Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
334 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STILL DOMINATES THE
NORTHERN GULF. ALOFT THE WEAKENING RIDGE STILL REMAINS IN PLACE.
RADAR IS BEGINNING TO LIGHT UP WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH
BOUNDARIES EVERYWHERE AT THIS POINT...NO REAL CONCENTRATION TO
THESE STORMS YET.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED
ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS
IT PROGRESSES INLAND.

THE UPPER RIDGE IS STILL FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH
PERIODIC DISTURBANCES MOVING IN FROM THE EAST. RAIN CHANCES PRETTY
MUCH THE SAME...BUT DID LOWER POPS SOME FURTHER TO THE WEST.

MAINLY WENT WITH 20-30 PERCENT EACH DAY...BUT ONE OR TWO OF THOSE
DAYS MAY BE HIGHER IN FUTURE FORECAST WHEN SOMETHING BECOMES A
LITTLE MORE DEFINED.

ALSO HIGHS WERE LOWERED A BIT DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK
WITH TEMPERATURES RAISED SOME TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST DUE
TO INCREASED RIDGING ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WITH DIURNAL LAND/SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS A POSSIBILITY MAINLY AT NIGHT OFFSHORE
AND ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  77  95  75  93  75 /  30  30  20  20  20
KBPT  76  96  75  95  75 /  20  20  10  20  20
KAEX  74  97  73  94  74 /  30  30  30  30  30
KLFT  76  95  76  94  75 /  40  20  20  30  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...
     CALCASIEU...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...
     RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON.

TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

BRAZZELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
533 AM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180>182-201-215-216-041045-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
533 AM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AS
PLENTIFUL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INTERACTS WITH LINGERING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FROM YESTERDAY AND THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE. SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY...ALTHOUGH A STORM OR TWO COULD BE
ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 60 MPH.

MEANWHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES OF AROUND 100 DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND THE LAKES REGION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
WHEN COMBINED WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S...IT WILL FEEL LIKE 102 TO 107 DEGREES. USE CAUTION IF OUTSIDE
DURING THE TIME OF MAXIMUM HEATING TODAY...INCLUDING WEARING LIGHT
WEIGHT AND LIGHT-COLORED CLOTHING...AND DRINKING PLENTY OF WATER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE
THROUGH THE COMING WEEK AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT...
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW
WEEKS...WEAKENS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

25

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
346 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

LAZ044-032145-
LAFAYETTE LA-
346 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAFAYETTE PARISH UNTIL 445 PM
CDT...

AT 341 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER LAFAYETTE...NEARLY STATIONARY.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAFAYETTE AND SCOTT BY 445 PM...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE PEA TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3015 9199 3015 9214 3027 9212 3026 9198

06

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