Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS JSJ

205 
WGCA62 TJSJ 052024
FFASJU

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
424 PM AST SUN JUN 5 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-060430-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110607T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
424 PM AST SUN JUN 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE
  U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. 

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* A SURFACE CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY LOCATED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
  COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX WILL CONTINUE
  TO LIFT NORTH OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS PRESSURES FALL IN
  RESPONSE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE BASE
  OF A DEEP TROUGH LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. AS THIS
  OCCURS...VERY DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD WITH VERY
  HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
  ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
  ISLANDS WHERE FOUR TO SIX INCHES APPEAR LIKELY. IN
  ADDITION...WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
  REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS AND WILL HELP
  SUSTAIN PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE LIKELY TO EXCEED 10 INCHES OF RAIN
  ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
  WITH LESSER AMOUNTS EXPECTED AS YOU MOVE NORTHWEST AWAY FROM
  THESE AREAS.

* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS
  FLOODING OF LARGER RIVERS WITH INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES AND
  ROADS NEAR STREAMS AND RIVERS.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$
ROSA

517 
WGCA62 TJSJ 060210
FFASJU

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1010 PM AST SUN JUN 5 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-061015-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110607T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
1010 PM AST SUN JUN 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE
  U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WEAK WAVES OF
  LOW PRESSURE MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. A MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF
  LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY.
  THIS WILL BRING A BIG SLUG OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA MONDAY
  MORNING WITH HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH
  THE HEAVIEST RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN AND THE
  EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE
  U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES
  CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF STRONG TOPOGRAPHICAL FORCING AND
  WHERE THE RAINS PERSIST THE LONGEST.

* WIDESPREAD FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH EXTENSIVE
  INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES AND ROADS. HEAVY DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
  BUILDINGS AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS FROM HIGH WATER AND DEBRIS
  IS LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN AREAS TYPICALLY PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

ROSA

094 
WGCA62 TJSJ 061009
FFASJU

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
609 AM AST MON JUN 6 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-062215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110607T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
609 AM AST MON JUN 6 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA... 
  EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...NORTH CENTRAL... 
  NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...PONCE AND VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND 
  VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST...VIEQUES AND WESTERN INTERIOR. 
  IN VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT 
  ISLANDS. 

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS WEAK WAVES OF LOW
  PRESSURE MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. A MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF LOW
  PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY. THIS
  WILL BRING A BIG SLUG OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA LATER TODAY WITH
  HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
  WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST
  RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF
  PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
  ISLANDS. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES CAN BE
  EXPECTED IN AREAS OF STRONG TOPOGRAPHICAL FORCING AND WHERE THE
  RAINS PERSIST THE LONGEST.

* WIDESPREAD FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH EXTENSIVE 
  INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES AND ROADS. HEAVY DAMAGE TO HOMES AND 
  BUILDINGS AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS FROM HIGH WATER AND DEBRIS 
  IS LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN AREAS TYPICALLY PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

717 
WGCA62 TJSJ 061634
FFASJU

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1234 PM AST MON JUN 6 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-070945-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110607T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
1234 PM AST MON JUN 6 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. 

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* PULSES OF MOISTURE ARE FORMING IN THE CARIBBEAN AND MOVING
  NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. AT THIS TIME MOST OF THE RAIN HAS
  BEEN LIMITED TO THE OCEAN AREAS AROUND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
  WITH AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES. MODELS ARE
  STILL BRINGING IN BETTER MOISTURE TONIGHT HOWEVER THE MAGNITUDE
  OF THIS RAIN IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD FLASH
  FLOODING OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. MOST OF THE RAIN WILL FALL OVER
  THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN PORTION OF PUERTO
  RICO...AND ALTHOUGH SOME POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING STILL EXISTS IN
  THE WESTERN PORTION OF PUERTO RICO AND AT SOME TIME DURING THE
  NEXT 24 HOURS SHOWERS MOST AREAS UNDER THE WATCH WILL EXPERIENCE
  NUMEROUS OR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS...AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
  EXCEED 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A SMALL CHANCE
  OF ISOLATED AREAS RECEIVING HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* FLOODING WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON RIVERS...AND WILL BE MINOR FOR THE
  MOST PART...DUE TO THE RIVERS INABILITY OF HANDLING WIDESPREAD
  RAINS OVER THEIR BASINS. THE PROBABILITY OF MUDSLIDES IS GREATER
  SINCE SOILS REMAIN SOGGY AND PRONE TO SLIPPAGE. THE MAIN THRUST
  OF THE RAIN AND THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN AND
  EASTERN SIDE OF PUERTO RICO AND OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD AVOID DRIVING THROUGH LOW LYING
AREAS COVERED WITH WATER...AND MOUNTAIN ROADS WITH STEEP CLIFFS ON
ONE SIDE DURING AND JUST AFTER HEAVY RAINS. HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

SNELL

867 
WGCA62 TJSJ 071531
FFASJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1131 AM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-080400-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
1131 AM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS 

