Severe Thunderstorm Warning 51, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1219 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

.UPDATE...
UPDATED ZONES TO EXTEND TORNADO WATCH 210 INTO HARDIN COUNTY DUE
TO DEVELOPING CONVECTION NORTH OF THE HOUSTON AREA. CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST TOWARD OUR SE TX COUNTIES.

&&

.AVIATION...
CLUSTER OF STORMS IS MOVING INTO WESTERN LA TONIGHT...AND
INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP AT KAEX FOR +TSRA WITH STORMS EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH BETWEEN 06Z-08Z. OTHERWISE...FEW CHANGES TO THE 06Z
TAF PACKAGE. GUSTY SRLY WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT...STRENGTHENING
AGAIN ON TUESDAY WITH GUSTS NR 30 KT. MVFR CIGS WILL LIFT TUESDAY
MORNING...BUT SHOULD REMAIN MVFR THROUGH THE DAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  71  85  54  79 /  10  10   0   0
KBPT  72  85  57  80 /  10  10   0   0
KAEX  72  83  52  79 /  20  20   0   0
KLFT  75  87  58  79 /  10  20   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-CAMERON-
     EVANGELINE-IBERIA-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST.
     MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-ST. MARY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
     VERMILION-VERNON.

TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR HARDIN-JASPER-JEFFERSON-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR CALCASIEU LAKE-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT
     20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
     WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM
     20 NM TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO
     CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM
     20 NM TO 60 NM.

&&

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
532 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-261045-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-
NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
532 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ONCE AGAIN TODAY FOR SOUTH WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DRIFT TO THE SOUTH INTO THE LAKES REGION OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS DO MAKE IT INTO THE AREA...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT WITH A
SMALL CHANCE OF A TORNADO. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA EXTENDS NORTHWEST
OF A LINE FROM WOODVILLE TO COLFAX.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE AS
WELL AND A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF A LINE
FROM WOODVILLE TO OPELOUSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-261045-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
532 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. SOUTH
WINDS 15 TO 30 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 4 TO 7 FEET ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1156 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BROOKELAND              31.13N 93.99W
04/25/2011                   JASPER             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            JASPER SHERIFF REPORTS TREES DOWN ON ROADS NEAR
            BROOKELAND AS WELL AS DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

DJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1158 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BROOKELAND              31.13N 93.99W
04/25/2011                   JASPER             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            JASPER SHERIFF REPORTS TREES DOWN ON ROADS NEAR
            BROOKELAND AS WELL AS DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

DJONES