Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
921 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

.UPDATE...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
PUSHING OFFSHORE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL
REMAIN OVER OFFSHORE AS MEAN LOW LEVEL FLOW IS TOWARD THE NORTH
PER THE KJAX 12Z SOUNDING. A DRY SLOT WITH RELATIVELY FEW CLOUDS
ALOFT IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR...HOWEVER MUCH OF NE FL WEST OF HWY
301 AND EXTENDING NWD INTO THE OKEFENOKEE IS BLANKETED WITH LOW
CLOUDS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW THE LOW CEILINGS LIFTING AFTER
15Z...ALTHOUGH NAM BUFR SOUNDING KEEPS OVERCAST SKIES OVER GNV ALL
DAY. WILL KEEP SKIES PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY BUT NOT OVERCAST.
HAVE TWEAKED POPS DOWN A BIT OVER LAND THIS MORNING BUT NO CHNGS
FOR THE AFTN POPS...OR TO THE TEMPS AS THEY LOOK GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...LIFR CIGS AT GNV AND MVFR CIGS AT REMAINING FLORIDA
TERMINALS ARE STUBBORNLY HANGING AROUND. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE IMPROVEMENT BTWN 15Z AND 16Z...BUT GNV
WILL LIKELY KEEP MVFR CIGS WELL INTO THE AFTN. WILL WAIT FOR 14Z
OBS TO DECIDE ON AMENDMENTS IF ANY. VFR CONDS AT SSI APPEAR TO BE
HERE TO STAY AND WILL AMEND SOONER.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE SE TO S FLOW NEXT FEW DAYS...COMBINED WITH
8-10 SEC PERIOD ELY SWELLS SHOULD KEEP SEAS UP IN 4-6FT RANGE FOR
OFFSHORE LEGS NEXT FEW DAYS. MAY BRIEFLY SEE SCA CONDITIONS IN
OFFSHORE LETS WED-THU TIME FRAME AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  89  65  91  69 /  20  10  10  40
SSI  81  70  86  71 /  20  20  10  10
JAX  87  67  92  70 /  20  20  10  10
SGJ  84  70  89  71 /  20  20  10  20
GNV  90  66  92  69 /  20   0  10  10
OCF  90  66  92  69 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

TRABERT/WALKER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
310 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-271000-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
310 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE COAST...

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

EASTERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES. PLEASE REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST
FOR MORE INFORMATION.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...MAINLY ALONG THE I-95
CORRIDOR OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

VERY WARM...DRY AND WINDY SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY
AS HIGHS REACH NEAR RECORD LEVELS IN THE LOWER 90S. A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR WINDS NEAR 20 MPH AND GUSTS AROUND 30
MPH.

A PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO INLAND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE. THE THREAT OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS
THE SQUALL LINE AND FRONT PASS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
121 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

GAZ154-165-166-261745-
COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-
121 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN GLYNN
AND NORTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL
VALID UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

AT 122 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF DOVER BLUFF...OR 8 MILES
WEST OF JEKYLL ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND DOVER BLUFF...JEKYLL
ISLAND...DOCK JUNCTION...COUNTRY CLUB ESTATES AND BRUNSWICK THROUGH
145 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS
OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3112 8135 3112 8138 3101 8141 3101 8144
      3098 8148 3097 8146 3091 8155 3103 8170
      3112 8162 3112 8160 3117 8158 3126 8150
      3114 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 1722Z 223DEG 6KT 3104 8155

SHULER