Severe Thunderstorm Warning 141, NWS Jackson, KY

633 
WWUS53 KJKL 141914
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
314 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYC071-141923-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-110514T1945Z/
FLOYD KY-
314 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL FLOYD
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3773 8264 3782 8278 3794 8278 3792 8274
      3789 8262 3795 8259 3797 8254 3796 8250
      3793 8249 3791 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 208DEG 23KT 3783 8269

$$

KYC115-159-141945-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-110514T1945Z/
JOHNSON KY-MARTIN KY-
314 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MARTIN AND EASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 310 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WELLS CHAPEL...OR 6 MILES EAST OF PAINTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 300 PM DIME SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN VAN LEAR 
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INEZ...RIVER...DAVELLA...DAVISPORT...DELONG...WHITEHOUSE...
  PEVIER...DEBORD...HAMMOND...CHESTNUT...TOMAHAWK...STIDHAM...
  WELLS...MILO...JOB...CALF CREEK AND ADD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3773 8264 3782 8278 3794 8278 3792 8274
      3789 8262 3795 8259 3797 8254 3796 8250
      3793 8249 3791 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 208DEG 23KT 3783 8269
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

JACOBSON

516 
WWUS53 KJKL 141921
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
321 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYC115-159-141945-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-110514T1945Z/
JOHNSON KY-MARTIN KY-
321 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MARTIN AND EAST CENTRAL JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 320 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WELLS CHAPEL...OR 7 MILES WEST OF INEZ...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INEZ...DAVISPORT...DAVELLA...DELONG...CHESTNUT...HAMMOND...
  PEVIER...DEBORD...TOMAHAWK...STIDHAM...WELLS...MILO...JOB...CALF
  CREEK AND ADD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3776 8261 3782 8273 3791 8271 3789 8262
      3795 8259 3797 8254 3796 8250 3793 8249
      3791 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 221DEG 16KT 3785 8266
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

JACOBSON

523 
WWUS53 KJKL 141936
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYC115-141946-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-110514T1945Z/
JOHNSON KY-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL JOHNSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3781 8255 3788 8263 3789 8263 3789 8262
      3795 8259 3797 8254 3796 8250 3793 8249
      3791 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 221DEG 16KT 3790 8260

$$

KYC159-141945-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-110514T1945Z/
MARTIN KY-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MARTIN COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 335 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WELLS...OR NEAR INEZ...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INEZ...WELLS...MILO...JOB...CALF CREEK AND ADD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3781 8255 3788 8263 3789 8263 3789 8262
      3795 8259 3797 8254 3796 8250 3793 8249
      3791 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 221DEG 16KT 3790 8260
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

JACOBSON

667 
WWUS53 KJKL 141944
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
344 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYC159-141953-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-110514T1945Z/
MARTIN KY-
344 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MARTIN COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 345 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING WEAKENED AND HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3781 8255 3788 8263 3789 8263 3789 8262
      3795 8259 3797 8254 3796 8250 3793 8249
      3791 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 221DEG 16KT 3792 8257

$$

JACOBSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
214 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

.SHORT TERM.../THE REST OF TODAY/

A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF LAKE ERIE DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA. A WEAK
COLD FRONT DRAPES JUST TO THE EAST OF AN KOWB TO KBNA LINE...WITH A
THIN LINE OF LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION POPPING UP ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
ALOFT...THE CENTER OF UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY SPINNING OVER THE
VICINITY OF THE IN/IL/KY BORDER...WITH A MORE ROBUST SHORT WAVE
CURRENTLY ARCING THROUGH CENTRAL KY/TN.

AN AREA OF SLOW-MOVING CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OUT AHEAD OF THIS
SHORT WAVE...WITH THE MORE SUSTAINED ACTIVITY LINING UP IN BETWEEN
I-75 AND I-65. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO SLOWLY PIVOT THROUGH EASTERN
KENTUCKY THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. HAVE INCREASED POPS TO
CATEGORICAL AS MOST LOCATIONS WILL MEASURE OUT OF THIS FEATURE...ALTHOUGH
IT MAY TAKE A WHILE FOR THE FAR EAST TO SEE THE BETTER COVERAGE.

