min
May 14, 2:19 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementLKN26 min
May 14, 2:39 PM PDTWind AdvisoryLKNElko, Eureka, Lander, White Pine29 hr
May 14, 4:13 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementLKN32 min
May 14, 4:16 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementLKNHumboldt29 min
May 14, 4:50 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementLKNHumboldt25 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Nevada, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.