Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Lake Charles, LA

335 
WGUS64 KLCH 030545
FFALCH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1245 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

.TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL ADVANCE NORTHWARD INTO THE
MID GULF COAST REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

LAZ033-043>045-052>055-031800-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ST. LANDRY-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-
ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...CROWLEY...RAYNE...
CHURCH POINT...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
ABBEVILLE...KAPLAN...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...FRANKLIN...
PATTERSON...BERWICK...BAYOU VISTA...STEPHENSVILLE
1245 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND 
  SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  CENTRAL LOUISIANA...ST. LANDRY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... 
  IBERIA...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. MARY AND UPPER ST. 
  MARTIN. IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...ACADIA AND VERMILION. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL 
  LOUISIANA THIS WEEKEND. MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE 
  HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE AN AVERAGE OF 
  10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN MAY OCCUR THIS WEEKEND ACROSS ST. MARY 
  AND LOWER ST. MARTIN PARISHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. 
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE 
  REMAINDER OF ACADIANA. ALONG THE COASTAL PARISHES...THE FLOOD 
  POTENTIAL WILL BE EXACERBATED BY HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES 
  PREVENTING WATER FROM DRAINING. 

* IN ADDITION...THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING AT
  POINTS ALONG THE VERMILION RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

693 
WGUS64 KLCH 031726
FFALCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1226 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

.TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL ADVANCE NORTHWARD INTO
THE MID GULF COAST REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

LAZ029-032-042-050000-
/O.EXA.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...
SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU
1226 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF LA AND CENTRAL 
  LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LA...JEFFERSON 
  DAVIS. IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AVOYELLES AND EVANGELINE. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AT TIMES ACROSS THE AREA
  AS TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER NORTH THIS
  WEEKEND. RAINFALL LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAS BEEN AROUND
  1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES. MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
  PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE AN ADDITIONAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
  7 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY OCCUR THIS WEEKEND ACROSS
  AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE AND JEFF DAVIS PARISHES WITH LOCALIZED
  HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

* THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING SMALL STREAMS
  AND LOW LYING AREAS IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ033-043>045-052>055-050000-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ST. LANDRY-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-
ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...CROWLEY...RAYNE...
CHURCH POINT...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
ABBEVILLE...KAPLAN...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...FRANKLIN...
PATTERSON...BERWICK...BAYOU VISTA...STEPHENSVILLE
1226 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND 
  SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  CENTRAL LOUISIANA...ST. LANDRY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... 
  IBERIA...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. MARY AND UPPER ST. 
  MARTIN. IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...ACADIA AND VERMILION. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES FELL LAST NIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
  LOUISIANA. AT THIS TIME MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE
  HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE AN AVERAGE OF 5
  TO 10 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY OCCUR THIS WEEKEND WITH
  LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

* IN ADDITION...THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING AT
  POINTS ALONG THE VERMILION RIVER AS WELL AS OTHER SMALL STREAMS
  AND LOW LYING AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

049 
WGUS64 KLCH 032344
FFALCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
644 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

.TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL ADVANCE NORTHWARD INTO
THE MID GULF COAST REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

LAZ031-041-051-040745-
/O.EXA.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEN-CALCASIEU-CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKDALE...KINDER...LAKE CHARLES...
SULPHUR...CAMERON...HACKBERRY
644 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST 
  LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALLEN...CALCASIEU 
  AND CAMERON. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AT TIMES ACROSS THE AREA
  AS TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER NORTH THIS
  WEEKEND. RAINFALL LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAS BEEN AROUND 2
  TO 4 INCHES. MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
  PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE AN ADDITIONAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
  6 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY OCCUR THIS WEEKEND. THERE IS
  THE POTENTIAL THAT LEE MAY DRIFT A LITTLE FARTHER WEST AND BRING
  HEAVIER RAINS TO ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
  CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THIS IS THE REASON THE WATCH WAS EXPANDED TO
  THE WEST.

* THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING SMALL STREAMS 
  AND LOW LYING AREAS IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ029-032-033-042>045-052>055-040745-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...
SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU...OPELOUSAS...
EUNICE...CROWLEY...RAYNE...CHURCH POINT...LAFAYETTE...
BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...ABBEVILLE...KAPLAN...
NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...FRANKLIN...PATTERSON...BERWICK...
BAYOU VISTA...STEPHENSVILLE
644 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF LA AND LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
   IN LA...JEFFERSON DAVIS. IN LOUISIANA...ACADIA...AVOYELLES... 
  EVANGELINE...IBERIA...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. 
  LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN AND VERMILION. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AT TIMES ACROSS THE AREA
  AS TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER NORTH THIS
  WEEKEND. RAINFALL LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAS BEEN AROUND 2
  TO 4 INCHES. MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
  PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE AN ADDITIONAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
  7 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY OCCUR THIS WEEKEND ACROSS
  AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE AND JEFF DAVIS PARISHES WITH LOCALIZED
  HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING SMALL STREAMS 
  AND LOW LYING AREAS IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