THICKER LOW AND MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS MORE EXTENSIVE TODAY...AND
THIS WILL LIMIT OUR HEATING...WITH MOST LOCATIONS TOPPING OUT IN THE
LOWER 70S. GIVEN THE WEAKER LAPSE RATES TODAY...WILL ONLY MENTION
SMALL HAIL AS A POSSIBILITY IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. WILL ALSO HAVE
TO WATCH OUT FOR TRAINING CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES NOT EXCEPTIONAL TODAY...WOULD EXPECT ONLY AN ISOLATED
NUISANCE FLOODING THREAT.

THE CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE AS THE SHORT WAVE
MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

/TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

06Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SITTING OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY. EAST KENTUCKY REMAINS IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THIS
MATURING LOW WITH MID LEVEL CLOUDS IN PLACE ALONG WITH PATCHES OF
LOWER CIGS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS SWIRLING AROUND...EARLY THIS
MORNING. A NEARLY UNIFORM TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT PROFILE IS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE CWA WITH TEMP READINGS IN THE LOWER 60S AND
DEW POINTS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER...AT MOST. THIS TINY DEW POINT
DEPRESSION HAS LED TO PATCHES OF FOG THROUGHOUT THE AREA...FAVORING
THE VALLEYS.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT CONCERNING THE
EVOLUTION OF THE STAGNANT CLOSED LOW THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM AND BEYOND. THE CLOSED LOW CONSOLIDATES DURING THE
WEEKEND AS THE LEAD SHORT WAVE SWINGS INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY EARLY
THIS MORNING AND BEGINS TO ABSORB THE SECONDARY LOW OVER THE PLAINS
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ACCORDINGLY...BY SUNDAY...A DEEPENING AND
ENLARGING CLOSED LOW WILL BE HOLDING FORTH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY...
CENTERED NEARLY OVERHEAD. THIS LOW WILL DRIFT VERY SLOWLY EAST
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. EACH MODEL HAS A SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT SOLUTION
FOR THIS EVOLUTION...BUT TAKEN AS A WHOLE THEY DEPICT A STALLED
PATTERN THAT WILL LEAD TO A DAMP AND UNSEASONABLY COOL END OF THE
WEEKEND AND START TO NEXT WEEK. HAVE FOLLOWED A BLENDED SOLUTION
ALOFT...FOCUSING ON DETAILS FROM THE NAM12 AND ECMWF FOR WEATHER
SPECIFICS.

SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A CINNAMON ROLL OF CONVECTION...LOW
CLOUDS...AND LONG STRETCHES OF QUIET WEATHER ALL SWIRLING OVER EAST
KENTUCKY TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE CONVECTION WILL BE MOST
ROBUST TODAY AS ANY CLEAR PATCHES IN THE MULTIPLE CLOUD LAYERS WILL
HELP TO HEAT THE SURFACE QUICKLY...RESULTING IN BUILDING
INSTABILITY...DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WHEN
COMBINED WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND A BIT OF WIND SHEAR...
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN
THREAT. WILL MENTION THIS CONCERN IN THE HWO. AS FOR TIMING...BASED
ON EXTRAPOLATION OF THE MAIN SHORTWAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STORMS OUT
WEST AND ITS DEPICTION IN THE NAM12...HAVE MOVED A BAND OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE AREA FROM MIDDAY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
IN THE GRIDS. WITH TIME...FOLLOWING SUNSET...THE INSTABILITY WILL
WANE AND SHOWERS WILL BECOME THE PREDOMINANT FORM OF PCPN...THOUGH
THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL ALSO YIELD LOWER CIGS AND AREAS OF
FOG. ALL THESE CLOUDS...AND SOME ADVECTION OF COLDER AIR ON NEARLY
WEST WINDS...WILL MEAN A COOLER DAY ON SUNDAY THAN TODAY AS
TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO RISE TOO FAR OUT OF THE LOWER 60S. THIS COOL
THEME CONTINUES ON SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S EXPECTED
DESPITE PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER. THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THIS
FORECAST...EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO BE A BIT MORE PERSISTENT OVER THE
NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTION OF THE CWA AS THE STANDING AND STACKED
LOW WILL SET UP ITS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE PARTWAY THROUGH OUR CWA.
EVEN SO...THE QPF FROM THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE EXCESSIVE...ASIDE
FROM A ISOLATED POTENTIAL IN ANY STORMS LATER TODAY.

