High Wind Watch 3, NWS North Platte, NE

Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Rock County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

192 
WWUS73 KLBF 050808 AAA
NPWLBF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
308 AM CDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...STRONG SOUTH WINDS TODAY...

DEEP LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
STRONG SOUTH WINDS TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA.

NEZ005>010-024>029-036>038-057>059-069>071-052100-
/O.UPG.KLBF.HW.A.0003.111105T1600Z-111106T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLBF.WI.Y.0026.111105T1600Z-111106T0000Z/
EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-HOOKER-THOMAS-
BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-MCPHERSON-LOGAN-CUSTER-KEITH-PERKINS-
LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALENTINE...SPRINGVIEW...SPENCER...
AINSWORTH...BASSETT...ONEILL...MULLEN...THEDFORD...DUNNING...
TAYLOR...BURWELL...BARTLETT...TRYON...STAPLETON...BROKEN BOW...
OGALLALA...GRANT...NORTH PLATTE...IMPERIAL...HAYES CENTER...
CURTIS...EUSTIS
308 AM CDT SAT NOV 5 2011 /208 AM MDT SAT NOV 5 2011/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 MPH OR STRONGER BETWEEN
  10 AM AND NOON...CONTINUE STRONG THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND
  THEN DECREASE TOWARD SUNDOWN.

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50
  MPH IN OPEN AREAS.

* IMPACTS:WINDS THIS STRONG WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. VISIBILITY
  COULD BE REDUCED IN SPOTS DUE TO BLOWING DUST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
341 PM CDT FRI NOV 4 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
H5 TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST WITH RIDGING INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND A CLOSED H5 LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE NEAR TERM AND HAVE CONFIDENCE IN
THE FORECAST. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE HAS SHIFTED TO THE WINDS ON
SATURDAY. GUIDANCE PROVIDES WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT RAW MODEL
OUTPUT TOUCHING ON HIGH WIND CRITERIA. GFS MOST BULLISH. 850MB
WINDS IN ADVANCE OF DEEPENING SYSTEM MOVING OUT ONTO THE PLAINS
SATURDAY INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY TO 45KTS AND
INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TO 55KTS. GOOD MIXING EXPECTED
TOMORROW AND BUFKIT SOUNDINGS WOULD MIX OUT TO AROUND 800MB WITH
TEMPERATURES AROUND 60. HAVE GONE WITH HIGH WIND WATCH. MAY BE
DOWNGRADED TO ADVISORY OVERNIGHT. ALL IN ALL WILL BE A VERY WINDY
DAY. SOME SNOW OVER NORTHWEST NEBRASKA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT
RAINSHOWERS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. SYSTEM WILL
SHEAR INTO THE DAKOTAS QUICKLY. NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA ON
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SYSTEM WILL HAVE THE GULF OPENING UP
WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WITH TRACK
OF STORM MORE EASTERLY OUT OF THE 4 CORNERS AREA WE WILL REMAIN ON
THE NORTH SIDE...COLD SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. MODELS HAVING TROUBLE
WITH THE AMOUNT OF CLOD AIR FILTERING IN ON THE BACKSIDE AND HAVE
STARTED SYSTEM OUT AS RAIN AND THEN TRANSITIONING TO A RAIN SNOW
MIX. ECMWF CARRYING A LARGE DEFORMATION ZONE IN ITS SOLUTION WHICH
LINGERS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. COULD BE A SIGNIFICANT SNOW MAKER
FOR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED. EXTENDED WILL
SLOW SYSTEM DOWN AND KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

&&

.AVIATION...

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE THE HIGHLIGHT OF THE FORECAST THROUGH THE
DAY ON SATURDAY. A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM OVER THE WEST COAST WILL
PUSH EAST ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY WHICH
WILL CONTINUE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.
ALTHOUGH MAY SEE A DECREASE IN GUSTS TONIGHT...LOOKING AT 40KT
WINDS CONTINUING AROUND 1K FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE SO WILL INCLUDE
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT BOTH KLBF AND KVTN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. WIND GUSTS SHOULD PICK UP AGAIN MID MORNING SATURDAY. THERE
ARE DIFFERENCES IN MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN THE NAM AND GFS /BETWEEN
850MB - NAM AND 700MB - GFS/. EITHER WAY...850MB WINDS LOOKING TO BE
40 TO 50KTS THROUGHOUT THE DAY ALONG AND EAST OF A KVTN TO KIML
LINE. SO SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN STRONG WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WON/T BE A CONCERN
UNTIL AFTER 18Z ON SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER CHANCES OVER THE NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR NEZ005>010-024>029-036>038-057>059-069>071.

&&

SHORT TERM/EXTENDED...POWER
AVIATION...BROOKS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
509 AM CDT FRI NOV 4 2011

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-051100-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
509 AM CDT FRI NOV 4 2011 /409 AM MDT FRI NOV 4 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM AND ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. WHILE RAIN SHOWERS ARE FORECAST SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG SOUTH WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED...MAINLY EAST
OF HIGHWAY 83. COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN INTO THE SYSTEM BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...WITH A RAIN OR SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWEST NEBRASKA.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...IF ANY...ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AT THIS
TIME.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS STORM REMAINS
SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...COLDER AIR APPEARS AVAILABLE FOR SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

KAR