198 
WGUS64 KLCH 040728
FFALCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
228 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO MEANDER NEAR THE LOUISIANA
COAST...AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY INLAND TODAY...THEN OFF TO
THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF
THE STORM...THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LAZ028-041800-
/O.EXA.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RAPIDES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE
228 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...RAPIDES. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AT TIMES ACROSS THE AREA
  AS TROPICAL STORM LEE MOVES SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
  RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 18 TO 24 HOURS HAS BEEN AROUND 2 TO 4
  INCHES. MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
  CENTER INDICATE AN AVERAGE OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL MAY OCCUR TODAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ACROSS RAPIDES
  PARISH WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING SMALL STREAMS 
  AND LOW LYING AREAS IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ029-031>033-041>045-051>055-041800-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AVOYELLES-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-
ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...
SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU...
OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...
CHURCH POINT...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
CAMERON...HACKBERRY...ABBEVILLE...KAPLAN...NEW IBERIA...
MORGAN CITY...FRANKLIN...PATTERSON...BERWICK...BAYOU VISTA...
STEPHENSVILLE
228 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN
  LA...JEFFERSON DAVIS. IN LOUISIANA...ACADIA...ALLEN...
  AVOYELLES...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...
  LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST.
  MARTIN AND VERMILION.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AT TIMES ACROSS THE AREA
  AS TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THE
  WEEKEND. RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 18 TO 24 HOURS HAS BEEN AROUND 2
  TO 5 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
  ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA WHERE ISOLATED TOTALS OF
  5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE
  HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE AN AVERAGE OF 2
  TO 5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY OCCUR TODAY THROUGH EARLY
  MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING SMALL STREAMS 
  AND LOW LYING AREAS IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

390 
WGUS64 KLCH 041833
FFALCH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
133 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TROPICAL STORM LEE OVER THE EAST PART OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY. A LARGE AREA
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LEE
WILL CONTINUE TO PINWHEEL ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS...THE POTENTIAL FOR
VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING WILL PERSIST
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LAZ031-041>045-051>055-041945-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEN-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKDALE...KINDER...LAKE CHARLES...
SULPHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...CHURCH POINT...LAFAYETTE...
BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...HACKBERRY...
ABBEVILLE...KAPLAN...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...FRANKLIN...
PATTERSON...BERWICK...BAYOU VISTA...STEPHENSVILLE
133 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF LA AND LOUISIANA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. TROPICAL STORM LEE WHICH DROPPED 4 TO AS MUCH AS 10
INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE AFFECTED AREA...HAS MOVED NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR MUCH DRIER AIR TO FILTER INTO THE REGION. 

$$

LAZ028-029-032-033-050245-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...MARKSVILLE...
BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...VILLE PLATTE...
MAMOU...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE
133 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...RAPIDES AND ST. LANDRY. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AT TIMES ACROSS THE 
  AREA AS TROPICAL STORM LEE MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY. 
  RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS HAS BEEN AROUND 3 TO 5 INCHES 
  ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. MODEL ESTIMATES AND THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
  PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE AN AVERAGE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL MAY OCCUR TODAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH 
  LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

* THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING SMALL STREAMS 
  AND LOW LYING AREAS IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

06

018 
WGUS64 KLCH 050843
FFALCH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
343 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

LAZ028-029-032-033-050945-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110905T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...MARKSVILLE...
BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...VILLE PLATTE...
MAMOU...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE
343 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. AREAS OF LIGHT RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING...BUT THE THREAT OF FLOODING RAINS HAS ENDED AS WHAT
REMAINS OF LEE CONTINUES TO HEAD OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. 

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
640 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND ESPECIALLY NEAR AND TO THE
EAST OF THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13...

.DISCUSSION...
SORRY FOR THE DELAY IN THE AFD AND OTHER ROUTINE PRODUCTS. LOTS OF
INFORMATION TO DIGEST AND GO THROUGH FROM TPC.

OBVIOUSLY THE BIG WEATHER MAKER FOR THE FORECAST AREA THIS
HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL BE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 SOME 200 MILES OFF
THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL DISORGANIZED AS
IT LOOKS FOR SOMETHING TO GIVE IT A PUSH. MOST OF THE CONVECTION
IS BEING SHEARED AND PUSHED TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...WHICH MAY
PLAY HAVOC WITH THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM TODAY...AS IT WILL LIKELY
TRY TO FORM NEAR THE DEEPEST CONVECTION.