HAVE FOLLOWED A BLENDED SOLUTION OF MOS AND THE INHERITED GRIDS FOR
TEMPERATURES...WITH A SMALL DIURNAL RANGE...THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...
AGAIN WITH LITTLE TERRAIN BASED ADJUSTMENTS NECESSARY. AS FOR POPS
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...ENDED UP ON THE LOW SIDE OF MOS...FAVORING
THE DRIER NUMBERS FROM THE MET.

.LONG TERM.../MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

RECENT TRENDS IN THE MODELS FOR THE EXTENDED FORECAST HAS NOT
CHANGED. THE GFS STILL LIFTS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OUT AND TO EAST
COAST QUICKER THAN THE EURO. IT STILL APPEARS THE BEST CHANCE FOR
POPS IS IN THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED WITH A SURFACE FEATURE
TAKING SHAPE AND MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA AND THIS IS
PRESENT IN THE FORECAST. AT THIS POINT...WILL LEAVE THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF POPS IN DY5 TO DY7 BUT LOW CONFIDENCE IS STILL WARRANTED.
WILL STILL EXHIBIT THE DIURNAL TRENDS IN CONVECTION ESPECIALLY LATER
IN THE FORECAST. AT THIS POINT...NO POINT SEEMS EVIDENT WHERE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY IS PRESENT TO PUT IN THUNDER IN THE EXTENDED SO KEPT
SHOWERS IN FOR NOW. DY5 TO DY7 IN THE EURO STILL HAS THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW POSITIONED OVER THE APPALACHIAN CHAIN. THIS STILL SEEMS RELEVANT
GIVEN THE PATTERN SO DID BASE THE PATTERN OFF THE EURO.

OVERALL...THE FORECAST DURING THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED SEEMS ON
TRACK AND IN LINE WITH CURRENT MODEL TRENDS AS THERE IS GOOD
AGREEMENT DURING THIS PERIOD SO NO CHANGES WERE MADE. FOR DY6 AND
DY7 THE MODELS SHOW GREAT DISAGREEMENT SO LEFT THE SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS IN WITH SOME CHANGES BUT NOT TO ACCOUNT FOR A SPECIFIC SURFACE
FEATURE OR THE ENDING OF PRECIP.

PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION...MODELS AGREE ON A LARGE CLOSED UPPER
LOW BEING OVER THE REGION EARLY IN THE PERIOD...BRINGING
COOL...UNSETTLED...SHOWERY WEATHER. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT IN
THE MODELS ON THE DETAILS OF ITS DEMISE AS TIME GOES BY. THE GFS IS
LIFTING THE LOW OUT TO THE NORTH FASTER THAN THE ECMWF AND GEM.
OPTED TO FOLLOW A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. HIGHEST
POPS WILL BE AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER LOW/TROUGH AXIS
IS OVERHEAD AND BEFORE ITS MATURE SURFACE SYSTEM TO OUR EAST WEAKENS
ANY FURTHER. WILL CALL FOR A GENERALIZED LOWERING OF POPS WITH TIME
AS THE SYSTEM EVENTUALLY WEAKENS AND SLOWLY DRIFTS AWAY. WILL ALSO
INCORPORATE SOME DIURNAL TRENDS AS DAYTIME HEATING BRINGS A PEAK IN
SHOWER COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SMALLER SCALE FEATURES
AND ASSOCIATED PEAKS AND MINS IN POP WILL NEED TO WAIT UNTIL LATER
TO BE INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SHOWING A
NOTICEABLE REBOUND BY THURSDAY AS GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHTS ALOFT
INCREASE AND SUNSHINE BECOMES A LITTLE MORE ABUNDANT.