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

* MOISTURE LADEN SOUTHWEST FLOW IS CONTINUING OVER PUERTO RICO AND
  THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AROUND THE LOW IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN.
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
  INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO AND IN THE CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* FLOODING WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON RIVERS...AND WILL BE MINOR FOR THE
  MOST PART...DUE TO THE RIVERS INABILITY OF HANDLING WIDESPREAD
  RAINS OVER THEIR BASINS. THE PROBABILITY OF MUDSLIDES IS GREATER
  SINCE SOILS REMAIN SOGGY AND PRONE TO SLIPPAGE. THE MAIN THRUST
  OF THE RAIN AND THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN AND
  EASTERN SIDE OF PUERTO RICO INTERIOR PUERTO RICO AND OVER THE
  U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY SAINT CROIX WHERE MANY LOW
  LYING AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS NOW
  THROUGH MIDNIGHT OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THESE
  PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD AVOID DRIVING THROUGH LOW LYING
AREAS COVERED WITH WATER...AND MOUNTAIN ROADS WITH STEEP CLIFFS ON
ONE SIDE DURING AND JUST AFTER HEAVY RAINS. HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

SNELL

175 
WGCA62 TJSJ 080143
FFASJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
943 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-080945-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
943 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE
  U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.  


* THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT TRENDS IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY HAVE INDICATED AN
  UPSWING IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL PUERTO RICO AND
  THE MONA PASSAGE THIS EVENING. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL CONTINUE
  TO RIDE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER A VERY MOIST
  ATMOSPHERE. ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
  APPEARS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT THAT COULD CAUSE HEAVY RAINS. GIVEN
  CURRENT HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO FLOODING
  THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE OVER. FOR THIS REASON...THE FLASH
  FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD AVOID DRIVING THROUGH LOW LYING
AREAS COVERED WITH WATER...AND MOUNTAIN ROADS WITH STEEP CLIFFS ON
ONE SIDE DURING AND JUST AFTER HEAVY RAINS. HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

ROSA

034 
WGCA62 TJSJ 080943
FFASJU

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
543 AM AST WED JUN 8 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-082200-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
543 AM AST WED JUN 8 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND FOR ALL
  OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON

* RECENT TRENDS IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY HAVE CONTINUED TO
  INDICATE AN OVERALL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
  LOCAL AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
  WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 18 TO 24
  HOURS AND WILL COMBINE WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS
  AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. GIVEN THE
  CURRENT HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND THE
  POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...NEW FLASH AND RIVER
  FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
  FOR THIS REASON...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD AVOID DRIVING THROUGH LOW LYING
AREAS COVERED WITH WATER...AND MOUNTAIN ROADS WITH STEEP CLIFFS ON
ONE SIDE DURING AND JUST AFTER HEAVY RAINS. HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

BCS

722 
WGCA62 TJSJ 081934
FFASJU

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
334 PM AST WED JUN 8 2011

PRZ003-004-006-007-009>013-VIZ001-002-082045-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...
YABUCOA...SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...COAMO...COROZAL...AIBONITO...
VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
334 PM AST WED JUN 8 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONCENTRATE MAINLY ON
THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON AND ANY SHOWERS IN
THE REST OF THE AREA WILL BE ISOLATED IN NATURE.
 
$$

PRZ001-002-005-008-082200-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...
AGUADILLA...ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS
334 PM AST WED JUN 8 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...NORTH 
  CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST AND SAN JUAN AND VICINITY. 

* UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS EVENING

* SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ON
  THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND MOVE GENERALLY EAST BETWEEN 5
  AND 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AN
  INCH OR TWO IN AN HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST
  SHOWERS. THIS MAY CAUSE NEW RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS. IT
  IS LIKELY THAT THIS WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT ITS
  CURRENT EXPIRATION TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD AVOID DRIVING THROUGH LOW LYING
AREAS COVERED WITH WATER...AND MOUNTAIN ROADS WITH STEEP CLIFFS ON
ONE SIDE DURING AND JUST AFTER HEAVY RAINS. HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

ROSA

829 
WGCA62 TJSJ 082156
FFASJU

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
556 PM AST WED JUN 8 2011

PRZ001-002-005-008-082300-
/O.EXP.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...
AGUADILLA...ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS
556 PM AST WED JUN 8 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM AST THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF PUERTO RICO WILL EXPIRE AT
6 PM AST THIS EVENING. 

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE THIS EVENING AND NO ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM AST.

$$

ROSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1045 PM AST SAT JUN 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PREVAILED DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AS STRONG CONVECTION FIRED UP ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF
PUERTO RICO. HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS PER DOPPLER ESTIMATES RANGED
FROM 4-6 INCHES OVER THE AREA BETWEEN CAMUY HATILLO ARECIBO AND
UTUADO...AND COROZAL-NARANJITO...AND RIO GRANDE. SEVERAL RIVERS
OVERFLOWED THEIR BANKS WITH LANDSLIDES WERE REPORTED OVER THE
INTERIOR. BY EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE
STILL PERSISTING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST BUT WEAKENING. ACTIVITY
SHOULD LINGER A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE IT DISSIPATES. AGAIN ON
SUNDAY AFTERNOON WE SHOULD ANTICIPATE ACTIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH URBAN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING OVER AREAS OF THE NORTHERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO. MODELS STILL CLINGE TO AN ADDITIONAL INFLUX
OF MOISTURE TO IMPACT THE AREA BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
PREVAILING THROUGH TUESDAY. GIVEN THE SOIL SATURATION ACROSS PARTS
OF THE ISLAND...MORE GENERAL FLASH FLOODS ARE VERY POSSIBLE MONDAY
AND TUESDAY FOR PR AND USVI.