SOME INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW OVER SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...IS ALLOWING FOR SOME INITIAL BANDS
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.
WITH THE MEANDERING OF THE DEPRESSION...HAVE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE POPS...AS IT WILL TAKE A LITTLE LONGER FOR THE SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL TO REACH THE FORECAST AREA. THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE ANY
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE LATER TODAY ACROSS LOWER ACADIANA.

STILL A TOUGH FORECAST AS IS USUAL WITH THESE WEAK GULF SYSTEMS AS
THEY DEVELOP. BEST CONSENSUS IS FOR THIS SYSTEM TO MOVE ONLY
SLOWLY NORTHWEST OR NORTH TODAY GETTING PULLED UP A BIT BY THE
UPPER LOW. AFTER THAT...IT WILL SLOW GOING UNTIL A STRONG SHORT
WAVE WILL MOVE DOWN FROM THE UPPER PLAINS LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
THIS MAY BE WHAT EVENTUALLY PULLS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST...AND THIS IS LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE CENTER OF
THE SYSTEM MOVING TOWARD THE LOWER SOUTH CENTRAL COAST LATE
SUNDAY...WITH THE OFFICIAL TRACK FROM TPC NEARING THE COAST AROUND
MORGAN CITY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/VERY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF
THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE
CENTER...WHICH PUTS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF RECEIVING HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH STORM TOTAL
CURRENTLY PROJECTED TO AVERAGE 6 TO 10 INCHES SOUTHEAST OF A
LAFAYETTE TO PECAN ISLAND LINE...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER
AMOUNTS IF ANY OF THE STRONG RAINBANDS START TO TRAIN. WITH STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FINAL TRACK...A SMALL SHIFT TO THE RIGHT
WITH THE CENTER...AND WITH THE SLOWING OF THE SYSTEM TONIGHT...STILL
HAVE SOME TIME TO WATCH THINGS AND HAVE OPTED NOT TO ISSUE A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME.

ALSO WITH THE SHIFT A LITTLE TO EAST...HAVE ADJUSTED POPS DOWN
SLIGHTLY FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH THIS EVENT.

THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTHEN WINDS IS EXPECTED DURING THE
DAY ON SATURDAY ACROSS LOWER SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...MOVING UP
IT ACADIANA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. THERE
STILL MAY BE SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS BEGINNING OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA ON SATURDAY EVENING.

HOPEFULLY THERE IS SOME LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL...AS BEHIND
THE SHORT WAVE THAT EVENTUALLY MOVES THE TROPICAL CYCLONE OFF TO
THE NORTHEAST...WILL BE SOME COOLER AIR WITH A HINT OF AUTUMN IN
THE AIR.

RUA

&&

.AVIATION...

...12Z TAF DISCUSSION...

INCREASING EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY IN RESPONSE TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 OVER THE GULF...WITH HIGHEST WINDS OVER THE
SRN TAF SITES WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 KT
WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 30 KT ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. CONVECTION
WILL AGAIN DEVELOP AND INCREASE OVER THE AREA WITH THE BEST
CHANCES AT SRN TAF SITES. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL WITH BKN
CIGS BETWEEN 4000-5000 FT LOWERING TO MVFR DURING PERIODS OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.

24

&&

.MARINE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 IS STILL MEANDERING OVER 200 MILES OFF THE
SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST. SOME INITIAL RAINBAND ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS AT THE PRESENT AND MAY PRODUCE SOME
GUSTS TO OVER 30 KNOTS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
DETERIORATE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY
AS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE
SLOWLY TO THE NORTH. STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. ALL INTERESTS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS ON THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  92  77  87  77  87 /  40  60  60  60  60
KBPT  93  78  89  77  88 /  30  40  40  50  50
KAEX  93  75  88  75  88 /  20  40  60  60  60
KLFT  91  76  86  77  87 /  60  80  80  80  80

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ACADIA...
     CALCASIEU...CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
     LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. MARY...UPPER ST.
     MARTIN...VERMILION.

TX...NONE.
GM...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
651 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-031200-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
651 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...LA...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD
THE LOUISIANA COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TODAY...WITH SOME HEAVY
RAINFALL MAKING IT INTO LOWER ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER NEWHLSLCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AND MOVE
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN LOUISIANA COAST OVER THE WEEKEND...AND MOVE
INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA EARLY
MONDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AT THIS POINT TO BE THE MAIN
HAZARD WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND TO
THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER EVENTUALLY TRACKS. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER NEWHLSLCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

RUA