BY THE TIME THE EARLY WEEK SYSTEM FINALLY LOSES ITS GRIP ON OUR
AREA...ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE DROPPING SE INTO THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH A LARGE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW CREEPING
EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A RETURN OF
A WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND AT LEAST A
MINIMAL THREAT OF PRECIP BY FRIDAY. THE GREATER PROBABILITY WILL BE
TO OUR W AND SW ON FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/...UPDATED

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ON THE INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL BE A THREAT UNTIL COOLER AIR INVADES FROM THE SW BETWEEN 21Z
AND 03Z. CONDITIONS WILL BE VARIABLE UNTIL THE COLDER AIR
ARRIVES...RANGING FROM VFR TO LOCALLY IFR OR WORSE. IN THE COOLER
AIR...CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO IFR AREA WIDE GENERALLY FROM
W TO E BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z. OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING DRIZZLE OR
LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.
&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...GREIF/GEOGERIAN
LONG TERM....SHALLENBERGER
AVIATION...HAL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1104 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-151100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
1104 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. A FEW
OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG CONTAINING SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS.

ADDITIONALLY...SOME MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
LOCATIONS THAT SEE REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GREIF/GEOGERIAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
153 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYZ109-110-112-113-141830-
MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
153 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 230
PM EDT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

   SOUTHEASTERN MAGOFFIN...
   WEST CENTRAL FLOYD...
   EAST CENTRAL BREATHITT AND
   NORTHWESTERN KNOTT.

AT 153 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EVANSTON...OR
14 MILES NORTH OF HINDMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...WALDO AROUND
205 PM EDT...FREDVILLE AROUND 210 PM EDT...GALDIA AROUND 215 PM
EDT...DAVID AROUND 220 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO AN INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

GEOGERIAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
206 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     HAIL             PEOPLES                 37.29N 84.05W
05/14/2011  E0.75 INCH       JACKSON            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCARICO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
220 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYZ106-107-109-110-141900-
JOHNSON-MORGAN-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-
220 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 300
PM EDT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

   EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MORGAN...
   JOHNSON...
   EASTERN MAGOFFIN AND
   NORTHWESTERN FLOYD.

AT 220 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GAPVILLE...OR
10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALYERSVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...IVYTON AROUND
225 PM EDT...RICEVILLE AROUND 230 PM EDT...SWAMP BRANCH AROUND 235 PM
EDT...DENVER AROUND 240 PM EDT...BARNETTS CREEK AROUND 245 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

JACOBSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
229 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYZ107-110-119-120-141915-
JOHNSON-MARTIN-FLOYD-PIKE-
229 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 315
PM EDT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

   EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON...
   MARTIN...
   EASTERN FLOYD AND
   WESTERN PIKE.

AT 228 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PIKEVILLE...
MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...META AROUND 235
PM EDT...PISO AROUND 240 PM EDT...THREEFORKS AROUND 245 PM EDT...
LAURA AROUND 250 PM EDT...PILGRIM AROUND 255 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DITCHES AND LOW WATER CROSSING MAY BECOME
FULL FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES.

JJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
235 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

KYZ107-109-110-119-141915-
JOHNSON-MARTIN-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-
235 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 315
PM EDT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

   JOHNSON...
   EXTREME WEST CENTRAL MARTIN...
   EAST CENTRAL MAGOFFIN AND
   NORTHWESTERN FLOYD.

AT 235 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DOBSON...OR 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAINTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...WITTENSVILLE
AROUND 240 PM EDT...STAMBAUGH AROUND 245 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DITCHES AND LOW WATER CROSSING MAY BECOME
FULL FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES

JACOBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
306 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             VAN LEAR                37.77N 82.76W
05/14/2011  E0.75 INCH       JOHNSON            KY   PUBLIC

&&

JCARICO