Alert archive / Louisiana / Special Weather Statements in 2011
Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA
NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this special weather statement at Jul 1, 2011, 3:29 PM CDT for Lafayette Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 1, 2011, 3:29 PM CDT (20:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 1, 2011, 4:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 61 min
- Issued by
- NWS Lake Charles, LA
County Lafayette Parish, LA
The radar
The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2156 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -28 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 877 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 5 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -39 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -24 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 1, 3:01 PM CDT, 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 3:01 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 301 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011 .SHORT TERM (THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND)... AS EXPECTED...WITH TRIGGER TEMPERATURES EXCEEDED...LATE IN THE DAY...ISOLATED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARY NEAR THE COASTAL ZONES...AND FURTHER INLAND NEAR AN OLD SURFACE BOUNDARY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. FURTHER CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL SUNDOWN AS THE SEA-BREEZE SLOWLY MOVES INLAND TOWARD THE I-10/HWY 190 CORRIDOR...AND AS STORMS IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LAPS ANALYSIS SHOWS CAPES BETWEEN 2500 AND 3000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE HIGH INSTABILITY AND SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT...AS SEEN ON WATER VAPOR...THE ISOLATED STORMS AGAIN MAY PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LOOKS TO BUILD AND RETROGRADE SOME TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS. WITH HOT DAYS AND ONLY ISOLATED...DIURNAL...MAINLY LATE IN THE DAY STORMS. RUA && .LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)... EXTENDED GUIDANCE DOES SHOW A WEAKNESS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING NEXT WEEK OVER THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. RIGHT NOW THE GFS IS LITTLE MORE ROBUST IN BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE...WHILE THE ECMWF HOLDS ON TO THE STRONGER RIDGE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEAK...THEN SHOWS A BETTER WEAKNESS TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. THE ECMWF SEEMS TO BE HANDLING THINGS A LITTLE BETTER...SO WILL ONLY GRADUALLY INCREASE POPS OVER THE FORECAST AREA TO LOW END CHANCE POPS DURING THE PERIOD. WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE SHOULD ALLOW FOR BETTER SEA-BREEZE ACTIVITY...WITH MORE OF A SOUTHERLY FLOW ALLOWING THE SEA-BREEZE TO ADVANCE INLAND. RUA && .MARINE... AGAIN A PRETTY WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH MAINLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. STRONGEST ONSHORE WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS ARE NOTED WITH THE SEA-BREEZE RIGHT ALONG THE COAST AND OVER COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS. WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AGAIN WITH A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS...AS WELL AS OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS AS A LAND-BREEZE FORMS. PERSISTENT PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND...WITH A MORE PREVAILING LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING NEXT WEEK AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FROM THE EAST. ISOLATED DIURNAL STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...DURING THE DAYTIME NEAR SHORE AND OVER THE COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS...AND AT NIGHT OFFSHORE. RUA && .FIRE WEATHER... ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION AT BEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE AREA CONTINUES TO BE INFLUENCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THE STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH ERRATIC AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. A MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL NOT SEE ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WITH JUST HOT AND DRY AFTERNOONS. THIS WILL ALLOW GROUND FUELS TO BECOME DRY AGAIN OR CONTINUE TO DRY OUT GIVING THE REGION AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT ON SATURDAY AND 40 TO 50 PERCENT ON SUNDAY AND AGAIN ON MONDAY THE FOURTH OF JULY. MEANWHILE...OVERALL WINDS AWAY FROM ANY STORMS WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH 20 FOOT SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. THESE VALUES ARE BELOW CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER LEVELS. AN OUTDOOR BURN BAN REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. RUA && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... KLCH 76 96 76 95 74 / 10 20 10 20 10 KBPT 76 96 76 95 74 / 10 20 10 20 10 KAEX 74 99 74 98 72 / 10 10 10 20 10 KLFT 76 96 75 95 74 / 10 20 10 20 10 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...NONE. TX...NONE. GM...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 4:15 AM CDT, 11 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 415 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011 LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-020915- VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY- CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN- CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER- NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE- 415 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. OTHERWISE..NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS. AT THIS TIME...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-020915- SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 415 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. OTHERWISE..NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS. AT THIS TIME...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 1, 3:29 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
329 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011
LAZ044-052-053-012130-
LAFAYETTE LA-VERMILION LA-IBERIA LA-
329 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAFAYETTE...VERMILION AND IBERIA
PARISHES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...
AT 325 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER YOUNGSVILLE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.
* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
YOUNGSVILLE BY 345 PM...
JEFFERSON ISLAND AND SCOTT BY 410 PM...
MAURICE...MEAUX...ABBEVILLE AND ERATH BY 430 PM...
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...PEA TO
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.
THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW LYING
ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.
LAT...LON 3022 9223 3024 9218 3027 9217 3023 9194
3020 9198 3019 9198 3018 9196 3019 9192
3017 9191 3014 9191 3008 9195 3006 9188
2991 9188 2982 9222
13The office that day
Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 3:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Iberia, Lafayette, Vermilion | 26 min |
| Jul 1, 6:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LCH | Assumption | 50 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Louisiana, 2011Every special weather statement in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.