&&

.AVIATION...LINGERING LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION AS WELL AS
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST
PUERTO RICO UNTIL 06Z. VCNTY TJSJ TIST/TISX ...LIGHT TO MODERATE SHRA
EXPECTED UNTIL MID MORNING. AFTER 15Z MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
OVER INLAND PR AND VCNTY USVI. CONDITIONS SPREADING VCNTY
TNCM/TKPK AFTER 05/22Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 312 PM AST SAT JUN 4 2011/

SYNOPSIS...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN CONTINUES TO PROMOTE
A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES. A
LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE NW ATLANTIC WILL DIG INTO THE SW NORTH
ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. AFTER SUNDAY EVENING...A TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHEAST FROM
THIS BROAD LOW WILL RESULT IN A VERY WET PATTERN ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

DISCUSSION...BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN CONTINUES TO BRING A DENSE MID/UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS AS WELL AS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN ISLANDS. THIS FEATURE PROVIDES A DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT ENHANCING
THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION. SOME BREAKS
IN THE CLOUD COVER WERE OBSERVED LATE THIS MORNING OVER PUERTO
RICO ALLOWING THE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL. AS A RESULT... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS...
WITH THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS OBSERVED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO. THIS WEATHER PATTERN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE
TOO MUCH AT LEAST THROUGH TOMORROW...WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVITY OCCURRING
IN THE AFTERNOON.

SATELLITE DERIVED TPW AND GPS MET DATA INDICATED A BROAD AREA OF
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WITH VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 2.25 TO 2.5 INCHES
EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN EASTWARD TO NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN
AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS PRECITABLE WATER (PW) VALUES ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE 25-50 PERCENT ABOVE NORMAL.
THIS HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
DYNAMICS AND A LONG FETCH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ENHANCE THE
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALL
THESE INGREDIENTS COMBINED WILL RESULT IN PROLONGED PERIOD OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY LATE SUNDAY EVENING TO AT LEAST TUESDAY.
THE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BECOME MORE ACTIVE EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WHEN THE MODELS FORECAST A TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHEAST FROM
THE BROAD LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
COULD BE ISSUED IN LATER FORECAST IF THIS SCENARIO HOLDS.

AVIATION...LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AS WELL AS MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING TJBQ/TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJSJ IN SHRA AND
TSRA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE FROM THE SFC TO
15 KFT.

MARINE...MARINERS CAN EXPECTED SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FEET ACROSS THE
SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS AND WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS.
HOWEVER...ROUGH SEAS AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HYDROLOGY...SOILS ACROSS PUERTO RICO...BUT MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF...ARE VERY SATURATED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ONLY WILL AGGRAVATED
THE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN...AND RIVERS WILL REACT
QUICKLY TO NEW RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY
TUNED FOR LATEST ADVISORIES...WATCHES...OR WARNINGS WHICH CAN BE
ISSUE DURING THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND...AS THIS SITUATION DEVELOPS
DURING THE NEXT DAYS. REFER TO ESFSJU (HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK) PRODUCT
FOR INFORMATION REGARDING THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE
RISK FOR SIGNIFCANT FLOODING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  75  82  74  85 /  70  70  60  70
STT  75  84  74  86 /  50  50  50  80

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

72/37

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
507 AM AST SAT JUN 4 2011

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-050915-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
507 AM AST SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL EFFECTS...
WHICH WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER PUERTO RICO. DUE TO
FAIRLY SATURATED SOILS... PROLONGED PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL...THIS WILL RESULT IN URBAN FLOODING...RAPID RISES IN
SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...AND MAY TRIGGER MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN AS WELL AS POSSIBLE RIVER FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK EASTWARD NORTH OF PUERTO RICO
OVER THE WEEKEND...THIS WEATHER FEATURE WILL DRAG A LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND HELP SUSTAIN PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE SUNDAY TO TUESDAY TIME FRAME. SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS AND LARGER RIVERS APPEARS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-050915-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
507 AM AST SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AS AN AREA OF CONVECTIVE WEATHER APPROACHES THE
LOCAL ISLANDS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WHICH MAY CAUSE URBAN FLOODING ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK EASTWARD NORTH OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND...THIS FEATURE WILL DRAG A LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY ACROSS REGION AND HELP SUSTAIN PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE SUNDAY TO TUESDAY TIME FRAME. SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS AND LARGER RIVERS APPEARS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.